行 业 及 产 业 轻工制造 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 黄莎 A0230522010002 huangsha@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 张海涛 A0230524080003 zhanght@swsresearch.com 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 联系人 魏雨辰 A0230525010001 weiyc@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 26 日 关注关税政策变化、AI 眼镜新品催 化；家居和内需消费有望边际改善 看好 ——造纸轻工周报 2026/02/09-2026/02/23 本期投资提示： ⚫ 重点提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 相关研究 - 汇率大幅波动的风险；关税预期波动的风险 ⚫ 1）出口：关税政策变化，海外下游存补库预期，推荐 Alpha ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Baiya Co., Ltd. (003006.SZ) has not yet established any cooperation with Pang Donglai [1]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the home furnishing and paper industries, with specific recommendations for companies with high dividend safety margins and growth potential [3][5]. Core Insights - The home furnishing sector is at a valuation bottom, with real estate policies expected to catalyze upward valuation movements. Industry consolidation is accelerating, and companies like Gujia Home, Sophia, and Oppein are highlighted for their strong dividend safety margins [3][5]. - In the paper industry, short-term stability in boxboard prices is noted, with an optimistic mid-term supply-demand balance expected to enhance industry profitability. Companies like Nine Dragons Paper are recognized for exceeding performance expectations [3][5]. - Bull Group is positioned for steady recovery in its traditional business due to improving real estate and consumer sentiment, while new business areas such as overseas expansion and smart lighting present growth opportunities [3][5]. - Consumer sentiment is rebounding, with a focus on personal care growth stocks like Baiya, Dengkang Dental, and Zhongshun Jierou [3][5]. Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - The home furnishing sector is experiencing a valuation bottom, with real estate policies likely to improve market sentiment and demand. The increase in second-hand housing transactions is expected to support the demand side, leading to a long-term expansion of the industry [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of industry consolidation since 2025, with mid-tier companies exiting the market and capital entering leading firms, enhancing industry concentration [6][16]. - Companies to watch include Gujia Home, Sophia, Oppein, Mousse, and Xilinmen, which are expected to benefit from valuation recovery [5][6]. Paper Industry - The report notes that boxboard prices are stable in the short term, with an anticipated improvement in the supply-demand structure that could enhance profitability in the mid-term. Companies like Sun Paper and Nine Dragons Paper are highlighted for their strong positions [3][5]. - The report suggests monitoring the potential impact of anti-involution policies and demand changes, which could contribute to cyclical elasticity in the paper sector [7][8]. - Specific recommendations include focusing on companies with integrated supply chains and significant cost advantages, such as Sun Paper and Nine Dragons Paper [7][8]. Bull Group - The Bull Group is expected to see steady recovery in its traditional business due to improving real estate and consumer sentiment. The company is also expanding into new areas such as smart lighting and renewable energy, which are anticipated to drive growth [10][11]. - The report highlights the company's competitive advantages in product, channel, and supply chain management, which are expected to support stable growth in 2026 [10][11]. Consumer Goods - The report indicates a rebound in consumer sentiment, with a focus on personal care growth stocks. Companies like Baiya, Dengkang Dental, and Zhongshun Jierou are noted for their potential in the market [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the home furnishing and paper industries, indicating potential for valuation recovery and growth opportunities [3][5]. Core Insights - The home furnishing sector is at a valuation bottom, with real estate policies expected to catalyze upward valuation movements. Industry consolidation is accelerating, with a focus on companies with high dividend safety margins such as Gujia Home, Sophia, and Oppein [3][5]. - In the paper industry, short-term stability in corrugated box prices is noted, with an optimistic mid-term supply-demand balance expected to enhance industry profitability. Companies like Nine Dragons Paper are highlighted for exceeding performance expectations [3][5]. - Bull Group is positioned for steady recovery in its traditional business due to improving real estate and consumer sentiment, while new ventures in overseas markets, smart lighting, and renewable energy are opening growth avenues [3][5]. - Consumer sentiment is rebounding, with a focus on personal care growth stocks such as Baiya, Dengkang Dental, and Zhongshun Jierou [3][5]. Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - The sector is experiencing a valuation bottom, with real estate policies likely to improve market sentiment and demand. The increase in second-hand housing transactions is expected to support home furnishing demand, leading to a long-term expansion of the industry [5][6]. - The ongoing consolidation in the industry is pushing mid-tier companies out, while capital from industrial players is entering leading home furnishing firms, enhancing market concentration [5][6]. Paper Industry - Short-term price stability in corrugated boxes is observed, with a potential mid-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics expected to boost profitability. The report emphasizes the importance of integrated supply chains and cost advantages in companies like Sun Paper and Nine Dragons Paper [7][9]. - The report suggests that the paper industry is nearing a bottom, with cost structures supporting price stability and potential for upward movement in demand [7][9]. Bull Group - The company is expected to benefit from improving real estate conditions and consumer sentiment, with traditional business lines poised for recovery. New business areas such as smart lighting and renewable energy are anticipated to contribute to growth [11][12]. Consumer Goods - The report highlights a rebound in consumer sentiment, with a focus on personal care companies that are expected to show growth potential. Companies like Baiya and Dengkang Dental are noted for their promising performance in 2026 [14][15]. Packaging Industry - The report discusses the performance of overseas packaging companies, with Ball Corporation and Amcor showing strong results. Ball's revenue for FY25 reached $13.2 billion, a 12% increase year-on-year, while Amcor's revenue for FY26H1 was $11.2 billion, a 70% increase [15][16].

Group 1 - The company Baiya Co., Ltd. has stated on its interactive platform that it has not yet engaged in any cooperation with Pang Donglai [1]

Market Overview - The personal care products sector experienced a decline of 1.66% on January 30, with Zhongshun Jierou leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - The following stocks in the personal care sector showed notable performance: - Beijiajie (603059) increased by 10.00% to a closing price of 37.29, with a trading volume of 32,300 hands and a turnover of 118 million [1] - Reliable Co. (301009) rose by 1.21% to 13.38, with a trading volume of 32,700 hands and a turnover of 43.52 million [1] - Liangmian Needle (600249) saw a slight increase of 0.51% to 5.92, with a trading volume of 112,700 hands and a turnover of 66.34 million [1] - Zhongshun Jierou (002511) fell by 5.45% to 8.15, with a trading volume of 482,800 hands and a turnover of 400 million [2] Capital Flow - The personal care products sector experienced a net outflow of 105 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 42.76 million [2] - The following stocks had significant capital flow: - Beijiajie (603059) had a net inflow of 20.94 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 15.94 million from retail investors [3] - Zhongshun Jierou (002511) faced a net outflow of 21.64 million from institutional investors [3] - Reliable Co. (301009) had a minor net inflow of 0.57 million from institutional investors [3]

Group 1: Profit Forecasts - Dongcai Technology expects a net profit of approximately 300 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 65.73% [1] - Aerospace Electronics anticipates a net profit of 192 million to 247 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 55% to 65% year-on-year [2] - Oulai New Materials forecasts a loss of 33 million to 48 million yuan for 2025, compared to a profit of 28.17 million yuan in the previous year [3] - Jiu Ding New Materials projects a net profit of 85 million to 98 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 187.68% to 231.68% [5] - Chuan Yi Technology expects a net profit of 78 million to 103 million yuan for 2025, reversing a loss of 73.47 million yuan from the previous year [6] - Ju Yi Technology anticipates a net profit of 70 million to 105 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 228.36% to 392.54% [7] - ST Xifa forecasts a net profit of 110 million to 160 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 319.91% to 510.77% [19] - Light Media expects a net profit of approximately 1.5 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 413.67% to 550.65% [34] - Tianqi Lithium anticipates a profit of 369 million to 553 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 7.905 billion yuan in the previous year [31] Group 2: Loss Forecasts - Star Ring Technology expects a loss of 220 million to 250 million yuan for 2025, with a projected revenue of 420 million to 450 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.06% to 21.13% [9] - Filinger anticipates a loss of 65 million to 85 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 37.31 million yuan in the previous year [10] - Jiahe Meikang forecasts a loss of 240 million to 280 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 256 million yuan in the previous year [11] - Light Textile City expects a loss of 15 million to 22.5 million yuan for 2025 [23] - Ailon Technology anticipates a profit of 14.96 million to 22.44 million yuan for 2025, reversing a loss of 21.70 million yuan from the previous year [24] - ST Yun Chuang forecasts a loss of 139 million to 149 million yuan for 2025, with projected revenue of 53.5 million to 57.5 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.15% to 14.09% [42] - Meike Home expects a loss of 1.2 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 864 million yuan in the previous year [36] Group 3: Shareholder Actions - Huafeng Chemical announced that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.73% of the company's shares [8] - Naxinwei disclosed that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.75% of the company's shares [12] - Shikong Technology announced that a shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [13] - Yandong Micro disclosed that a shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% of the company's shares [37] - Daily Interaction announced that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.135% of the company's shares [41]

Core Viewpoint - The major shareholders of Baiya Co., Ltd. plan to reduce their holdings, which may impact the stock's performance in the near term [1] Shareholder Reduction Plans - The shareholder Zhongwang Yaohui Investment Co., Ltd. intends to reduce its stake by up to 3.938 million shares, accounting for 0.92% of the total share capital, within three months after the announcement [1] - Director Xie Qiulin also plans to reduce his holdings by up to 358,000 shares, representing 0.08% of the total share capital, during the same period [1] - The combined reduction from both parties amounts to a maximum of 4.296 million shares, which is 1% of the total share capital [1] Current Shareholding Structure - As of the announcement date, Zhongwang Yaohui holds 53.5722 million shares, which is 12.47% of the total shares [1] - Director Xie Qiulin holds 1.4331 million shares, representing 0.33% of the total shares [1]

关于持股 5%以上股东及公司董事减持股份预披露公告 公司持股 5%以上股东重望耀暉投資有限公司及董事谢秋林先生保证向本公司提供的 信息内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 特别提示： 持有重庆百亚卫生用品股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股份 5%以上的股东重望耀 暉投資有限公司（以下简称"重望耀暉"），计划自本公告披露之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月内通过集中竞价交易或大宗交易的方式合计减持公司股份数量不超过 3,938,000 股，即 不超过公司总股本的 0.92%。持有公司股份 1,433,100 股（占本公司总股本比例 0.33%）的 董事谢秋林先生，计划自本公告披露之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月内通过集中竞价交易或 大宗交易的方式合计减持公司股份数量不超过 358,000 股，即不超过公司总股本的 0.08%。 综上，重望耀暉和谢秋林先生本次合计减持公司股份数量不超过 4,296,000 股，即不超过公 司总股本的 1%（若在此期间有送股、资本公积金转增股本等股份变动事项，则对减持数量 进行相应调整）。 ...

Market Overview - The personal care products sector experienced a decline of 1.62% on January 28, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - The following stocks in the personal care sector showed notable price changes: - Zhongshun Jiesang: Closed at 8.58, up 0.70% with a trading volume of 244,800 shares and a turnover of 209 million yuan [1] - Yanjiang Co., Ltd.: Closed at 16.40, down 6.23% with a trading volume of 426,300 shares and a turnover of 73 million yuan [2] - Beijia Clean: Closed at 34.18, down 3.77% with a trading volume of 31,400 shares and a turnover of 109 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The personal care products sector saw a net outflow of 111 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 1.05 billion yuan [2] - The following stocks had significant capital flow: - Zhongshun Jiesang: Net inflow from institutional investors was 5.43 million yuan, with a retail net inflow of 15.08 million yuan [3] - Yanjiang Co., Ltd.: Experienced a net outflow of 1.25 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Beijia Clean: Had a net outflow of 2.60 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 12.19 million yuan from retail investors [3]