Core Insights - The A-share market in 2025 closed positively, with major indices showing significant gains, and brokerage "golden stock" portfolios delivering impressive results [1] - The top ten brokerage golden stock portfolios achieved returns exceeding 50%, with the highest being Guoyuan Securities at 84.08% [1][5] Brokerage Performance - Guoyuan Securities led with a return of 84.08%, with its best stock being Zhongtung Gaoxin [2][5] - Northeast Securities ranked second with a return of 68.38%, highlighting its best stock as Wukuang Resources [2][6] - Other notable performers include Kaiyuan Securities (67.1%), Huaxin Securities (62.23%), and Dongxing Securities (61.98%) [2] Stock Selection Strategies - Guoyuan Securities focuses on selecting stocks based on China's new economic growth drivers and emerging industries, aiming to identify companies with strong fundamentals and market expectations [5] - Northeast Securities employs a collaborative approach with nearly 30 teams contributing to stock recommendations, emphasizing technology and cyclical sectors [6][7] - Dongguan Securities utilizes a systematic research framework that integrates macroeconomic analysis with industry insights to select high-quality stocks [8] Research Methodologies - Huazhong Securities emphasizes a dual approach, combining top-down macroeconomic analysis with bottom-up stock selection to identify high-potential sectors and individual stocks [9] - The overall performance of brokerage golden stock portfolios in 2025 significantly outperformed previous years, with the lowest return among the top 20 brokerages nearing 40% [5]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of stock recommendations from various brokerages, with 10 brokerages achieving over 50% returns in 2025, showcasing their ability to identify and recommend stocks early in the market cycle [2][3]. Group 1: Brokerage Performance - The highest cumulative return was achieved by Guoyuan Securities at 83.73%, followed by Northeast Securities and Kaiyuan Securities with returns of 67.47% and 67% respectively [2]. - Other brokerages such as Dongxing Securities, Huaxin Securities, and China Merchants Securities also reported returns exceeding 60%, while Everbright Securities, Dongguan Securities, Guotai Junan, and Changcheng Securities had returns above 50% [2]. Group 2: Stock Selection Strategy - The success of these brokerages is attributed to their strategy of identifying stocks at low points and consistently recommending them, which has led to significant gains [4][5]. - For instance, Kaiyuan Securities recommended Xinyisheng for four consecutive months, resulting in a total increase of 440% from May to August [6]. Group 3: Popular Stocks - Tencent Holdings emerged as the most recommended stock, being favored by around seven brokerages each month, making it the most popular stock of the year [7]. - The report indicates that the most popular stocks varied throughout the year, with technology stocks dominating in the first quarter, consumer stocks in the second, financial stocks in the third, and a return to technology stocks in the fourth quarter [7].

Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of brokerage firms' recommended stocks, known as "golden stocks," which have achieved over 50% returns in 2025, with some firms excelling by identifying and recommending stocks early in their upward trends [1][3]. Group 1: Performance of Golden Stocks - As of December 29, 2025, 10 brokerage firms' golden stock portfolios recorded returns exceeding 50%, with the highest being 83.73% from Guoyuan Securities [3]. - Other notable performers include Northeast Securities and Kaiyuan Securities, with returns of 67.47% and 67%, respectively [3]. - The golden stock strategy has become a mature business for many brokerage firms, showcasing their research capabilities and market insights [3]. Group 2: Strategies for Success - Early identification of stocks at low prices and consistent recommendations have been key strategies for achieving high returns [4]. - For instance, Kaiyuan Securities recommended Xinyisheng for four consecutive months, resulting in a total increase of 440% from May to August [5]. - Guoyuan Securities focused on sectors like media, pharmaceuticals, and machinery, with significant monthly gains from stocks like Giant Network and JiBit [4]. Group 3: Popularity of Tencent - Tencent Holdings emerged as the most recommended stock, being favored by around seven brokerage firms monthly, making it the top "golden stock" of the year [2][6]. - The popularity of stocks varies by quarter, with technology stocks dominating in the first quarter, consumer stocks in the second, financial stocks in the third, and a return to technology stocks in the fourth quarter [6]. Group 4: Market Trends and Recommendations - The article notes that not all popular stocks achieve high success rates, with less than 40% of the most recommended A-share stocks showing gains in the same month they were recommended [7].

Market Overview - On December 30, the securities sector declined by 0.21% compared to the previous trading day, with Hongta Securities leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3965.12, down 0.0%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13604.07, up 0.49% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huayin Securities (002945) saw a closing price of 14.93, with an increase of 3.61% and a trading volume of 282,000 shares, totaling a transaction value of 422 million yuan [1] - Hongta Securities (601236) closed at 8.22, down 1.44%, with a trading volume of 188,700 shares and a transaction value of 156 million yuan [2] - The top gainers included Huayin Securities and Huaxin Co. (600621), which increased by 3.61% and 1.18% respectively, while the top losers included Hongta Securities and Dongxing Securities (601198), which decreased by 1.44% and 1.05% respectively [1][2] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector experienced a net outflow of 898 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 339 million yuan [2] - The main capital inflows were observed in Huayin Securities, which had a net inflow of 62.70 million yuan from institutional investors, despite a net outflow from retail investors [3] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors are still actively participating [2][3]

Group 1 - The company, Yatai Group, announced plans to sell 20.81% of its shares in Northeast Securities to Changfa Group and 9% of its shares to Changchun Jin Kong or its designated subsidiaries, constituting a significant asset restructuring [1] - As of the announcement date, the company is in ongoing communication and negotiation with relevant parties, actively advancing due diligence and other related work [1] - The transaction is still in the planning stage, with specific proposals pending verification and negotiation, and it requires necessary decision-making and approval processes, indicating uncertainty [1]

Core Viewpoint - The essence of space computing power is near-Earth orbit distributed space data centers, with four key factors driving its high prosperity: policy support, economic benefits, application scenarios, and advancements in reusable rockets and new materials [1][3]. Group 1: Driving Factors - **Policy Support**: The National Space Administration's action plan (2025-2027) promotes commercial aerospace development through relaxed access and substantial funding [3]. - **Economic Benefits**: North American data centers face a power shortage in the next three years, while space computing centers can overcome ground power consumption bottlenecks, achieving both economic and energy efficiency improvements [3]. - **Application Scenarios**: National security and mission requirements provide foundational support, while commercial cloud services will expand as costs and technology mature [3]. - **Advancements in Reusable Rockets and New Materials**: SpaceX's Falcon 9 has reduced launch costs to below $3,000 through recovery technology, and domestic companies are conducting high-altitude recovery experiments [3]. Group 2: Key Technological Innovations - **Energy Supply**: Space solar radiation is approximately 30% stronger than on Earth, making photovoltaics the optimal energy source. Key components include battery cells, substrates, and deployment structures, with various materials like silicon, gallium arsenide, and perovskite being recommended [4]. - **Cooling Solutions**: In space, cooling relies on thermal radiation and conduction due to the absence of air for convection. High-power computing satellites utilize a hybrid cooling solution of liquid cooling and large heat radiators [4]. - **Radiation Resistance**: The development of radiation-resistant chips is advancing rapidly in China, with materials like GaN and SiC becoming core solutions for high-power satellite chips [4].

Core Viewpoint - Northeast Securities is actively participating in regional financial services and innovation, focusing on supporting local industries and small to medium-sized enterprises through various financial instruments and strategies [3][4][5][9] Group 1: Financial Innovations and Initiatives - The first special bond supporting rural revitalization in the Yellow River Basin was issued, with Northeast Securities as the sole lead underwriter, channeling 250 million yuan into ecological restoration and rural industrial upgrades [3] - The company completed the first "photoelectric information" labeled sci-tech bond in the country and a 1 billion yuan sci-tech bond for Jilin Province's industrial investment management group, facilitating financing for strategic emerging industries [3] - In 2023, Northeast Securities completed 21 local bond projects in Jilin Province, accounting for 39% of similar projects in the province, covering urban construction, industrial upgrades, and public welfare [4][5] Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of the year, Northeast Securities achieved operating income of 3.861 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.067 billion yuan, up 125.21% year-on-year [5] Group 3: Focus on Innovation and Technology - The company has established a full-cycle service system for small and medium-sized innovative enterprises, having sponsored 10 companies to list on the Beijing Stock Exchange, ranking 7th in the industry [6][7] - Northeast Securities has been involved in significant financing projects, including an 800 million yuan refinancing for a leading carbon fiber company, marking the largest refinancing project on the Beijing Stock Exchange to date [6] Group 4: Digital Transformation - The company has prioritized digital transformation since 2021, aiming to enhance service capabilities and operational efficiency through a structured approach [8] - Utilizing big data and artificial intelligence, Northeast Securities is improving customer service experiences by creating personalized service configurations and enhancing wealth management offerings [8] Group 5: Strategic Vision - The chairman emphasized the importance of financial services in driving technological innovation and industrial upgrades, positioning Northeast Securities as a key connector between technology and industry [9]

Group 1 - The core support for the revitalization of Jilin Province is the resilience of the real economy, with a GDP growth of 5.3% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, surpassing the national average, and an industrial added value growth of 8.4% [2] - The Eurasia Group, a representative of the real economy in Jilin, has been focusing on retail for over 40 years and plays a crucial role in translating consumption and domestic demand policies into market actions by upgrading traditional shopping centers into comprehensive platforms that integrate consumption and experience [2] - The development pattern of "stable agriculture, quality improvement in industry, and efficiency enhancement in the tertiary sector" is becoming increasingly solid, with all three sectors showing year-on-year growth exceeding 4% [2] Group 2 - Financial services are shifting from general irrigation to precise empowerment, aiming to attract capital into key areas of technological innovation and industrial upgrading, which is essential for the transformation and upgrading of the old industrial base and the cultivation of emerging industries in Jilin Province [3] - Northeast Securities, the largest securities firm in Northeast China, is aligning its services with regional development strategies by focusing on specialized and innovative enterprises and utilizing financial tools to support key industrial chains, thereby facilitating a virtuous cycle between technology, capital, and industry [3] - The Jilin Provincial People's Congress has approved a decision to accelerate the construction of the Changchun modern urban agglomeration, which is a key measure for coordinated regional development, aimed at promoting the smooth flow of resources and efficient allocation of financial resources for the upgrade of the real economy [3] Group 3 - The "Jilin practice" is characterized by a focus on solidifying the real economy, dedication to core businesses, commitment to local service, and the courage to embrace change, which is nurturing the "seeds" of new productive forces across various fields [4]

Core Viewpoint - Northeast Securities reports that Luk Fook Holdings (00590) shows strong resilience in consumer demand with double-digit growth expected in the near term, driven by a new gold value-added tax policy and long-term benefits from market share enhancement for leading companies. The valuation is expected to recover due to overseas expansion and product premiumization, with projected net profits for the next three years being 1.56 billion, 1.78 billion, and 2.01 billion HKD, corresponding to PE ratios of 8.3, 7.2, and 6.4 respectively. The initial coverage gives a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY26H1 (ending September 30, 2025), Luk Fook Holdings exceeded expectations with revenue of 6.84 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and a net profit of 620 million HKD, up 42.5%. The gross margin improved by 2 percentage points to a historical high of 34.7%. Quarterly performance shows strong recovery momentum, with retail value growth of 13% in FY26Q1 and 18% in FY26Q2, alongside same-store sales growth of 5% and 10% respectively [2]. Group 2: Product Performance - The company continues to increase the proportion of high-margin products, with significant performance in pricing products, which have become a key driver for structural optimization. In FY26H1, revenue from gold and platinum reached 4.096 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, accounting for 64.3% of total revenue, with a gross margin increase of 2.8% to 30.3%. Revenue from pricing jewelry was 2.276 billion HKD, up 67.9%, making up 35.7% of total revenue. Quarterly data shows strong same-store sales growth for self-operated pricing gold and jewelry in both mainland and Hong Kong/Macau [3]. Group 3: Channel Performance - The company is actively optimizing its store network and rebalancing channels. In FY26H1, revenue from retail, wholesale, and brand businesses accounted for 76.8%, 16.3%, and 6.9% respectively, with wholesale revenue increasing significantly by 190.6% and turning profitable with a segment profit margin of 9.7%. As of the end of H1, the total number of global stores was 3,113, a net decrease of 174 stores, with self-operated stores increasing by 23 and brand stores decreasing by 198. Same-store sales growth for the first half was 7.7%, with mainland same-store growth at 10.9% [4].

东北证券发布研报称，短期看，六福集团(00590)期后双位数增长印证消费韧性，黄金增值税新政通过 提价传导消化，长期利好龙头份额提升。估值层面，海外扩张及产品高端化驱动估值修复。该行预计公 司未来三年2026/2027/2028归母净利润分别为15.6/17.8/20.1亿元，对应PE为8.3/7.2/6.4X。首次覆盖，给 予"增持"评级。 东北证券主要观点如下： FY26H1黄金及铂金类收入40.96亿港元，同比增长11.0%占比达到64.3%，毛利率增加2.8%提升至30.3%; 定价首饰收入22.76亿港元，同比增长67.9%，占比35.7%。分季度看，FY26Q1内地自营定价黄金同店 +69%，定价首饰同店+16%;港澳定价黄金+74%，定价首饰+19%。FY26Q2内地自营定价黄金同店 +49%，定价首饰+8%;港澳定价黄金+68%，定价首饰+27%。定价黄金产品的销售占比在Q1提升至 16%-17%，结构性利好持续释放。 渠道端：公司持续推进门店优化和渠道再平衡 (1)FY26H1零售、批发、品牌业务收入占比分别为76.8%、16.3%、6.9%，其中批发收入同比大幅增长 190.6%，并实现由 ...