Core Viewpoint - The company expects a net profit of 260 million to 320 million yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 51% to 86% [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The tungsten raw material market is experiencing tight supply, with increased market demand leading to a significant rise in tungsten raw material prices [1] Group 2: Company Performance - The company is leveraging its advantages in the entire tungsten industry chain to continuously enhance product performance and optimize capacity layout [1] - The company has achieved synchronized growth in both production and sales [1]

2．业绩预告情况：预计净利润为正值且属于同向上升 50%以上情形 以区间数进行业绩预告 证券代码：002378 证券简称：章源钨业 公告编号：2026-002 崇义章源钨业股份有限公司 2025 年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 1．业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日。 四、风险提示 本次业绩预告为公司财务部门初步测算的结果，未经审计机构审计，具体财 务数据将在公司 2025 年年度报告中详细披露。敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 崇义章源钨业股份有限公司董事会 | 项目 | | 本报告期 | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | 盈利：26,000 | 万元—32,000 | 万元 | 17,203 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期增长：51%—86% | | | | | | 扣除非经常性损益后的净利润 | 盈利：27,000 | 万元—33,000 | 万元 | ...

1月28日，章源钨业盘中下跌2.08%，截至09:59，报23.04元/股，成交8.14亿元，换手率2.92%，总市值 276.81亿元。 截至9月30日，章源钨业股东户数9.81万，较上期增加80.69%；人均流通股12185股，较上期减少 44.66%。2025年1月-9月，章源钨业实现营业收入38.78亿元，同比增长37.38%；归母净利润1.90亿元， 同比增长29.71%。 分红方面，章源钨业A股上市后累计派现8.62亿元。近三年，累计派现2.69亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，章源钨业十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东，持股1300.64万股，相比上期增加422.07万股。银华心佳两年持有期混合（010730）位居第四大 流通股东，持股619.86万股，持股数量较上期不变。南方中证1000ETF（512100）位居第五大流通股 东，持股549.07万股，相比上期减少3.72万股。华夏中证1000ETF（159845）位居第九大流通股东，持 股326.46万股，相比上期减少4100.00股。广发中证1000ETF（560010）位居第十大流通股东，持股 254. ...

Group 1 - The small metals sector experienced a significant increase of 5.23% on January 26, with Zhangyuan Tungsten leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] - Key stocks in the small metals sector showed notable price increases, with Zhangyuan Tungsten rising by 10.01% to a closing price of 23.07 [1] Group 2 - The small metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.367 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.181 billion yuan [2] - The trading volume for Zhangyuan Tungsten was 934,000 shares, with a transaction value of 2.098 billion yuan [1] - North Rare Earth had a net inflow of 726 million yuan from main funds, indicating strong institutional interest [3]

Group 1: Copper - The LME copper price increased by 0.25% to $12,840.0 per ton, while the Shanghai copper price rose by 0.57% to ¥101,300 per ton [1] - Copper concentrate processing fees fell to -$49.79 per ton, and national copper inventory increased by 2.9% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 203,000 tons [1][13] - The operating rate of copper cable enterprises increased by 2.72 percentage points to 58.71%, with a year-on-year increase of 15.87% [1][13] Group 2: Aluminum - The LME aluminum price rose by 0.29% to $3,137.5 per ton, and the Shanghai aluminum price increased by 1.53% to ¥24,300 per ton [2][14] - The operating rate of domestic aluminum processing enterprises fell by 6.3 percentage points to 51.1% due to the upcoming Spring Festival [2][14] - Electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 6,000 tons to 743,000 tons [2][14] Group 3: Gold - COMEX gold price increased by 6.88% to $4,938.4 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 4.86 tons to 1,079.66 tons [3][15] - Geopolitical risks have led to a strong fluctuation in the gold market [3][15] - The 10-year TIPS yield decreased by 0.07 percentage points to 1.95% [3][15] Group 4: Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 0.25% to ¥672,700 per ton [4][36] - December exports of rare earth permanent magnets increased by 7% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in exports [4][36] - The rare earth sector is expected to see upward price momentum due to supply constraints and favorable export conditions [4][36] Group 5: Tungsten - Tungsten prices increased by 5.54% this week, supported by tight supply conditions [4][38] - The establishment of a $2.5 billion "strategic resilience reserve" in the U.S. may elevate tungsten's priority [4][38] - The price of ammonium paratungstate rose by 6.06% to ¥790,500 per ton [4][38] Group 6: Tin - Tin prices increased by 2.19% to ¥423,700 per ton, with inventory rising by 1.79% to 9,720 tons [4][38] - Supply from Indonesia and Myanmar remains below expectations, supporting an upward price trend [4][38] - The demand outlook is positive due to recovery in semiconductor and photovoltaic sectors [4][38] Group 7: Lithium - The average price of lithium carbonate rose by 0.8% to ¥159,500 per ton, while lithium hydroxide increased by 2.0% to ¥156,900 per ton [4][63] - Lithium production decreased slightly, with total output at 22,200 tons, down by 40 tons [4][63] - The market is experiencing strong demand, with signs of pre-holiday stocking [4][63] Group 8: Cobalt - Cobalt prices decreased by 3.7% to ¥437,000 per ton, while cobalt intermediate prices increased by 1.5% to $25.75 per pound [5][65] - Supply tightness is expected to persist, with domestic prices showing upward momentum [5][65] - The market structure remains tight due to limited liquidity and long transportation cycles [5][65]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the small metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The supply-demand tension continues, with tungsten and tin prices breaking historical highs [4] - Rare earth elements are experiencing a supply tightness, leading to increased prices, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which rose by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton [12] - Molybdenum prices are expected to stabilize due to cost support and improved supply-demand dynamics, despite a recent decline [23] - Tungsten prices are at historical highs due to supply contraction and price increases in long-term contracts [30] - Tin prices are strong due to macroeconomic factors and ongoing supply disruptions, with SHFE tin rising by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton [33] - Antimony prices are fluctuating, awaiting signals for export recovery, with recent increases noted [42] Summary by Sections Rare Earths - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 7.69% to 672,500 CNY/ton, while dysprosium decreased by 1.39% to 1,420,000 CNY/ton [12][4] - The supply side remains tight due to policy and supply constraints, while demand from downstream magnetic material companies has shifted from just-in-time purchasing to stockpiling [4] Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices fell by 1.94% to 4,035 CNY/ton, and molybdenum iron prices decreased by 1.90% to 258,500 CNY/ton [23] - The market sentiment is supported by a stabilization in international molybdenum oxide prices and reduced mine shipments [23] Tungsten - Black tungsten concentrate prices rose by 11.43% to 536,000 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices increased by 12.06% to 790,000 CNY/ton [30] - Supply is tightening due to reduced mining quotas and slower production rates, while domestic demand remains stable [30] Tin - SHFE tin prices increased by 21.85% to 429,600 CNY/ton, and LME tin prices rose by 21.73% to 54,200 USD/ton [33] - Supply disruptions from key mining regions and strong demand from traditional and emerging sectors are driving price increases [33] Antimony - Antimony ingot prices rose by 1.26% to 160,500 CNY/ton, and antimony concentrate prices increased by 1.42% to 142,500 CNY/ton [42] - The supply remains tight, and demand is expected to decline as the market approaches the Lunar New Year [42]

Group 1 - The small metal sector increased by 0.06% on January 22, with Western Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] - Key stocks in the small metal sector showed varied performance, with Western Materials rising by 10.00% to a closing price of 39.60 [1] Group 2 - The small metal sector experienced a net outflow of 562 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 141 million yuan [2] - The trading volume and turnover for key stocks in the small metal sector varied, with Western Materials achieving a turnover of 1.884 billion yuan [1][2] - The stock performance of several companies showed declines, with Haotong Technology down by 3.93% and Xianglu Tungsten down by 3.63% [2] Group 3 - Western Materials had a net inflow of 273 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 177 million yuan [3] - Other notable stocks included China Rare Earth with a net inflow of 210 million yuan from main funds, but a net outflow of 157 million yuan from retail investors [3] - The overall trend indicated a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the small metal sector [3]

Group 1 - Tungsten prices have reached historical highs, with 65% black tungsten concentrate priced at 528,000 yuan/ton, and 65% white tungsten concentrate at 527,000 yuan/ton, both up 14.8% since the beginning of the year [1] - The market for tungsten is characterized by tight supply and high prices, with downstream users adjusting product prices to transfer cost pressures, maintaining a strong upward trend in tungsten prices [1] - The increase in tungsten prices is attributed to insufficient supply, confirmed demand growth, and low social inventory levels, suggesting that the upward trend will continue [1] Group 2 - Tungsten is a strategic metal resource essential for the national economy and defense, known for its high melting point, density, and hardness, widely used in various industries [2] - The outlook for tungsten prices in 2026 indicates a likely continuation of high prices and strong fluctuations, with supply and demand remaining in tight balance [2] - Companies in the tungsten industry are expected to benefit from rising prices, as seen in Xianglu Tungsten's forecast of a net profit of 12.5 million to 18 million yuan for 2025, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [2] Group 3 - Xianglu Tungsten reports that the continuous rise in tungsten prices in 2025 has improved the supply-demand situation, enhancing its pricing power and leading to significant growth in gross margins and profits [3] - Xiamen Tungsten is expanding its applications in new fields, such as photovoltaic tungsten wire, and is experiencing a demand surge that has not yet been met by supply, contributing to the ongoing price increase [3] - The supply side of tungsten mining is constrained by quota systems, limiting rapid capacity growth, while the market outlook remains positive due to limited new mining projects [3] Group 4 - Zhongtung High-tech announced that its subsidiary has verified an additional tungsten resource of 91,700 tons, with an annual processing capacity of 2.354 million tons, and is working on a project to increase capacity to 3.5 million tons per year [4]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing active performance, particularly in tungsten-related companies, with significant daily stock price increases observed across multiple firms. Group 1: Company Highlights - Zhongtung High-tech (000657.SZ) has a latest stock price of 41.68 CNY, with a daily increase of +10.00%. It is a tungsten industry operation platform under China Minmetals Corporation, recently acquiring equity in Yuanjing Tungsten, significantly boosting its tungsten resource reserves [1]. - Xiamen Tungsten (600549.SH) has a latest stock price of 59.00 CNY, with a daily increase of +9.14%. It possesses a complete industrial chain from tungsten mining to hard alloy deep processing and is the first domestic company capable of developing tungsten components for nuclear fusion devices [2]. - Xianglu Tungsten (002842.SZ) has a latest stock price of 22.60 CNY, with a daily increase of +7.93%. It is one of the few domestic companies with a complete tungsten industrial chain, covering products from tungsten concentrate to hard alloys, and its subsidiary holds tungsten mining rights [3]. - Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960.SZ) has a latest stock price of 40.97 CNY, with a daily increase of +7.48%. It is a full industrial chain enterprise focusing on tin and indium, with substantial associated tungsten resources [4]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378.SZ) has a latest stock price of 20.60 CNY, with a daily increase of +6.08%. It is one of the domestic companies with complete tungsten production capabilities, holding multiple mining and exploration rights with rich tungsten resource reserves [5]. - Zhongxi Rare Earth (600259.SH) has a latest stock price of 77.80 CNY, with a daily increase of +4.32%. It is the core listed platform of China Rare Earth Group, spanning industries including rare earth, copper, and tungsten, and possesses tungsten mining resources [5]. - Zhongjin Lingnan (000060.SZ) has a latest stock price of 7.02 CNY, with a daily increase of +3.39%. It is an integrated enterprise focused on lead and zinc deep processing, with tungsten metal resources in its mines [7]. - Shengtun Mining (600711.SH) has a latest stock price of 16.96 CNY, with a daily increase of +2.17%. Its business includes non-ferrous metal mining and trading, with tungsten metal resources in its domestic mines [8].

Core Viewpoint - The rare metal tungsten, referred to as "industrial teeth," is expected to be the standout performer in the non-ferrous metal market in 2025, with tungsten prices skyrocketing from 200,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 600,000 yuan/ton by year-end, marking a staggering 300% increase and setting a historical high [1][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in tungsten prices is driven by a combination of rigid supply constraints and explosive demand growth, with APT (the core product of tungsten smelting) social inventory plummeting from a normal level of 600 tons to below 200 tons, and hard alloy companies having only 12 days of raw material inventory left, significantly below the 30-day safety line [3][4]. - The supply side is constrained by three main factors: policy control, resource depletion, and difficulty in increasing overseas production. The annual mining quota for tungsten in China has been reduced by 8.3% to 56,800 tons for 2025, limiting production even as prices rise [4][5]. Demand Explosion - The demand structure for tungsten has fundamentally changed in 2025, with the share of demand from new energy and high-end manufacturing rising from 15% in 2024 to 30%, moving away from traditional steel industry reliance [6][8]. - The photovoltaic industry is a major source of demand growth, with tungsten wire replacing carbon steel wire in silicon wafer cutting due to its superior strength and wear resistance [8]. - The demand from the electric vehicle sector is also rapidly increasing, with each vehicle requiring approximately 2-8 kg of tungsten, and global EV sales expected to grow by 20% in 2025, adding 10,500 tons of tungsten demand [8]. Profit Distribution - The profits from the surge in tungsten prices are not evenly distributed across the industry chain, with upstream resource companies being the biggest winners. For instance, a 10,000 yuan/ton increase in tungsten prices can boost net profits significantly for companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhongtung High-tech [9][10]. - Midstream smelting companies face challenges due to rising raw material costs and tight supply, leading to reduced profit margins for smaller firms [10]. Future Outlook - The consensus in the industry is that the supply-demand gap will remain unbridgeable, with tungsten prices expected to stay high for the next 3-5 years. The global primary tungsten supply growth rate is projected to be only 2%-3% from 2026 to 2030, significantly lower than demand growth [11][12]. - Analysts predict that black tungsten concentrate prices will fluctuate between 460,000 and 520,000 yuan/ton in 2026, with potential for prices to exceed 500,000 yuan/ton if China tightens exports further [12]. Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to focus on three key areas: upstream resource leaders like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten, high-end manufacturing leaders like Zhongtung High-tech, and niche players in high-value sectors such as tungsten-based new materials and military-grade tungsten alloys [13][14]. - The demand growth for tungsten is closely tied to the most promising growth sectors over the next 5-10 years, providing long-term support for tungsten prices and enhancing the investment value of leading companies in the industry [14].