Group 1 - The core index of the aerospace and military industry, the China Securities Aerospace and Military Integration Index, experienced a slight decline of 0.06%, closing at 2045.92 points with a trading volume of 13.86 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 5.31%, by 7.83% over the last three months, and by 6.40% year-to-date [1] - The index includes leading companies related to the aerospace and military integration strategy, covering sectors such as aircraft, power and control systems, early warning systems, weapon systems, C4ISR systems, military digitalization, and aerospace materials [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (9.35%), Aero Engine Corporation of China (7.0%), AVIC Optoelectronics (6.99%), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (5.36%), AVIC Aircraft (4.07%), Aerospace Electronics (3.8%), Haige Communications (3.66%), Ruichuang Micro-Nano (3.48%), AVIC Chengfei (3.47%), and Western Superconducting (3.24%) [1] - The index's holdings are primarily from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (56.09%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (43.91%) [2] - The industrial sector constitutes 72.33% of the index holdings, followed by materials (13.27%), information technology (8.07%), and communication services (6.33%) [2] Group 3 - Public funds tracking the aerospace and military industry include Penghua China Securities Aerospace and Military Integration C and Penghua China Securities Aerospace and Military Integration A [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The military industry is expected to perform well in the long term due to increasing great power competition and rising defense expenditures [3][9][10] - A grand military parade is scheduled for September 3, 2025, showcasing domestic military equipment and advancements [8][20] - Japan is set to deploy F-35B stealth fighters as early as August, indicating a shift in regional military dynamics [8][10] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Key investment areas include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Aerospace South Lake, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry [4] 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Guobang Electronics, Ruichuang Micro-Nano [4] 3. Subsystems: AVIC Avionics, North Navigation [4] 4. Materials and Processing: Feilihua, Guangwei Composite, Huaqin Technology, Bolite, Western Materials, Aviation Materials [4] - Notable stocks include: - Assembly: Aerospace Rainbow, AVIC Chengfei [4] - Components: Unisoc, Aerospace Electric, Hongyuan Electronics, Zhenhua Technology, Torch Electronics [4] - Subsystems: Aero Engine Corporation, Jianghang Equipment [4] - Materials and Processing: AVIC Heavy Machinery, AVIC High-Tech, Western Superconducting, Aerospace Technology [4] Market Review - The military sector saw a 7.46% increase last week, outperforming the market by 5.54 percentage points [12][13] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.91%, while the ChiNext Index increased by 5.69% [12][13] - The China Securities National Security Index performed the best, rising by 8.31% [16] Major News in the Military Industry - The Shanghai Cooperation Organization defense ministers' meeting was held in Qingdao, emphasizing regional security cooperation [20] - The upcoming military parade will feature all domestically produced active combat equipment, highlighting advancements in military capabilities [21][23] - The focus of the parade will be on commemorating the victory in the Anti-Japanese War and showcasing the modernization of the military [24][25]

Core Viewpoint - The high-end equipment sector is experiencing mixed performance, with specific stocks showing significant gains while others decline, indicating a volatile market environment [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 3, 2025, the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index decreased by 0.07%, with stocks like Jiuziyang rising by 18.64% and China Haifang leading the decline [1]. - The High-End Equipment ETF (159638) saw a turnover of 2.07% during the trading session, with a total transaction value of 24.12 million yuan [3]. - Over the past week, the average daily transaction value of the High-End Equipment ETF was 83.12 million yuan, with the latest fund size reaching 1.158 billion yuan [3]. Group 2: Investment Trends - Leveraged funds are increasingly investing in the high-end equipment sector, with the latest margin buying amounting to 2.36 million yuan and a margin balance of 20.91 million yuan [3]. - The High-End Equipment ETF has shown a net value increase of 27.22% over the past year, with the highest single-month return recorded at 19.30% [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The military industry is expected to experience three growth curves: domestic demand focusing on low-cost precision-guided munitions, unmanned systems, and information technology; military trade demand potentially surging due to regional conflicts; and broader military demand in areas like large aircraft, low-altitude economy, commercial aerospace, and deep-sea technology [3][4]. - China's defense spending is projected to grow significantly, likely outpacing GDP growth, with 2025 marking a turning point for the industry as it emerges from a period of stagnation [4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index account for 45.22% of the index, indicating concentrated investment in key players like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft and AVIC Engine [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the defense and military industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The grand military parade on September 3 will showcase new generation equipment and new combat forces, emphasizing the importance of unmanned intelligent systems, underwater operations, electronic warfare, and hypersonic technologies [9][22] - The appointment of Zhang Yujin as the new chairman of China Aviation Engine Group is expected to accelerate procurement and capital operations within the industry, indicating a turning point for the aviation engine sector [12][23] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The defense and military industry consists of 143 listed companies with a total market value of 26,967.47 billion and a circulating market value of 22,823.81 billion [3] Market Performance - The defense and military index rose by 6.90%, outperforming other major indices, with a current PE(TTM) of 68.4 times [8][42][48] Key Developments - The establishment of a joint laboratory for key vacuum measurement devices in nuclear fusion aims to promote independent innovation in this field [14][31] - The revision of the civil aviation law focuses on the development of the low-altitude economy and passenger rights [15][32] - The successful test of the second-stage propulsion system of the LQ-2 liquid launch vehicle marks a significant step towards enhancing China's capabilities in commercial space [17][37] Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include: - Military electronics: Zhenhua Technology, Hongyuan Electronics, Huada Electronics [26] - Missile industry chain: Tianqin Equipment, Zhimin Technology [26] - Domestic engines: Aero Engine Corporation of China, Aero Engine Control [27] - New domains: Satellite internet and low-altitude economy companies [28]

Core Viewpoint - The China Defense Index has shown significant growth, with a 7.56% increase over the past month and a 9.00% increase year-to-date, reflecting strong performance in the defense sector [1][2] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Defense Index rose by 4.79% to 1627.64 points, with a trading volume of 52.298 billion yuan [1] - The index has increased by 5.41% over the past three months [1] - The index was established on June 30, 2011, with a base value of 1000.0 points [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the China Defense Index include: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (7.55%), AVIC Optoelectronics (6.24%), Aero Engine Corporation (6.03%), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (4.62%), AVIC Avionics (3.55%), Haige Communications (3.38%), Aerospace Electronics (3.21%), Ruichuang Micro-Nano (3.03%), AVIC Chengfei (3.01%), and Western Superconducting (2.85%) [1] - The index is composed of companies that are either part of the top ten military industrial groups or have contracts with the military for equipment supply [1] Group 3: Market and Sector Breakdown - The Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 55.77% of the index holdings, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 44.23% [2] - The industrial sector dominates the index with a 74.71% share, followed by materials at 12.49%, information technology at 7.10%, and communication services at 5.70% [2] Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "Outperforming the Market" [2] Core Views - The global geopolitical situation remains tense, with ongoing conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war and rising risks in the Middle East, leading to an intensified arms race and increased focus on military construction [4][38] - The defense industry is expected to see a recovery in demand as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its final year, with long-term growth certainty supported by clear development goals for 2035 and 2050 [4] - The upcoming military parade on September 3 will showcase both traditional main battle equipment and new combat forces, highlighting advancements in military capabilities [3][40] Summary by Sections Market Review - The defense and military index rose by 6.90% last week, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component [12] - The current PE (TTM) for the defense and military sector is 79.92 times, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations: aerospace equipment at 143.52 times, aviation equipment at 69.14 times, ground weapons at 174.36 times, naval equipment at 50.76 times, and military electronics at 102.36 times [20][21] Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Downstream manufacturers: Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft, and AVIC Helicopter [4] 2. Military new technologies: Lianchuang Optoelectronics, Guangqi Technology, and Zhongjian Technology [4] 3. Underwater equipment: Hailanxin, Yaxing Anchor Chain, and Zhongke Haixun [4] 4. Missile industry chain: Feilihua, Guoke Military Industry, and Zhongbing Hongjian [4] 5. Military titanium materials: Western Superconducting [4] 6. Electronic components: Hongyuan Electronics and Aerospace Electronics [4] 7. Military trade direction: Zhongwu Drone [4] Industry Dynamics - Recent policies related to deep-sea technology indicate significant development potential, particularly for specialized equipment like UUVs, supported by top-level planning [3] - The military trade market is expanding, with recent announcements of procurement from Pakistan for Chinese fighter jets, indicating a growing opportunity in military exports [39]

Group 1 - The domestic aircraft carrier concept sector rose by 3.92%, ranking fourth among concept sectors, with 34 stocks increasing in value [1][2] - Notable gainers included Guorui Technology with a 20% limit up, and other stocks like Optoelectronics, Aviation Industry Corporation of China, and Taihao Technology also reached their limit up [1][2] - The sector saw a net inflow of 1.745 billion yuan, with 26 stocks receiving net inflows, and five stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2][3] Group 2 - The top three stocks by net inflow were Taihao Technology (307 million yuan), China Shipbuilding (226 million yuan), and Aviation Industry Corporation of China (222 million yuan) [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for leading stocks were Taihao Technology at 33.60%, North Navigation at 27.00%, and Aviation Industry Corporation of China at 22.61% [3] - Stocks with significant increases included Guorui Technology (20.02%), Optoelectronics (10.03%), and Taihao Technology (10.00%) [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, particularly in light of the current global geopolitical tensions, indicating a favorable investment opportunity in this sector [3][36]. Core Insights - The defense and military sector is expected to benefit from the recovery of demand and the elimination of previous disruptions, with a long-term growth certainty supported by national defense modernization goals set for 2035 and 2050 [5][38]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of drone technology in modern warfare, emphasizing its cost-effectiveness and operational advantages [4][36]. - The low-altitude economy is identified as a burgeoning sector, with significant policy support and commercial opportunities emerging [4][35]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The defense and military index fell by 2.01% last week, ranking 17th among 31 sectors, with a current PE(TTM) of 74.63 times [3][20]. - The sub-sectors show varying PE ratios, with aerospace equipment at 134.59 times and ground weaponry at 148.10 times [20]. Key Recommendations - Focus on companies with strong demand and product depth in the downstream manufacturing sector, such as Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft [5][40]. - Highlight new technology firms in the military sector, including Lianchuang Optoelectronics and Guangqi Technology [5][40]. - Emphasize underwater equipment companies like Hailanxin and Yaxing Anchor Chain [5][41]. - Recommend missile industry chain companies such as Feilihua and Guokexun [5][42]. - Suggest companies involved in military-grade titanium materials and electronic components, including Western Superconducting and Hongyuan Electronics [5][43][44]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, are driving interest in military investments [3][36]. - The low-altitude economy is highlighted as a significant growth area, with various local governments implementing supportive measures to foster development [31][35].

Group 1 - The aerospace industry is experiencing growth due to escalating geopolitical conflicts and increasing global military expenditures, with China's military enterprises gaining technological advantages in drones, fighter jets, and missiles [1] - China's share in the global military trade is currently small, but there is significant potential for growth as Chinese weaponry gains recognition in international markets for its high performance and cost-effectiveness [1] - The aerospace sector is identified as a core beneficiary of these trends, with the potential to expand its market space significantly [1] Group 2 - Aerospace ETFs, specifically the Aerospace ETF (159227) and Aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241), saw increases of 1.46% and 1.45% respectively, with the former having a larger scale of 229 million units and a half-day trading volume of 33.5855 million yuan [2] - The National Aerospace Index (code CN5082) consists of 50 stocks selected based on free float market capitalization, ensuring a representative and flexible index that reflects the overall performance of the aerospace sector [2] - The index is weighted by free float market capitalization, with a maximum weight of 15% for any single stock, balancing the influence of large-cap core companies with opportunities for smaller growth firms [2] Group 3 - Key stocks in the National Aerospace Index include: - Guoke Technology (002625) with a weight of 10.84% - Aero Engine Corporation of China (600893) with a weight of 8.49% - AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation (600760) with a weight of 7.41% - AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (000768) with a weight of 5.72% [3] - Other notable stocks include AVIC Aircraft Company (600372), Aerospace Electronic Equipment (600879), and China Satellite Communications (600118), each contributing to the index's overall performance [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records discuss the military trade (military trade) industry, particularly in the context of the Middle East tensions and the implications for Chinese military trade development [1][2][14]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Middle East Tensions and Military Trade Demand**: The escalation of tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israeli attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities, is expected to drive an increase in military trade demand globally. This situation presents opportunities for high-end military trade development in China [1][2]. - **China's Y-20 Transport Aircraft**: The Y-20 transport aircraft, produced by AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industrial Group, is highlighted for its unique production capacity among global aircraft of its weight class (200 tons). It can be modified for various military roles, which positions it favorably for value reassessment in military trade [1][3][8]. - **Philihua's Position in High-End Quartz Glass Materials**: Philihua is recognized as a leading producer of high-end quartz glass materials, with significant applications in high-speed PCB boards and semiconductor processing. The company is positioned to benefit from domestic substitution trends in the semiconductor industry [1][5][20]. - **Upcoming Surge in Military Industry**: The military industry is anticipated to experience a surge in activity around August and September, based on trends in component order data. This period is expected to see a significant increase in military trade orders [6][22]. - **Investment Recommendations**: It is recommended to overweight stocks related to ammunition consumption, such as Aerospace Electric, Philihua, and New Ray Energy, as well as platform component companies [1][7][22]. Additional Important Insights - **China's Competitive Advantage**: The Y-20's production capacity provides a competitive edge in meeting military trade demands, with military products generally offering higher pricing and profitability compared to domestic equipment sales [8][14]. - **Market Dynamics**: The military trade market in the Middle East has historically accounted for nearly 30% of global military trade orders, with each escalation in regional conflict leading to significant order expansions [14][15]. - **Future Projections for Military Aircraft**: The current ratio of combat aircraft to support aircraft in China is 3:1, which is expected to shift to 1:1 in the future, indicating potential growth in the market for support aircraft [19]. - **Philihua's Expansion Plans**: Philihua is expanding its product matrix in the semiconductor field and is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with plans to reach a production capacity of $3-4 billion by 2030 [20][21]. Conclusion - The records indicate a positive outlook for the military trade industry, particularly for Chinese companies like AVIC Xi'an and Philihua, amidst rising global military demand driven by geopolitical tensions. The anticipated market dynamics and strategic recommendations suggest a favorable investment environment in the military sector.