Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the solid-state battery industry, highlighting its potential as a next-generation battery technology with significant attention from the entire industry chain [4][9]. Core Viewpoints - Solid-state batteries face dual challenges of process and cost, but recent advancements indicate a consensus on mass production by 2027, with key players in the automotive and battery sectors actively releasing products [9][12]. - The manufacturing of solid-state batteries requires a comprehensive reconstruction of equipment and processes due to fundamental differences in material compatibility and bonding logic compared to liquid lithium-ion batteries [21][22]. - Equipment development is crucial for achieving scale production and cost reduction, with dry processing techniques being identified as effective methods for lowering costs and improving efficiency [22][34]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The solid-state battery industry is gaining traction, with a clear direction and trend towards mass production by 2027, driven by collaboration across the supply chain [4][9]. Manufacturing Challenges - The transition from laboratory to mass production faces significant technical challenges, particularly in scaling up cell sizes from the current average of 20Ah to the required 60Ah for automotive applications [12][21]. - Key challenges include the stability of material systems, consistency of processes, and safety of systems, all of which impact yield rates, production efficiency, and costs [12][21]. Equipment and Process Innovations - The report emphasizes the need for innovative equipment and processes, particularly in the areas of solid electrolyte film production and interface engineering, to address the unique requirements of solid-state batteries [21][35]. - Dry processing techniques are highlighted as essential for the production of solid-state batteries, offering advantages in efficiency and environmental impact [22][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are closely collaborating with clients and have secured orders or achieved delivery in the key equipment sector, such as Naconor (832522), Honggong Technology (301662), and others [4][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - The issuance of the "Notice on the Promotion and Application of Electronic Voucher Accounting Data Standards" by nine ministries, including the Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China, is expected to significantly boost the use of electronic vouchers, benefiting tax digitalization companies that have established a presence in this field [2][3] - The promotion of electronic voucher standards will enhance convenience in their usage, addressing existing challenges such as receipt, reimbursement, accounting, and archiving difficulties [8] - The market potential for tax digitalization companies is substantial, with estimates suggesting that the market capacity could reach tens of billions of yuan, driven by the needs of administrative units and enterprises for electronic voucher services [8] Summary by Sections Event Overview - On May 19, a joint notice was issued by nine ministries to promote the application of electronic voucher accounting data standards nationwide, requiring upgrades to accounting software within three years [2] Investment Recommendations and Targets - Investors are advised to focus on companies such as Bosi Software (300525, not rated), Zhongke Jiangnan (301153, not rated), and Tax Friend Co., Ltd. (603171, Buy) as they are well-positioned to benefit from the electronic voucher service sector [3] Market Dynamics - The electronic voucher system will involve various platforms, including those for issuing and distributing vouchers, accounting services, and public financial services, which will play a crucial role in the promotion and expansion of electronic vouchers [8] - The potential market for electronic vouchers includes over 60 million enterprises and billions of individuals, indicating a vast opportunity for tax digitalization companies to provide necessary services [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 23.8 CNY [2][5] Core Views - The company has shown impressive growth in 2024, with a revenue increase of 1.2% year-on-year, reaching 16.49 billion CNY, and a net profit growth of 17.9%, totaling 2.02 billion CNY [10] - The electric forklift market is experiencing rapid growth, with the overall sales of forklifts in 2024 reaching 1.2855 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.52% [10] - The company's international expansion is deepening, with overseas revenue accounting for 41.5% of total revenue, reflecting a 1.4 percentage point increase year-on-year [10] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 was 16.299 billion CNY, with a projected increase to 16.486 billion CNY in 2024, and further growth to 17.993 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.1% and 9.1% respectively [4] - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 20.8% in 2023 to 23.6% in 2024, and net profit margin is projected to increase from 10.5% to 12.3% in the same period [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 1.716 billion CNY in 2023 to 2.022 billion CNY in 2024, and further to 2.233 billion CNY in 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 17.9% [4] Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned as a leader in the forklift industry, with a significant market share and a strong focus on electric and globalized operations [10] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for comparable companies is noted to be around 14 times for 2025, which supports the target price of 23.8 CNY for the company [2][11]

宏观经济 | 动态跟踪 研究结论 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 19 日 | 陈至奕 | 021-63325888*6044 | | --- | --- | | | chenzhiyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860519090001 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BUK982 | | 孙金霞 | 021-63325888*7590 | | | sunjinxia@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860515070001 | | 曹靖楠 | 021-63325888*3046 | | | caojingnan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860520010001 | | 孙国翔 | sunguoxiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860523080009 | 金融对实体经济支持的力度仍然较大—— 2025 年 4 月社融数据点评 2025-05-17 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本 ...

固定收益市场周观察 研究结论 风险提示 固定收益 | 动态跟踪 如何看待未来资金面 政策变化超预期；货币政策变化超预期；经济基本面变化超预期；信用风险暴露超预 期；数据统计可能存在遗误 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 19 日 | 齐晟 | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521120001 | | 杜林 | dulin@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860522080004 | | 王静颖 | wangjingying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860523080003 | 短期可适当做陡曲线，长端以震荡思路对 待：固定收益市场周观察 2025-05-12 二永债可适当拉长久期：2025 年 4 月小品 种月报 2025-05-09 5 月债市重点关注资金面：固定收益市场 周观察 2025-05-05 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 徐沛翔 ...

潮宏基 002345.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 | 一季度表现优异，品牌势能持续向上 | | --- | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据年报，我们调整盈利预测并引入 2027 年的盈利预测，预计公司 2025-2027 年每 股收益分别为 0.53、0.61 和 0.71 元（原 25-26 年为 0.49 和 0.56 元），参考可比公 司，给予 2025 年 19 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 10.07 元，维持"增持"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、金价波动对销售的影响、女包业务持续低于预期带来的业 绩拖累和商誉减值等 | | 增持 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月15日） | 9.28 元 | | 目标价格 | 10.07 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 10.55/3.94 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 88,851/86,700 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 8,245 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 纺织服装 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 19 日 | | | 1 周 | 1 月 | ...

25Q1 开始加速，乐观看待未来成长 核心观点 事件： 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 年 1 季报， 2024 年全年收入 5.5 亿元，同比上升 20.5%，归母净利 9359 万，增长 11.1%，扣非净利 8243 万，增长 15.7%； 25Q1 收入 增长 40.1%至 1.45 亿，归母净利 1661 万(+34.6%)，扣非净利 1500 万(+104.8%)。 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 由于分布式电站相关业务及费控超预期，我们上调公司收入增长预期、下调毛利率 预期和费用率预期，预测公司 2025-2027 年归母净利为 1.51 亿、2.38 亿、3.05 亿 （原 25-26 年预测为 1.40/1.81 亿），参照可比公司，我们认为公司合理估值水平为 2025 年 42 倍市盈率，对应目标价 52.92 元，维持增持评级。 风险提示 新业务拓展不及预期；市场竞争加剧风险；费用率下降不及预期风险； 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业 ...

投资建议与投资标的 本周油价上涨，丁二烯、SBS、纯苯涨幅 居前 核心观点 原油相关信息： ⚫ 原油及相关库存：2025 年 5 月 9 日美国原油商业库存 4.418 亿桶，周增加 350 万 桶；汽油库存 2.247 亿桶，周减少 100 万桶；馏分油库存 1.036 亿桶，周减少 320 万桶；丙烷库存 0.50424 亿桶，周增加 224.8 万桶。美国原油产量及钻机数：2025 年 5 月 9日美国原油产量为 1338.7 万桶/天，周度增加 2万桶/天，较一年前增加 28.7 万桶/天。2025 年 5 月 16 日美国钻机数 576 台，周减少 2 台，年减少 28 台；加拿 大钻机数 121 台，周增加 7 台，年增加 7 台。其中美国采油钻机 473 台，周度减少 1 台，年度减少 24 台。 价格变化： 基础化工行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 价差变化： 风险提示 ⚫ 项目进展不及预期；需求不及预期；海外市场供需情况变化；油价大幅波动。 国家/地区 中国 行业 基础化工行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 05 月 19 日 看好（维持） | 倪吉 | 021-63325888*7504 | | ...

潮宏基 002345.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 | 一季度表现优异，品牌势能持续向上 | | --- | 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据年报，我们调整盈利预测并引入 2027 年的盈利预测，预计公司 2025-2027 年每 股收益分别为 0.53、0.61 和 0.71 元（原 25-26 年为 0.49 和 0.56 元），参考可比公 司，给予 2025 年 19 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 10.07 元，维持"增持"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、金价波动对销售的影响、女包业务持续低于预期带来的业 绩拖累和商誉减值等 | 公司主要财务信息 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 5,900 | 6,518 | 7,665 | 8,703 | 9,711 | | 同比增长 (%) | 33.6% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 11.6% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 403 | 235 | 59 ...

公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 456 | 550 | 759 | 1,126 | 1,376 | | 同比增长 (%) | 26.9% | 20.5% | 38.0% | 48.4% | 22.2% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 83 | 97 | 162 | 256 | 329 | | 同比增长 (%) | 27.2% | 15.8% | 67.3% | 58.5% | 28.6% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 84 | 94 | 151 | 238 | 305 | | 同比增长 (%) | 25.6% | 11.1% | 61.5% | 57.7% | 27.9% | | 每股收益（元） | 0.70 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 1.98 | 2.54 | | 毛利率(%) | 67.6% | 65.9% | 61.8% | 58.3% | 57.7% | | 净利率(%) | 18.5% | 17.0% | 1 ...