Core Viewpoint - Zhang Yilu's expertise in the building materials and construction industry emphasizes the importance of both cyclical and growth research capabilities, which are essential for understanding market dynamics and identifying investment opportunities [2]. Group 1: Industry Insights - The building materials and construction industry serves as a barometer for fixed asset investment, with demand primarily driven by infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing sectors [2]. - The supply side of the industry encompasses numerous sub-sectors, including consumer materials, bulk materials, and new materials, each with various product types [2]. - The industry experiences thematic market trends, such as "China's Special Valuation" and "Belt and Road Initiative," which require in-depth research to capture [2]. Group 2: Research Methodology - The company employs a comprehensive research system that includes detailed data analysis, thorough argumentation, and systematic tracking to assess the short, medium, and long-term industry outlook [2]. - The research approach focuses on achieving full coverage of the industry while staying attuned to market hotspots, allowing for timely and effective research output from an investment perspective [2]. - The cyclical research experience enables the identification of opportunities amid market fluctuations, reinforcing the notion that "there are no eternal lows or highs; everything is cyclical" [2]. Group 3: Professional Background - Zhang Yilu joined Guohai Securities Research Institute in March 2024 as the chief analyst for the building materials and construction industry, bringing a strong academic background with a bachelor's degree in materials science from Beijing Institute of Technology and a master's in chemical engineering from Hong Kong University of Science and Technology [3]. - Zhang has prior experience at Huatai Securities, with a total of 3 years in building materials and construction research, along with 2 years in small-cap and steel and coal industry research [3].

Core Viewpoint - Guangnong Sugar Industry has received approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for its application to issue shares to specific investors, pending final approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [1] Fundraising Details - The company plans to raise a total of up to 26 million yuan, with net proceeds allocated to the "Yun'ao Logistics Sugar Storage Intelligent Distribution Center Phase II Expansion Project" and to supplement working capital and repay bank loans [1][2] - The total investment for the Yun'ao Logistics project is approximately 20.79 million yuan, while the amount for working capital and loan repayment is 6.6 million yuan, totaling 27.39 million yuan [2] Issuance Conditions - The issuance will target no more than 35 specific investors, including securities investment funds, securities companies, trust companies, financial companies, insurance institutional investors, and qualified foreign institutional investors [2] - The final list of investors will be determined after approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the CSRC [2][4] Share Issuance Specifications - The shares will be issued at a price not lower than 80% of the average trading price over the 20 trading days prior to the pricing date [4] - The number of shares issued will not exceed 30% of the total share capital before the issuance, which is estimated to be up to 120,095,945 shares [4] Control and Ownership - Guangxi Rural Investment Group, the controlling shareholder, holds 38.23% of the company’s shares, and the issuance will not change the control structure, as the ownership percentage will decrease to 29.41% post-issuance [4] - The actual controller of the company remains the Guangxi Autonomous Region State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [4] Underwriting Information - The lead underwriter for this issuance is Guohai Securities Co., Ltd., with representatives Jiang Yaping and Li Jinhai [5]

Core Viewpoint - The results of the inaugural "Top Leaders in Listed Securities Firms" ranking by Sina Finance have been released, with Du Wanzhong, the president of Guohai Securities, ranking 16th among growth and development securities firms [1] Group 1: Evaluation Criteria - The ranking aims to recognize the outstanding contributions and far-reaching influence of leaders in various securities firms, based on a comprehensive evaluation system that includes industry data, peer evaluations, and online presence [1] - The evaluation model consists of multiple dimensions, including foresight, control, innovation, compliance, and influence, with specific weightings assigned to each category [5][9] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Guohai Securities achieved a revenue growth rate of 0.69% and a net profit growth rate of 31.02%, with a return on assets (ROA) of 0.79% and a return on equity (ROE) of 1.94% [6] - The total asset growth rate was -14.55%, while net asset growth was 0.69% [6] - The brokerage business profit margin was 68.41%, ranking 36th among listed securities firms, while the investment banking business profit margin was 95.56%, ranking 5th [6] Group 3: Rankings and Scores - Guohai Securities scored 67.79 in industry data evaluation, ranking 37th among 50 listed securities firms and 17th among 28 participating industry-specific firms [14] - The peer evaluation score was 82.16, placing Guohai Securities 25th among 50 listed firms and 6th among 28 industry-specific firms [14] - The online presence evaluation received a score of 73.73, ranking 39th among 50 listed firms and 21st among 28 industry-specific firms [14]

Core Viewpoint - Guoquan Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Guoquan (02517.HK) following the company's recent profit forecast, highlighting its focus on membership system development and increased online channel revenue, which strengthens the integration of online and offline retail systems [1] Group 1 - The company has reported a positive profit outlook due to its emphasis on building a membership system [1] - Online channel revenue has increased, creating a strong linkage with offline stores [1] - The company is establishing a comprehensive online and offline integrated instant retail system, enhancing its competitive edge in the "home dining" sector [1] Group 2 - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 7.183 billion, 8.036 billion, and 9.080 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 340 million, 396 million, and 463 million yuan for the same years [1] - The company’s growth is supported by its extensive store network and supply chain advantages [1]

卫星化学：上半年净利润预增31.32%-53.20% 7月15日晚，卫星化学（002648）发布2025年半年度业绩预告，公司预计上半年实现归属于上市公司股 东的净利润27亿元至31.5亿元，同比增长31.32%-53.20%；预计实现扣除非经常性损益后的净利润28.52 亿元至33.02亿元，同比增长27.65%-47.79%。 资料显示，卫星化学成立于2005年8月，主营业务是(聚)丙烯、丙烯酸及酯、乙二醇、环氧乙烷、环氧 丙烷和聚乙烯等产品的生产和销售。 所属行业：基础化工–化学原料–其他化学原料 中国核建：累计新签合同871.49亿元 7月15日晚，中国核建（601611）发布公告称，截至2025年6月，公司累计实现新签合同871.49亿元，累 计实现营业收入531.84亿元。 资料显示，中国核建成立于2010年12月，主营业务是核电工程建设及工业与民用工程建设。 所属行业：建筑装饰–基础建设–基建市政工程 资料显示，怡球资源成立于2001年3月，主营业务是利用所回收的各种废旧铝资源，进行分选、加工、 熔炼等工序，生产出再生铝合金产品。 所属行业：有色金属–工业金属–铝 光库科技：上半年净利润预增60 ...

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Haikou expects a net profit increase of 205%-218% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 15.283 billion to 15.957 billion yuan [1] - The main reason for the profit increase is the merger with Haitong Securities, which has led to significant growth in wealth management and trading revenues [1] - Shenyuan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit increase of 92.66%-111.46% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.1 billion to 4.5 billion yuan [6][7] Group 2 - Southern Airlines expects a net loss of 1.338 billion to 1.756 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to changes in passenger structure and international uncertainties [2] - China Eastern Airlines projects a net loss of 1.2 billion to 1.6 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by intense domestic market competition [3] - Air China anticipates a net loss of 1.7 billion to 2.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, affected by market supply imbalances and international uncertainties [4] Group 3 - HNA Group expects to turn a profit in the first half of 2025, with a projected net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan, attributed to improved market conditions and operational adjustments [5] - CICC forecasts a net profit increase of 55%-78% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 3.453 billion to 3.966 billion yuan [8] - CITIC Securities anticipates a net profit increase of 55%-60% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 4.43 billion to 4.573 billion yuan [9] Group 4 - Shandong Gold expects a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing an increase of 84.3%-120.5% [10] - Poly Developments anticipates a net profit decrease of 63.15% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.735 billion yuan [11] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 51%-68% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan [13] Group 5 - Longi Green Energy expects a net loss of 2.4 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, but with a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year [14] - Tongwei Co. anticipates a net loss of 4.9 billion to 5.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, influenced by ongoing industry challenges [15] - Ganfeng Lithium expects a net loss of 300 million to 550 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an improvement from the previous year's loss [16] Group 6 - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net loss of approximately 680 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased competition in the international market [21] - Yonghui Supermarket anticipates a net loss of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to ongoing transformation challenges [22] - ST Huatuo expects a net profit increase of 107.2%-159% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.4 billion to 3 billion yuan [23] Group 7 - New Hope anticipates a net profit of 680 million to 780 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [25] - Linyi Intelligent Manufacturing expects a net profit increase of 32%-67% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 900 million to 1.14 billion yuan [27] - Pengding Holdings expects a net profit increase of 52.79%-60.62% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.198 billion to 1.26 billion yuan [29] Group 8 - Hengtong Electronics expects a net profit increase of 740.95% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of approximately 251 million yuan [30] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 50%-56% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 1.4 billion to 1.45 billion yuan [31] - Founder Securities expects a net profit increase of 70%-80% for the first half of 2025, with a projected profit of 2.299 billion to 2.43 billion yuan [33]

Core Viewpoint - The performance forecasts for the first half of 2025 from multiple listed securities firms indicate a significant increase in net profits, with many firms reporting growth rates exceeding 100% year-on-year, driven by improved market conditions and enhanced wealth management and investment returns [1][3][7]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - A total of 27 listed securities firms or their subsidiaries released mid-year forecasts, with 14 firms expecting net profit growth exceeding 100% [1]. - Notable firms include Huaxi Securities, expecting a net profit of 445 million to 575 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 1,025.19% to 1,353.90% [2]. - Guolian Minsheng is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.129 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 1,183.00% [2]. Group 2: Drivers of Growth - The increase in profits is attributed to a rise in capital market activity, leading to substantial growth in wealth management and securities investment returns [3]. - Guotai Junan reported a projected net profit of 1.092 billion to 1.137 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 140% to 150% due to enhanced wealth management and self-investment performance [3]. - Huayin Securities noted a significant increase in wealth management revenue and fair value changes in equity investments, forecasting a net profit of 270 million to 350 million yuan, up 118.98% to 183.86% [3]. Group 3: Sector Outlook - The overall operating environment for the securities industry is improving, with expectations for continued strong growth in mid-year performance [7][8]. - Analysts suggest that the securities sector is entering a new phase of high-quality development, with a focus on differentiated competition and refined management practices [8]. - Recommendations include monitoring mergers and acquisitions, wealth management transformations, and innovative business licenses as key investment themes [8][9].

Major Events - Zhonghua Equipment plans to acquire 100% equity of Yiyang Rubber and Plastic Machinery Group and Beihua Machinery, with stock suspension starting July 15, 2025 [3] - Suzhou Planning intends to purchase 100% equity of Dongjin Aerospace through a combination of cash and stock issuance, with stock resuming trading on July 15, 2025 [4] - Aerospace Development's independent director was detained for personal reasons unrelated to the company's operations, which remain stable [5][6] - *ST Tianmao issued a risk warning regarding potential delisting due to failure to disclose annual reports in time [7] - ST Shuntian will suspend trading for one day on July 15, 2025, and will remove other risk warnings, changing its stock name to Jiangsu Shuntian [8] - Xinghui Entertainment plans to transfer 99.66% equity of Espanyol Football Club for €130 million, focusing on core business areas [9] Performance Reports - China Salt Chemical reported a 5.76% decrease in revenue to ¥5.998 billion and an 88.04% drop in net profit to ¥52.71 million for the first half of 2025 [10] - Jiu Gui Jiu expects a net profit of ¥8 million to ¥12 million, down 90.08% to 93.39% year-on-year, with revenue around ¥560 million, a 43% decline [11] - Suli Co. anticipates a net profit of ¥72 million to ¥86 million, up 1008.39% to 1223.91% year-on-year, driven by increased sales and prices [12] - Te Yi Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of ¥34 million to ¥38 million, a growth of 1164.22% to 1312.95% year-on-year, due to strong sales of its core product [13] - Huahong Technology forecasts a net profit of ¥70 million to ¥85 million, up 3047.48% to 3721.94% year-on-year, benefiting from improved market conditions [14] - Qianfang Technology expects a net profit of ¥150 million to ¥200 million, an increase of 1125.99% to 1534.65% year-on-year, influenced by fair value changes of equity instruments [15] - Huaxia Airlines anticipates a net profit of ¥220 million to ¥290 million, up 741.26% to 1008.93% year-on-year, due to improved flight demand [16] - Xianfeng Holdings expects a net profit of ¥34 million to ¥42 million, a growth of 524.58% to 671.53% year-on-year, mainly from non-recurring gains [17] - Xinyi Sheng expects a net profit of ¥370 million to ¥420 million, up 327.68% to 385.47% year-on-year, driven by AI-related investments [18] - Haili Co. anticipates a net profit of ¥30.5 million to ¥36 million, a growth of 625.83% to 756.71% year-on-year, due to improved sales [19] - Hengsheng Electronics expects a net profit of approximately ¥251 million, an increase of about 740.95% year-on-year, due to significant non-recurring gains [20] - Tianqi Lithium expects a net profit of ¥0 to ¥155 million, recovering from a loss of ¥5.206 billion in the previous year [21] - Shui Jing Fang forecasts revenue of ¥1.498 billion, down 12.84%, and a net profit of ¥105 million, down 56.52% [22] - CICC expects a net profit of ¥3.453 billion to ¥3.966 billion, an increase of 55% to 78% year-on-year [23] - Shenwan Hongyuan anticipates a net profit of ¥4.1 billion to ¥4.5 billion, a growth of 92.66% to 111.46% year-on-year [24] - Xinda Securities expects a net profit of ¥921 million to ¥1.044 billion, an increase of 50% to 70% year-on-year [25] - Shanxi Securities anticipates a net profit of ¥504 million to ¥544 million, a growth of 58.17% to 70.72% year-on-year [26] - Guohai Securities expects a net profit of ¥370 million, a growth of 159.26% year-on-year [27] - Guocheng Mining anticipates a net profit of ¥493 million to ¥548 million, a growth of 1046.75% to 1174.69% year-on-year [28] - China Rare Earth expects a net profit of ¥136 million to ¥176 million, recovering from a loss of ¥244 million [29] - Perfect World anticipates a net profit of ¥480 million to ¥520 million, recovering from a loss of ¥177 million [30] - Fangda Carbon expects a net profit of ¥50 million to ¥60 million, down 65.13% to 70.93% year-on-year [31] - Huanghe Xuanfeng expects a net loss of ¥285 million [32] - JA Solar anticipates a net loss of ¥2.5 billion to ¥3 billion, worsening from a loss of ¥874 million [33] - Shanxi Black Cat expects a net loss of ¥490 million to ¥540 million [34] - Ganfeng Lithium anticipates a net loss of ¥300 million to ¥550 million, improving from a loss of ¥760 million [35] - Xinda Real Estate expects a net loss of ¥3.5 billion to ¥3.9 billion [36] - Greenland Holdings anticipates a net loss of ¥3 billion to ¥3.5 billion [37] - Air China expects a net loss of ¥1.7 billion to ¥2.2 billion [39] - OFILM expects a net loss of ¥85 million to ¥115 million [40] - Vanke A expects a net loss of ¥10 billion to ¥12 billion [41] Major Contracts - Zhongchen Co. won a project from Southern Power Grid worth ¥379 million, accounting for 12.26% of its 2024 audited revenue [42] - Gaode Infrared signed a procurement agreement worth ¥879 million, representing 32.84% of its 2024 audited revenue [43]

[Current Period Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E8%AE%A1%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company forecasts a substantial year-on-year increase in its H1 2025 net profit and basic earnings per share Key Financial Performance Indicators | Item | Jan-Jun 2025 (CNY Millions) | Jan-Jun 2024 (CNY Millions) | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders | 369.79 | 142.63 | 159.26% Increase | | Net Profit After Non-Recurring Items | 368.83 | 142.74 | 158.40% Increase | | Basic Earnings Per Share | 0.06 CNY/share | 0.02 CNY/share | - | - The performance forecast is categorized as **"year-on-year increase"**[3](index=3&type=chunk) [Explanation of Performance Changes](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%8F%98%E5%8A%A8%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) Performance growth is primarily driven by a stable domestic economy, strong secondary market, and increased revenue from core wealth and investment management businesses - Favorable macroeconomic environment: Domestic economy operated steadily in H1 2025, with major stock indices in the secondary market **fluctuating upwards**[3](index=3&type=chunk)[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Core business revenue growth: During the reporting period, the company's wealth management and investment management businesses achieved **year-on-year revenue growth**[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Communication with Accounting Firm](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8E%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A1%E5%B8%88%E4%BA%8B%E5%8A%A1%E6%89%80%E6%B2%9F%E9%80%9A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The financial data in this performance forecast has not been audited by an accounting firm - The data in this performance forecast has **not been audited by an accounting firm**[2](index=2&type=chunk) [Risk Warning](index=2&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company cautions investors that this performance forecast is a preliminary estimate, with final accurate financial data subject to the official 2025 semi-annual report - This performance forecast is a **preliminary estimate**, and the specific accurate financial data will be subject to the company's officially disclosed **2025 semi-annual report**[5](index=5&type=chunk)

Key Points - The company, Guohai Securities, will pay the principal and interest of its second phase of corporate bonds on July 15, 2025 [1][2] - The bond, known as "22 Guohai 02," has a coupon rate of 3.65% and will pay interest annually [1][2] - The interest payment for each bondholder will be RMB 1,029.20 after tax deductions for individual and securities investment fund holders [1][2] - The bond's record date for interest payment is set for July 14, 2025, and the bond will be delisted on the same day after market close [1][2] - The company will entrust China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited Shenzhen Branch to handle the payment of principal and interest [1][2] - Individual bondholders are subject to a 20% personal income tax on the interest earned from the bonds [2][3] - Foreign institutional investors are exempt from corporate income tax and value-added tax on bond interest income until December 31, 2025 [3]