今年以来，华尔街对冲基金通过大举做空软件股已获利240亿美元，其背后的核心驱动力是市场日益担 忧AI技术的进步将颠覆传统软件商业模式，导致行业遭受重创。 眼下，这场抛售潮正在加速蔓延。2月4日，据彭博援引S3 Partners的数据显示，在做空者的猛烈攻势 下，软件行业整体市值年内已蒸发1万亿美元。华尔街主要对冲基金的消息人士透露，投资者正集中火 力做空那些提供基础自动化服务、易被新AI工具复制和替代的公司。 与此同时，做空者并未在股价下跌中收手，反而将其视为"下跌中的飞刀"，进一步加大了做空押注。 DA Davidson分析师Gil Luria指出，目前对冲基金几乎都在净做空软件行业。 软件股的暴跌已引发市场广泛的动荡。iShares科技软件ETF本周下跌8%，今年累计跌幅超过21%，较去 年9月创下的历史高点已下挫30%。微软和甲骨文今年分别下跌15%和25%，Salesforce、Adobe和 ServiceNow跌幅均超过20%。 空头获利丰厚，瞄准"易被替代"标的 在ETF持仓中，做空比例最高的个股集中度明显。TeraWulf目前有超过35%的流通股被做空，Asana的这 一比例为25%。此外，Dr ...

Company Overview - Microsoft and Meta Platforms are both considered strong investment opportunities currently, with differing market reactions to their quarterly results [1] - Microsoft experienced a 10% sell-off post-earnings, while Meta's stock rose by approximately 10% [1] Microsoft Analysis - The market's primary focus for Microsoft is its Azure cloud computing division, which is crucial for understanding AI spending trends [2] - Microsoft reported a 39% growth in Azure for Q2, exceeding management's expectation of 37%, indicating strong demand for its cloud services [4] - Despite outperforming expectations, Microsoft's stock still declined, presenting a potential buying opportunity [5] - The current market capitalization of Microsoft is $3.1 trillion, with a current stock price of $414.55 and a gross margin of 68.59% [3][4] Meta Platforms Analysis - Meta's stock fell after its Q3 2025 earnings announcement due to concerns over its capital expenditure plans, which are projected to increase significantly in 2026 [5][7] - For 2026, Meta expects capital expenditures between $115 billion and $135 billion, a substantial increase from $72.2 billion in 2025 [7] - Despite fears of overleveraging towards AI, management reassured investors that operating income in 2026 is expected to exceed that of 2025, indicating continued growth [8] - Meta's revenue grew by 22% in Q4, outperforming Microsoft's 17% revenue growth, suggesting stronger growth potential [9] - The current market capitalization of Meta is $1.8 trillion, with a current stock price of $668.99 and a gross margin of 82% [6][7] Comparative Analysis - Microsoft's stock is trading at 26 times forward earnings, while Meta's is at 24 times, making Meta slightly cheaper [10] - Both companies are performing well, but Meta's faster growth and lower valuation may attract more investors [12] - The long-term growth trajectory of Azure is viewed positively, providing a steadier revenue stream compared to Meta's ad revenue [12] - The decision on which stock to buy is close, but Microsoft is favored overall while both companies are seen as strong options [13]

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up by 0.53%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.51% and 1.51% respectively [2] - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with the U.S. Tech Giants Index down by 1.32% [4] Notable Stock Movements - Amgen saw a significant increase of over 8%, while Nike rose by more than 5%, leading the Dow [2] - Tesla dropped by 3.78%, Nvidia by 3.41%, and Facebook by 3.28%, leading the declines among major tech stocks [4][5] Hedge Fund Activity - Hedge funds are significantly shorting software stocks, with short sellers profiting $24 billion this year, while the sector's overall market value has shrunk by $1 trillion [9] - The iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF (IGV) has fallen by over 21% year-to-date, with a 30% decline since its peak in September of the previous year [9] Chinese Stocks Performance - Chinese stocks generally fell, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down by 1.95% and the Chinese Tech Leaders Index down by 2.80% [7] - Notable declines included NetEase down by 5.41%, Baidu down by 4.77%, and Tencent down by 4.14% [7][8] Elon Musk's Wealth - Elon Musk has become the first person in history to surpass a net worth of $850 billion (approximately 5.92 trillion RMB), primarily due to the acquisition of AI startup xAI by SpaceX, which is valued at $1.25 trillion [6] Gold and Silver Market - Gold futures experienced volatility, initially rising by 3.63% before settling at $4986.40 per ounce, a 1.04% increase [11] - Silver futures surged by 10.46% to $92.02 per ounce before closing at $87.77 per ounce, reflecting a 5.36% increase [12]

更多AIGC资讯…… 扫码可订阅产业日报 欢迎加入 睿兽分析会员 ，解锁 AI、汽车、智能制造 等相关 行业日报、图谱和报告 等。 上述知情人士表示，此次3500亿美元的估值与公司正在进行的募资谈判估值一致，且为投前估值， 即该估值未计入本次拟募集的资金。Anthropic方面拒绝对此事置评。因相关事宜未公开，该知情人 士要求匿名并表示，此次要约收购的具体细节尚未敲定。（东方财富网） 2.【 英伟达据悉接近达成协议在OpenAI最新一轮融资中投资200亿美元】 2月4日消息，英伟达 据悉接近 达成协议在OpenAI最新一轮融资中投资200亿美元。（新浪财经） 3.【 OpenAI拟运用AI助力药企研发并从中获利】 2月4日消息，据报道，OpenAI首席执行官山姆·奥特曼 表示，公司可能考虑投资大量运用其人工智能技术研发新药或新疗法的公司或提供补贴，并可能通过收 取专利或使用权费用获得回报。奥特曼称，人工智能开发者可以选择与制药公司合作，共同承担使用其 人工智能模型的费用，并随后从该公司的研究成果中获得"一定比例的分成"。他指出，他们目前尚未有 此类合作。（财联社） 4.【微软提拔销售高管，全力布局人工智能业务 ...

The tech sell-off continued on Wall Street as the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 benchmark sank on Feb. 4. While the former was down 1.8%, the latter was down 0.6% at press time. Nearly all the Magnificent Seven stocks were trading in the red zone at the time of writing. Google's parent company, Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOG), was trading at $332.56 at press time, down 2.5% in a day. Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) was similarly down by 2.5%, trading at $332.56. Elon Musk's Tesla was down by nearly 4% and w ...

【头条要闻】 详讯 | 习近平同美国总统特朗普通电话 习近平指出，过去一年，我们保持着良好沟通，在釜山成功会晤，为中美关系领航把舵，受到两国人民 和国际社会欢迎。我高度重视中美关系。新的一年，我愿同你继续引领中美关系这艘大船穿越风浪、平 稳前行，多办一些大事、好事。美方有美方的关切，中方有中方的关切。中方言必信，行必果，说到做 到。只要双方秉持平等、尊重、互惠的态度相向而行，就可以找到解决彼此关切的办法。今年中美两国 各自都有不少重要议程，中国"十五五"开局起步，美国将迎来建国250周年，两国将分别主办亚太经合 组织领导人非正式会议、二十国集团领导人峰会。双方要按照我们达成的共识，加强对话沟通，妥善管 控分歧，拓展务实合作，不以善小而不为，不以恶小而为之，一件事一件事去做，不断积累互信，走出 一条正确相处之道，让2026年成为中美两个大国迈向相互尊重、和平共处、合作共赢的一年。 习近平强调，台湾问题是中美关系中最重要的问题。台湾是中国的领土，中方必须捍卫国家主权和领土 完整，永远不可能让台湾分裂出去。美方务必慎重处理对台军售问题。 2026年信贷资源重点流向哪里？央行这场重磅会议明确 近日，中国人民银行召开2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Richtech Robotics Inc. is facing a securities fraud class action lawsuit due to allegations of misleading statements regarding its relationship with Microsoft and the accuracy of its business disclosures [4][7]. Group 1: Lawsuit Details - The lawsuit is on behalf of investors who purchased Richtech securities between January 27, 2026, and January 29, 2026, alleging that Richtech falsely claimed a collaborative relationship with Microsoft [4]. - The lawsuit claims that Richtech's statements about its business operations and prospects were materially false and misleading [4]. - Investors who suffered losses have until April 3, 2026, to request lead plaintiff appointment, which allows them to oversee the litigation [2]. Group 2: Stock Price Movements - On January 27, 2026, Richtech's share price increased by $1.70, or approximately 44.6%, following the announcement of a "hands-on collaboration" with Microsoft [5]. - Following the announcement of a private placement of $38.7 million Class B shares on January 28, 2026, Richtech's share price declined by $0.43, or approximately 7.8% [6]. - On January 29, 2026, a report from Hunterbrook Media alleged that Richtech mischaracterized its relationship with Microsoft, leading to a further decline in share price by $1.06, or approximately 20.9% [7].

Group 1: AMD's Sales Forecast and Market Reaction - AMD shares fell significantly, down 15%, marking its largest drop since October 2018, following a disappointing sales forecast of approximately $9.8 billion, which was below investor expectations of $10 billion [3][4][27]. - The company's revenue from China impacted margins negatively, and while revenues were recognized, the overall performance did not meet the high expectations set by the market [5][6]. - The anticipated growth in CPU and GPU segments is not expected until the second half of the year, leading to a cautious outlook among investors [7][8]. Group 2: Broader Market Trends and Software Sector Concerns - The technology sector is experiencing a selloff, with fears of disruption following the introduction of a new AI automation tool by Anthropic, leading to a significant decline in the Goldman Sachs Software Index, which has lost around $2 trillion since its peak [11][57]. - Concerns about the impact of AI on software companies are prevalent, with many investors reassessing valuations and business models in light of rapid advancements in AI technology [57][59]. - Major companies like NVIDIA and Google are also feeling the pressure, with NVIDIA's stock down and Google facing scrutiny ahead of its earnings report [12][16]. Group 3: NVIDIA's Investment in OpenAI - NVIDIA is reportedly close to finalizing a $20 billion investment in OpenAI, which would be part of a larger commitment potentially reaching $100 billion [46][48]. - This investment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen NVIDIA's position in the AI market, although details regarding the overall agreement are still being finalized [49][50]. - The relationship between NVIDIA and OpenAI is crucial for NVIDIA's long-term strategy, particularly in terms of chip usage for AI model training [69]. Group 4: Uber's Financial Outlook and New Initiatives - Uber's stock fluctuated, down 3% in premarket trading, as the company provided a weak profit outlook and announced a new CFO focused on future markets, including robotaxi initiatives [20][21][25]. - The adjusted EPS forecast for the first quarter was lower than expected, attributed to new product initiatives that have not yet yielded anticipated returns [22][23]. - Despite these challenges, underlying demand in the U.S. remains strong, and Uber expects growth to accelerate as previous risks, such as high insurance costs, are expected to abate [23][24]. Group 5: Antitrust Concerns in Streaming Industry - The Senate Committee is holding hearings on the future of self-driving cars, with significant attention on the merger between Netflix and Warner Brothers, which raises antitrust concerns [26][29]. - The merger is argued to create value for consumers and enhance opportunities for the creative community, although competitive concerns remain [31][32]. - The regulatory landscape is complex, with different standards applied in the U.S. and the EU regarding consumer benefits and competitive effects [40][41]. Group 6: Supply Chain Innovations and Market Dynamics - A new startup, Auger, founded by former Amazon supply chain chief Dave Clark, aims to provide an operating system for supply chains, emphasizing the need for contextual data integration [71][75]. - The startup is focused on addressing the challenges of disconnected data in supply chains, which is critical for operational efficiency [76][84]. - Auger's approach is seen as timely, given the current market dynamics and the increasing importance of supply chain management across various industries [80][82].

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of a new AI automation tool by Anthropic has triggered a significant sell-off in software stocks, leading to a substantial decline in the Goldman Sachs software index, with approximately $2 trillion wiped off since its peak [1]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The sell-off in software stocks has been extensive and is now affecting hardware stocks as well, with notable declines in companies like NVIDIA and Google, while Microsoft has shown a slight rebound [3]. - The negative sentiment surrounding software stocks has become a global phenomenon, indicating a broad market reaction to the current state of the software industry [2]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Some investors are beginning to consider this sell-off as a potential buying opportunity, suggesting that a rally could occur if software stocks decline too much, as many are currently in oversold territory [4]. - There is a growing discussion among investors about whether it is wise to attempt to "catch a falling knife" in the current market environment [4].

Core Viewpoint - IREN Ltd has transitioned from a Bitcoin mining company to focusing on AI infrastructure, with a significant partnership with Microsoft valued at $9.7 billion, and the upcoming Q2 earnings will determine the success of this strategic shift [1][2][6] Group 1: Company Transformation - IREN, formerly known as Iris Energy, is pivoting towards AI infrastructure by converting its Bitcoin mining sites into data centers for AI workloads [2] - The partnership with Microsoft aims to host next-generation computing, marking a dramatic transformation from its previous business model [2] Group 2: Financial Concerns - IREN's stock has experienced a significant decline, down nearly 19% intraday and 28% over the past five days, primarily due to concerns over dilution risk rather than revenue [3][4] - The company requires approximately 140,000 GPUs by year-end, raising fears that equity issuance may be necessary to fund this expansion [4] Group 3: Earnings Significance - The upcoming Q2 earnings report is critical as it will serve as a credibility test for IREN's cloud ambitions, moving away from its Bitcoin mining roots [5][6] - Investors are looking for clear milestones and financing clarity in the earnings report to assess whether the Microsoft partnership is a strategic platform or a risky gamble [5]