智通财经APP获悉，在华尔街大行们即将拉开美股财报季帷幕之际，高盛发布研报称，2026年美国银行股板块展望"建设性向好"，看好即将到来的4Q25财报 季(即2025年第四季度业绩)，预计摩根大通等华尔街金融巨头们业绩表现强劲，为2025年Q4美股财报季将呈现的持续盈利扩张趋势以及美股牛市在2026年持 续上演奠定重大基础。高盛分析师团队建议投资者逢低增持大型综合性银行股，比如美国银行(BAC.US)、摩根大通(JPM.US)以及花旗银行(C.US)等等。 新一轮美股财报季于1月中旬正式拉开帷幕，高盛、摩根士丹利以及摩根大通等华尔街金融巨头们将"打头阵"。这些金融巨头业绩以及管理层对于未来业绩 的展望将对美股，乃至全球股市产生重大影响，市场期待华尔街巨头们以超预期增长业绩以及乐观展望开启美股财报季。对于2026年华尔街大型银行们增长 预期，盈利主引擎仍是NII修复周期与资产再定价，高盛指出，市场共识预期可能大幅低估了NII和投行、财富管理与股票权益资产交易业务强劲增长韧性。 高盛分析师团队表示，进入2026年，美股市场的大型银行板块(即华尔街金融巨头们)处在一条"更顺风、更可持续"的盈利路径上——净利息收入(N ...

星展发表报告，维持对汇丰控股2026财年收入与盈利增长的乐观展望，主要基于三大因素：1）净利息 收入的下行风险将被结构性对冲及负债成本降低等利好因素抵销；2）非利息收入预期将维持强劲增长 动能；预期香港资本市场于2026财年将保持强劲；信贷成本应可控，因香港商业地产信贷风险未有显著 恶化迹象。星展对2026财年及2027财年盈利预测分别上调2%和7%，将2025-2027财年净利息收入预测上 调至逾430亿美元。2026财年银行净利息收入面临的逆风较去年小，因美国降息幅度缩小，且香港银行 同业拆息自2025年第二季的历史低位回升。该行重申汇控"买入"评级，目标价由113.7港元升至139.2港 元，相当于预测2026年财年市账率1.47倍。 ...

花旗对富国银行2026年核心拨备前利润（PPNR）的估计与市场普遍预期基本一致，并且该股在投资者 仓位中仍显得相对拥挤。 该行预计其收入将增长约5%，这来自费用收入和净利息收入的双重驱动：费用收入增长将主要由资产 上限解除后的财富管理、信用卡和投资银行业务带动；净利息收入增长则得益于约10个基点的净息差扩 张(预计到2026年底升至约2.70%，与市场共识大体一致)以及低至中个位数的贷款增长。 智通财经APP获悉，富国银行(WFC.US)将于 1 月 14 日发布 2025 年第四季度财报，花旗预期其管理层 在财报会议上提供全年展望时，出现上行惊喜的空间很小。花旗给予其"中性"评级，目标价90美元。 花旗预计2026年核心费用(不包括遣散费和运营损失)增长约为3%(2025年约为2%)，这受益于此前的人员 精简和进一步的人工智能应用，从而使效率比率改善至60%出头的低段。鉴于当前估值可能已反映了管 理层17-18%的中期核心有形普通股股本回报率(ROTCE)目标，这与17%的常态化假设一致，且财务数字 几乎没有上行空间，该行建议投资者继续保持观望。 2025年四季度业绩方面，花旗和市场共识对富国银行2025年 ...

Core Insights - The performance of China's six major state-owned banks showed steady growth in the first three quarters, with total operating income reaching 2.72 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.87%, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 1.07 trillion yuan, up 1.22% year-on-year [2][3] Financial Performance - All six major state-owned banks achieved year-on-year revenue growth in the first three quarters, with China Bank leading at a 2.69% increase, while the other five banks had growth rates between 0.82% and 2.17% [3][5] - The net profit growth rate for these banks turned positive in the third quarter, with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) reporting a single-quarter profit of 101.8 billion yuan, marking the first time it exceeded 100 billion yuan in a single quarter [3][4] - The net interest income for most banks declined year-on-year, but the rate of decline narrowed compared to the first half of the year, with only the Bank of Communications reporting an increase of 1.46% [6][8] Non-Interest Income - All six banks reported year-on-year growth in net fee and commission income, with Agricultural Bank of China leading at a 13.34% increase, and Postal Savings Bank of China also showing strong performance with an 11.48% increase [7][8] - The improvement in non-interest income is attributed to a recovery in capital markets and increased wealth management income [7][8] Asset Quality - Five out of six major state-owned banks reported a decrease in non-performing loan (NPL) ratios compared to the end of the previous year, indicating overall stable asset quality [9][11] - Postal Savings Bank was the only bank to see an increase in its NPL ratio, which rose to 0.94%, still the lowest among the six banks [9][11] Provision Coverage - The provision coverage ratio, a key indicator of risk resilience, showed that only China Bank fell below 200%, with a ratio of 196.60%, while Agricultural Bank had the highest at 295.08% [10][11] Inclusive Finance Initiatives - The banks reported significant growth in inclusive finance loans, with notable increases in loans for small and micro enterprises and pension management [12][13] - The banks are also advancing in technology and green finance, with substantial growth in technology loans and green loan balances [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings reported better-than-expected performance for Q3 2025, driven by higher net interest income and wealth management revenue, with adjusted revenue of $17.9 billion, a 4% year-on-year increase, and a baseline net profit of $6.2 billion, up 1% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The main reason for the better-than-expected performance was the net interest income, which increased by 3% quarter-on-quarter and 2% year-on-year, supported by rapid deposit growth [1] - Average interest-earning assets grew by 6% year-on-year, contributing to the increase in net interest income [1] - The banking net interest margin rose by 2 basis points to 1.98%, attributed to a rebound in HIBOR since early August [1] Future Outlook - Net interest income is influenced by multiple factors, including the rapid rebound of HIBOR from below 1% to around 3.5% since August, and a year-on-year deposit growth of 5% [2] - The proportion of CASA deposits increased to 64% in Q3 2025, up 3 percentage points from Q1 2025 [2] - The company raised its 2025 Banking NII guidance from approximately $42 billion to $43 billion or better [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted its 2025E revenue forecast down by 1.3% to $67.2 billion and net profit forecast down by 3.7% to $21.1 billion due to slowing non-interest income growth [2] - For 2026E, the revenue forecast was raised by 4.0% to $71.7 billion, and net profit forecast was increased by 11.2% to $27.1 billion, reflecting resilience in net interest margin [2] - The company is trading at 1.4x/1.3x 2025E/2026E P/B, maintaining a target price of HKD 111.9, indicating a 5% upside potential and a rating of outperforming the industry [2]

Core Insights - HSBC Holdings reported a total revenue increase to $17.8 billion for Q3 2025, a 5% year-on-year rise, exceeding previous expectations of $16.7 billion [2] - The pre-tax profit for the same period was $7.3 billion, reflecting a 14% decline year-on-year, primarily due to historical legacy issues and legal provisions [2][3] - Despite the profit decline, the management raised the full-year performance outlook, expecting a return on tangible equity (RoTE) of around 15% or higher for 2025, excluding special items [2][4] Financial Performance - The pre-tax profit of $7.3 billion for Q3 2025 decreased by $1.2 billion compared to Q3 2024, mainly impacted by $1.4 billion in legal provisions related to historical issues [3] - The legal provisions included $1.1 billion linked to the Madoff fraud case and $300 million related to past legal matters in the UK [3] - Excluding special items, the annualized pre-tax profit reached $9.1 billion, marking a 3% increase year-on-year, driven by strong performance in wealth management [4] Revenue Drivers - The growth in revenue was primarily supported by a significant increase in net interest income, which reached $8.8 billion, a 15% rise from $7.637 billion in the same quarter last year [5] - Factors contributing to this growth included a rise in the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR), an increase in customer deposits, and the absence of a $300 million loss from early securities redemption in the previous year [5] - Wealth management business also showed robust growth, with fees and other income rising by 30.1% to $2.681 billion, despite a decline in fees from global forex and equity markets [5] Strategic Outlook - HSBC expects its banking net interest income to reach $43 billion or higher in the future [6] - The company plans to simplify its structure and is considering the privatization of Hang Seng Bank, which may temporarily reduce the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio by 125 basis points [6] - The management believes the privatization price is fair and attractive for both parties involved [6]

Core Insights - Bank of America (BAC.US) reported third-quarter earnings that exceeded market expectations, driven by a rebound in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity and stronger-than-expected net interest income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Investment banking revenue increased by 43% year-over-year to $2.05 billion, significantly surpassing analyst estimates of $1.65 billion [1] - M&A advisory fees surged by 51% to $583 million [1] - Equity and debt underwriting revenues rose by 34% and 42%, respectively [1] - Net interest income grew by 9.1% to $15.2 billion, exceeding the analyst forecast of a 7.6% increase [1] - Net profit for the three months ending September 30 soared by 23% year-over-year to $8.47 billion [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The rebound in M&A advisory business is attributed to easing trade uncertainties [1] - Other major banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup, also reported strong third-quarter results [1] - Bank executives indicated that the momentum in transactions is expected to continue, with a robust pipeline for investment banking activities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wells Fargo reported a third-quarter net interest income of $11.95 billion, slightly below market expectations of $12.01 billion, and anticipates fourth-quarter net interest income to be between $12.4 billion and $12.5 billion, indicating a resilient U.S. economy and stable financial conditions for customers [1] Financial Performance - Third-quarter net interest income was $11.95 billion, compared to market expectations of $12.01 billion [1] - Projected fourth-quarter net interest income is expected to be between $12.4 billion and $12.5 billion [1] Economic Outlook - Wells Fargo stated that the U.S. economy has been performing robustly [1] - The financial condition of customers remains stable [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) is expected to announce its Q3 results on October 28, with a projected pre-tax profit of $8.5 billion, a 3% year-on-year decline, and revenue remaining flat compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's net interest income is anticipated to reach $10.6 billion for Q3, up from a previous estimate of $10.2 billion, due to a rebound in Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) since August 2025 [1] - Management previously indicated that if HIBOR remained around 1%, net interest income would be negatively impacted by approximately $100 million per month; however, the one-month HIBOR has risen to about 3.5% [1] - Despite the increase in net interest income, the bank has slightly lowered its projections for net interest income for FY2026 and beyond, reflecting reduced yields on structural hedging reinvestments [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth - HSBC's total revenue growth is expected to slow from mid-single digits in H1 2025 to 1% by Q3 2025, with an estimated revenue growth of about 3% from FY2025 to FY2027 [1] - The bank aims to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3% in pre-tax profit through strict cost control [1] - Share buyback programs are expected to continue, with projected repurchases of $10 billion, $8 billion, and $6 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, which will reduce the number of shares outstanding [1] - The CAGR for basic earnings per share is expected to reach approximately 8% over the next three years [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The company has shown improvement in both revenue and profit, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 1.57% to approximately 427.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, and a net profit of 168.10 billion yuan, down 1.39% year-on-year [2][3] - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.33% and a provision coverage ratio of 217.71% [4][25] - The bank's net interest margin recorded at 1.3%, with a significant reduction in the decline of net interest income due to easing interest margin pressure [2][16] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected to be approximately 816.9 billion yuan, with a growth rate of -0.59% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be around 364.6 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.34% [6] - The bank's total assets grew by 11.0% year-on-year, with loans and financial investments increasing by 8.5% and 19.9% respectively [22] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income has turned positive, with net fee and commission income of 67.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.57% year-on-year, while net other non-interest income reached 46.496 billion yuan, with investment net income increasing by 52.00% [3][21] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 1.33%, with a slight improvement from the end of 2024 [25][27] - The provision coverage ratio has increased to 217.7%, providing a solid safety net for asset quality [4][25] Growth and Expansion - The bank continues to expand its scale, with both assets and liabilities achieving double-digit growth [22] - Total liabilities increased by 11.4% year-on-year, with deposits growing by 8.2% [24]