Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan's report indicates that China Merchants Bank (03968) achieved a 3% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q4, surpassing Morgan Stanley's forecast by 2 percentage points and exceeding market expectations by 7 percentage points [1] Financial Performance - Operating income rose by 2% year-on-year [1] - The non-performing loan coverage ratio decreased by 14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 392% [1] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.94% [1] Market Reaction and Ratings - The bank anticipates a positive market reaction to the higher profit growth in Q4, reaffirming an "Overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 61 [1] - China Merchants Bank is listed as one of the preferred stocks in the industry [1] Asset Quality and Provisions - Morgan Stanley notes that the bank increased bad debt recognition and write-offs in the last quarter, which helped maintain stable non-performing loans, although the provision amount decreased [1] - The decline in provisions is not expected to raise substantial concerns regarding the bank's future profitability, as it holds the highest bad debt coverage ratio among Chinese commercial and state-owned banks [1] - Investors anticipate a recovery in earnings and stable asset quality by 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan's report indicates that China Merchants Bank (600036)(03968) achieved a 3% year-on-year increase in net profit for the fourth quarter, surpassing Morgan Stanley's forecast by 2 percentage points and exceeding market expectations by 7 percentage points [1] Financial Performance - Operating income rose by 2% year-on-year [1] - The non-performing loan coverage ratio decreased by 14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 392% [1] - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 0.94% [1] Market Reaction and Ratings - The bank anticipates a positive market reaction to the higher profit growth in the fourth quarter [1] - JPMorgan reiterated an "Overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 61, continuing to list the stock as one of the industry favorites [1] Provisioning and Asset Quality - Morgan Stanley noted that the bank increased provisions for bad debts and write-offs in the last quarter, which helped maintain the stability of non-performing loans, although the provision amount decreased [1] - The bank's high bad debt coverage ratio is expected to mitigate substantial market concerns regarding future profitability, with investor expectations for a recovery in earnings and stable asset quality by 2026 [1]

据天眼查APP显示，招商银行股份有限公司成立于1987年03月31日，注册资本2521984.5601万人民币。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 数据宝统计，截至14:52，招商银行成交额78.53亿元，创2024年10月9日以来新高。最新股价上涨 1.60%，换手率1.00%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为71.35亿元。 ...

该行相信，拨备下降不太可能引发市场对招行未来盈利的实质性忧认，因为招行在中国商业银行及国有 银行中拥有最高的坏帐覆盖率，且投资者预期2026年的收益复苏与资产质量稳定。该行预期市场将对招 行第四季更高的利润增长作出积极反应，重申"增持"评级，目标价61港元，续列该股为行业首选股之 一。 摩根大通发表研报指，招商银行去年第四季纯利同比增长3%，胜于摩通预测2个百分点，并较市场预测 大幅高出7个百分点；经营收入同比增长2%。不良贷款覆盖率按季降14个百分点至392%，而不良贷款 比率则维持于0.94%。 ...

历经多年，一桩涉及多家银行的3.5亿诈骗案迎来最新进展！ 近日，锦龙股份披露，其子公司中山证券收到一份《应诉通知书》，其中显示，光大银行长 春分行作为原告，向中山证券、招商银行无锡分行、平安银行深圳分行、深圳国民基金等五 名被告要求连带赔偿3.5亿元本金，以及1.394亿元资金占用费，涉案金额高达4.89亿元。 5月30日，光大银行长春分行以同业存款形式向招商银行无锡分行存入3.5亿元。招商银行无 锡分行根据与光大银行长春分行签订的《委托定向投资协议》及《投资指令》、与中山证券 事实上，上述案件已历经多次开庭审理，甚至已达最高人民法院，至今仍未尘埃落定。而此 案的背后，是一名公司法人与银行职员"里应外合"，通过虚假材料等制造的一场刑事案件。 公司法人"精心策划"3.5亿诈骗案，行长助理擅自修改财报数据 回溯过往，上述案件的开端，始于柳河聚鑫源米业有限公司（以下简称 "聚鑫源公司"）及 其法定代表人刘某某。相关判决书显示，2013年下半年，刘某某通过他人介绍，认识了时任 光大银行长春分行汽车厂支行行长助理的张某。 而后，刘某某以聚鑫源公司需购粮资金等为由，隐瞒该公司具有巨额债务需要偿还及其本人 炒作期货的事实， ...

股份行龙头 招商银行 （600036.SH、03968.HK）2025年成绩单出炉。 日前，招商银行发布业绩快报。2025年，招商银行实现营业收入3375.32亿元，同比增长0.01%；归属于该行股东 的净利润（以下简称"归母净利润"）1501.81亿元，同比增长1.21%。 截至2025年末，招商银行资产总额首次超过13万亿元，较上年末增长7.56%。长江商报记者注意到，自2019年以 来，招商银行连续六年资产规模登上新的万亿台阶，八年时间就已实现资产规模翻倍提升。 而在资产质量方面，截至2025年末，招商银行不良贷款率0.94%，较上年末下降0.01个百分点，连续五年保持在 1%以下的低位。 二级市场上，2025年全年，招商银行A股、H股累计涨幅分别为13.23%、32%，其中该行H股获得平安人寿四次举 牌。截至1月23日收盘，招商银行AH溢价率约为-12%，也是A+H上市银行中为数不多出现AH股价倒挂的银行。 2025年归母净利润增速回升至1.21% 业绩快报显示，2025年，招商银行实现营业收入3375.32亿元，同比增加0.44亿元，增幅0.01%；利润总额1789.93 亿元，同比增加3.41亿元 ...

品研究 /公司书 钱行 2026 年 01 月 25 日 招商银行 (600036) 稳健高股息优势突出,聚焦红利逻辑下估值修复弹性 报告原因： 有业绩公布需要点评 | 21 | (1)+++) | | --- | --- | | 1 | - 10 1 - 1 - J P 1 | | 市场数据: 2026 年 01 月 23 日 | | --- | | 收盘价（元） 37.50 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） 48.55/37.38 | | 市净率 0.9 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） 8.03 | | 773,585 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) | | 上证指数/深证成指 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 43.21 | | 资产负债率% | 89.92 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 25,220/20,629 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/4.591 | 年内股价与大盘对比走势： 招商银行 · 沪深300指数 · 治 证券分析师 申万宏源研究微信服务号 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 银行 2026 年 01 月 25 日 招商银行 (600036) ——稳健高股息优势突出，聚焦红利逻辑下估值修复弹性 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | 买入（维持） | | --- | | 市场数据： | 2026 年 01 月 23 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 37.50 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 48.55/37.38 | | 市净率 | 0.9 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 8.03 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 773,585 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 4,136.16/14,439.66 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 43.21 | | 资产负债率% | 89.92 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 25,220/20,629 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/4,591 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -20% 0% 20% 4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company shows marginal improvement in performance with a slight increase in net profit and interest income, supported by a robust retail strategy that provides a competitive edge [1][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, the company's operating income increased by 0.01% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 1.21%, indicating a positive trend compared to the first three quarters of 2025 [1]. - Total assets, loans, and deposits grew by 7.6%, 5.4%, and 8.1% year-on-year respectively, although the pace of expansion has slightly slowed [2]. - The net interest income for 2025 increased by 2.0% year-on-year, showing a recovery in growth rate compared to earlier in the year [2]. Group 2: Asset Quality and Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.94%, with a provision coverage ratio of 392%, indicating solid asset quality [4]. - The company maintains a high level of provision coverage despite a slight decline, reflecting prudent risk management practices [4]. Group 3: Non-Interest Income and Investment Strategy - Non-interest income decreased by 3.4% year-on-year, but there is a marginal improvement in growth rate compared to earlier periods, particularly in wealth management products [3]. - The company plans to adopt a cautious approach in financial investments, focusing on risk management and duration [3]. Group 4: Dividends and Capital Adequacy - The company announced a mid-term dividend of RMB 1.013 per share for the first half of 2025, reinforcing its wealth management capabilities [5]. - As of September, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stood at 13.93%, slightly down from June, indicating a stable capital position [5]. Group 5: Valuation and Future Outlook - The company projects an EPS of 5.75, 5.96, and 6.22 for 2025-2027, with a target price for A/H shares set at RMB 50.55 and HKD 55.37, reflecting a target PB of 1.02 and 1.00 respectively for 2026 [6]. - The retail strategy is expected to continue providing a competitive advantage, although there are pressures on net interest margins [6].

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Bank (CMB) is expected to see a positive revenue growth rate and a slight acceleration in profit for 2025, slightly exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - In 2025, CMB achieved an operating income of 337.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.01% (compared to -0.51% in the first nine months of 2025) [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 150.18 billion yuan, up 1.21% year-on-year (compared to 0.52% in the first nine months of 2025) [2][3] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for Q4 2025 remained stable at 0.94%, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 14.14 percentage points to 391.79% [2][8] Growth Outlook - For 2026, CMB's performance is expected to maintain a steady upward trend, with revenue growth continuing to improve and profit growth remaining in the low single digits [4][9] - The bank's asset scale grew by 7.6% year-on-year to 13.1 trillion yuan, with loan scale increasing by 5.4% to 7.26 trillion yuan [5] Interest Margin and Cost Management - The asset-side interest rates are expected to remain under pressure, but the decline will be less severe than in previous quarters due to ongoing optimization of the liability structure [6] - The bank's deposit scale grew by 8.0% year-on-year to 11.8 trillion yuan, supporting stable funding costs [5][6] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income is expected to improve marginally, with wealth management continuing to show positive trends and other non-interest income not significantly dragging down overall revenue [7][9] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remains stable, but the provision coverage ratio has declined, primarily due to the gradual disposal of retail loans and corporate real estate loans [8] - The bank is expected to adopt a cautious approach to risk management, actively addressing potential non-performing loans in the real estate sector [8][9]