Core Viewpoint - The profitability of Chinese nuclear power companies is significantly impacted by the decline in market electricity prices due to increased market transactions and competition from renewable energy sources [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, China Nuclear Power's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.42% to 8.002 billion yuan, while China General Nuclear Power's net profit fell by 14.14% to 8.576 billion yuan [2]. - In Q3, China Nuclear Power's net profit dropped by 23.45% to 2.336 billion yuan, and China General Nuclear Power's net profit decreased by 8.81% to 2.624 billion yuan [2]. - The decline in profits is attributed to the impact of market electricity prices, with both companies indicating that increased participation in market transactions has led to lower market prices [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The average market price for electricity has decreased due to the overall decline in market transaction prices, with specific regional impacts noted in Guangdong and Guangxi [3]. - The transition from "planned electricity" to "market electricity" has resulted in a significant increase in market transaction volumes, from 10.7 trillion kWh during the 13th Five-Year Plan to 23.8 trillion kWh during the 14th Five-Year Plan [4]. Group 3: Strategic Responses - In response to market challenges, nuclear power companies are preparing by optimizing their nuclear energy operations and electricity sales [5]. - China Nuclear Power plans to track and adapt to new electricity market trading rules expected to be released by the end of the year, aiming to secure favorable trading conditions [5]. - The company is focusing on equipment manufacturing localization and design optimization to enhance the economic viability and competitiveness of new nuclear power units [5][6]. Group 4: Cost Management - China Nuclear Power is implementing measures to control upstream nuclear fuel costs, which account for approximately 20% of its operating costs [6]. - The company has secured stable long-term fuel costs by purchasing natural uranium and processing it into fuel components, alongside investments in uranium supply stability [6].

FF301 備註： | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 003816 | 說明 | A股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 39,334,986,100 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 39,334,986,100 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 39,334,986,100 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 39,334,986,100 | 公司名稱: 中國廣核電力股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月31日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 證券代號 (如上市) 01816 說明 H股 法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊股本 上月底結存 11,163,625,000 RMB 1 RM ...

Core Viewpoint - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) has experienced a decline in stock price and financial performance, with a notable decrease in revenue and net profit year-on-year, indicating potential challenges in the nuclear power sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of September 30, 2025, CGN reported operating revenue of 59.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.09% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.576 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.10% [2]. - Year-to-date stock price has decreased by 1.36%, with a slight decline of 0.25% over the last five trading days, but a notable increase of 9.64% over the last 20 days and 8.15% over the last 60 days [1]. Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders as of September 30, 2025, was 228,200, a decrease of 3.46% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 3.61% to 174,612 shares [2]. - CGN has distributed a total of 26.057 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 13.938 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Stockholder Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder was Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 7.487 billion shares, a decrease of 621 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF were among the top ten circulating shareholders, with respective holdings of 134 million shares and 96.822 million shares, both showing a decrease compared to the previous period [3]. Business Overview - CGN is primarily engaged in the construction, operation, and management of nuclear power plants, with electricity sales accounting for 78.27% of its main business revenue [1]. - The company is classified under the public utility sector, specifically in electricity and nuclear power generation [1].

Core Insights - The overall performance of the dividend style sector has been poor from early 2025 to October 28, 2025, while electricity demand has maintained steady growth, with a total electricity consumption of 7.77 trillion kilowatt-hours, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [2][3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, a "wide electricity volume, tight electricity supply" pattern is expected, with comprehensive electricity prices likely to stabilize [2][3] Electricity Sector - Coal prices have bottomed out and are expected to stabilize electricity prices; from the end of 2023 to mid-2025, coal prices have been declining, but began to rebound in July 2025, with the average clearing price in Jiangsu's electricity market reaching 395.60 yuan per megawatt-hour, an increase of 82.80 yuan per megawatt-hour month-on-month [3] - Hydropower remains stable with long-term investment value in a low-interest-rate environment; the net interest margin for hydropower has expanded by 69 basis points compared to the previous year [3] - Nuclear power's marketization ratio is gradually increasing, with a marketable electricity volume cap of 31.2 billion kilowatt-hours in 2026, a 14.3% increase from 2025; fluctuations in natural uranium prices have a minimal impact on operators [3] - Green electricity policies have seen uncertainty resolved, with market reforms entering a deeper phase; the wind power tax subsidy has decreased, indicating a policy bottom [4] Power Grid Equipment - The State Grid's investment in transmission and transformation equipment has seen significant growth, with a cumulative bidding amount of 68.188 billion yuan from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% [6] - The export of primary equipment has also maintained high growth, with liquid medium transformers, high-voltage switches, and energy meters showing significant year-on-year increases in export amounts [6] Investment Opportunities - Beneficial stocks include: - Thermal Power: Huaneng International, Huadian International, China Resources Power, Datang Power, and others [7] - Hydropower: Yangtze Power, Huaneng Hydropower, and others [7] - Nuclear Power: China National Nuclear Power, China General Nuclear Power, and others [7] - Green Power: Longyuan Power, China Power, and others [7] - Power Grid Equipment: Pinggao Electric, XJ Electric, and others [7]

Summary of China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) - **Reporting Period**: First three quarters of 2025 Key Financial Metrics - **On-grid Power Generation**: 217.09 billion kWh, a 3.17% year-over-year increase [2][3] - **Subsidiaries' Contribution**: 135.742 billion kWh, up 4.15% year-over-year [2][3] - **Revenue**: RMB 59.723 billion, a 4.09% decrease year-on-year [2][3][10] - **Net Attributable Profit**: RMB 8.576 billion, down 14.14% year-on-year; adjusted profit (excluding non-recurring items) was RMB 8.18 billion, reflecting a decline of 16.05% [2][3][10] - **Liability Ratio**: 60.8%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the end of 2024 [2][11] - **Interest Coverage Ratio**: Stable at 4.6 times year-on-year [2][11] Operational Performance - **Electricity Consumption Growth**: China's total electricity consumption grew by 4.6% year-on-year, reaching approximately 7.77 trillion kWh [2][4] - **Utilization Rate**: Average utilization rate of managed nuclear units increased to 5,750 hours, an improvement of 50 hours compared to last year [4] - **Refueling Outages**: Fewer refueling outages compared to the same period last year contributed positively to performance [4] Market Dynamics - **Market-based Power Transactions**: Accounted for 56.2% of total transactions, up five percentage points from last year; Guangdong province's share increased to approximately 31.8% [4][5] - **Average Market Transaction Price**: Decreased to RMB 0.356 per kWh, down approximately RMB 0.034 from the previous year [5][8] Significant Projects - **Cangnan Unit Two**: Commenced cold functional testing [6] - **HPR1,000 Batch Construction**: Progressing smoothly [6] - **Fangchenggang Unit Four**: Began commercial operation [6] - **Annual Maintenance**: Included twelve annual refueling outages and two ten-year outages, all conducted as planned [6] Future Outlook and Strategies - **Guangdong Power Market Transactions for 2026**: Up to 40% of power generated by specific nuclear plants will serve as the annual market transaction cap [2][14] - **Cost Management**: Focus on controlling inspection and maintenance costs, leveraging advanced technologies for efficiency [32] - **Dividend Policy**: Plans to align post-2025 dividend payouts with investor expectations and regulatory guidelines [32] Additional Insights - **Back Tax Payments**: Total of approximately RMB 1.2 billion, impacting net attributable profit by around RMB 300-400 million [20] - **VAT Refunds**: Positive progress for Yangjiang, with Fangchenggang facing challenges but still securing more refunds than last year [25][30] - **Asset Injection Plans**: Huizhou Nuclear Power to be injected into CGN by the end of 2025 [19] Conclusion CGN's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 reflects a mix of operational stability and financial challenges, influenced by market dynamics and strategic project developments. The company is focused on maintaining operational efficiency while navigating the evolving electricity market landscape.

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the public utility sector, including China Resources Power, Guodian Power, and Inner Mongolia Huadian [28]. Core Insights - The public utility sector is crucial for achieving national "dual carbon" goals, with a strong emphasis on environmental and social issues in the ESG evaluation framework [5][4]. - The ESG evaluation system for public utilities includes four categories of positive indicators and one category of negative indicators, focusing on objective assessment metrics [8][23]. - Recent policies from various government departments emphasize the need for green transformation, pollution prevention, and social welfare in the public utility sector [5][4]. Summary by Sections 1. ESG Policy in Public Utilities - The public utility sector is a major contributor to energy consumption and carbon emissions, making its green transformation essential for national goals [5]. - Key policies include the "14th Five-Year" energy conservation and emission reduction plan, which outlines specific requirements for green transformation and public service stability [5][4]. 2. ESG Evaluation System Construction - The ESG evaluation system consists of four positive categories: General Indicators, Environmental Indicators, Social Indicators, and Governance Indicators, with a total of 18 primary indicators and 35 secondary indicators [8][23]. - The negative category focuses on violations and penalties, with specific metrics for environmental, social, and governance aspects [23]. 3. General Indicators - General indicators assess the authenticity and standardization of ESG reports, including the basis for report preparation, third-party verification, and the publication of ESG-specific reports [10][9]. 4. Environmental Indicators - Environmental indicators are based on energy conservation, low carbon, and circular economy principles, with a total of four primary indicators focusing on emissions management, ecological compliance, resource utilization, and climate strategy [11][12]. 5. Social Indicators - Social indicators highlight the public utility sector's role in community development and social stability, with six primary indicators covering community contributions, employee development, innovation, supply chain responsibility, product safety, and core operational responsibilities [15][16][17]. 6. Governance Indicators - Governance indicators aim to enhance corporate governance and decision-making, with five primary indicators focusing on party leadership, industry reform, compliance risk management, governance structure, and information transparency [19][20][21]. 7. Negative Indicators - The negative indicators focus on compliance issues, with penalties for violations in environmental, social, and governance areas, deducting points for each violation [23][25].

Performance Overview - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's subsidiaries achieved a total electricity generation of 135.746 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.15% [1] - The total electricity generation from subsidiaries and joint ventures reached 172.179 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.17% [1] - The company's operating revenue was RMB 59.723 billion, a decrease of 4.09% year-on-year [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 8.576 billion, down 14.14% year-on-year; after excluding non-recurring gains, the net profit was RMB 8.180 billion, a decline of 16.05% [2] Operational Metrics - The company completed 15 major overhauls in the first three quarters, with a total overhaul duration of approximately 578 days, which is 28 days less than the previous year [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the company managed 20 units under construction, including 8 units entrusted by the controlling shareholder, with overall project construction progressing steadily [2] Financial Indicators - The company's Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA) decreased by 1.5 and 0.8 percentage points, respectively, compared to the same period last year, primarily due to a decline in average market electricity prices [2] - The debt-to-asset ratio stood at 60.8% as of September 30, 2025 [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities was RMB 20.792 billion, indicating a stable cash flow situation that supports the company's development [2] Market and Investment Insights - The marketization ratio of the company's managed nuclear power units in Guangdong Province was approximately 31.8% in the first three quarters, showing an increase year-on-year [3] - The average market electricity price has decreased due to overall declines in market transaction prices [3] - The 2026 marketization trading plan for Guangdong Province has been released, with a 5% increase in marketization ratio compared to 2025 and the removal of variable cost compensation for nuclear power [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to conduct 19 major overhauls in 2025, with 3 already completed by October 30, 2025, and expects a reduction in total overhaul days compared to 2024 [3] - The company is actively preparing for project approvals for nuclear power sites, aiming to meet the application conditions for more projects [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 4.70 and HKD 3.69 [6][5]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q3 2025 was RMB 20.556 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.21% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.40%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 2.624 billion, down 8.81% year-on-year and down 10.32% quarter-on-quarter, but within the expected range [1][2]. - The report highlights that the annual trading price for nuclear power in Guangdong is expected to increase in 2026 due to the cancellation of variable cost compensation, which could enhance profitability [3][5]. - The company is managing 20 nuclear power units under construction, with three expected to be operational by the end of 2025 and in 2026 [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 59.723 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.09%, and a net profit of RMB 8.576 billion, down 14.14% year-on-year [1][2]. - The total on-grid electricity from the company's nuclear power units increased by 3.17% year-on-year to 1,721.79 billion kWh [2]. Market Outlook - The cancellation of the variable cost compensation mechanism in Guangdong is expected to lead to a year-on-year increase in the trading price of nuclear power, with an estimated profit increase of approximately RMB 209 million for the company [3][5]. - The report anticipates that the average comprehensive electricity price for the company's market-oriented units in Guangdong will increase by about 5 cents per kWh [3]. Construction and Development - The company is progressing steadily with its construction projects, with three units expected to be operational in late 2025 and early 2026 [4][5]. - The company holds significant stakes in several nuclear power projects, with acquisitions still in progress [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains profit forecasts for the company at RMB 9.788 billion for 2025, RMB 10.789 billion for 2026, and RMB 11.326 billion for 2027 [5][10]. - The estimated PE ratio for 2026 is set at 22.0x, with a target price based on this valuation [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the public utility sector's central enterprises with a focus on the ESG evaluation system [1]. Core Insights - The establishment of the ESG evaluation system for public utilities is based on a balanced emphasis on environmental and social issues, crucial for achieving national carbon neutrality goals [3][9]. - The evaluation system consists of four categories of positive indicators and one category of negative indicators, with a total of 18 primary indicators and 35 secondary indicators [12][28]. - Key policies guiding the sector include promoting renewable energy, enhancing energy efficiency, and ensuring equitable public services [9][11]. Summary by Sections 1. ESG Policy: Balancing Environmental and Social Issues - The public utility sector is a major contributor to energy consumption and carbon emissions, making its green transition vital for national carbon goals [3][9]. - Recent policies emphasize the development of clean energy and pollution control, with specific directives from various government bodies [9][11]. 2. Constructing the ESG Evaluation System: Multi-Dimensional Assessment - The ESG evaluation system is structured with four positive categories: General Indicators, Environmental Indicators, Social Indicators, and Governance Indicators, along with one negative category for violations [12][28]. - Each category has specific indicators designed to objectively assess the performance of enterprises in the public utility sector [12][28]. 3. General Indicators - General indicators assess the authenticity and standardization of ESG reports, including the basis for report preparation, third-party verification, and the publication of ESG-specific reports [12][14]. 4. Environmental Indicators - Environmental indicators focus on energy efficiency and circular economy principles, with metrics for emissions management, ecological compliance, resource utilization, and climate strategy [15][17]. 5. Social Indicators - Social indicators highlight the sector's role in public service, with metrics for community contributions, employee development, innovation, supply chain responsibility, and customer rights [19][21]. 6. Governance Indicators - Governance indicators aim to enhance corporate governance standards, focusing on party leadership, industry reform, compliance risk management, governance structure, and information transparency [23][26]. 7. Negative Indicators - The negative category includes penalties for violations, with specific metrics for environmental, social, and governance infractions, where each violation results in a deduction of points [28][31]. 8. Valuation of Key Companies - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the public utility sector, indicating ratings and projected earnings per share (EPS) for the years 2025 to 2027 [34].

Group 1: Nuclear Power Development Outlook - The core viewpoint is that China's nuclear power development will continue to maintain a steady momentum over the next five years, as indicated by the recent guidelines from the Central Committee [1] - The expected annual approval of new nuclear units may decrease to around 8 from the previous 10, but the overall development scale will remain stable and continuous [1] - As of now, China has 59 operational nuclear units with a total installed capacity of 62.48 million kilowatts, and 53 units under construction with a capacity of 62.93 million kilowatts, leading to a total installed capacity exceeding 125 million kilowatts, maintaining the world's largest scale [1] Group 2: Advantages of Nuclear Power - Nuclear power is crucial for optimizing China's energy structure, providing a clean and efficient energy source that reduces reliance on traditional fossil fuels [2] - It plays a significant role in stabilizing energy supply, as it is not affected by weather or seasonal changes, ensuring a consistent power supply, especially during peak demand [2] - China has developed a complete nuclear power industrial system, accumulating rich experience in technology research, equipment manufacturing, construction, and operation management [2] Group 3: Challenges in Nuclear Power Sector - A major challenge facing the third-generation nuclear power plants is the issue of electricity pricing, which is closely linked to reducing construction costs [3] - Continuous efforts to lower construction costs are seen as key to enhancing the competitiveness of nuclear power [3] - The nuclear giant China General Nuclear Power Group has implemented comprehensive cost control from the design phase through to construction and management [3] Group 4: Safety and Sustainability Concerns - The positive outlook for nuclear energy development is fragile and can be reversed by a new nuclear accident, emphasizing the need for high-level nuclear safety [4] - China faces significant challenges in ensuring the safe operation of numerous nuclear units and maintaining construction quality during peak development periods [5]