证券日报网1月21日讯，思源电气（002028）在接受调研者提问时表示，公司海外业务结算币种(外币) 主要涉及美元、欧元、英镑等多种货币。公司为防范汇率波动风险，开展了外汇套期保值交易业务。该 业务的目的是以正常生产经营业务为基础，以锁定项目成本、降低汇率风险为目的，不进行任何单纯以 投机为目的的外汇交易。随着未来公司海外业务的持续发展，汇率波动将对公司的经营业绩产生一定的 影响。 ...

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——重磅数据公布：回升！专访徐洪才："内卷式竞争"得到一定缓解，下一 步"补收入"可形成良性循环 （记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，思源电气发布公告称，2026年1月19日15:00-16:00，思源电气接受招商证券等投资者调 研，公司董事会秘书兼财务总监杨哲嵘先生参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Siyuan Electric Co., Ltd., held a targeted investor research activity on January 19, 2026, to engage with 27 institutional investors, discussing key operational and financial issues [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported an increase in net profit margin in the fourth quarter, attributed to revenue growth and stable expense management, with expenses growing at a slower rate than revenue [4]. - The company acknowledged that the gross profit margin for its energy storage business is lower compared to other products and emphasized the need to enhance product competitiveness through technology improvements and cost control [5]. Group 2: Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company explained that the operating cash flow is expected to decline in 2025 due to increased inventory levels resulting from business expansion and rapid growth in certain areas, indicating a temporary pressure on cash flow management [6]. - The company highlighted a notable increase in the bidding volume for projects with the State Grid in 2025, expressing gratitude for customer trust and a commitment to fulfilling production and delivery requirements [6]. Group 3: Share Buyback and Market Strategy - Regarding share buyback plans, the company stated that the current stock price exceeds the buyback price limit, and future buybacks will be executed based on market conditions and regulatory guidelines [7]. - The company reported growth in its medium and low-voltage product lines and is actively launching new products while implementing risk management strategies, including foreign exchange hedging and copper futures to mitigate price risks [8]. Group 4: Investor Engagement - The investor research activity provided institutional investors with deeper insights into the company's operational status and future development plans, with the company committing to continuously enhance its core competitiveness for stable business growth [9].

证券代码：002028.SZ 证券简称：思源电气 思源电气股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 Q5：如何评价2025年思源电气在国网招标的表现？ A5：2025 年公司在国网的中标量有所提高，公司非常感谢客户的信任，同时 又感到责任重大。公司将努力按照客户的要求生产制造产品并履约交付，用 良好的交付表现回馈客户的信任。 编号：2026-002 | 投资者关系活 | ☑特定对象调研 □媒体采访 | □分析师会议 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 动类别 | □业绩说明会 | □新闻发布会 | □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | | 参与单位名称 | 招商证券、华泰证券、Franklin Templeton、上银基金、同德磐石资管、光 | | | | | 大资管、浙商证券、山西证券、爱建证券、乘安资产、华西证券、益理资产 | | | | | 管理、中信证券、玖鹏资产、东吴证券、景商私募基金、驼铃资产、建信保 | | | | 及人员姓名 | 险资管、朱雀基金、水璞基金、国联民生证券、森锦投资、国金基金、国海 | | | | | 证券、弥远投资 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance forecasts and reports of 28 companies that released their earnings reports as of January 21, 2025, highlighting the accuracy of earnings quick reports compared to forecasts [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Poly Development reported the highest revenue at 308.26 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 1.09% [1][3] - CITIC Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank followed with revenues of 212.48 billion yuan and 173.96 billion yuan, respectively [1][3] - Among the 19 companies with revenue growth, the highest increase was seen in Siyuan Electric, which achieved 21.21 billion yuan in revenue, marking a 37.18% year-on-year growth [1][2] Group 2: Profit Performance - All companies that released earnings quick reports reported profits, with seven companies achieving net profits exceeding 10 billion yuan [2] - CITIC Bank led with a net profit of 70.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.98% [2][3] - The largest net profit growth was recorded by Quanyuan Spring, with a net profit of 0.15 billion yuan, up 147.89% year-on-year [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant inflow of funds into the electric grid equipment ETF, which has seen a net subscription of 5.15 billion shares and an estimated net subscription of 918 million yuan, marking a continuous trend of investment in this sector [1] - The electric grid equipment ETF has experienced a total net inflow of over 9.4 billion yuan over the past nine days, reaching a new high in total scale of 14.506 billion yuan, making it the largest ETF in the electric grid industry [1] - The State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, while the Southern Power Grid is expected to invest around 1 trillion yuan, leading to a total investment of nearly 5 trillion yuan in the industry over the next five years, significantly exceeding previous plans [2] Group 2 - The North American market is witnessing a surge in demand for electrical equipment driven by aging infrastructure and the electricity needs of AI data centers, with exports of transformers, high-voltage switches, and wires from China expected to see double-digit growth by 2025 [2] - Leading companies in the electrical equipment export sector, such as Siyi Electric, are projected to exceed market expectations for their 2025 performance, with a forecasted year-on-year increase of 79% in net profit for Q4 2025 [2] - The electric grid equipment ETF tracks the CSI Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with key weighted stocks including State Grid NARI (a leader in smart grid technology), TBEA (a core supplier of ultra-high voltage equipment), and Siyi Electric (focused on R&D and manufacturing of electrical equipment) [2]

Core Insights - The report from Goldman Sachs highlights a significant investment in China's power grid, with a target of 4 trillion RMB during the 14th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), marking a 40% increase from the previous plan's 2.8 trillion RMB [3][4][19] - The investment shift focuses on accommodating renewable energy and digital economy needs, indicating a structural transformation in the power grid's role from merely transmitting electricity to efficiently integrating variable renewable energy sources [3][4][18] Investment Scale and Growth Logic - The unprecedented investment base supports a robust growth outlook for the power grid sector, with an average annual investment exceeding 800 billion RMB [4][19] - The growth logic is evolving, with a clear bifurcation in investment phases: high-voltage direct current (UHV) investments are expected to grow by 24% in 2026, while investments will shift towards smart grid infrastructure from 2028 to 2030 [7][22] Structural Changes in Investment - A significant structural change is underway, with distribution network investments projected to surpass transmission investments, increasing from 57% to 59% of total investments from 2026 to 2030 [8][23] - This shift reflects a fundamental redefinition of the grid's functionality, necessitating upgrades to accommodate distributed energy resources, electric vehicle charging stations, and virtual power plants [10][25] Necessity for Smart Investments - By 2030, renewable energy is expected to account for 30% of total electricity generation, introducing challenges for grid stability that require heightened levels of smart investments [11][26] - Investment growth may temporarily slow in 2027-2028 due to project cycles, but is anticipated to accelerate again in 2029-2030 to address increasing balance challenges [11][26] Market Dynamics and Leading Companies - The market is increasingly favoring leading companies in the sector, with major players like Suyuan Electric, Pinggao Electric, and TBEA capturing significant market shares in core equipment categories [12][29] - This "stronger getting stronger" dynamic suggests that as overall demand increases, companies with technological, brand, and delivery advantages will gain more substantial market shares and performance elasticity [12][29] Future System Upgrades - The 4 trillion RMB investment blueprint is not merely about infrastructure expansion; it represents a comprehensive upgrade of the energy system's underlying architecture, aiming to create a stronger, smarter, and more flexible power system [15][30] - The immediate benefits from UHV and backbone network upgrades are clear, while the long-term potential from grid digitalization and distribution network intelligence presents a valuable opportunity for future growth [15][30]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% on January 20, with 20 industries rising, led by the oil and petrochemical sector with a gain of 1.74% and construction materials at 1.71% [1] - The telecommunications and defense industries experienced the largest declines, down 3.23% and 2.87% respectively [1] - The power equipment industry saw a decrease of 1.84% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 95.723 billion yuan, with 11 industries experiencing net inflows [1] - The banking sector led with a net inflow of 1.472 billion yuan and a daily increase of 0.80%, followed by the real estate sector with a 1.55% increase and a net inflow of 627 million yuan [1] - The power equipment industry had the largest net outflow, totaling 19.054 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector with an outflow of 18.394 billion yuan [1] Power Equipment Industry Performance - Within the power equipment sector, 365 stocks were tracked, with 79 stocks rising and 280 stocks falling [2] - Notably, 5 stocks hit the daily limit up, while 2 stocks hit the daily limit down [2] - The top net inflow stocks included Ningde Times with 321 million yuan, followed by Hunan YN with 258 million yuan and Siyuan Electric with 184 million yuan [2] Top Gainers in Power Equipment - Ningde Times: +0.20%, turnover rate 0.83%, net inflow 321.47 million yuan [3] - Hunan YN: +2.77%, turnover rate 10.86%, net inflow 258.38 million yuan [3] - Siyuan Electric: -3.75%, turnover rate 3.68%, net inflow 183.55 million yuan [3] Top Losers in Power Equipment - Sunshine Power: -5.60%, turnover rate 4.13%, net outflow 1.61068 billion yuan [5] - TBEA: +0.92%, turnover rate 16.85%, net outflow 1.47952 billion yuan [5] - Longi Green Energy: -5.13%, turnover rate 4.18%, net outflow 1.22988 billion yuan [5]

Summary of Key Takeaways from Sieyuan and Huaming Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference focused on the AI Robotics and Power sector, specifically the companies Sieyuan and Huaming, highlighting their performance and outlook in the context of the domestic and overseas markets [1][2]. Core Insights 1. **Domestic Revenue Resilience**: - Sieyuan and Huaming expect stable domestic revenue growth driven by grid-led demand, with a projected 40% cumulative investment growth in the 15th Five-Year Plan compared to the 14th, translating to a 6% CAGR from 2025 to 2030 [1]. - Off-grid investment is anticipated to decline, particularly affecting Huaming, which expects a drop in off-grid revenue in 2026 [1][2]. 2. **Overseas Market Dynamics**: - Both companies benefit from better pricing structures in overseas markets due to higher entry barriers and tighter supply conditions, which support their product mix [1][5]. - Sieyuan's overseas strategy includes expanding into renewable energy sectors and enhancing market share among industrial customers [2]. 3. **Margin Pressures**: - Both companies face slight margin pressures due to rising raw material costs, particularly copper, which constitutes about 10% of tap changers' COGS and approximately 30% of transformer COGS [1][6]. - The impact of raw material price hikes is considered manageable through design optimization and material substitution rather than price increases [1][6]. 4. **Capital Expenditure Plans**: - Sieyuan has completed recent investments in new plants and production lines, focusing on ramping up production and improving yield and utilization [7]. - Future capital expenditures will primarily be for maintenance and efficiency upgrades, with potential capacity expansion in Saudi Arabia driven by local content requirements [7]. 5. **Competitive Advantages**: - Sieyuan maintains its competitive edge through early overseas expansion and cumulative execution capabilities, including local sales networks and service teams [8]. Additional Important Points 1. **Pricing Stability**: - Price increases are not expected in the domestic market due to competitive pressures, while overseas pricing remains higher due to supply constraints [3][5][13]. 2. **Raw Material Management**: - Huaming has secured a year’s supply of copper, mitigating short-term price fluctuations, and is exploring aluminum substitution for copper in transformers [14]. 3. **Capacity Management**: - Current growth can be achieved through incremental measures rather than new construction, with potential to increase capacity by 10-20% through extended working hours [15]. 4. **Market Outlook**: - The outlook for the 15th Five-Year Plan is slightly better than previous expectations, with grid investment seen as a key area for broader infrastructure and industrial investment [9][10]. 5. **Geographic Diversification**: - Huaming has expanded its reach to around 130 countries, with Europe being the largest market, driven by energy transition investments [11][12]. Risks and Methodology - Sieyuan's target price is based on a 2028E P/E of 25x, with risks including overseas execution challenges and potential margin declines [16]. - Huaming's target price is based on a 2028E P/E of 22x, with risks related to share gains and domestic revenue growth [17].

Sieyuan Electric (002028.SZ) Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Sieyuan Electric - **Stock Code**: 002028.SZ - **Market Cap**: Rmb159,176 million (US$22,841 million) [6][9] Key Industry Insights - **Transformer Exports**: China's transformer exports rose 36% year-on-year to US$64.6 billion in 2025, driven by strong global demand [2][11] - **US Supply Gap**: The US faces a supply gap of about 30% that may persist until 2030, presenting opportunities for Sieyuan [2][11] - **State Grid Capex**: The State Grid's capex is projected to reach Rmb4 trillion in the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), which is about 40% higher than the previous plan [14][19] Financial Performance - **2025 Results**: Sieyuan's net profit for 2025 is expected to increase by 54.4% year-on-year to Rmb3,163 million, exceeding consensus estimates by 8% [21][25] - **Revenue Growth**: Revenue is projected to grow by 37.2% year-on-year to Rmb21.2 billion in 2025 [21][24] - **Earnings Forecast**: Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised by 8-26% due to higher revenues and margins [25][26] Product and Market Strategy - **Product Mix Upgrade**: Sieyuan has started production of 750kV GIS, winning orders for over 30 units in 2025, with an average selling price (ASP) of Rmb20 million [3][12] - **Export Growth**: Revenue from exports is expected to continue growing, with a 90% year-on-year increase to Rmb5.9 billion in 2025, accounting for 28% of total revenue [2][11] Management and Corporate Strategy - **Management Track Record**: Established in 1993, Sieyuan has a strong focus on power grid equipment and is expected to benefit from the State Grid's capex plans [4][11] - **H-Share Listing**: The forthcoming Hong Kong listing is anticipated to enhance Sieyuan's global market recognition and facilitate export business development [22][24] Competitive Positioning - **Peer Comparison**: Sieyuan's 2025E revenue is approximately 95% of HD Hyundai Electric's, but significantly lower than Hitachi and Siemens Energy [11][12] - **Margin Analysis**: Sieyuan's operating profit and net profit margins are expected to be lower than those of HD Hyundai Electric due to differences in ASP and market exposure [12][13] Financial Ratios and Projections - **Earnings Projections**: - 2025E Net Profit: Rmb3,163 million - 2026E Net Profit: Rmb4,560 million - 2027E Net Profit: Rmb6,056 million [5][24] - **Valuation Metrics**: - Target Price: Rmb260 per share, up 53% from previous estimates [6][25] - Expected Total Return: 27.5% [6] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: The company is rated as a "Buy" with expectations of significant growth driven by strong demand, management effectiveness, and favorable market conditions [1][25]