证券日报网讯12月18日，中航西飞（000768）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司作为我国大中型 军民用飞机研制生产的核心基地，拥有完善的飞机总装、部装及零部件制造能力，具备多机型柔性制造 的成熟经验。公司始终致力于提升生产线的通用性与协同效率，依托现有的技术储备和制造体系，实现 各机型之间的高效协同与产能优化，确保项目顺利推进。 ...

证券日报网讯12月18日，中航西飞（000768）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，"α-烯烃产业 园"及"POE产能"等项目并非公司业务范畴。公司的主营业务为军用大中型飞机、民用飞机零部件的研 发、制造与销售，属于航空制造业。 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月18日，中航西飞在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司是国内大中型运输机研制 生产基地，始终致力于新型号、新产品的研发与制造工作，持续推进航空装备的升级迭代，并努力做好 经营管理，力争创造更好业绩回报广大股东。 ...

格隆汇12月18日｜方正证券研报指出，中航西飞26年关联交易预计达230亿，盈利能力保持稳定。军机 任务如期完成+民机产品按计划交付，公司前三季度业绩保持稳增。公司军机产品实力有目共睹，民机 产品亦获客户高度认可。公司产品在国内外的品牌形象得到进一步塑造提升，为拓展产品市场打下良好 的基础，也打开了军贸出口的空间。此外，公司积极参与国产新型号大飞机研制，是C929飞机后机身 前段、缝翼、副翼、小翼初选供应商，并积极争取C929飞机外翼盒段工作包。鉴于公司在航空装备制 造领域的优势地位，预计公司2025年-2027年的归母净利润分别为11.31、13.21、15.92亿元，对应EPS分 别为0.41、0.47、0.57元，对应PE 分别为59.14、50.63、42.00倍，维持"推荐"评级。 ...

12月18日，中航西飞盘中上涨2.02%，截至13:23，报24.71元/股，成交3.79亿元，换手率0.56%，总市值 687.22亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中航西飞十大流通股东中，中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第三 大流通股东，持股9310.84万股，持股数量较上期不变。富国中证军工龙头ETF（512710）位居第四大 流通股东，持股3144.57万股，相比上期增加472.92万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第五大 流通股东，持股2386.12万股，相比上期减少106.17万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第六大流 通股东，持股1711.27万股，相比上期减少56.44万股。国泰中证军工ETF（512660）位居第八大流通股 东，持股1352.78万股，相比上期减少260.49万股。华夏沪深300ETF（510330）位居第九大流通股东， 持股1277.10万股，相比上期减少17.87万股。易方达国防军工混合A（001475）位居第十大流通股东， 持股1193.90万股，相比上期减少20.58万股。嘉实沪深300ETF（159919）退出十大流通股东之列 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月17日，中航西飞在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司已制定《市值管理办 法》，并制定了多维度提升市值的行动方案，推动内在价值与市场价值协调发展。 ...

证券日报网讯12月17日，中航西飞（000768）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司及子公司始终致 力于新型号、新产品的研发与制造工作，持续推进航空装备的升级迭代。公司全资子公司陕飞负责运8/ 运9系列飞机的研制生产，有关军贸工作将持续按照上级单位统一规划、统一安排推进。 ...

Group 1 - The company announced an expected total of related party transactions for 2026 amounting to 23.035 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 6.13% [1] - The expected amount for sales of products and services is 1.306 billion yuan, down 32.66% from the previous year's estimate of 1.939 billion yuan [1] - The expected procurement of products and services is 21.637 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.78% from the previous year's estimate of 22.488 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 30.244 billion yuan, an increase of 4.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 999.2 million yuan, up 5.15% [2] - The company completed military aircraft tasks on schedule and delivered civil aircraft products as planned, contributing to stable revenue growth [2] - The third quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 10.828 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 27.51% [2] Group 3 - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 6.79%, a decrease of 0.57 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 3.28%, an increase of 0.01 percentage points [3] - The company has improved its expense control, with a decrease in the overall expense ratio to 2.45%, down 1.45 percentage points [3] - Inventory at the end of the period was 20.033 billion yuan, down 11.72% from the beginning of the year [3] Group 4 - The company is focused on developing high-performance military aircraft, including large and medium transport aircraft, bombers, and special-purpose aircraft, enhancing its brand image domestically and internationally [4] - In the civil aviation sector, the company is advancing the C919 project and has established a digital assembly line for wing boxes, increasing production rates [4] - The company is actively participating in international cooperation and production outsourcing for major aircraft manufacturers like Airbus and Boeing [4] Group 5 - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.131 billion yuan, 1.321 billion yuan, and 1.592 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5] - Corresponding EPS for these years are projected to be 0.41 yuan, 0.47 yuan, and 0.57 yuan, with PE ratios of 59.14, 50.63, and 42.00 times [5]

中航西飞 20251216 摘要 运 20 作为新型大吨位运输机，在 C17 停产、伊尔 76 老化背景下具备 竞争优势，不仅满足大国需求，亦有望通过改装（如运油 20、空警 3,000）及参考 C17 销售模式，拓展至中小国家市场，形成规模效应。 中航西飞在中型运输机领域对标 C130，后者全球交付量巨大，军贸订 单充足。运 8、运 9 已实现部分军贸订单，未来新舟系列有望通过数字 化提升军贸份额，表明中航西飞在该领域具备增长潜力。 中航西飞是 C919 和 ARJ21 关键部件的重要供应商，分别承担 50%和 60%的结构工作量。新舟 700 支线客机定位独特，有望在 6,000- 8,000 米区间提供优于高铁的经济性，连接地级市与省级市。 中航西飞管理层年轻化，对外交流频繁，市值管理风格转变，提升市场 透明度，预计将改善市值管理水平，推动公司发展，值得投资者关注。 商业航天领域，SpaceX 筹备 IPO 估值或达 8,000 亿美元，朱雀三号火 箭首发成功，标志着商业航天技术突破，可回收火箭降低发射成本，卫 星制造、总装、火箭制造、地面站等环节值得关注。 Q&A 中航西飞在大中型运输机领域的竞争优势 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of "globalization and AI+" in advancing high-quality development in the defense and military industry, highlighting the need for modernization and efficiency improvements in military systems [5][30][34] - The investment strategy focuses on balancing value and growth, with traditional sectors entering an S-curve evolution phase while new demands and replacements coexist [5][30] Section Summaries 1. Current Development Stage from the S-Curve Perspective - The defense and military industry is in a growth phase, with traditional sectors experiencing rapid development during the previous five-year plan, but not yet entering a slowdown [16][26] - The S-curve model indicates that the industry lifecycle includes multiple product lifecycles, with the current focus on extending product lifespans through innovation [23][24] 2. S-Curve Cycle Expansion - Global military trade remains robust, emphasizing the importance of lifecycle management from equipment to services [9][18] - The report anticipates that the demand for large aircraft and low-altitude economic activities will accelerate due to supportive policies [9][28] 3. S-Curve Cycle Evolution - Supply chain reforms are crucial for reducing costs and complexity, enhancing the focus on maintenance and repair services [9][33] - The integration of unmanned systems and intelligent technologies is expected to drive significant advancements in military capabilities [9][51] 4. New Cycle of the S-Curve: Emerging Industries - The report identifies commercial aerospace, AI, controllable nuclear fusion, quantum information, and deep-sea technology as key areas for future growth [9][57][65] - The acceleration of technological advancements and policy support is expected to unlock new market opportunities in these sectors [9][58] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the evolving S-curve, particularly those involved in supply chain reform, maintenance, and unmanned systems [5][30] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include 航发动力, 中航高科, and 国睿科技, among others, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [6][9]