Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a stable revenue growth with a year-on-year increase of 1.6% in Q1 2025, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 12.0% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin has come under pressure, declining by 1.0 percentage points to 10.8% [7] - The company is expected to benefit from increased domestic investment in major water conservancy and hydropower infrastructure, as well as the continuous expansion of its new energy investment and operation business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 142.736 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.636 billion yuan [7] - The operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 40.519 billion yuan, which is an increase in outflow compared to the previous year [7] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 79.6%, reflecting a slight increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [7] Order Intake - New contracts signed in Q1 2025 amounted to 299.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.6% year-on-year [7] - The energy and water resource sectors showed strong performance, with new contracts in hydropower and wind power increasing by 20.2% and 67.3% respectively [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2026 is 12.5 billion yuan and 13.2 billion yuan respectively, with a P/E ratio of 6.5 and 6.2 times [7] - The company is expected to maintain a "Buy" rating due to the formation of a second growth curve from its new energy investment and operation business [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company continues to face pressure on revenue and profit, with a notable decline in domestic business, while overseas new contracts remain strong [7] - The report highlights that the company achieved a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The report anticipates that fiscal policy support and improvements in financing will gradually manifest in investment and physical volume, with expectations for increased infrastructure investment and policy support in key regions [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 249.283 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 6.025 billion yuan, down 19.5% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin remained stable at 8.5%, with a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points [7] - The company’s financial expense ratio increased to 4.9%, primarily due to a rise in financial expenses [7] Business Segments - Revenue from various business segments in Q1 included: infrastructure construction (216.8 billion yuan, -8.0% YoY), design consulting (4.7 billion yuan, -2.2% YoY), equipment manufacturing (6.2 billion yuan, -5.8% YoY), real estate development (6.7 billion yuan, +59.5% YoY), and other businesses (14.9 billion yuan, +3.2% YoY) [7] - The report indicates that traditional infrastructure business is under pressure, but the share of higher-margin design consulting and real estate development has increased [7] Order Book and Future Outlook - The company signed new contracts worth 560.1 billion yuan in Q1, a decrease of 9.9% year-on-year, with significant contributions from overseas contracts [7] - The backlog of orders stood at 7,234.1 billion yuan at the end of Q1, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.0% [7] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2026 to be 28.0 billion yuan and 28.5 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 29.1 billion yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is under pressure, with total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 228 million yuan, down 26.11% [2][3] - The decline in performance is attributed to product price fluctuations and market factors, leading to a decrease in gross margins for certain products [2] - The company has made significant product accumulations and technological breakthroughs in various fields, particularly in underwater electronic defense and special electronic industries, which are expected to support future business expansion [3] - Future development plans focus on ensuring quality and quantity in defense research and production, enhancing innovation resources, and expanding into electronic information industries [3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, now expecting net profits of 295 million yuan and 367 million yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 463 million yuan [3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan and a net profit of 228 million yuan, with significant increases in accounts receivable and inventory, indicating pressure on sales collection and inventory management [2] - The average return on equity decreased by 1.08 percentage points to 2.80% [2] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.32 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 86.49 [1][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for China Marine Defense (600764) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 is under pressure, with total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 228 million yuan, down 26.11% [2][3] - The decline in performance is attributed to product price fluctuations and market factors, leading to a decrease in gross margins for certain products [2] - The company has made significant product accumulations and technological breakthroughs in various fields, including underwater information systems and smart manufacturing, which are expected to support future business expansion [3] - Future development plans focus on ensuring quality and quantity in defense research and production, enhancing innovation resources, and diversifying market exploration [3] - The earnings forecast has been adjusted, with net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 revised to 295 million yuan and 367 million yuan, respectively, and a new estimate for 2027 at 463 million yuan [3] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 3.173 billion yuan and a net profit of 228 million yuan, reflecting significant declines from the previous year [1][2] - Accounts receivable increased by 19.11% to 4.145 billion yuan, and inventory rose by 11.41% to 1.686 billion yuan, indicating pressure on sales collection and inventory management [2] - The weighted average return on equity decreased by 1.08 percentage points to 2.80% [2] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.32 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 86.49 [1][3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 伯特利（603596） 2025 年一季报点评：毛利率或为阶段低点， 看好智能底盘+全球化长期趋势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,918 | 15,500 | 18,376 | | 同比（%） | 34.93 | 32.95 | 30.01 | 19.99 | 18.55 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 891.50 | 1,208.85 | 1,547.19 | 1,881.89 | 2,285.19 | | 同比（%） | 27.57 | 35.60 | 27.99 | 21.63 | 21.43 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.20 | 28.91 | 22.59 | 18.57 | 15.29 ...

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·药品及生物科技(HS) 信达生物（01801.HK） 证券分析师 朱国广 执业证书：S0600520070004 zhugg@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张翀翯 二代 IO 潜力可期，慢病管线开始商业兑现 2025 年 05 月 06 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,206 | 9,422 | 11,491 | 15,178 | 20,089 | | 同比(%) | 36.19 | 51.82 | 21.96 | 32.09 | 32.36 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (1,027.91) | (94.63) | 574.47 | 2,187.99 | 3,026.89 | | 同比(%) | 52.83 | 90.79 | 707.06 | 280.87 | 38.34 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.62) | (0.06) | ...

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观深度报告 #海外政治 特朗普 2.0 百日新政复盘及后市展望 2025 年 05 月 06 日 证券分析师 韦祎 执业证书：S0600525040002 weiy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 王茁 执业证书：S0600124120013 wangzhuo@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 张佳炜 执业证书：S0600524120013 zhangjw@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《五一假期海外市场：强非农再压降 息预期》 2025-05-05 《美债天量的到期 vs 供给，哪个更致 命？》 2025-04-30 东吴证券研究所 1 / 17 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 核心观点：特朗普 2.0 百日新政兼具特朗普 1.0 政策延续和新政治周期 起点的双重特征，而在政策落地上，关税和财政政策成为最大的两个"预 期差"来源，二者在影响全球增长预期的同时，也使得特朗普 2.0 百日 新政内的大类资产走势与 1.0 时 ...

从微观出发的五维行业轮动月度跟踪 202505 2025 年 05 月 06 日 证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20250506 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 证券分析师 高子剑 执业证书：S0600518010001 021-60199793 gaozj@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 凌志杰 执业证书：S0600525040007 lingzhj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《从微观出发的五维行业轮动 月度跟踪 202504》 2025-03-31 东吴证券研究所 1 / 9 金工定期报告 内容目录 | 1. 五维行业轮动模型简介 | | --- | | 2. 五维行业轮动模型绩效跟踪 | | 2.1. 五维行业轮动模型评分 | | 2.2. 五维行业轮动模型回测绩效表现 | | 3. 五维行业轮动模型持仓跟踪 | | 4. 五维行业轮动模型的指数增强策略 . | | 5. 风险提示 . | 2 / 9 东吴证券研究所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 金工定期报告 图表目录 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 模型多空对冲绩效：以 2 ...

证券研究报告 2024Q4&2025Q1业绩综述： 总体符合预期，内外需均有韧性 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年5月6日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 板块最新观点 2 ◼ 板块观点重申：5月优先AI智能化+机器人！优选【小鹏汽车+地平线】！ （ ◼ 节前节后发生了哪些重要变化？中美贸易战或趋于缓和是最大的外在环境变化。美国允许对 进口汽车零部件、在美国组装汽车的汽车生产商进行一定程度的补偿，或是美国这轮持续加 征关税后的"松动表现"，有助于大幅缓解此前市场对汽车因为中美贸易战持续升级所带来 的三层担忧：1）贸易战升级对汽车外需的影响；2）贸易战升级引发间接的汽车内需价格战； 3）小米事故引发智驾强监管。而假期期间美股特斯拉/港股汽车表现均较为强势，港股地平 线/小鹏汽车等领涨。 ◼ 当前时点汽车板块如何配置？我们依然坚持看好2025年【AI智能化/机器人+红利风格】两 条主线并存选股思路，5月看好AI智能化/机器人反弹空间或更大。【AI智能化/机器人】是 乘用车-零部件大板块核心矛盾。乘用车板块：港股优选【小 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 伯特利（603596） 2025 年一季报点评：毛利率或为阶段低点， 看好智能底盘+全球化长期趋势 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,474 | 9,937 | 12,918 | 15,500 | 18,376 | | 同比（%） | 34.93 | 32.95 | 30.01 | 19.99 | 18.55 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 891.50 | 1,208.85 | 1,547.19 | 1,881.89 | 2,285.19 | | 同比（%） | 27.57 | 35.60 | 27.99 | 21.63 | 21.43 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.47 | 1.99 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 3.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.20 | 28.91 | 22.59 | 18.57 | 15.29 ...