YISHENG(002458)
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国海证券晨会纪要-2025-04-01





Guohai Securities· 2025-04-01 01:32
Group 1: Aluminum Industry - The aluminum industry is experiencing a good destocking performance, but prices are under pressure due to tariffs and macroeconomic uncertainties [4][10]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity has slightly increased, with average costs around 16,960 RMB/ton, down 103 RMB/ton week-on-week [5]. - Downstream aluminum processing enterprises are seeing a recovery in orders and operating rates, supported by demand from the photovoltaic sector and automotive aluminum [6]. Group 2: Power Industry - China Power reported a revenue of 54.21 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, with a net profit of 3.86 billion RMB, up 25.2% [11][12]. - The company’s coal-fired power segment showed improved performance, while hydropower turned profitable due to favorable water conditions [13]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 60% for the year [12]. Group 3: Beverage Industry - The food and beverage sector has seen a decline, with the beverage segment down 3.65% over the past two weeks, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [15]. - The liquor market is experiencing a seasonal downturn, with prices for premium brands like Moutai decreasing, indicating weaker demand [16]. - The overall performance of liquor companies varies, with some regional brands showing resilience amid macroeconomic pressures [17]. Group 4: Logistics Industry - SF Express reported a revenue of 15.746 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with a net profit of 132 million RMB, up 161.8% [21][22]. - The company’s last-mile delivery segment saw significant growth, particularly in county-level markets, with a 121% increase in revenue [24]. - The logistics sector is benefiting from network scale effects, leading to improved profit margins and cost reductions [25]. Group 5: Chemical Industry - The chemical sector is expected to enter a replenishment cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability [29]. - Phosphate rock supply remains tight, with companies like Baitian Co. expanding production capacity to meet growing demand [28]. - The industry is witnessing price increases for key products like urea and hexafluoropropylene, indicating a positive market sentiment [35].
益生股份(002458):鸡苗销量有望重拾升势 种猪销售步入释放期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 00:35
Group 1 - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 504 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 6.8% year-on-year, with total revenue of 3.136 billion yuan, down 2.8% year-on-year [1] - In 2024, the company sold 585.55 million white feather broiler chicks, a decline of 9.3% year-on-year, while the sales price for parent stock chicks was approximately 40 yuan per set [1] - The company introduced 230,000 Hubbard grandparent stock chicks in 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 44%, laying a solid foundation for growth in parent stock and commercial chick sales in 2025 [1] Group 2 - The company sold 82.99 million 909 small white feather broiler chicks in 2024, an increase of 8% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 1.3 yuan per chick [2] - In the first two months of 2025, the company sold 16.29 million 909 small white feather broiler chicks, a year-on-year increase of 9.5% [2] Group 3 - The company has over 20 years of experience in breeding original breeding pigs, with significant advantages in disease prevention, breeding research, production management, and modern farming techniques [3] - From 2021 to 2024, the company's breeding pig sales increased from 200 heads to 3,000 heads, with a compound annual growth rate of 145.5% [3] - The company plans to sell 150,000 breeding pigs in 2025, with a potential full production sales volume of 200,000 heads [3] Group 4 - The company is the largest grandparent meat breed chicken farming enterprise in China and is expected to benefit from rising chick prices due to ongoing high pathogenic avian influenza in the U.S. and New Zealand [4] - The company is projected to sell 14 million parent stock chicks and 665 million commercial chicks from 2025 to 2027, with significant revenue growth anticipated [5] - The expected main business revenue for 2025 is 4.744 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.3% [5]
益生股份:商品代贡献主要业绩,种猪销售大幅增长-20250329
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-03-29 14:23
益生股份(002458.SZ) 证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 03 29 年 月 日 商品代贡献主要业绩,种猪销售大幅增长 公司公告 2024 年年度报告。2024 年,公司实现收入 31.36 亿元,同比 减少 2.76%;归母净利润 5.04 亿元,同比减少 6.84%。2024 年第四季 度,公司实现收入 9.82 亿元,同比增长 73.41%;归母净利润 2.03 亿元, 同比增长 242.33%。 2024Q4 商品代涨价明显,贡献主要利润。2024 年,我们估算公司销售 商品代鸡苗约 5.7 亿羽,同比减少 9%,销售均价 3.3 元/羽;父母代鸡苗 约 1200 万套,同比减少 20%,销售均价近 39 元/套。四季度以来,商品 代鸡苗价格上涨明显,市场补栏需求上升,带动公司盈利能力提升,我们 假设公司父母代成本 17 元/套、商品代成本 2.7 元/套,则全年父母代利润 约为 2.5 亿元,同比商品代利润约为 3.5 亿元。春节后,肉鸡苗价格先跌 后涨,3 月第四周主产区平均价 2.98 元/羽,看好白鸡消费与补栏需求恢 复对公司盈利的正向贡献。 种猪销售 ...
益生股份(002458):商品代贡献主要业绩,种猪销售大幅增长
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-03-29 13:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.136 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2.76% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 504 million yuan, down 6.84% year-on-year. However, in Q4 2024, revenue reached 982 million yuan, an increase of 73.41% year-on-year, with net profit of 203 million yuan, up 242.33% year-on-year [1][2] - The price of commodity chicken seedlings has increased significantly since Q4 2024, contributing to improved profitability. The estimated profit from parent stock is approximately 250 million yuan, while the profit from commodity stock is around 350 million yuan [1] - The company expects a recovery in demand for white chicken consumption and restocking to positively impact profitability [1] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company sold approximately 570 million commodity chicken seedlings, a decrease of 9% year-on-year, with an average selling price of 3.3 yuan per chick. The sale of parent stock was about 12 million sets, down 20% year-on-year, with an average price of nearly 39 yuan per set [1] - The company forecasts net profits of 550 million yuan, 586 million yuan, and 614 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 9.3%, 6.3%, and 4.9% [2][3] - The financial indicators show a projected revenue increase to 3.504 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 11.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 551 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 9.3% year-on-year [3][8] Stock Information - The company's stock closed at 9.67 yuan on March 28, 2025, with a total market capitalization of approximately 10.699 billion yuan [4]
益生股份(002458):Q4业绩增长显著,25年鸡猪产能再提升
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-03-28 09:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Yisheng Co., Ltd. (stock code: 002458.SZ) [1] Core Views - Yisheng Co., Ltd. is expected to see significant growth in chicken and pig production capacity by 2025, despite facing challenges in 2024 due to low chicken prices [4] - The company reported a revenue of 3.136 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2.76% year-on-year, with a net profit of 504 million yuan, down 6.84% year-on-year [4] - The company is projected to benefit from rising chick prices in Q4 2024, leading to a notable increase in revenue and profitability [4] - The company maintains a leading position in the poultry industry, with a focus on high-generation livestock breeding as its core competitive advantage [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue from chicken business was 2.697 billion yuan, accounting for 86% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 33.54% [4] - The company’s pig business revenue reached 224 million yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 320.39% year-on-year, contributing to 7.13% of total revenue [4] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 655 million yuan, 756 million yuan, and 880 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.59 yuan, 0.68 yuan, and 0.79 yuan [5] Production Capacity and Market Position - The company is expected to enhance its breeding capacity for both chickens and pigs in 2025, with chicken breeding capacity projected to increase year-on-year [4] - The company has maintained its supply advantage in the breeding sector, with a historical high in parent stock and commodity chicken inventory expected in 2025 [4] - The company has successfully resumed imports of breeding stock from France, which had been disrupted due to avian influenza outbreaks [4] Financial Forecasts - The financial forecasts for 2024-2027 indicate a gradual recovery in revenue and profit margins, with a projected revenue growth rate of 13.87% in 2025 [5] - The company’s operating profit is expected to increase significantly, with a projected operating profit of 655 million yuan in 2025 [6] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 7.800 billion yuan by 2027, with a debt-to-asset ratio decreasing to 17.48% [7]
益生股份(002458):Q4商品代苗涨价 收入盈利双双高增
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-28 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 3.136 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 504 million yuan, down 6.84% year-on-year. However, Q4 showed significant growth with a revenue of 982 million yuan, up 73% year-on-year and 26% quarter-on-quarter, driven by rising prices of commodity broiler chicks, marking a turnaround after three consecutive quarters of decline [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company sold 586 million white feather broiler chicks, a decrease of 9% year-on-year, primarily due to adjustments in production pace based on market conditions [2]. - The average price of commodity broiler chicks was approximately 3.45 yuan per chick, showing a slight year-on-year decline, but the company benefited from lower feed raw material prices and cost reduction efforts, leading to an estimated profit contribution of about 3.5 billion yuan [2]. - In Q4, the company sold 155 million white feather broiler chicks, an increase of 9% year-on-year and 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, with an average price of approximately 4.79 yuan per chick, up 62% year-on-year and 23% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Group 2: Shareholder Returns and Market Outlook - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 218 million yuan for 2024, with total cash dividends and buyback amounts reaching 337 million yuan, accounting for 67% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. - The white feather chicken product prices have been low for an extended period, but there are signs of recovery, which could positively impact the entire white feather chicken industry chain if macro consumption continues to improve [3]. Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and introduces a new forecast for 2027, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 553 million yuan, 482 million yuan, and 802 million yuan respectively [4]. - The company is assigned a target price of 11.05 yuan based on a 22x PE for 2025, reflecting its competitive advantages and expected capacity release in the commodity segment [4].
益生股份: 国投证券股份有限公司关于山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司2024年度内部控制评价报告的核查意见
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-27 09:34
国投证券股份有限公司 关于山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司 根据公司财务报告内部控制重大缺陷的认定情况,于内部控制评价报告基准 日,不存在财务报告内部控制重大缺陷,公司已按照企业内部控制规范体系和相 关规定的要求在所有重大方面保持了有效的财务报告内部控制。 根据公司非财务报告内部控制重大缺陷认定情况,于内部控制评价报告基准 日,公司未发现非财务报告内部控制重大缺陷。 综上,公司已按照企业内部控制基本规范体系的要求,于内部控制评价报告 基准日,在所有重大方面保持了有效的内部控制。自内部控制评价报告基准日至 内部控制评价报告发出日之间未发生影响内部控制有效性评价结论的因素。 二、内部控制评价的工作情况 (一)内部控制评价范围 公司按照风险导向原则确定纳入评价范围的主要单位、业务和事项以及高风 险领域。纳入评价范围的主要单位包括:山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司及其合并 范围内子公司。纳入评价范围单位资产总额占公司合并财务报表资产总额的 纳入评价范围的主要业务和事项包括:公司层面控制的组织架构、发展战略、 人力资源、社会责任、企业文化等各项流程,业务层面控制的资金活动、采购业 务、资产管理、生产与技术管理、卫生防疫管理制度、销 ...
益生股份: 年度关联方资金占用专项审计报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-27 09:34
Core Viewpoint - The report provides a detailed account of non-operating fund occupation and other related party transactions for Shandong Yisheng Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. for the year 2024, highlighting the financial interactions and responsibilities of the company and its subsidiaries [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Overview - The audit report for Shandong Yisheng Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. for the year 2024 was issued on March 26, 2025, confirming that the financial statements were prepared in accordance with Chinese accounting standards [1]. - The total non-operating fund occupation and related party transactions amounted to 238,111.95 million, with a total of 429,909.41 million in transactions recorded [2]. Group 2: Related Party Transactions - The report includes a summary table detailing various related party transactions, including amounts owed to and from subsidiaries, with specific figures such as 36,620.99 million owed to Jiangsu Yisheng Poultry Industry Co., Ltd. and 12,320.55 million owed to Shandong Lunan Breeding Co., Ltd. [1][2]. - The company has a significant number of subsidiaries involved in these transactions, indicating a complex network of financial interactions within the group [2].
益生股份: 2024年年度审计报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-27 09:34
山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司 审计报告 和信审字(2025)第 000291 号 目 录 页 码 一、审计报告 1-5 二、已审财务报表及附注 和信会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 二○二五年三月二十六日 山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司 报告正文 审 计 报 告 和信审字(2025)第 000291 号 山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司全体股东: 一、审计意见 我们审计了山东益生种畜禽股份有限公司(以下简称益生公司)财务报表, 包括 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及公司资产负债表,2024 年度的合并及公司利润 表、合并及公司现金流量表、合并及公司股东权益变动表以及相关财务报表附注。 我们认为,后附的财务报表在所有重大方面按照企业会计准则的规定编制, 公允反映了益生公司 2024 年 12 月 31 日合并及公司的财务状况以及 2024 年度合 并及公司的经营成果和合并及公司的现金流量。 二、形成审计意见的基础 我们按照中国注册会计师审计准则的规定执行了审计工作。审计报告的"注 册会计师对财务报表审计的责任"部分进一步阐述了我们在这些准则下的责任。 按照中国注册会计师职业道德守则,我们独立于益生公司,并履行了职业道德 ...
益生股份: 内部控制审计报告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-03-27 09:34
Group 1 - The core opinion of the internal control audit is that Yisheng Company maintained effective financial reporting internal controls as of December 31, 2024, in all material respects according to the relevant regulations [2][2][2] - The responsibility for establishing and implementing effective internal controls lies with the board of directors of Yisheng Company, as per the guidelines and standards set forth [1][1][1] - The inherent limitations of internal controls are acknowledged, indicating that they may not prevent or detect misstatements, and changes in circumstances could render controls inappropriate [1][1][1] Group 2 - The audit was conducted by Hexin Accounting Firm, which is a special general partnership, and the report was issued on March 26, 2025 [2][2][2] - The auditors are responsible for expressing an opinion on the effectiveness of internal controls based on the audit work performed and disclosing any significant deficiencies noted [1][1][1]