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宁德时代锂矿停产,不会改写市场预期
高工锂电· 2025-08-11 12:09
年会预告 2025(第十五届)高工锂电年会 暨十五周年庆典&高工金球奖颁奖典礼 主办单位: 高工锂电、高工产研(GGII) 协办单位: 卡洛维德 总冠名: 海目星激光 年会特别赞助: 大族锂电 专场冠名: 欣旺达、英联复合集流体、逸飞激光、华视集团、欧科工业空调 金球奖全程特约赞助: 思客琦 时间&地点: 2025年11月18-20日 深圳前海华侨城JW万豪酒店 会议合作: 陈女士 13560731836(微信同号) 8 月 11 日,宁德时代枧下窝矿区传出停产消息。 宁德时代方面表示,枧下窝矿区采矿资质于 8 月 9 日到期,目前已暂停开采作业,根据有关法律 要求,需要办理延续申请。目前,宜春其他主要矿区还在正常生产经营中。 此前,坊间一直流传着宁德时代枧下窝矿区停产的消息,成为影响近期碳酸锂价格波动的核心原因 之一。 靴子落地后立刻引发市场反应。港股开盘后,锂业股大涨。截至上午 9 点半,永杉锂业竞价涨 停,盛新锂能、威领股份、天齐锂业、融捷股份、永兴材料、赣锋锂业等涨超 5% 。 同时,早盘碳酸锂期货所有合约均触及涨停,其中主力合约开盘直接涨停,涨幅 8% ,报 81000 元 / 吨。 市场分析预计, ...
市场快讯:宁德枧下窝锂矿停产碳酸锂开盘涨停
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-08-11 11:43
宁德时代8月11日在互动平台表示,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已 暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢 复生产、该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 机下窝采矿规模4500万吨/年,平均品位(氧化锂含量)0.27%,满产状态下年 产碳酸锂 6 万吨,每月产量可达 5000-6000吨,占去年全国总产量的9.4%。2024年 生产碳酸锂生产现金成本8.77万,叠加锂资源税,完全成本超10万,成本明显偏高, 市场竞争力较低。 本次视下窝停产,市场已有预期,上周四、五两个交易日,碳酸锂主力合约价 对宜春其他锂矿而言,由于其余矿山采矿证到期时间均在2027年之后,短期并 综合来看,短期情绪掉下碳酸锂价格价格偏强运行,但需警惕高价不可持续 格已上涨10.54%,现消息落地后预期兑现,价格继续上涨至8.1万元/吨。一方面, 目前下游大量备库意愿较低,多以刚需为主,难以接受如此高价位原料;另一方面, 若长时间维持该价格,其余碳酸锂厂家盈利空间恢复,供给将迅速得到补充,综合 来看,目前基本面供过于求情况下,短期超涨概率较大,之后价格仍将面临回调。 无到期重新审批问题。而新《矿产资源法》 ...
宁德时代所属锂矿“断供”带火行情,锂矿板块爆发
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 11:33
8月11日,宁德时代在投资者互动平台表示,公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停了开采作 业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请,待获得批复后将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公司整体经营影 响不大。 具体停产的系宁德时代旗下江西枧下窝锂矿采矿端。公开资料显示,该锂矿在2022年以657万吨碳酸锂 当量创下全球单体最大锂云母矿纪录,也是宜春地区目前产能最大的锂云母矿之一。该矿区及配套冶炼 厂的碳酸锂供应量约为1万吨/月,约占国内总产量的12.5%。 一名锂资源贸易商告诉贝壳财经记者,据其了解,宁德时代为应对该矿山停产影响,在约十天前已开始 大规模备货。 一德期货指出,目前已经明确枧下窝矿区采矿端停产,据悉后期其选矿以及冶炼也会陆续停产,停产使 得供给端每月减少0.9万吨,刚好目前下游市场也逐渐进入了补库时间节点,所以月度供需格局转换, 由过剩变为短缺。年度供需看,由于停产时间周期并未明确,难以评估是否会扭转年度供需平衡格局。 长江有色提出,锂云母矿提锂工艺存在成本高、环保压力大等痛点,宁德时代或借停产期推进技术升 级,为后续复产后的低成本竞争蓄力。而在碳酸锂价格长期低迷背景下(2025年电池级碳酸锂均价较 202 ...
现在是牛市的第几个阶段?
Datayes· 2025-08-11 11:04
A股复盘 | 现在是牛市的第几个阶段 / 2025.08.11 昨天发完文章就发现我的小红书账号被永久封禁了!吓得我赶紧把周报里关于社保的一些内容删了,所以看起来有点割裂,见谅哈! 今天有人在群里发,牛市的六个阶段: 第一个阶段,不相信会涨; 第二个阶段,相信会补跌; 第三个阶段,涨到不相信; 第四个阶段,涨到肯相信; 第五个阶段,不涨不相信; 第六个阶段,不相信不涨。 现在到哪个阶段了? 哈哈哈,我怎么感觉到第四个了!沪指马上拿下3674了,还有不相信的? 今天行情其实跟预想的差不多,但凡周五行情拉垮,周一都会修复修复,热点也跟预料的差不多,锂矿、新疆概念、算力硬件等。 不过今天看了瑞银的一个报告,发现外资还在观望啊,赶紧来买啊!!再不买就要下跌了,哈哈哈。 我这两天猛猛买,一般我有这种症状的 时候呢,可能就是要套住的征兆了。 国际机构投资者在中国股票上的配置在2025年二季度总体保持不变(-1.6%,一季度为-1.5%),因投资者在关税不确定性与上一季度大涨 后采取了观望态度。瑞银观察到不同策略基金间的资金流向出现分化:新兴市场基金减轻低配程度,而全球基金则小幅减持中国仓位。前40 大全球投资者的中国股票 ...
宁德时代旗下锂矿停产引爆市场 碳酸锂期、现、股联动大涨
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-11 10:45
Core Viewpoint - The confirmation of the shutdown of the Jiangxiawo mine by CATL has reignited market sentiment to buy lithium prices, leading to significant increases in lithium futures and related stocks [1][10] Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the shutdown announcement, all lithium carbonate futures contracts, except for the soon-to-be-delivered LC2508, hit the daily limit, with domestic lithium carbonate spot prices and lithium mining stocks rising sharply [1][9] - Ganfeng Lithium's H-shares saw an intraday increase of over 20% [1] - The average market price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate rose by 2,560 yuan to 74,520 yuan per ton, with other benchmarks also reflecting significant increases [9] Group 2: Trading Activity - The trading activity in lithium carbonate futures has intensified, with the trading position ratio for the "new main" LC2511 contract rising to approximately 2.8 times [2][16] - The total open interest for lithium carbonate futures increased from 69,000 contracts to 78,200 contracts between August 6 and 8, indicating a net increase of about 9,000 contracts [7] Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The shutdown of the Jiangxiawo mine is expected to reduce supply by approximately 0.9 million tons per month, as the associated three lithium carbonate refining enterprises have a combined capacity of 100,000 tons [13] - The mine's mining rights, which began on August 9, 2022, are set to expire on August 9, 2025, and there is potential for resumption of operations if the renewal application is approved [6][14] Group 4: Future Outlook - Despite the current bullish sentiment, there are differing opinions on the future price trajectory of lithium carbonate, with some analysts suggesting limited further price increases due to potential increases in imports and domestic processing output [13][14] - The market is also experiencing increased speculation, as evidenced by the significant fluctuations in trading positions and the potential for regulatory adjustments by exchanges in response to rapid price movements [17][18]
机器人大会应用及降本双提速,智能化再成能力瓶颈
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-11 10:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for the sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential of robotics in reducing costs and expanding applications in various fields, including home companionship, healthcare, logistics, and industrial sectors. It suggests that the robotics market will experience a surge similar to the early days of autonomous driving [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with strong scene implementation capabilities and suggests focusing on high-end markets and strong alpha enterprises such as NIO, JAC, Li Auto, and Xiaomi [4]. - The automotive market is expected to see numerous new model launches and deliveries in August, driven by supply and strong alpha performance [4]. Industry Updates - In the week of July 28 to August 3, 2025, retail sales of passenger cars reached 462,000 units, a month-on-month increase of 5.24% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.28%. Traditional energy vehicles sold approximately 217,000 units, while new energy vehicles sold 245,000 units, with a penetration rate of 53.03% [4]. - The automotive industry recorded a total transaction value of 523.07 billion yuan, with the automotive index rising by 2.68% during the week [4][22]. - The report notes that traditional and new energy raw material price indices have both increased recently, indicating rising costs in the industry [4]. Market Situation - The automotive industry index outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, ranking 7th among all sectors in terms of weekly growth [22]. - A total of 259 automotive stocks rose, while 31 fell, with the largest gainers being Zhongma Transmission, Huami New Materials, and Aerospace Science and Technology [28]. Key Events - The 2025 World Robot Conference showcased advancements in embodied intelligence and robotics, highlighting the potential for industrial applications [5]. - BYD announced an OTA upgrade for its Song L EV model, enhancing its intelligent driving capabilities [10]. - The launch of the Geely Galaxy A7 fills a gap in the mid-size car market, with a price range of 81,800 to 117,800 yuan [17][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic strong alpha manufacturers such as Li Auto, NIO, Xiaomi, and Xpeng, as well as companies involved in intelligent trends and state-owned enterprise reforms [4]. - It suggests monitoring component manufacturers with strong performance growth and robotics capabilities, recommending companies like Fuyao Glass and New Spring [4].
【实探】宁德时代宜春锂云母矿准时停产,有人深夜上山蹲守!
券商中国· 2025-08-11 10:31
8月11日, 宁德时代在互动平台表示, 公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停了开采作业,正按相关规定尽快办理采矿证延续申请 ,待获得批复后 将尽早恢复生产,该事项对公司整体经营影响不大。 以下文章来源于e公司 ,作者证券时报 李小平 e公司 . e公司,证券时报旗下专注上市公司新媒体产品,立志打造A股上市公司资讯第一平台。提供7x24小时上市公司标准化快讯,针对可能影响上市公司股价的 主题概念、行业事件及时采访二次解读,从投资者需求出发,直播上市公司有价值的活动、会议。 过去一个月,围绕着江西宜春8家涉锂矿山企业需要在9月底前完成储量核实报告编制的消息,一直扰动着碳酸锂价格走向。 宁德时代旗下宜春时代新能源矿业有限公司在8家涉锂矿山企业之列,其拥有的宜丰县圳口里—奉新县枧下窝矿区陶瓷土(下称"枧下窝矿区")(含锂)的采矿权始于 2022年8月9日,将于2025年8月9日到期,且产能规模较大。因此,是否停产最为受人关注。 围绕着枧下窝矿区采矿权问题,在到期前的最后一个工作日(即8月8日),证券时报记者曾多次致电宁德时代证券部,但电话一直无人接通。 面对市场种种猜测,宁德时代近期多次对外称枧下窝矿区仍在正 ...
A股,全线爆发!近4200股飘红
证券时报· 2025-08-11 10:13
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a broad increase on August 11, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, marking six consecutive days of gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.34% to 3647.55 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.46% to 11291.43 points, and the ChiNext Index surged by 1.96% to 2379.82 points [1][2] - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 18501 billion, an increase of 1135 billion from the previous day [1][2] Sector Performance PEEK Materials - The PEEK materials sector saw significant gains, with companies like Huami New Materials and Shuangyi Technology hitting the 20% daily limit up, and others like Zhongyan New Materials rising approximately 15% [6][8] - PEEK materials are recognized for their low density, high strength, and chemical stability, making them essential for lightweight humanoid robots, enhancing their performance and reliability [8] AI Industry Chain - Stocks in the AI industry chain were notably active, with companies like Weirgao and Dazhu Laser reaching the 20% limit up, and others like Tiancheng Technology and Luyiguangdian also showing strong performance [10][12] - The recent release of OpenAI's GPT-5 is expected to accelerate AI applications and commercialization, benefiting internet companies and enhancing the AI investment landscape [10][12] Lithium Mining - The lithium mining sector saw a collective rise, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong market interest [14][16] - The expiration of mining permits for certain lithium projects is expected to impact domestic lithium carbonate production by nearly 12%, potentially leading to a tightening supply and higher lithium prices [16]
实探丨宁德时代宜春锂云母矿准时停产,有人深夜上山蹲守!
证券时报· 2025-08-11 10:13
过去一个月,围绕着江西宜春8家涉锂矿山企业需要在9月底前完成储量核实报告编制的消息,一直扰动着碳酸锂价格走向。 宁德时代旗下宜春时代新能源矿业有限公司在8家涉锂矿山企业之列,其拥有的宜丰县圳口里—奉新县枧下窝矿区陶瓷土(下称"枧下窝矿区")(含锂)的采矿权始于 2022年8月9日,将于2025年8月9日到期,且产能规模较大。因此,是否停产最为受人关注。 以下文章来源于e公司 ,作者证券时报 李小平 e公司 . e公司,证券时报旗下专注上市公司新媒体产品,立志打造A股上市公司资讯第一平台。提供7x24小时上市公司标准化快讯,针对可能影响上市公司股价的 主题概念、行业事件及时采访二次解读,从投资者需求出发,直播上市公司有价值的活动、会议。 围绕着枧下窝矿区采矿权问题,在到期前的最后一个工作日(即8月8日),证券时报记者曾多次致电宁德时代证券部,但电话一直无人接通。 枧下窝矿区位于宜丰县与奉新县的交界处,站在山下的宜丰县花桥乡湖溪眺望,远远就能看到山顶的矿山区,作业区的挖掘机一动不动,也没有听到轰鸣的机器声。 与前几次记者实地探访不同的是,原来一片白茫茫的矿区,很多地方披上了绿装。对比以前记者拍摄的照片,山顶的高度 ...
【数据看盘】锂矿股获多路资金抢筹 机构、量化激烈博弈宁波韵升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 10:05
沪深股通今日合计成交2270亿,其中贵州茅台和宁德时代分居沪股通和深股通个股成交额首位。板块主力资金方面, 电子板块主力资金净流入居首。ETF成交方面,中证1000ETF(512100)成交额环比增长209.8%。期指持仓方面,IH期指 主力合约空头加仓数量大于多头。龙虎榜方面,超捷股份获机构买入1.11亿;恒宝股获机构买入1.19亿,遭华泰证券天 津东丽开发区二纬路营业部净卖出1.54亿;中欣氟材遭机构卖出1.54亿;北方长龙遭机构卖出超8000万;大族激光获国 泰海通南京太平南路营业部净买入2.99亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1102.52亿,深股通总成交金额为1167.48亿。 | | | | 沪股通( 8月11日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金額 (亿元) | 前一交易日净买入额 (亿元) | 涨幅(%) | | 1 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 24.52 | | | | 2 | 601138 | 工业营联 | 14.37 | | | | 3 | 601899 | ...