短期来看，公司作为行业龙头，能够凭借规范的采购渠道和强大的品牌议价能力传导成本压力，减低黄 金增值税扰动；中长期看，国际化进程加速，公司计划继续拓展大洋洲、加拿大及中东等新市场，为公 司品牌转型打造第二增长曲线。该行预计周大福2026至2028年可分别实现归母净利润75.7亿、86.1亿、 97.3亿元，分别对应15.1倍、13.3倍、11.8倍市盈率，首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。 东北证券发表研报指，周大福2026财年上半年业绩展现稳健复苏，营业额达389.86亿港元，与去年同期 基本持平；受益于费用率的改善，经营溢利实现按年增长0.7%至68.23亿港元，经营溢利率达17.5%，创 近五年新高；计提黄金借贷合约亏损31.43亿港元后，归母净利润25.34亿港元，按年基本持平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Northeast Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), as an industry leader, is well-positioned to mitigate cost pressures through its established procurement channels and strong brand pricing power. The company is accelerating its international expansion into new markets such as Oceania, Canada, and the Middle East, aiming to create a second growth curve for brand transformation. The projected net profits for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 are expected to be 75.7 billion, 86.1 billion, and 97.3 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.1, 13.3, and 11.8. The initial coverage gives a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of FY26, the company demonstrated a steady recovery with revenue reaching 38.986 billion HKD, remaining stable compared to the same period last year. Operating profit increased by 0.7% year-on-year to 6.823 billion HKD, achieving an operating profit margin of 17.5%, the highest in nearly five years. After accounting for a loss of 3.143 billion HKD from gold loan contracts, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.534 billion HKD, essentially flat year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Product Structure and Growth Drivers - In FY26 H1, revenue from priced jewelry grew by 9.3% year-on-year to 11.39 billion HKD, accounting for 29% of total revenue, which is a 3% increase year-on-year, effectively supporting overall gross margin levels. Same-store sales for priced jewelry and gold jewelry in Q1/Q2 were +0.4%/+16.6% and -2.7%/+7.3%, respectively. Notable product series such as "Chuanfu," "Chuanxi," and "Forbidden City" achieved total sales of 3.4 billion HKD, marking a significant increase of 47.8%. The introduction of high-value new products like "Hemei Dongfang" has also been successful [2]. Group 3: Store Network and Channel Optimization - As of the end of FY26 H1, there were 5,663 retail points in mainland China. Benefiting from product structure optimization and rising gold prices, same-store sales grew by 2.6% during the period. Direct stores generated approximately 10.24 billion HKD in revenue, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year, accounting for 31.8% of total revenue in mainland China, up 4.5% year-on-year. The number of direct stores decreased by 16, with same-store sales in Q1/Q2 at -3.3%/+7.6%. Franchise stores generated about 21.96 billion HKD, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year, accounting for 68.2% of total revenue, down 4.5% year-on-year. The number of franchise stores decreased by 595, with same-store sales in Q1/Q2 at 0%/+8.6%. Online channels maintained strong growth, with e-commerce retail value in mainland China increasing by 27.6% year-on-year [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Northeast Securities indicates that Chow Tai Fook (01929), as an industry leader, is expected to mitigate cost pressures through its strong brand bargaining power and standardized procurement channels, while also accelerating its international expansion into new markets such as Oceania, Canada, and the Middle East, creating a second growth curve for brand transformation. The company is projected to achieve net profits of 75.7 billion, 86.1 billion, and 97.3 billion yuan for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028, corresponding to PE ratios of 15.1, 13.3, and 11.8 respectively, with an initial "Buy" rating assigned [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of FY26 (ending September 30, 2025), the company demonstrated a stable recovery with revenue reaching 38.986 billion HKD, remaining flat year-on-year; operating profit increased by 0.7% to 6.823 billion HKD, achieving an operating profit margin of 17.5%, the highest in nearly five years; after accounting for a loss of 3.143 billion HKD from gold loan contracts, net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.534 billion HKD, also flat year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Product Structure and Growth Drivers - In FY26H1, revenue from priced jewelry grew by 9.3% to 11.39 billion HKD, accounting for 29% of total revenue, which supported overall gross margin levels; same-store sales for priced jewelry and gold jewelry in Q1/Q2 were +0.4%/+16.6% and -2.7%/+7.3% respectively [3] - Iconic product series such as "Chuanfu," "Chuanxi," and "Palace Museum" achieved total sales of 3.4 billion HKD, a significant increase of 47.8%, while high-value new products like "Hemei Dongfang" expanded successfully; collaborations with well-known IPs like "Black Myth: Wukong" and the NBA attracted younger customers, injecting new vitality into the brand [3]. Group 3: Store Network and Channel Optimization - As of the end of FY26H1, there were 5,663 retail points in mainland China, with same-store sales growing by 2.6% due to product structure optimization and rising gold prices; direct stores generated approximately 10.24 billion HKD in revenue, an increase of 8.4%, accounting for 31.8% of total revenue in mainland China, with a same-store sales performance of -3.3%/+7.6% for Q1/Q2; franchise stores reported revenue of about 21.96 billion HKD, a decrease of 5.5%, making up 68.2% of total revenue, with a same-store sales performance of 0%/+8.6% for Q1/Q2; online channels maintained strong growth, with e-commerce retail value in mainland China increasing by 27.6% year-on-year [4].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601696 | 中银证券 | 14.85 | -1.00% | 98.66万 | 14.78亿 | | 601211 | 圆炭海道 | 20.74 | -0.58% | 58.31万 | 12.13亿 | | 000776 | 广发证券 | 22.00 | -0.45% | 34.97万 | 7.72亿 | | 601377 | 兴业证券 | 7.42 | -0.27% | 166.79万 | 12.43亿 | | 002736 | 国信证券 | 13.17 | -0.15% | 27.83万 | 3.68亿 | | 601456 | 国联民生 | 10.37 | -0.10% | 23.63万 | 2.45亿 | | 000750 | 国海证券 | 4.25 | 0.00% | 34.58万 | 1.47 亿 | | 601555 | 东吴证券 | 9.07 | 0.00% | 39.98万 | 3.63亿 | | 002670 | 国盛证券 ...

东北证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次 级债券（第七期）在深圳证券交易所上市的公告 （本页无正文，为《东北证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新次级 债券（第七期）在深圳证券交易所上市的公告》之盖章页） 年 月 日 2025 12 24 东北证券股份有限公司（签章） 根据深圳证券交易所债券上市的有关规定，东北证券股份有限公司 2025 年 面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第七期）符合深圳证券交易所债券上市条件， 将于 2025 年 12 月 25 日起在深圳证券交易所上市，并面向专业投资者中的机构 投资者交易，交易方式包括匹配成交、点击成交、询价成交、竞买成交和协商成 交。债券相关要素如下： | 债券名称 | 东北证券股份有限公司 | | | 2025 年面向专业投资者公开发行次级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 债券（第七期） | | | | | 债券简称 | 25 东北 C7 | | | | | 债券代码 | 524600 | | | | | 信用评级 | 主体评级 | | AAA，本期债券评级 | AA+ | | 评级 ...

证券日报网讯12月22日，东北证券在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年12月19日，公司股东 总人数为94545户。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The profitability of Desay SV Automotive is under short-term pressure due to declining sales from major clients, but is expected to improve with the launch of new models in Q4, such as the Ideal i6 and Xpeng X9 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 profitability is temporarily constrained due to a drop in sales from key customers [1] - The gross margin for overseas products is projected to be 25.9% in 2024 and 28.9% in the first half of 2025, significantly higher than the domestic products' gross margin of 19.5% and 19.7% respectively [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - The internationalization strategy is progressing steadily, with expectations for gross margin improvements [1] - The company has successfully secured new project allocations from clients such as VW and TOYOTA, and has made breakthroughs with previously untapped clients like RENAULT and HONDA [1] Group 3: Capacity Expansion - Production capacity contributions began in Indonesia in May, with the first mass production project in Monterrey, Mexico launched in June [1] - The smart factory in Spain is expected to be completed by the end of the year and will start mass production in 2026 [1] Group 4: Future Growth Drivers - The successful completion of a private placement will support the development of low-speed unmanned vehicles and robotic domain control, which are anticipated to become new engines for performance growth [1] - The initial coverage has been established with a rating of "Accumulate" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of domestic demand is crucial for economic stability and security, representing a long-term strategic initiative for China as it transitions towards modernization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1] Group 1: Strategic Importance of Domestic Demand - Expanding domestic demand is not merely a short-term economic stimulus but a fundamental strategic adjustment in response to changing external environments and a shift from reliance on exports and investment to a demand-driven growth model [1][2] - The current focus on domestic demand is essential for ensuring the long-term stability and sustainability of China's economy, acting as a "bulwark" against external economic fluctuations [2] Group 2: Market Resource Utilization - The market resources in China, which include not only the large population but also various industrial and digital resources, must be fully leveraged to support the new development pattern [2] - Breaking down barriers and establishing a unified national market is critical for the efficient allocation and flow of resources, which will drive the internal circulation of the economy [2] Group 3: Consumer Market Expansion - The contribution of final consumption to GDP growth reached 53.5% in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a significant shift towards a domestic demand-driven growth model [3] - The middle-income group is identified as the most active segment in the consumer market, driving demand for services, green products, and smart technologies, which are essential for high-quality economic development [3] Group 4: Income Distribution and Policy Impact - Expanding domestic demand is fundamentally linked to income distribution reform and social security upgrades, with policies aimed at increasing the size of the middle-income group [4] - The national subsidy policy has effectively stimulated the consumption market, with 1.5 billion yuan issued in 2024, doubling to 3 billion yuan in 2025, and projected to exceed 5 billion yuan in 2026, significantly impacting consumer spending and benefiting over 360 million people [4]

Core Viewpoint - The year 2026 is projected to be a turning point for China's economy, moving away from low inflation and establishing a "new equilibrium" as per the consensus among major securities firms [1]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Growth and Price Recovery - Major securities firms, including China Merchants, Ping An, and West Securities, agree that the Chinese economy will emerge from the low inflation phase, with expectations of nominal GDP growth recovery driven by price factor improvements [1][5]. - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to limit supply, combined with the pig cycle bottoming out and PPI turning positive, which will be key in improving corporate profitability and nominal GDP [1][5][6]. Group 2: Structural Transition and New Growth Drivers - 2026 is seen as a critical juncture for the transition between old and new growth drivers, with real estate investment entering a bottoming phase while AI, data center energy demand, and high-end manufacturing are expected to become substantial growth engines [1][5][21]. - The consensus is that the economy will experience a "new-old relay" with significant changes in investment structures, particularly in manufacturing and real estate [1][21]. Group 3: Demand-Side Drivers - There is a divergence in views regarding demand-side drivers; some firms like Minsheng and Northeast Securities believe external demand will outperform internal demand, while others like West Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan predict a shift towards internal demand dominance [1][5][21]. Group 4: Asset Allocation and Market Style Predictions - Opinions on asset allocation and market style are highly varied, with Haitong International being the most optimistic, predicting a 40% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index based on "value re-evaluation" logic [2][50]. - China Merchants Securities anticipates a shift from "policy-driven" to "profit-driven" market dynamics, while others suggest a more balanced focus on both growth and cyclical opportunities [2][21]. Group 5: Key Predictions from Securities Firms - China Merchants Securities predicts a recovery in corporate profits and a shift in policy focus towards enhancing development quality, with manufacturing investment expected to grow by 5% and real estate investment's decline narrowing to -8% [5][10]. - Ping An Securities emphasizes the importance of price recovery, forecasting CPI to rise to 0.6% and PPI to narrow its decline significantly [16][18]. - West Securities expects nominal GDP growth to accelerate, driven by inflation recovery and the emergence of new growth forces [21][23]. Group 6: External Environment and Trade Dynamics - The external environment is expected to improve, with strong export performance contributing significantly to GDP growth, projected to be around 40%-50% from actual export growth [11][44]. - The report from Northeast Securities highlights that external demand will recover before internal demand, with exports expected to grow by approximately 7% [44][45].

证券代码：524600.SZ 证券简称：25东北C7 东北证券股份有限公司 2025年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第七期） 发行结果公告 发行人及其全体董事、高级管理人员或履行同等职责的人员保证公告内容真 实、准确和完整，并对公告中的虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏承担责任。 东北证券股份有限公司（以下简称"发行人"）公开发行不超过人民币80 亿元的次级公司债券已获得中国证券监督管理委员会证监许可〔2024〕1731号注 册。根据《东北证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行次级债券（第 七期）发行公告》，东北证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行次级 债券（第七期）（以下简称"本期债券"）发行规模为不超过人民币8亿元（含8 亿元），发行价格为每张100元，采取网下面向专业机构投资者询价配售的方式 发行。 本期债券发行时间自2025年12月17日至2025年12月18日，具体发行情况如 下： 1、网下发行 本期债券网下预设的发行数量占本期债券发行规模的比例为100%，即不超 过8亿元（含8亿元）；最终网下实际发行数量为6.20亿元，占本期债券计划发行 总规模的77.50%。本期债券的票面 ...