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大行评级丨交银国际:锂电板块阶段性回调或为布局提供窗口 关注宁德时代
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 02:30
交银国际发表研究报告指,11月内地动力电池装车量延续增长,出口维持稳健。根据中国汽车动力电池 产业创新联盟数据,2025年11月内地动力电池装车量93.5 GWh,按年增长39.2%,按月增长11.2%。该 行指,12月电池环节排产按月延续增长,建议关注锂电板块近期调整后的配置机遇。当前行业基本面稳 健、排产持续向上,板块阶段性回调或为布局提供窗口。个股方面,该行建议关注具有成本和技术优 势,以及出海布局领先的宁德时代。 ...
26年储能年度策略:全球开花,开启两年持续高增新周期
2025-12-17 02:27
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The global energy storage market is experiencing significant growth, with installed capacity expected to reach 330-350 GWh in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50-60% [1][2][3] - By 2026, the market is projected to grow to over 500 GWh, with a growth rate of 60-70% [1][2][3] - The energy storage battery supply is expected to remain tight until at least Q2 2026, which may sustain high profitability across the industry [2][3] Regional Insights China - The Chinese energy storage market is benefiting from policy support and innovative business models, with a projected 50% year-on-year growth in large-scale storage capacity in 2025 [1][2][3] - By 2026, growth may exceed 60%, with total installed capacity reaching 260-270 GWh [2][3] - The introduction of capacity pricing policies has improved project profitability, with over 20 provinces expected to meet conditions for rapid growth [2][3][7] United States - The U.S. market is driven by the construction of AI data centers, with a projected growth rate of around 50% in 2026 [1][2][3] - The demand for energy storage is expected to increase significantly due to the high electricity demand from AI data centers, which may account for over 20% of total electricity consumption by 2030 [9][10] - The U.S. energy storage market is expected to see a 45% growth rate in 2025, with a backlog of projects due to previous supply chain issues [14][15] Europe - The European energy storage market is expected to double in size by 2025, with significant growth driven by government subsidies and the transition to renewable energy [1][2][3][15] - Countries like Italy, Greece, and Bulgaria are leading the charge, with Italy planning to auction 57 GWh by 2030 [15] - The overall growth rate in Europe is expected to maintain over 30% annually after 2025 [15] Emerging Markets - Emerging markets, including the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Australia, are also experiencing rapid growth, with Australia expected to see a doubling of energy storage capacity due to strong subsidy policies [1][2][3][16] - The Middle East is set to see significant project launches, with major projects expected to exceed 40 GWh in 2026 [16] Market Dynamics - The energy storage battery cell industry is facing a supply shortage, which is expected to continue into 2026, impacting pricing and availability [21][40] - Companies are increasingly collaborating with battery manufacturers to develop large battery cell models, enhancing integration and cost efficiency [22][40] Investment Opportunities - Key players expected to benefit from the growth in global energy storage demand include CATL, Aiko, and major system integrators like Sungrow and Huawei [24][43] - The investment strategy should focus on large-scale storage and emerging markets, particularly in Australia and Ukraine, where growth potential is significant [45] Conclusion - The energy storage market is poised for substantial growth across various regions, driven by technological advancements, policy support, and increasing demand from sectors like AI and renewable energy. Companies that adapt to these trends and collaborate effectively within the supply chain are likely to thrive in this evolving landscape [1][2][3][45]
岚图汽车与宁德时代签署深化合作协议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 01:56
岚图汽车与宁德时代签署深化合作协议。双方将在新技术合作、产品供应、全球市场协同等领域展开全 方位深度协同,确保岚图汽车未来动力电池的稳定供应与技术领先性,持续提升在电池技术与供应链安 全领域的综合竞争力。 东风汽车董事、总经理、党委副书记冯长军,岚图汽车董事长、党委书记卢 放,宁德时代董事长兼CEO曾毓群、市场体系联席总裁韩伟等出席座谈并共同见证签约。岚图汽车总经 理蒋焘,宁德时代国内乘用车产品线副总裁罗慧萍分别代表双方签署协议。 与宁德时代达成长期深化 合作,是岚图汽车坚持"长期主义"理念的生动实践,更是与核心供应商伙伴打造风险共担、价值共享、 命运与共"共赢链"的又一关键举措。通过前瞻性布局,不断完善的产品矩阵,自立自强的技术创新,岚 图汽车正稳步构建起面向未来的体系化核心竞争力,在打造央国企转型新标杆的同时,也持续彰显中国 高端新能源品牌向上攀登的自信和实力。(岚图汽车) ...
心智观察所|谁来叫醒那只青蛙:中国新能源出海的隐秘战场
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-17 00:39
Core Insights - The article discusses the complexities and challenges faced by Chinese new energy companies in their global expansion efforts, highlighting both risks and opportunities in the process [1][16]. Group 1: Compliance and Regulatory Challenges - Chinese new energy companies are encountering unexpected compliance challenges, such as environmental assessments being delayed due to local wildlife, exemplified by a case involving a rare frog in Sweden [3][6]. - The 2016 "child labor" scandal involving Huayou Cobalt in the Democratic Republic of Congo serves as a significant example of the reputational risks and compliance issues that can arise in international operations [4][5]. - Companies are increasingly recognizing that ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) compliance is not merely a superficial requirement but a core competitive advantage that can influence customer trust and market access [5][10]. Group 2: Hidden Costs and Political Risks - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding hidden costs, such as compliance costs and political risks, which can significantly impact project success beyond visible expenses like land prices and taxes [6][8]. - Geopolitical tensions are complicating the compliance landscape, with environmental accusations often serving as tools in political disputes, as illustrated by a case involving Ningde Times in Hungary [8][9]. Group 3: Strategic Adaptations - Companies are adapting by engaging in the formulation of international standards and regulations, as seen with Ningde Times participating in the EU Battery Law expert committee [10][11]. - A shift towards deep localization is being adopted, where companies implement a three-tier employee structure to balance technical expertise with local operational needs [11][13]. - The necessity for cultural adaptation is highlighted, particularly in mining investments, where understanding local customs and building trust with indigenous communities is crucial for project success [13][14]. Group 4: Evolution of Legal Roles - The role of legal departments is evolving from a reactive "firefighting" function to a proactive "strategic advisory" role, focusing on risk identification and compliance strategy [15][16]. - Legal teams are expected to become more integrated into business operations, requiring a deeper understanding of industry dynamics and resource coordination [15][16]. Group 5: Conclusion and Future Outlook - The article concludes that the journey of Chinese new energy companies in global markets is just beginning, with the need for continuous adaptation to complex regulatory environments and geopolitical landscapes [16][18].
英国金融时报:投资者押注中国企业将推动全球人工智能建设
美股IPO· 2025-12-16 23:06
Investors bet on Chinese companies powering global AI build-out 尽管面临美国关税,像电池制造商 宁德时代 这样的公司仍能从出口销售中获得丰厚的利润。 © Johannes Simon/Getty Images 今年以来,中国电池、变压器和其他对全球人工智能建设至关重要的设备制造商的股价飙升,因 为耗电量巨大的数据中心正在争相寻找替代不堪重负的传统电网的方案。 得益于国内外需求的推动,全球最大的电池制造商宁德时代(CATL)和仅次于 特斯拉 的全球 第二大集成储能系统供应商 阳光电源 (Sungrow)等中国企业的利润大幅飙升。 今年以来,宁德时代(CATL)的股价上涨了45%,阳光电源(Sungrow)的股价上涨了130%。这 两家公司是深圳证券交易所沪深新能源指数中市值最大的两家公司,该指数在2025年已上涨了 38%。 "突然间,人们开始争相抢购这些电力设备,"伯恩斯坦负责全球储能行业的股票研究分析师布莱 恩·何表示。 这两家中国公司均未披露其在美国的销售额,但官方数据显示,中国占美国电池和储能系统进口 的大部分。 "中国不仅在为中国自身提供 ...
前11个月动力电池产销增逾五成 应用边界不断拓展
中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟日前发布的数据显示,今年前11个月,我国动力和其他电池累计产量和 销量分别为1468.8GWh、1412.5GWh,同比分别增长51.1%、54.7%。亮眼的数据背后,折射出我国电池 产业规模强劲的增长势头。 ● 本报记者李嫒嫒 规模优势显著 今年前11个月,我国动力电池累计销量为1044.3GWh,占总销量73.9%,同比增长50.3%;其他电池累 计销量为368.2GWh,占总销量26.1%,同比增长68.9%。 "未来五年,材料创新将支撑动力电池朝着高比能和高性价比双向演进。"中国汽车工程学会理事长张进 华表示,预计到2030年,固液混合电池能量密度将突破450Wh/kg,全面满足车规级高性能需求,进入 规模化商业应用阶段。 同时,他认为随着船舶、重卡、低空经济等多元场景的电动化进程加快,动力电池应用边界不断拓展。 到2030年,动力电池市场将由以汽车领域主导,转向"交通+工业+特种+储能"多元化发展的新格局。 中国证券报记者注意到,宁德时代、国轩高科(002074)等电池企业纷纷加速布局电动船舶领域。宁德 时代表示,在电动船舶领域,搭载宁德时代电池的各类电船已近900艘,公 ...
前11个月动力电池产销增逾五成应用边界不断拓展
中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟日前发布的数据显示,今年前11个月,我国动力和其他电池累计产量和 销量分别为1468.8GWh、1412.5GWh,同比分别增长51.1%、54.7%。亮眼的数据背后,折射出我国电池 产业规模强劲的增长势头。 规模优势显著 今年前11个月,我国动力电池累计销量为1044.3GWh,占总销量73.9%,同比增长50.3%;其他电池累 计销量为368.2GWh,占总销量26.1%,同比增长68.9%。 在全球市场中,中国锂电产业已占据核心地位。今年前11个月,我国动力电池累计出口169.8GWh,占 总出口量65.2%,同比增长40.6%;其他电池累计出口量为90.5GWh,占总出口量34.8%,同比增长 51.4%。 据悉,今年前三季度,"新三样"出口总额超过9000亿元,其中锂电池贡献近4000亿元,占比超过四成。 在近200GWh的锂电池出口总量中,宁德时代出口120GWh,占比近六成。 ● 本报记者 李嫒嫒 应用场景加速拓宽 "未来五年,材料创新将支撑动力电池朝着高比能和高性价比双向演进。"中国汽车工程学会理事长张进 华表示,预计到2030年,固液混合电池能量密度将突破450W ...
聚合顺:公司与宁德时代、特斯拉无合作关系
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-16 14:11
证券日报网讯12月16日,聚合顺(605166)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司与宁德时代 (300750)、特斯拉无合作关系。 ...
固态电池企业,打响涨价“第一枪”
DT新材料· 2025-12-16 14:05
2026未来产业新材料博览会 (FINE),围绕机器人、汽车、无人机、数据中心、航空航天、AI、新能源等未 来产业共性需求特设6大展区, N3 先进电池与能源材料展区 聚焦 固态 电池 、 钠电池 、钙钛矿、液流电池、电容器 等 , 欢迎咨询:18957804107 【DT新材料】 获 悉,据 德加能源 公司披露的通知,受锂电池原材料价格大幅上涨的影响,其电池生产成本提高,为保障长期稳定供应与产品品质,决定自12月 16日起,电池产品售价在现行目录价基础上上调15%。 涨价公告,图片来源:德加能源 公开资料显示, 德加能源 成立于2022年,专注于 高性能固态电池及其核心材料研发生产,产品应用领域涵盖动力、智能消费、储能、智能机器人、低空 经济等。 天眼查APP显示,公司共经历三轮融资,投资人包括清研资本、昆高新集团、九智资本等。 公司拥有万吨级固态电解质生产基地、GWh级固态电池生产基地及固态电池系统集成基地,且固态电池产品已于2025年量产,实现商业化应用。不过,该 公司并未披露公司固态电池产品是全固态电池还是半固态电池。 另据媒体报道,另一家固态电池企业孚能科技近日也于投资者互动平台表示, 当前部分原材 ...
主力资金丨7股尾盘主力资金大幅净流出
8股获主力资金净流入超3亿元 从个股来看,53股主力资金净流入超1亿元,8股获主力资金净流入超3亿元。 永辉超市主力资金净流入12.39亿元,今日零售概念再度活跃,永辉超市、百大集团、欧亚集团、红旗 连锁等涨停。消息面上,12月14日,商务部等三部门联合印发《关于加强商务和金融协同更大力度提振 消费的通知》。 航天发展主力资金今日净流入11.72亿元。龙虎榜数据显示,上榜营业部席位全天成交25.08亿元,合计 净卖出6886.28万元。 (原标题:主力资金丨7股尾盘主力资金大幅净流出) 今日有7个行业主力资金净流入。 A股三大指数今日(12月16日)集体回调。行业板块呈现普跌态势,贵金属、船舶制造、电源设备、风 电设备、有色金属、光伏设备、文化传媒、小金属、采掘行业跌幅居前,商业百货板块逆市走强。 从今日主力资金情况来看,沪深两市全天主力资金净流出520.66亿元。今日有7个行业主力资金净流 入,商贸零售行业主力资金净流入18.82亿元,远超其他行业;银行、纺织服饰行业主力资金净流入金 额分别为4.07亿元、1.98亿元;其他行业主力资金净流入金额均不超过亿元。 24个主力资金净流出行业中,电力设备行业主力资 ...