Group 1 - ASMPT's stock price dropped over 6%, currently at 87.55 HKD with a trading volume of 165 million HKD [1] - The company announced a board meeting on October 28 to consider and approve the release of its unaudited consolidated performance for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, which will be published after market close on that day [1] - Morgan Stanley predicts ASMPT may report a loss in Q3 due to one-time restructuring expenses but encourages investors to focus on long-term growth drivers such as CoWoS-L capacity expansion, development of high-frequency memory in China, and hybrid bonding progress [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley's Q3 revenue guidance for ASMPT is a median of 475 million USD, representing an 11% year-over-year growth [1] - The firm believes ASMPT's revenue will meet the guidance but expects a one-time restructuring expense of approximately 360 million RMB, leading to a net loss of about 69 million RMB during the period [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively rose, with the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by over 1%, indicating a potential for a "three consecutive rises" [1] - Technology stocks, chip stocks, and Chinese brokerage stocks showed significant upward movement, with major holdings in the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) including Baidu, ASMPT, Alibaba, Xpeng Motors, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and SMIC experiencing notable gains [1] - Guotai Junan Securities suggests that if the US-China tariff conflict is nearing its end, a stabilization in the political cycle could enhance risk appetite, benefiting the Hang Seng Tech Index and low-priced offshore stocks [1] Group 2 - As of October 24, the latest valuation (PETTM) of the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) was 23.28 times, which is below the historical average for approximately 70% of the time since the index's inception, indicating a potentially undervalued position [2] - The Hong Kong tech sector is expected to benefit from current trends in AI, with the backdrop of potential Fed rate cuts leading to unexpected foreign capital inflows, alongside continuous increases in southbound capital [2]

每经AI快讯，ASMPT(00522.HK)盘中涨超5%，截至发稿，涨5.65%，报87.95港元，成交额7752.94万港 元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT's stock has risen over 5%, reflecting positive market sentiment driven by a recovery in semiconductor demand and growth in the advanced packaging market [1] Company Summary - ASMPT's stock price increased by 5.65%, reaching HKD 87.95, with a trading volume of HKD 77.52 million [1] - The company is expected to maintain an order shipment ratio of over 1x in Q3 [1] - For Q3, ASMPT's revenue guidance median is set at USD 475 million, indicating a year-on-year growth of 11% [1] - Despite the revenue guidance, the company is anticipated to incur a one-time restructuring expense of approximately RMB 360 million, leading to a projected net loss of around RMB 69 million [1] - In Q4, revenue is forecasted to reach RMB 3.646 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%, with a quarterly turnaround to a net profit of approximately RMB 126 million, primarily driven by advanced packaging solutions [1] Industry Summary - The mainstream semiconductor demand is showing signs of recovery, contributing to the positive outlook for ASMPT [1] - The advanced packaging market continues to grow, which is expected to enhance revenue from semiconductor solutions [1]

Group 1 - ASMPT's stock price increased by 5.65%, reaching HKD 87.95, with a trading volume of HKD 77.52 million [1] - Morgan Stanley reported that mainstream semiconductor demand is recovering, and the advanced packaging market continues to grow [1] - ASMPT's third-quarter revenue guidance median is USD 475 million, representing an 11% year-on-year growth [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley predicts that ASMPT's revenue will meet guidance but will incur a one-time restructuring expense of approximately RMB 360 million, leading to a net loss of about RMB 69 million [1] - For the fourth quarter, Morgan Stanley forecasts revenue to reach RMB 3.646 billion, expected to grow by 7% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately RMB 126 million, driven by advanced packaging solutions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley predicts ASMPT (00522) may report a loss in Q3 due to one-time restructuring expenses, but encourages investors to focus on its long-term growth drivers, including CoWoS-L capacity expansion, development of high-frequency memory in China, and progress in hybrid bonding [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - ASMPT's Q3 revenue guidance median is set at $475 million, representing an 11% year-on-year growth [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that the company will incur approximately RMB 360 million in one-time restructuring expenses, leading to a net loss of about RMB 69 million [1] - For Q4, revenue is expected to reach RMB 3.646 billion, indicating a 7% year-on-year growth, with a projected net profit of approximately RMB 126 million, primarily driven by advanced packaging solutions [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The mainstream semiconductor demand is recovering, and the advanced packaging market continues to grow [1] - Morgan Stanley estimates that ASMPT's Q3 order shipment ratio will remain above 1x [1] - The target price for ASMPT has been raised from HKD 80 to HKD 100, with earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 increased by 10% and 23% respectively, while the full-year earnings estimate for this year has been reduced by 45% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley predicts ASMPT (00522) may report a loss in Q3 due to one-time restructuring expenses, but encourages investors to focus on its long-term growth drivers, including CoWoS-L capacity expansion, development of high-frequency memory in China, and hybrid integration progress [1] Financial Performance - ASMPT's Q3 revenue guidance median is set at $475 million, representing an 11% year-on-year increase [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that the company will incur approximately RMB 360 million in one-time restructuring expenses, leading to a net loss of around RMB 69 million [1] - For Q4, revenue is expected to reach RMB 3.646 billion, reflecting a 7% year-on-year growth, with a projected net profit of approximately RMB 126 million, primarily driven by advanced packaging solutions [1] Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating for ASMPT, raising the target price from HKD 80 to HKD 100 [1] - The earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been increased by 10% and 23% respectively, while the full-year earnings estimate for this year has been reduced by 45% [1] Market Trends - The mainstream semiconductor demand is recovering, and the advanced packaging market continues to grow, with ASMPT's Q3 order shipment ratio expected to remain above 1 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley predicts ASMPT may incur losses in Q3 due to one-time restructuring costs, but encourages investors to focus on its long-term growth drivers, including CoWoS-L capacity expansion, development of high-frequency memory in China, and advancements in hybrid bonding [1] Financial Performance - ASMPT's Q3 revenue guidance median is set at $475 million, representing an 11% year-over-year growth [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that the company's revenue will meet this guidance, but anticipates approximately $360 million in one-time restructuring costs, leading to a net loss of about $69 million for the period [1] Market Trends - Mainstream semiconductor demand is recovering, and the advanced packaging market continues to grow, with the Q3 order-to-shipment ratio expected to remain above 1 [1] Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on ASMPT, raising the target price from HKD 80 to HKD 100 [1] - The earnings forecast for this year has been reduced by 45%, while the earnings per share forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been increased by 10% and 23%, respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential benefits for Chinese assets, particularly in the context of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the restructuring of the global monetary system, which may lead to a reallocation of global funds towards China [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 15, the Hang Seng Index opened up by 1.08%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 1.31% [1] - Tech stocks showed signs of stabilization, with ASMPT increasing by over 3% [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101) and the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) both opened with gains exceeding 1% [1] Group 2: Global Monetary Dynamics - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts typically lead to a release of global liquidity, which may benefit Chinese assets, especially amid the current backdrop of global monetary system restructuring [1] - The combination of a depreciating dollar and a reversal in innovative narratives reflects a potential core driver for the current market trends [1] - If managed properly, Chinese assets could benefit from the dual dividends of accelerated fragmentation and diversification of the global monetary system [1] Group 3: Investment Focus - The article expresses optimism regarding the "catch-up" rally in Hong Kong stocks, shifting focus from "takeout narratives" to "AI narratives" [1] - Attention is drawn to the Hong Kong tech and internet sectors, which are seen as gathering core AI assets [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101) covers the entire tech industry chain, while the Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) focuses on leading internet companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT (00522.HK) announced that its board meeting will be held on October 28, 2025, to consider and approve the release of the unaudited consolidated performance announcement for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The board meeting is scheduled for October 28, 2025 [1] - The purpose of the meeting includes the consideration and approval of the performance announcement [1] - The performance announcement will cover the period ending September 30, 2025 [1]