证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2025 年 12 月 02 日 陆嘉怡 S0820124120008 021-32229888-25521 lujiayi@ajzq.com 电力设备 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《数据中心能耗和功率提升推动供电架构革新， SST 市场空间广阔》2025-11-26 《储能锂电需求向好，锂电材料价格温和抬升》 2025-11-25 《10 月光伏出口环比下滑，储能需求旺盛》 2025-11-25 《动力和储能电池需求强劲，原材料和电芯价 格明显回升》2025-11-19 《电新行业 2025Q3 公募基金持仓分析》 2025-11-19 朱攀 S0820525070001 021-32229888-25527 zhupan@ajzq.com 联系人 行业及产业 动力和储能锂电需求向好，锂电材料价 格涨跌互现 ——锂电行业跟踪 强于大市 投资要点： 排产：10 月份锂电行业排产超预期。2025 年 1-10 月，国内电池和磷酸铁锂正极材料产量 明显高于 2024 年同期。2025 年 10 月，国内电池产量 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [2]. Core Views - The demand for energy storage lithium batteries is strong, and the prices of lithium battery materials are rising moderately [6]. - In October 2025, domestic battery production reached 170.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 50.84% and a month-on-month increase of 12.83% [6][2]. - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials in October 2025 was 266,900 tons, up 45.92% year-on-year and 8.36% month-on-month, with a capacity utilization rate of 63.54% [6][2]. - The prices of key raw materials have generally increased, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate exceeding 92,400 yuan/ton, a weekly increase of 10.13% [7][2]. - The monthly loading volume of LFP batteries in October 2025 was 67.5 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% and a month-on-month increase of 8.52% [15][2]. - The export volume of Chinese power batteries in October 2025 was 19.4 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 79.63% [21][2]. Summary by Sections Production - In the first ten months of 2025, domestic battery and LFP cathode material production significantly exceeded the same period in 2024 [6][2]. Prices - The prices of lithium battery raw materials have generally risen, with LFP prices at 38,100 yuan/ton and lithium hexafluorophosphate prices reaching 160,000 yuan/ton [7][2]. Domestic Demand - The monthly loading volume of LFP batteries reached a record high in October 2025, indicating strong domestic demand [15][2]. Overseas Demand - The global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2.1078 million units in September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.53% [21][2].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [2] Core Insights - Strong demand for power and energy storage batteries, with significant recovery in raw material and cell prices [2] - Domestic battery and lithium iron phosphate cathode material production in 2025 is significantly higher than in 2024, with October production reaching 170.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 50.84% [5][21] - The price of lithium carbonate has risen from approximately 70,000 yuan/ton in mid-September to over 84,000 yuan/ton in mid-November [9][10] - Domestic new energy storage demand remains robust, with a continuous increase in the number of registered projects [2] Summary by Sections 1. Battery Demand and Price Recovery - **Production**: In the first ten months of 2025, domestic battery and lithium iron phosphate cathode material production exceeded that of the same period in 2024. In October 2025, domestic battery production was 170.6 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 50.84% and a month-on-month increase of 12.83% [5] - **Prices**: Raw material prices have shown a significant recovery, with lithium carbonate prices rising to over 84,000 yuan/ton and lithium iron phosphate prices exceeding 37,000 yuan/ton by mid-November [9][10] - **Domestic Demand**: From January to October 2025, the monthly installation of lithium iron phosphate batteries consistently surpassed that of 2024, with October showing a year-on-year increase of 43.62% [21][24] - **Overseas Demand**: In the same period, China's power battery exports were higher than in 2024, with October exports reaching 2.1078 million units, a year-on-year increase of 23.53% [29]