January 15, 2026 05:30 PM GMT M Update Strong 2025 preliminary results underpinned by robust revenue growth, margin expansion Reaction to earnings Strengthens our thesis Modest upside Modest revision higher Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month consensus EPS Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research Key Takeaways According to Siyuan's preliminary results, revenue was Rmb21.1bn in 2025, up 37.2% yoy and 3.8% higher than our estimate of 20.4bn. Net profit came ...

Group 1 - The A-share market's smart grid concept stocks continue to perform strongly, with Wan Sheng Intelligent approaching a 20% limit up, and Can Energy Power rising over 13% [1] - The investment in China's power grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, with annual investments around 1 trillion yuan during the 15th Five-Year Plan [1] - The investment forecast for State Grid and Southern Grid in 2026 is expected to reach 700 billion yuan and 189 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 7.6% and 8.0% [1] Group 2 - European data centers are accelerating construction, revealing power supply and demand contradictions, which further stimulate the demand for offshore wind and power interconnection [1] - The continuous high growth in the demand for European grid renovation is beneficial for main grid transformers and switches [1] Group 3 - The stock performance of various companies in the smart grid sector shows significant increases, with Wan Sheng Intelligent up by 19.44%, Can Energy Power by 13.45%, and He Shun Electric by 12.49% [2] - The total market capitalization of Wan Sheng Intelligent is 7.876 billion yuan, while Can Energy Power stands at 2.447 billion yuan [2] - The year-to-date performance of these stocks indicates strong growth, with Wan Sheng Intelligent at 46.38% and Can Energy Power at 35.06% [2]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电网设备 思源电气（002028） 2025 年业绩快报点评：业绩大超预期，稳步 迈进 next level 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 12,460 | 15,458 | 21,205 | 29,560 | 39,025 | | 同比（%） | 18.25 | 24.06 | 37.18 | 39.40 | 32.02 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,559 | 2,049 | 3,163 | 4,523 | 6,059 | | 同比（%） | 27.75 | 31.42 | 54.35 | 43.01 | 33.96 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.00 | 2.62 | 4.05 | 5.79 | 7.76 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 84.66 | 64.42 | 41.74 | 29.18 | 21.79 | [Table_Ta ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Siyuan Electric has seen a significant stock price increase of 10%, reaching 185.90 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 486 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.43%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 145.385 billion CNY [1] - Siyuan Electric Co., Ltd. is located in Minhang District, Shanghai, and was established on December 2, 1993. The company was listed on August 5, 2004, and its main business involves the research, development, production, sales, and service of power transmission and transformation equipment. The revenue composition is 99.47% from the power distribution and transmission equipment industry and 0.53% from automotive electronics [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, one fund under Taiping Fund has a significant position in Siyuan Electric. The Taiping Low Carbon Economy Mixed Initiated A Fund (018327) held 10,000 shares in the third quarter, unchanged from the previous period, accounting for 4.45% of the fund's net value, ranking as the seventh-largest holding. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 169,000 CNY [2] - The Taiping Low Carbon Economy Mixed Initiated A Fund (018327) was established on August 15, 2023, with a latest scale of 17.7239 million CNY. Year-to-date, the fund has a return of 2.63%, ranking 5790 out of 8847 in its category; over the past year, it has achieved a return of 32.26%, ranking 4045 out of 8094; and since inception, it has a return of 31.81% [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance forecasts and reports of 17 companies that released their earnings reports as of January 16, 2025, highlighting the accuracy of earnings quick reports compared to forecasts [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The highest revenue among the companies reporting was achieved by CITIC Bank, with a revenue of 212.475 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.55% [1] - Following CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Yangtze Power reported revenues of 173.964 billion yuan and 85.882 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Eleven companies reported a year-on-year increase in revenue, with the highest growth recorded by Siyuan Electric, which achieved a revenue of 21.205 billion yuan, up 37.18% [1][2] - CITIC Securities and Beiding Co. also showed significant revenue growth, with increases of 28.75% and 26.04%, respectively [1][2] Group 2: Profit Performance - All companies that released earnings quick reports reported profits, with five companies achieving net profits exceeding 10 billion yuan [2] - CITIC Bank led in net profit with 70.618 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.98% [2] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Yangtze Power followed with net profits of 50.017 billion yuan and 34.167 billion yuan, respectively [2] - Ten companies reported an increase in net profit, with the highest growth seen in Quanyuan Spring, which achieved a net profit of 0.15 billion yuan, up 147.89% [2] - Beiding Co. and Siyuan Electric also reported substantial net profit growth, with increases of 59.05% and 54.35%, respectively [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 21.21 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.16 billion RMB, up 54.5% year-on-year. The Q4 performance was particularly strong, with revenue of 7.38 billion RMB, reflecting a 46.1% increase, and a net profit of 970 million RMB, up 74.1% year-on-year [2]. - The sustained outperformance in 2025 is attributed to the continuous release of overseas orders since Q2 2023 and the delivery of high-margin domestic orders for 750kV transformers [3]. - The company significantly increased its market share in the domestic power grid bidding, with a 26% year-on-year increase in the State Grid's bidding for power transmission and transformation equipment, and an 82% increase in the company's successful bids [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing investments in the national grid, projected to reach 4 trillion RMB during the 14th Five-Year Plan, and from the ongoing shortage of power transformers in overseas markets, particularly North America [4]. - The company is optimistic about new business opportunities in supercapacitors, ultra-high voltage converters, and energy storage systems, with partnerships aimed at expanding its market presence [5]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 3.16 billion RMB, 4.31 billion RMB, and 5.76 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 36%, and 34% [6]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 38, 28, and 21 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6].

Group 1 - Sanbian Technology has reached a limit-up, achieving four consecutive trading days of gains within a week [1] - Siyuan Electric has increased by over 4%, setting a new historical high [1] - Changlan Technology, Baobian Electric, and TBEA have also seen gains [1]

Group 1 - Huasheng Tiancheng's AI-related revenue currently accounts for a low proportion of overall revenue, indicating that it does not significantly impact the company's performance [2] - CICC's merger with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities is still undergoing audit work, which has not yet been completed [2] - Xinhua Department Store confirmed that there are no undisclosed major matters related to semiconductor asset injections, addressing market rumors [3] Group 2 - Zhong Rare Metals signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xian Dao Group to enhance market share and industry influence in rare metals [4] - Zhongtian Rocket reported losses in its carbon/carbon thermal field materials business due to intensified competition in the photovoltaic industry [5] - Zhongyuan Nepe proposed to acquire 59% of Zhongyuan Jikean's equity for 143 million yuan, which will make it a wholly-owned subsidiary [5] Group 3 - Jiangxi Copper's subsidiary signed a cooperation agreement with First Quantum Minerals for exploration projects [6] - China Nuclear Power's Jiangsu Xuwei Nuclear Energy Heating Power Plant's first unit is set to pour its first concrete on January 16, 2026 [6] - ST Aowei's stock may be delisted if it continues to trade below par value [6] Group 4 - Triangle Tire plans to invest 3.219 billion yuan in a new high-performance tire project in Cambodia, expected to generate annual revenue of 2.585 billion yuan [7] - Baoxin Technology intends to publicly sell part of its subsidiary's assets, with a valuation of 50.2334 million yuan [7] - Nong Shang Environment's computing infrastructure project has not progressed as planned due to funding issues [8] Group 5 - Golden Dragon Fish plans to transfer stakes in two subsidiaries to Mars China for a total of 60 million USD, which is expected to impact its 2026 earnings significantly [8] - Jin Dao Technology intends to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 306 million yuan for various projects [8] - Aerospace Information expects a net loss of 700 million to 980 million yuan for 2025 due to industry changes [10] Group 6 - Tianji Co. forecasts a net profit of 70 million to 105 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a previous loss [10] - Muyuan Foods anticipates a net profit decrease of 12.2% to 17.79% for 2025 [11] - SAIC Group expects a net profit increase of 438% to 558% for 2025, driven by sales growth [12] Group 7 - Haolaike expects a significant drop in net profit for 2025, projecting a decrease of 75.16% to 83.23% [13] - Hainan Development anticipates a net loss of 440 million to 565 million yuan for 2025 [13] - Shuangliang Energy expects to report a loss for 2025 [14] Group 8 - Aijian Group also anticipates a loss for 2025 [14] - Meijin Energy forecasts a net loss of 850 million to 1.25 billion yuan for 2025 [14] - Kunlun Wanwei expects to report a loss for 2025 [14] Group 9 - Xue Rong Biological expects a net profit of 29 million to 40 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a previous loss [15] - Xin Nuo Wei anticipates a net loss of 170 million to 255 million yuan for 2025 due to increased R&D expenses [15] - Shengnuo Biological expects a net profit increase of 204.42% to 280.53% for 2025 [16] Group 10 - Longyuan Construction forecasts a net loss of 1 billion to 1.5 billion yuan for 2025 [17] - Kosen Technology expects a net loss of 245 million to 330 million yuan for 2025 [17] - Daqian Ecology anticipates a net loss of 100 million to 120 million yuan for 2025 [17] Group 11 - Lianfa Co. expects a net profit increase of 38.92% to 58.77% for 2025 [18] - Chongqing Steel anticipates a net loss of 2.5 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for 2025, but expects to reduce losses compared to the previous year [18] - Tongxing Technology forecasts a net profit increase of 74.2% to 125.44% for 2025 [19] Group 12 - Siyuan Electric expects a net profit of 3.163 billion yuan for 2025, a 54.35% increase year-on-year [19] - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit increase of 47.8% to 53.71% for 2025 [20] - Nawei Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 54.51% to 75.03% for 2025 [20] Group 13 - Jingjia Micro expects a net loss of 120 million to 180 million yuan for 2025 [21] - Southwest Securities forecasts a net profit increase of 47% to 57% for 2025 [22] - Wankai New Materials expects a net profit of 156 million to 203 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a previous loss [22] Group 14 - Yilian Network anticipates a slight decrease in net profit for 2025, projecting a decline of 0% to 4% [23] - Baofeng Energy expects a net profit increase of 73.57% to 89.34% for 2025 [23] - Sanmei Co. forecasts a net profit increase of 155.66% to 176.11% for 2025 [23] Group 15 - Zhenyu Technology expects a net profit increase of 96.89% to 116.58% for 2025 [24] - Fute Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 121.98% to 164.26% for 2025 [24] - Guoli Electronics expects a net profit increase of 124.89% to 164.57% for 2025 [24] Group 16 - Shenyu Co. expects a slight decrease in net profit for 2025, projecting a decline of 0.05% to 11.37% [25] - Rongchang Biological plans to increase its share repurchase price limit to 116 yuan per share [26] - Defu Technology plans to repurchase shares for 75 million to 150 million yuan [26] Group 17 - ST Chengchang's stock will resume trading on January 16 after completing a trading fluctuation investigation [27] - Zhi Te New Materials will also resume trading on January 16 after confirming no major changes in business operations [27] - Lio Co. will suspend trading starting January 16 for stock fluctuation investigation [27]

Group 1 - Luxshare Precision plans to repurchase shares worth between 1 billion to 2 billion RMB, with a maximum repurchase price of 86.96 RMB per share, aimed at implementing employee stock ownership plans or equity incentives [1] - Hanyu Pharmaceutical signed a sales order for GLP-1 raw materials worth 180 million RMB, which accounts for 30.50% of its audited revenue for 2024, potentially positively impacting annual performance [2] - Longpan Technology expects to engage in procurement transactions with CATL worth no more than 7 billion RMB in 2026, as part of a continuous related transaction agreement [3] Group 2 - Hu Silicon Industry reported that the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund reduced its stake by 32.0113 million shares, representing 0.97% of the total share capital, decreasing its ownership from 16.96% to 15.99% [4] - ST Chengchang completed its stock suspension review after abnormal trading fluctuations, confirming no need for corrections or disclosures, and will resume trading on January 16, 2026 [5] - Luoyang Molybdenum plans to use up to 20 billion RMB of idle funds for wealth management and entrusted financial products, pending shareholder approval [6] Group 3 - Siyuan Electric reported a net profit of 3.163 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.35% [7] - Tianji Co. expects a net profit of 70 million to 105 million RMB for 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.361 billion RMB in the previous year [7] - Muyuan Foods anticipates a net profit of 14.7 billion to 15.7 billion RMB for 2025, a decrease of 12.20% to 17.79% compared to the previous year [7] Group 4 - Luoyang Molybdenum forecasts a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion RMB for 2025, representing an increase of 47.80% to 53.71% year-on-year [8] - Kunlun Wanwei expects to report a loss for 2025 [8] - Dalong Real Estate's subsidiary won a 763 million RMB engineering project contract [11]

Group 1 - Siyuan Electric reported a total operating revenue of 21.205 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.18%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.163 billion yuan, up 54.35% year-on-year [1] - VisiOn expects a negative net profit for 2025, indicating a loss in operating performance [2] - Chongqing Steel anticipates a net loss of 2.5 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for 2025, which is an improvement from a net loss of 3.196 billion yuan in the previous year [3] - Lianfa Co. forecasts a net profit of 280 million to 320 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.92% to 58.77% [4] Group 2 - CICC announced that the audit work related to the absorption merger with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities has not yet been completed [5] - Dalong Real Estate's subsidiary won a project bid worth 763 million yuan [6] - Zhongchuang Zhiling plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 4.35 billion yuan for various projects [7] - Jintong Co. intends to acquire a 24% stake in Jinsha Molybdenum for 1.731 billion yuan [8] Group 3 - Nami Technology expects a net profit of 128 million to 145 million yuan for 2025, an increase of 54.51% to 75.03% year-on-year [9] - China State Construction reported a new contract total of 4.5458 trillion yuan for 2025, a 1% increase year-on-year [12] - China Metallurgical Group's new contract amount for 2025 is expected to decrease by 10.8% to 1.1136 trillion yuan [13] Group 4 - Beiding Co. reported a net profit of 111 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.05% [14] - Southwest Securities expects a net profit of 1.028 billion to 1.098 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 47% to 57% [15] - China Eastern Airlines reported a 4.93% year-on-year increase in passenger capacity for December 2025 [20] Group 5 - *ST Aowei's stock may be delisted due to a closing price below par value [21] - Yilian Network expects a net profit of 2.542 billion to 2.648 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 0% to 4% year-on-year [22] - Huochen Co. anticipates a net profit of 420 million to 540 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 2 million yuan in the previous year [17] Group 6 - Guoli Electronics expects a net profit of 68 million to 80 million yuan for 2025, an increase of 124.89% to 164.57% [28] - Jinchuan Group forecasts a net profit of 11 billion to 12 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 73.57% to 89.34% [41] - Triangle Tire plans to invest 3.219 billion yuan in a new tire project in Cambodia [42]