Core Insights - The chicken industry is experiencing significant performance divergence, with 10 out of 17 companies forecasting profit declines, 3 expecting profit growth, and 3 shifting from profit to loss [2][11]. Performance Summary - **Companies with Expected Profit Decline**: - Wen's Foodstuffs: Expected net profit of 20-22 billion yuan, down 40.73%-46.12% [3][12] - Lihua Food: Expected net profit of 5.5-6 billion yuan, down 60.55%-63.84% [3] - Yisheng Livestock: Expected net profit of 1.5-1.9 billion yuan, down 70.23%-62.29% [3] - Jinke Smart Agriculture: Expected net profit of 1.25-1.65 billion yuan, down 76.88%-82.49% [3] - Other companies also reported declines, including Hunan Jiajia and Juxing Agriculture [4]. - **Companies with Expected Profit Growth**: - Shennong Development: Expected net profit of 13.7-14.3 billion yuan, up 89.16%-97.44% [5][15] - Chunxue Food: Expected net profit of 3.6-4.3 billion yuan, up 340.90%-426.63% [5][15] - Xiaoming Co.: Expected net profit of 0.71-0.92 billion yuan, up 58.43%-105.30% [3]. - **Companies Shifting from Profit to Loss**: - Huayun Agriculture: Expected loss of 0.45-0.65 billion yuan [4] - Tianma Technology: Expected loss of 1.4-1.8 billion yuan [4] - New Hope: Expected loss of 15-18 billion yuan, down 480.07%-416.72% [6][15]. Industry Trends - The chicken industry is undergoing a cyclical adjustment, with significant price fluctuations impacting profitability [7][16]. - Companies like Chunxue Food are achieving growth through market expansion and product diversification, contrasting with those relying on traditional farming methods [8][16]. - Cost control is becoming a critical factor for profitability, as seen in Wen's Foodstuffs maintaining a leading position despite a decline in growth [8][16]. Future Outlook - The white feather chicken market is experiencing a price increase, with expectations for sustained high demand in 2026 [18]. - The price of parent breeding chickens is rising, indicating a positive outlook for the chicken industry in 2026, contingent on pork price recovery [18].

债券代码：127049 债券简称：希望转2 证券代码：000876 证券简称：新希望 公告编号：2026-12 新希望六和股份有限公司 公司于近日收到新希望集团的通知，新希望集团已完成提前购回 部分"23希望E1"的工作。 新希望集团于2025年12月9日通过深圳证券交易所发布了关于 "23希望E1"的购回实施公告，本次拟购回5,000,000张"23希望E1" 债券，购回申报期为2025年12月12日至2025年12月16日（仅限交易 日）。购回申报期结束以后，本次债券购回申报数量为5,326,000张， 投资者购回申报总金额高于发行人拟购回资金总额，根据《新希望集 团有限公司关于"23希望E1"2025年第七次购回基本方案提示性公告》 相关约定，撤销购回债券数量326,487张，有效购回申报数量为 关于控股股东完成非公开发行2023年可交换公司债券 （第一期）部分购回的公告 本公司控股股东新希望集团有限公司保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、 准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容与信息披露义务人提供的信 息一致。 新希望六和股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Agricultural and Animal Husbandry ETF managed by Jianxin Fund, which opened at 0.904 yuan and experienced a slight decline of 0.33% [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Cangge Mining, which rose by 3.34%, and Yilake Co., which increased by 2.82%, while other stocks like Muyuan Foods and New Hope saw minor declines [1] - Since its inception on July 21, 2022, the ETF has reported a return of -9.46%, with a recent one-month return of 3.27% [1] Group 2 - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Agricultural and Animal Husbandry Theme Index return [1] - The fund manager is Jianxin Fund Management Co., Ltd., and the fund manager is Gong Jiajia [1]

Performance Highlights - New Yi Sheng (300502.SZ) expects net profit between 9.4 billion and 9.9 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% due to rising demand for high-speed optical modules driven by global computing power investments[4] - Han's Chip (688256.SH) anticipates net profit between 1.85 billion and 2.15 billion CNY, turning from a loss of 450 million CNY last year, benefiting from the growing demand for AI computing power[5] - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) projects net profit between 9.8 billion and 11.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 89.50% to 128.17%, driven by strong customer investment in computing infrastructure[6] - Runze Technology (300442.SZ) expects net profit between 5 billion and 5.3 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, largely due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance[10] Underperformance Highlights - Great Wall Motors (601633.SH) forecasts net profit of 9.912 billion CNY, a year-on-year decline of 21.71% due to increased marketing expenses and competitive pressures[36] - GAC Group (601238.SH) expects a net loss between 8 billion and 9 billion CNY, turning from a profit of 824 million CNY last year, impacted by fierce competition and increased asset impairment provisions[39] - Xiexin Integrated (002506.SZ) anticipates a net loss between 890 million and 1.29 billion CNY, shifting from a profit of 68 million CNY last year due to structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry[41] - Baile Tianheng (688506.SH) projects a net loss of around 1.1 billion CNY, down from a profit of 3.708 billion CNY last year, primarily due to increased R&D expenses[42] Industry Trends - Technology-driven sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals are leading growth, with companies like New Yi Sheng and Han's Chip benefiting from strong demand and technological advancements[69] - Cost control is becoming a critical competitive advantage, particularly in the energy and manufacturing sectors, as seen with companies like Datang Power (601991.SH) benefiting from lower coal prices[70] - Traditional cyclical industries such as real estate and agriculture are facing significant downward pressure, with companies like Vanke (000002.SZ) and Tianbang Foods (002124.SZ) experiencing substantial losses due to market adjustments[72]

新华社石家庄2月2日电（记者岳文婷、董笑坤）时值腊月，本该是北方农村"冬闲"的时节，河北省新河县西流乡南马庄村的村民们却格外忙碌。 在众乐种植专业合作社，几十座集装箱式智慧方舱整齐排列，金耳、绣球菌等原产自南方的珍稀食用菌在此"安家落户"。 记者走进一间智慧方舱，扑面而来的是一股湿润又清香的空气，只见舱门两侧的铁架上摆满了菌棒。 "这些菌子，就喜欢潮湿的环境。咱北方冬天干冷，它们可受不了。"合作社负责人崔佳介绍，智慧方舱能实现对食用菌生长温度、湿度、氧气、 光照等各项生长条件的精密监测与数字化管理，创造最佳生长环境，实现全年化、全封闭、工厂化生产。只需要通过手机，技术人员就能调节每 座方舱的种植数据。 "过去搞这么大规模种植，我们想都不敢想。"崔佳感慨，技术突破是产业发展的关键。合作社与科研机构紧密合作，攻克了菌种培育、环境模拟 等多项核心技术，提升了食用菌的产量和品质。现在，他们可以年产金耳300余吨、绣球菌900余吨，年销售额合计可达数千万元。 村民搬运采收后等待打包的绣球菌。新华社发（李世强 摄） 在不远处的荆家庄乡西李家庄村，新扩建的智慧农业示范园即将投入使用。村干部宋振全告诉记者，用智慧方舱种植食用 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance forecast of various A-share listed companies, indicating a significant divergence in earnings growth across different sectors, driven by technological advancements, cost control, and industry cycles [4][62]. Group 1: Companies with Strong Earnings Growth - **New Yisheng (300502.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86%, driven by rising demand for high-speed optical modules due to global computing power investments [6]. - **Han's Laser (688256.SH)**: Expected net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion, turning from a loss of 0.452 billion in the previous year, benefiting from the increasing demand for AI computing power [8]. - **Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 89.50% to 128.17%, supported by strong investment in computing infrastructure [10]. - **Runze Technology (300442.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 5 billion to 5.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, primarily due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance [12]. - **CITIC Securities (601995.SH)**: Expected net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85%, driven by steady growth in core business segments [15]. Group 2: Companies with Earnings Below Expectations - **Great Wall Motors (601633.SH)**: Expected net profit of 9.912 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 21.71%, impacted by increased marketing expenses and intense competition [34]. - **GAC Group (601238.SH)**: Expected net profit of -8 billion to -9 billion, turning from a profit of 0.824 billion in the previous year, due to fierce competition and adjustments in product structure [36]. - **GCL-Poly Energy (002506.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -0.89 billion to -1.29 billion, turning from a profit of 0.068 billion, affected by structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry [38]. - **Boli Tianheng (688506.SH)**: Expected net profit of -1.1 billion, turning from a profit of 3.708 billion, due to increased R&D expenses [39]. - **Daiyue City (000031.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -2.7 billion to -2.1 billion, continuing losses from the previous year, influenced by asset impairment provisions [42]. Group 3: Industry Trends - **Technological Breakthroughs**: Industries driven by technology, such as AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, are showing strong growth, with companies like New Yisheng and Rongchang Bio leading the way [62][63]. - **Cost Control**: The energy and manufacturing sectors are experiencing a clear divide, with companies like Datang Power benefiting from lower coal prices and effective cost management [64]. - **Downward Pressure from Industry Cycles**: The real estate, agriculture, and photovoltaic sectors are under significant pressure, with companies like Vanke and Tianbang Food facing substantial earnings declines [65][66].

证券之星消息，2月2日养殖业板块较上一交易日下跌2.27%，天邦食品领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。养殖业板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002124 | 天邦食品 | 2.56 | -6.91% | 108.78万 | 2.83亿 | | 002321 | 华英农业 | 2.33 | -6.80% | 76.40万 | 1.82亿 | | 000735 | 罗牛山 | 7.98 | -5.56% | 79.74万 | 6.45亿 | | 002157 | 正邦科技 | 3.13 | -5.15% | 238.43万 | 7.60亿 | | 300761 | 立华股份 | 19.27 | -4.18% | 10.37万 | 2.03亿 | | 000876 | 新希望 | 8.67 | -4.09% | 65.84万 | 5.73亿 | | 002982 | 湘佳股份 | 14.35 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall weakness of hog prices is difficult to reverse due to continuous release of production capacity pressure [1] - In February 2026, the market generally expects a significant decline in spot hog prices after the Spring Festival, with the post - holiday low possibly falling below 11.5 yuan/kg [5] - In trading, it is recommended to be cautious when short - selling. After the Spring Festival, wait for the spot low to buy contracts 05 and 07 at low prices, or hold long futures positions and sell deep out - of - the - money call options [5] - Pay attention to the seasonal low of spot prices after the Spring Festival and the culling of breeding sows [95] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 2026 January Hog Spot and Futures Price Review - In January 2026, the overall commodity market strengthened, and the agricultural product index rebounded. However, the hog index hit a new low and continued to fluctuate at a low level [9][10] - The hog spot price rebounded briefly in January and then fell back to a historical low. The price of piglets rebounded significantly, and the feed price was relatively strong [14][17][20] - Terminal consumption did not improve significantly, the average price of白条 meat fluctuated at a low level for a long time, and the pressure of poultry prices on hog prices decreased [23][29] - The hog price showed a slight upward trend before the Spring Festival this year. Historically, the average monthly increase in January was - 2.3%, and the probability of an increase was 46% [32] Hog Production Capacity and Slaughter Situation - The inventory of breeding sows is currently in the green reasonable range, with a limited overall decline compared to 2024 [34][35] - The capital expenditure of group enterprises has decreased significantly compared to previous years, and the current culling of breeding sows is relatively moderate [36][38] - The production efficiency of single sows has increased, and the gap between leading enterprises is gradually narrowing [40] Listed Hog Enterprises - In 2025, the slaughter volume of leading group companies increased significantly year - on - year. However, the profitability of group enterprises was highly differentiated, and most still suffered losses [45][46] - In 2025, the overall breeding cost of group enterprises decreased, but the differences were large, and the asset - liability ratio of listed companies was at a historically high level [49][50] Near - term Supply and Demand Fundamentals - In January, the sentiment of passive hog retention was still high, the weight reduction speed of the industry was slow, and the slaughter volume was at a historically low level [54][57][59] - The import volume of pork and offal declined from a high level, and the overall frozen product inventory was in the destocking stage in January [61][64] - In January, self - breeding and self - raising turned profitable, while the slaughter of purchased piglets continued to be in a loss state [67][68] Hog Futures Price - The hog futures price rebounded following the spot price and then fell back. The near - month futures price has become at a discount to the spot price [69] - The hog index failed to rebound from a historical low, and the trading volume was at a historically high level. The ratio of hog to feed on the futures market was close to a historical low [70][73] - Contracts 2603 and 2605 are below the breeding cost, and there is an expectation of a post - holiday off - season with a discount to the spot price. The price of peak - season contracts is slightly higher than the breeding cost but has a high premium to the current spot price [75][78] - The basis is slightly stronger than in the same period of previous years. Pay attention to the post - Spring Festival spot price trend. There may still be reverse arbitrage opportunities between months, and the discount before the futures delivery month is still high [81][84][87] - The volatility of the hog 2605 contract is at a low level [93]

近日，新希望发布投资者关系活动记录表。当中披露，谈及公司定增和闲置产能处置最新进展，新希望 表示，在定增方面，公司正积极配合交易所推进定增审核，2026年1月上旬收到了通知，同意下修募集 资金规模至33.38亿。公司已经完成了相关的董事会审议、信息披露程序，并且更新了申报材料。目前 在等待交易所的进一步通知。在闲置产能处置方面，首先公司闲置场线的情况以及对成本的影响，在 2025年总体是稳定的。公司对此的主要措施，首先还是通过提高自育肥比例来盘活部分育肥场，这个比 例在2025年初还是32%，到年底就提升到接近40%了。此外，公司也积极与产业合作方商谈合作，既有 通过出租方式零散合作的一些场，也有在谈的较大的资产合作，因为涉及到的交易安排比较复杂，商谈 过程也会比较长，在当前最新的形势下肯定会有一些新的挑战，等到有确定性结果达到相应的披露要求 时会及时披露。 （企业公告） 关于海外饲料的中长期发展规划，新希望称，公司希望到2030年前后，海外饲料业务能达到1000万吨目 标。就短期来看，2026年海外在2025年基础上要实现破百万吨的增长。在区域市场上，还是聚焦现有14 个国家提高市占率，尤其是越南、印尼、埃 ...

新希望 20260130 摘要 新希望六和 2025 年因资产清理和减值计提导致亏损，其中 60%以上为 一次性影响，主要为提前处置低效种猪以提升种猪质量，为 2027 年战 略做准备。 饲料业务在 2025 年达到历史最高销量，实现量利双增，国内外市场均 有改善，海外市场保持高速增长，经营性现金流稳定在 92 亿元左右， 吨完全费用同比降低 30 元。 生猪养殖通过健康管理（降低非洲猪瘟发病率，净化伪狂犬病）、生产 管理（提高母猪窝均断奶数，提高育肥效率）和育种改良（引进国外优 质精液）等措施降低成本，运营成本降至 12.2 元/公斤。 2026 年，新希望六和将坚持现有战略，饲料业务上规模、调结构、提 效率，提高单场满负荷率，加强预混料外部市场开发，海外市场提升产 能利用率，并加强海外人才储备。 2026 年生猪养殖目标是每公斤成本降低 1-1.5 元，饲料完全费用再降 20 元，通过种质资源优化、提高养殖效率、减少过程损耗等多方面实现 综合成本下降。 Q&A 请介绍一下新希望六和在 2025 年的业绩表现及主要原因。 新希望六和在 2025 年预计亏损 15 至 18 亿元，同比转亏。主要原因是第四季 ...