Group 1 - The article highlights the strong performance of the consumer electronics sector in the A-share market, with stocks like Beilong Precision and Meg Smart reaching the daily limit [1] - It notes a collective high opening for metal sectors such as silver and copper, with companies like Xingye Silver Tin and Silver Nonferrous rising over 7% [1] - The AI application concept is mentioned as experiencing significant declines, with companies like Guotou Intelligent and Yidian Tianxia leading the drop [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of tracking capital migration and understanding the logic behind stock selection by institutions and retail investors [1] - It suggests that the "Longhu Niuxiong" report provides insights into market trends and helps investors align with market rhythms for wealth growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector is experiencing a significant rally, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, with market pricing reflecting over 86% probability of a rate decrease [1][2]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - The precious metals sector saw a collective surge, with the non-ferrous metal ETF (159871) rising by 2.77% and silver reaching its daily limit up of 10% [1]. - COMEX gold increased by 4.77% and COMEX silver surged by 14.95% over the past week, indicating strong upward momentum in precious metal prices [2]. Group 2: Market Influences - The Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period before its meeting, with no significant macroeconomic data expected to alter the anticipated policy path, leading to a consensus that the December rate cut decision is "locked in" [1]. - Economic data releases have prompted some Federal Reserve officials to signal a potential rate cut in December, supporting the rebound in precious metal prices [1]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The long-term trend for the non-ferrous metals sector remains positive, with recommendations to focus on the non-ferrous metal ETF (159871) for structural opportunities [3]. - The ongoing process of de-dollarization is expected to continue, suggesting that investors should hold onto low-positioned assets despite market volatility [2].

国联民生证券研报指出，经济数据持续发布后，美联储部分官员释放12月降息信号，支撑贵金属价格反 弹，未来在央行购金+美元信用弱化主线下，继续看好金银价格上涨。此前降息预期过于悲观，随着美 联储官员释放"鸽派"信号，12月降息预期抬升，降息预期从不足4成回升至超过8成。白银海内外库存加 速去化，或迎来逼仓行情。中长期看，央行购买黄金+美元信用弱化为主线，持续看好金银价格中枢上 移。 12月1日，沪深两市震荡上行，盘面上，贵金属板块集体拉升。截至10点15分，有色金属 ETF(512400.SH)涨3.52%，白银有色涨停10%，江西铜业、兴业银锡涨超9%。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 整体而言，在供给刚性、新兴需求扩张及流动性改善的多重驱动下，中证申万有色金属指数估值分位数 处于近10年较低水平，板块中长期配置价值依然稳固，建议关注有色金属ETF(512400.SH)。 ...

Group 1: Precious Metals Market - The precious metals sector continues to rise, with spot silver reaching a historic high of $57 per ounce, up over 1% on the day and more than 98% year-to-date [1] - COMEX silver has surpassed $58 per ounce, while SHFE silver has increased by over 6%, setting new records [1] - Gold prices are also rising, with NYMEX gold breaking through $4260 per ounce, up 0.12% on the day, and spot gold reaching $4228 per ounce [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Trends - The market is reacting to increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, leading to a decline in the US dollar index [1] - A surge in precious metals prices has been observed alongside a broader market rally, including stocks, bonds, and commodities, as concerns over AI bubbles and economic growth have eased [4] - The CME Fed Fund futures indicate an over 80% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [5] Group 3: Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin has dropped to around $87,000, down over 4% in the day, while Ethereum has fallen to approximately $2,800, with a decline exceeding 5% [2][3] - In the last 24 hours, over 180,325 traders have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $537 million [3]

*免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 盛达资源：公司为国内白银龙头，在夯实存量白银矿山项目经营的基础上，白银与黄金资源扩张布局并 举，有望进一步增厚业绩空间。 兴业银锡：公司收购宇邦矿业，白银储量再上台阶。 11月28日白银价格迎来大幅飙升，内外盘白银价格纷纷刷新历史新高，其中COMEX白银期货最高触及 57.245美元/盎司，伦敦现货白银最高达56.78美元/盎司，国内沪银期货主力合约最高升至13239元/千克 13。截至目前，其年内累计涨幅已高达90%，成为年内表现极为强势的品种之一。 证券时报援引分析师观点称，白银价格强势的核心驱动来自宏观货币政策预期与基本面供需结构的共 振。目前市场对美联储12月降息25个基点的概率预期已升至85%以上，远高于一周前的40%左右。这种 宽松预期推动美元指数走弱，既降低了白银的持有成本，又刺激资金大量流入贵金属板块。供需方面， 今年是全球白银连续第5年出现供应缺口，缺口规模估计达9500万盎司。光伏装机量维持高位、新能源 汽车渗透率提升，长期拉动白银工业需求，且2026年白银供给预计持续短缺，为银价提供了刚性支撑。 公司方面，据证券时报表示， *风险提示：股市有 ...

Core Insights - The report suggests a high probability of an upward breakout in the market, leading to a cross-year rally, particularly due to anticipated positive economic policy adjustments from the upcoming political meetings [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of December as a strategic month for investment, with increased demand for equity funds expected due to the influx of new insurance premiums and favorable currency conditions [2][3] - The report identifies three main investment directions: infrastructure and real estate, service consumption, and self-sufficiency, with a focus on policy-driven adjustments [2][3] Investment Recommendations - The report lists a "golden stock" combination including companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, China Merchants Bank, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology [2][4] - Specific insights into Luxshare Precision highlight its strong position in the Apple supply chain and its potential for robust growth across various sectors, including automotive [8][9] - Shengyi Technology is noted for its leading position in the CCL market, with expectations for continued high-end product upgrades and significant growth potential [12][13] - Century Huatong is recognized for its innovative gaming strategies and strong market position, particularly with its successful game releases [17] - Zhongji Xuchuang is positioned to benefit from increasing overseas demand for optical modules, with a strong production capacity [17] - Haiguang Information is expected to see growth in its DCU chip business due to domestic project implementations [24] - China Merchants Bank is highlighted for its prudent management and strong asset quality, with expectations for recovery in performance as economic conditions improve [24] - Alibaba's cloud business is projected to grow significantly, driven by AI demand and a strong competitive position in the market [24] - Zijin Mining is anticipated to benefit from favorable commodity price trends, particularly in gold and copper [24] - Xingye Silver Tin is positioned as a leading silver producer with significant growth potential [20] - XGIMI Technology is expected to see revenue growth driven by market recovery and product innovation [20] Earnings Forecasts - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, Shengyi Technology, Century Huatong, Zhongji Xuchuang, Haiguang Information, Alibaba, Zijin Mining, Xingye Silver Tin, and XGIMI Technology are projected to achieve over 30% stable growth in earnings this year [5] Financial Metrics - Luxshare Precision is projected to have an EPS of 1.85 in 2024, with a net profit growth rate of 22.03% [6] - Shengyi Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 0.72 in 2024 to 2.03 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 49.37% in 2024 [7] - Century Huatong's EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.16 in 2024 to 1.11 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 131.51% in 2024 [7] - Zhongji Xuchuang is expected to see significant growth in EPS from 4.61 in 2024 to 17.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 137.93% in 2024 [7] - Haiguang Information's EPS is projected to grow from 0.83 in 2024 to 2.01 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 52.87% in 2024 [7] - Alibaba's EPS is expected to rise from 3.91 in 2024 to 5.82 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 9.93% in 2024 [7] - Zijin Mining's EPS is forecasted to increase from 1.21 in 2024 to 2.24 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 51.76% in 2024 [7] - Xingye Silver Tin's EPS is projected to grow from 0.86 in 2024 to 1.39 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of 57.82% in 2024 [7] - XGIMI Technology's EPS is expected to rise from 1.72 in 2024 to 5.20 in 2026, with a net profit growth rate of -0.3% in 2024 [7]

Market Overview - On November 28, the industrial metals sector rose by 0.97% compared to the previous trading day, with Yinbang Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] Top Gainers in Industrial Metals - Yinbang Co., Ltd. (300337) closed at 10.74, up 8.16% with a trading volume of 664,400 shares and a transaction value of 697 million [1] - Guocheng Mining (000688) closed at 25.52, up 5.63% with a trading volume of 407,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.03 billion [1] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426) closed at 34.52, up 4.92% with a trading volume of 712,200 shares and a transaction value of 2.42 billion [1] Market Capital Flow - The industrial metals sector saw a net inflow of 955 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 80.02 million [2] - The top stocks by net inflow from main funds included Xingye Silver Tin (2.47 billion) and Yinbang Co., Ltd. (475.38 million) [3] Notable Decliners - Luoping Zinc Electric (002114) closed at 8.20, down 6.29% with a trading volume of 631,300 shares and a transaction value of 509 million [2] - Hongchuang Holdings (002379) closed at 20.16, down 2.14% with a trading volume of 185,000 shares and a transaction value of 374 million [2]

Core Points - The stock price of Xingye Silver Tin has increased by 5.02% on November 28, reaching 34.55 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.517 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 2.53%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 61.348 billion CNY. The stock has risen for four consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 10.44% during this period [1] - Xingye Silver Tin Mining Co., Ltd. is located in Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, and was established on August 23, 1996. The company was listed on August 28, 1996, and its main business involves the mining and smelting of non-ferrous and ferrous metal resources. The revenue composition includes silver (34.80%), tin (30.81%), zinc (19.32%), lead (5.12%), iron (3.34%), antimony (2.90%), copper (2.01%), and other minerals [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, Huian Fund has a significant position in Xingye Silver Tin. The Huian Quantitative Pioneer Mixed A Fund (007775) held 40,000 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 5.49% of the fund's net value, making it the fifth-largest holding. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 66,000 CNY, with a total floating profit of 124,400 CNY during the four-day increase [2] - The Huian Quantitative Pioneer Mixed A Fund (007775) was established on October 30, 2019, with a latest scale of 13.7669 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 52.17%, ranking 622 out of 8127 in its category; the one-year return is 41.71%, ranking 1120 out of 8059; and since inception, the return is 33.41% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Huian Quantitative Pioneer Mixed A Fund (007775) is Yang Kunhe. As of the report date, Yang has been in the position for 4 years and 64 days, managing total fund assets of 12.4 million CNY. The best fund return during his tenure is 37.65%, while the worst return is -14.85% [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Xingye Silver Tin has shown significant stock price growth and strong financial performance in recent months, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the company [1][2]. - As of November 28, Xingye Silver Tin's stock price increased by 203.71% year-to-date, with a recent 12.66% rise over the last five trading days [1]. - The company has a market capitalization of 59.59 billion yuan and reported a trading volume of 4.33 billion yuan on November 28 [1]. Group 2 - Xingye Silver Tin's main business involves the mining and smelting of non-ferrous and ferrous metals, with revenue contributions from silver (34.80%), tin (30.81%), and zinc (19.32%) [2]. - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.099 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.36%, and a net profit of 1.364 billion yuan, up 4.94% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 4.23 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.75 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Group 3 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of Xingye Silver Tin include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 26.28 million shares [3]. - The company is categorized under the industrial metals sector, specifically in non-ferrous metals, and is part of various concept sectors including copper, gold stocks, and MSCI China [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the positive outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by recent market trends and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [3][4]. - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) has seen a price increase of 0.46% and has attracted 206 million yuan in the last 10 days, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - As of November 25, the total size of the non-ferrous metals ETF reached 686 million yuan, making it the largest among three ETFs tracking the same index [1]. Group 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan suggested increasing rate cuts to support the economy, with an 84.9% probability of a 25 basis point cut in December [3]. - Analysts believe that a Fed rate cut could boost non-ferrous metal prices due to currency depreciation, making metals cheaper in dollar terms and increasing global demand [3]. - Institutions are optimistic about the non-ferrous metals sector continuing a bull market, with key focus areas including copper and aluminum due to supply constraints and recovering demand, as well as lithium and cobalt driven by energy storage and battery needs [3]. Group 3 - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) and its linked funds provide comprehensive coverage of various metals, allowing for better risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [4].