格隆汇7月30日丨海峡股份(002320.SZ)于投资者互动平台表示，公司新海港主要面向海南与中国大陆地 区的人员及车辆运输，并无直接运输进口入境商品。公司运输车辆装载产品大部分为农产品及生鲜冷 链、消费品与商贸物流等民生物资。 ...

Investment Rating - The transportation sector has shown a positive trend with a 3.2% increase in the transportation index, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.5% during the week of July 19-25, 2025 [1][12]. Core Insights - The transportation sector's fund holdings increased to 32.5 billion yuan, a 17.0% rise compared to the previous quarter, with a market share of 1.95% [2]. - The express delivery segment saw a significant year-on-year growth of 15.8% in June, with SF Express leading the growth [2]. - The logistics sector is under pressure, particularly in hazardous materials logistics, but there is a push towards smart logistics, with Hai Chen Co. being recommended [3]. - The aviation sector is experiencing a steady recovery, with a 3% increase in domestic passenger volume in June compared to the previous year [4]. - The shipping sector is stabilizing, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increasing by 10.9% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk shipping [5][34]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index rose by 3.2%, with the airport sector showing the highest increase of 5.6% [1][12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping and Ports - The export container freight index (CCFI) was 1261.35 points, down 3.2% week-on-week and down 40.9% year-on-year [20]. - The domestic container freight index (PDCI) increased by 1.1% week-on-week, indicating a slight recovery in domestic shipping [28]. Aviation and Airports - The average daily flights reached 16,945, a 3.68% increase year-on-year, with domestic flights up by 2.51% [4]. - The introduction of a new ticket purchasing feature on the airline service platform is expected to enhance customer experience [4]. Rail and Road - National highway freight traffic increased by 0.67% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 2.01% [6][76]. - The railway passenger volume in June was 373 million, a 3.61% increase year-on-year [73]. Express Delivery - The express delivery business volume reached 16.87 billion pieces in June, with a notable increase in the market share of SF Express [2][44].

Market Performance - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept declined by 3.77%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors as of July 25 [1] - Within the sector, notable declines were seen in Shennong Seed Industry, Xinlong Holdings, and Hainan Ruize, while only four stocks experienced price increases, with Caesar Travel, Hainan Airport, and Kangzhi Pharmaceutical leading the gains at 4.05%, 3.14%, and 0.66% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept saw a net outflow of 3.96 billion yuan from major funds, with 28 stocks experiencing net outflows and 13 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net outflows [2] - Hainan Huatie led the net outflow with 805.19 million yuan, followed by HNA Holding, Shennong Seed Industry, and Haixia Shares with net outflows of 526.38 million yuan, 367.88 million yuan, and 223.43 million yuan respectively [2][3] Stock Performance - The top stocks with significant net outflows included: - Hainan Huatie: -5.09% with a turnover rate of 18.12% and a net outflow of 805.19 million yuan - HNA Holding: -1.84% with a turnover rate of 5.65% and a net outflow of 526.38 million yuan - Shennong Seed Industry: -9.69% with a turnover rate of 39.57% and a net outflow of 367.87 million yuan - Haixia Shares: 0.37% with a turnover rate of 10.06% and a net outflow of 223.43 million yuan [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed an overall upward trend on July 24, with the Hainan sector experiencing significant growth, becoming one of the market's highlights [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.48% to 3599.44 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.65% and the ChiNext Index by 0.72% [2] - Hainan sector surged over 9% by midday, with individual stocks like Kangzhi Pharmaceutical hitting a 20% limit up, and several others also reaching their daily limit [4][5] Group 2 - Major industry sectors such as retail, steel, and real estate saw gains exceeding 2%, while sectors like telecommunications and banking underperformed [4] - The Hainan sector's total market capitalization reached 349.73 billion, with a trading volume of 22.206 billion [5] - Specific stocks in the Hainan sector, including Hainan Airport and Hainan Highway, also recorded significant increases, with many stocks showing around 10% gains [6] Group 3 - The State Council announced that the Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its closure operation on December 18, 2025, with new policies aimed at enhancing trade and investment [7][8] - The zero-tariff policy will expand significantly, increasing the proportion of zero-tariff imported goods from 21% to 74%, covering 6600 items [8] - The new policies will facilitate easier trade management and more efficient regulatory measures, promoting a smoother implementation of the open policies [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of tax exemption policies in Hainan Free Trade Port is expected to significantly boost various industries, with a focus on zero tariffs and enhanced trade facilitation [1] Industry Analysis - **Duty-Free Retail**: The expansion of duty-free policies post-closure will lead to growth in the duty-free retail sector as the range of duty-free products increases [2] - **Tourism and Hospitality**: The favorable policies are anticipated to attract more tourists to Hainan, thereby stimulating the local tourism and hotel industries [3] - **Port and Shipping**: The increased trade facilitation after the closure is expected to enhance port logistics business [4] - **Pharmaceutical Manufacturing**: As a key encouraged industry, pharmaceutical companies will benefit from tax exemptions related to processing and value addition [5] - **High-Tech Industry**: The focus on developing high-tech industries in the free trade port will provide multiple policy benefits to related companies [6] Beneficiary Companies - **China Duty Free Group (601888)**: As a leader in the duty-free industry, the company will directly benefit from the upgraded duty-free policies [7] - **Hainan Airport (600515)**: Being a key transportation hub, the company is expected to benefit from increased passenger and logistics flow [8] - **Strait Shipping (002320)**: As a leader in waterway transportation in Hainan, the company will benefit from enhanced trade facilitation [9] - **Hainan Haiyao (000566)**: The local pharmaceutical leader will enjoy the benefits of tax exemptions for processing and value addition [10] - **Hainan Shipping Group (603069)**: The company will benefit from the growth in the tourism industry [10]

Market Overview - On July 24, stocks related to Hainan and duty-free concepts experienced significant gains, with multiple companies hitting the daily limit, including Caesar Travel, Haixia Co., China Duty Free Group, and others [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Port index rose by 8.81% [2] Event: Hainan's Customs Closure Launch - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its customs closure on December 18, 2025, establishing the entire island as a special customs supervision area [3] - New policies will be implemented upon the closure, including an increase in the proportion of "zero tariff" goods from 21% to 74% [3] Institutional Analysis - The coverage of "zero tariff" goods will expand significantly from 1,900 to approximately 6,600 items, representing a 53 percentage point increase [4] - The beneficiaries of the "zero tariff" policy will now include various enterprises and non-profit organizations with actual import needs, broadening the scope of the policy [4] - Restrictions on the flow of imported "zero tariff" goods will be relaxed, allowing free movement among beneficiaries, which is expected to enhance the competitiveness of local industries [4] - The efficient management model and diverse consumer market in Hainan are anticipated to boost tourism, with the tourism industry expected to benefit from policy incentives [4] - The demand for professional tour guide services and one-stop solutions for international tourists is expected to rise, benefiting travel agencies involved in cross-border tourism [5] - The independent nature of the duty-free policy is likely to remain, with expectations of increased consumption post-closure, aiming for over 60 billion yuan in sales by 2027 [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hainan Free Trade Zone is set to officially launch its customs closure on December 18, 2025, which is expected to significantly enhance the region's tourism and retail market [1][2] - The announcement led to a strong market response, with companies like Kangzhi Pharmaceutical hitting a 20% limit up, and others such as Hainan Airport and Haixia Co. also reaching their limit up [1] - The customs closure will create a special customs supervision area across Hainan Island, implementing a policy characterized by "freeing up the first line, controlling the second line, and allowing freedom within the island" [1] Group 2 - The continued implementation of the offshore duty-free policy is expected to maintain the competitive advantage of duty-free operators, as it offers more relaxed limits for consumers entering the "second line" [2] - The closure is anticipated to enhance Hainan's attractiveness, increase the flow of people, and promote the overall development of the tourism retail market [2] - Companies that have established a leading advantage in core property layout, supply chain resources, and operational capabilities are likely to maintain their competitive position in Hainan's retail market under the new policies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the specific date for the closure of Hainan Free Trade Port on December 18, 2025, has led to a significant rise in local stocks, particularly in the tourism and retail sectors, indicating strong market optimism about the future economic benefits of the policy [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hainan local stocks have seen substantial increases, with Kangzhi Pharmaceutical reaching a 20% limit up, and other companies like HNA Holding and Haixia Co. also experiencing significant gains [1][2]. - The stock performance of various companies includes: - Kangzhi Pharmaceutical: +20.00% - HNA Holding: +10.14% - Hainan Airport: +10.11% - Haide Co.: +10.08% - Hainan Expressway: +10.01% - Hainan Bus Group: +10.01% - Haixia Co.: +49.99% - Caesar Travel: +9.98% - Haima Automobile: +7.61% - Shennong Seed Industry: +7.68% [2]. Group 2: Policy Details - The closure policy includes four key measures: 1. Implementation of a more favorable "zero tariff" policy, increasing the proportion of zero-tariff goods from 21% to 74% for "first-line" imports, allowing tax-free circulation among eligible entities within the island [3][4]. 2. More relaxed trade management measures, opening up certain previously restricted imports [3]. 3. Enhanced convenience in transportation, with eight existing open ports designated as "first-line" ports and ten additional "second-line" ports for smoother import processes [3]. 4. A more efficient and precise regulatory model to ensure smooth implementation of the open policies [3]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The closure is expected to significantly benefit the tourism industry in Hainan, helping to establish it as an international tourism consumption center, with long-term advantages for related businesses such as scenic spots, hotels, and travel retailers [4]. - The continued implementation of duty-free policies will maintain the competitive edge of duty-free operators, while the increased attractiveness of Hainan is anticipated to boost the overall development of the tourism retail market [4]. - The efficient management model and diverse consumer market in Hainan are projected to enhance its tourism appeal, driving growth in inbound tourism [4].

Group 1 - Duty-free shops and Hainan Free Trade Zone sectors continue to rise, with Kangzhi Pharmaceutical (300086) hitting a 20% limit up [1] - Hainan Airport (600515), Haixia Co., Ltd. (002320), and Caesar Travel (000796) also reached their daily limit up [1] - China Duty Free Group (601888) increased by over 7%, while Wangfujing (600859) rose by over 4% [1] Group 2 - Dark pool funds are flowing into these stocks [2]

Group 1: Policy Changes and Economic Impact - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its full island closure operation on December 18, 2025, with a significant increase in the proportion of "zero tariff" goods from 21% to 74% [1] - The processing value-added threshold for island products to enter the mainland duty-free is set at over 30%, indicating a major shift in trade dynamics [1] - The cross-border asset management pilot program will initiate with a scale of 10 billion yuan, marking a breakthrough in financial services [1] Group 2: Industry Opportunities - The zero tariff policy will encompass 6,600 product categories under a negative list management system, facilitating the free flow of industrial chains across the island [2] - The opening of bonded maintenance for 38 types of goods and the removal of import licenses for 60 types of old machinery will create a market space worth trillions for high-end manufacturing [2] - The annual limit for duty-free shopping for tourists will increase to 100,000 yuan, leading to a significant expansion in the variety of duty-free products available [2] Group 3: Key Companies and Their Prospects - Hainan Ruize (002596), a leading local cement company with over 40% market share, is expected to benefit from increased infrastructure demand due to the Free Trade Port's development [4] - China Duty Free Group (601888), the world's largest duty-free operator, is likely to see its market share grow as the scope of "island-wide duty-free" expands [4] - Caesar Travel (000796), a local tourism leader, may experience explosive growth in cruise and high-end customized travel services due to the facilitation of international tourist entry and enhanced duty-free shopping [4] - Hainan Highway (000886), a state-owned transportation infrastructure platform, will likely see increased toll revenue and commercial value from service areas as tourist numbers rise [4] - Hainan Development (002163) plans to inject duty-free assets from its controlling shareholder, which could synergize with its existing construction business [5] - Hainan Qicheng Group (603069), a public transport leader, may shift its valuation from traditional passenger transport to duty-free operations if its parent company injects duty-free business into it [5]