Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Views - Zhou Li Fu, a well-known domestic gold jewelry brand, leverages an online and offline sales model to penetrate lower-tier markets and achieve differentiated layouts and multi-channel development. The online business is rapidly expanding and is currently leading the industry. With the continuous expansion of the gold jewelry market and the company's potential layout in North and East China, future revenue has strong growth momentum and broad prospects. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 850 million, 980 million, and 1.12 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 20%, 16%, and 14% respectively. The latest closing price corresponds to a PE ratio of 23, 20, and 17 times for 2025-2027. Given the company's high online growth and significant expansion potential for offline stores, long-term growth is promising, and the company continues to distribute dividends [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Zhou Li Fu was established in 2004 and officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on June 26, 2025. The company provides a variety of jewelry products, including gold jewelry and diamond-inlaid jewelry, through a comprehensive sales network of offline stores and online sales channels. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.0%, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, also up 7.1% year-on-year. In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, and a net profit of 420 million yuan, up 11.9% year-on-year [9][14]. 2. Industry Overview - The Chinese gold jewelry market is experiencing steady expansion, with the market size expected to grow from 328.2 billion yuan in 2019 to 568.8 billion yuan in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.6%. By 2029, the market size is projected to reach 818.5 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 7.6% from 2024 to 2029. The gold jewelry segment is expected to maintain a dominant position, accounting for 73.0% of the total retail sales in 2024, increasing to 75.2% by 2029 [50][49]. 3. Future Growth - Zhou Li Fu is focusing on expanding its offline store network while enhancing its online sales channels. As of the end of 2024, the company had over 4,129 stores, including more than 4,125 in China and 4 overseas. The company is actively penetrating lower-tier markets and expanding into first and second-tier cities. In the first half of 2025, online sales reached 1.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.3%, accounting for 51.8% of total revenue [60][61].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the higher education sector [1] Core Insights - Higher education companies are characterized by solid assets, good cash flow from advance payments, and high industry competition barriers. The current valuation for these companies is approximately 3-6 times PE, indicating significant recovery potential. The low valuation is primarily due to market concerns regarding dividend distribution, although many companies have demonstrated strong actual dividends through mechanisms like VIE [3][4] - A recent approval for the profit-oriented transition of Hunan International Economics University under Yuhua Education signifies ongoing operational and policy advancements in the higher education sector [4][5] - The core discussion points regarding higher education policies focus on profit-oriented transitions and dividends, with the "Private Education Promotion Law" allowing institutions to register as either profit-oriented or non-profit entities [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Characteristics - Companies in the higher education sector have solid assets and good cash flow, with a current valuation of 3-6 times PE, indicating a significant recovery potential. Concerns about dividend distribution have led to lower valuations, despite strong historical dividends [4][5] Recent Developments - The approval of profit-oriented transition for Hunan International Economics University indicates continuous progress in operational policies within the sector [4][5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued higher education stocks, specifically mentioning companies such as Zhongjiao Holdings, Huaxia Holdings, China Education Group, New Higher Education Group, Yuhua Education, and Jianqiao Education [5][6][9] - Zhongjiao Holdings is noted for having the highest actual dividend rate of 184% in the sector, with a corresponding dividend yield of 9% [6][9] - Huaxia Holdings is expected to benefit from tuition increases and has a high dividend rate of 99% [6][9] - China Education Group has stable performance with a PE valuation of approximately 4 times and a dividend rate of 29% [6][9] - New Higher Education Group is highlighted as one of the lowest-valued companies in the sector, with a PE valuation of about 3 times and a dividend rate of 47% [6][9]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the North Exchange 50 index reached a new high before experiencing a pullback, suggesting a focus on technology growth stocks with high industry prosperity [3][18] - The North Exchange A-share market showed a decline of 1.07% for the week, with the index closing at 1600.88 points as of September 12, 2025, while other major indices performed better [18] - The report highlights a significant liquidity drop, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 11.21% to 319.40 billion yuan, indicating a reduction in market activity [18] Group 2 - The newly listed company, Sanxie Electric (920100.BJ), specializes in control motors and has established a strong reputation in precision control motors, with applications across various sectors [4][23] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on growth stocks in sectors such as artificial intelligence, robotics, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy, particularly those with relatively low valuations [3][24] - The North Exchange plans to switch to new securities codes for existing stocks starting October 9, 2025, which is expected to enhance the recognition of listed companies [12]

Core Insights - The market is currently experiencing a structural shift, transitioning from a trend-driven rally to a range-bound consolidation phase, which often serves as a critical window for structural changes [1][4] - The focus is on the AI sector, particularly in upstream hardware such as optical modules, PCBs, and domestic GPUs, which have seen concentrated bullish sentiment [2][6] - The report suggests that if the market fails to break through the upper range with increased volume, it may lead to a new fragile balance between bulls and bears, making lower-risk investments more favorable [2][3] Market Dynamics - The current market structure is highly concentrated, with a few segments significantly impacting the overall index. If liquidity remains low, it could lead to increased volatility and risks in high-leverage segments [2][6] - The report highlights that the PPI data from August showed a narrowing year-on-year decline, indicating some improvement, but not enough to support a strong market rally [3][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying sectors that are less crowded and have potential for growth, particularly in the AI industry, where certain segments remain undervalued [3][4] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several promising areas within the AI sector, including storage solutions, AIDC-related infrastructure, and AI applications in healthcare and robotics [7][9][10] - Specific investment opportunities include companies involved in high-performance storage products, AI infrastructure, and AI applications in pharmaceuticals, which are expected to benefit from technological advancements and increased demand [7][9][10] - The report suggests that the AI application sector, particularly in areas like smart driving and humanoid robots, is poised for significant growth, driven by technological breakthroughs and market demand [12][13][14] Historical Context - The report draws parallels with the 2019-2021 new energy market, illustrating how structural shifts often occur during consolidation phases, leading to a rotation between high and low-performing sectors [4][24] - Historical data indicates that during previous market consolidations, certain sectors outperformed while others lagged, suggesting a similar pattern may emerge in the current AI-driven market [4][24] Sector Analysis - The report provides a detailed analysis of various AI-related sectors, highlighting the potential for growth in storage, AIDC, AI in healthcare, and consumer electronics [7][8][9][11] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring developments in these sectors, as they are likely to experience significant investment and innovation in the coming years [7][8][9][11] - The report also includes a table of relevant stocks within the AI sector, providing a snapshot of market capitalization and industry classification for potential investors [30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, specifically highlighting the potential in PCB equipment, solid-state battery equipment, and humanoid robots [1]. Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is driving the high-end PCB market, with significant growth expected in the server market from 2024 onwards, leading to increased production capacity among domestic PCB manufacturers [2][29]. - Solid-state battery equipment is seeing steady industrialization, with key suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent delivering critical production lines, indicating a growing market for solid-state batteries [4]. - The humanoid robot sector is poised for significant opportunities, particularly with upcoming product launches from Tesla and other companies, suggesting a favorable investment environment [5]. Summary by Sections PCB Equipment - Oracle's recent financial results indicate a substantial increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO), suggesting a strong demand for AI computing infrastructure [2]. - Leading PCB manufacturers in China are expanding their high-end HDI production capacity to capture quality orders in the server PCB market, which will significantly boost demand for drilling equipment [3]. - Key recommendations for PCB production include focusing on drilling, exposure, and electroplating processes, with specific companies highlighted for their roles in these areas [3][30]. Solid-State Battery Equipment - Leading equipment manufacturers are successfully delivering key solid-state battery production equipment, with significant energy savings and cost reductions reported [4]. - The solid-state battery sector is expected to enter a critical phase of pilot production by 2025-2026, with ongoing equipment optimization anticipated [4][22]. Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing a surge in interest, driven by new product releases and advancements in AI capabilities, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][44]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-performance AI models for the development of humanoid robots, indicating a need for continued innovation in this area [44][45]. Industry Trends - The mechanical equipment industry is witnessing a strong upward trend, with significant sales growth in excavators and other machinery, driven by infrastructure projects and international demand [11][36]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of electric and unmanned machinery in high-altitude projects, suggesting a shift in industry dynamics towards more advanced technologies [37][38].

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·电子 电子行业点评报告 模拟反倾销调查启动，多维拆解影响几何？ 2025 年 09 月 14 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 风险提示：政策不及预期，技术发展不及预期，市场竞争风险。 行业走势 0% 11% 22% 33% 44% 55% 66% 77% 88% 99% 2024/9/18 2025/1/15 2025/5/14 2025/9/10 电子 沪深300 相关研究 《国产算力认知强化！GPU"芯片"视 角向"超节点"转换》 2025-09-11 证券分析师 陈海进 执业证书：S0600525020001 chenhj@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 谢文嘉 执业证书：S0600125020003 xiewenjia@dwzq.com.cn 《百万 Token 时代来临，Rubin CPX 重塑推理架构与产业链》 2025-09-10 东吴证券研究所 1 / 3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 核心观点：我们认为"海外价格战"一直为模拟板块核心压制，尤其是 汽车/工业/通信领域。反倾销的推进，有望解放模拟厂商 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (601601) [1] Core Views - China Pacific Insurance plans to issue approximately HKD 15.6 billion in zero-coupon H-share convertible bonds to support its main insurance business and the implementation of three major strategies: "Great Health", "Artificial Intelligence+", and "Internationalization" [2][7] - The issuance of convertible bonds is expected to enhance the company's capital strength at a low cost, supporting its main business development [7] - The report forecasts that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will be CNY 51.6 billion, CNY 52.7 billion, and CNY 55.3 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is projected to be CNY 404.1 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 24.74% [1] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be CNY 44.96 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 64.95% [1] - The report indicates that the company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 7.99 in 2024 and decrease to 6.81 by 2027 [9] - The price-to-embedded value (P/EV) is projected to decline from 0.64 in 2024 to 0.52 in 2027, indicating a potential undervaluation [9] Market Data - The closing price of China Pacific Insurance is CNY 37.32, with a market capitalization of CNY 359.03 billion [5] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27 and a net asset value per share of CNY 29.30 [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company focuses on the fields of mental health and cardiovascular diseases, with a promising development of innovative drugs. The launch of the insomnia drug, Dazisni, is expected to significantly contribute to revenue growth. The company is also advancing in the development of a small molecule Lp(a) inhibitor, which has potential for international markets [7][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has diversified its business across raw materials, finished drugs, and medical devices, marking a new phase in innovative drug development. It has become a leading enterprise in the mental health and cardiovascular sectors, with a production capacity exceeding 10 billion tablets [12][14]. 2. Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 3,999 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.79%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 618.90 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 6.55% compared to the previous year. Revenue is forecasted to grow to 5,770 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.59% [1][18]. 3. Product Pipeline - The company has a rich pipeline of over ten innovative drug projects, including the small molecule Lp(a) inhibitor JX2201, which is currently in Phase I clinical trials. The drug has significant potential due to the large patient population with elevated Lp(a) levels and the absence of approved treatments targeting this condition [7][61]. 4. Market Dynamics - The insomnia drug market in China is projected to grow significantly, with the number of insomnia patients expected to reach 300 million by 2025. The company’s insomnia drug, Dazisni, is anticipated to capture a substantial market share following its launch and subsequent inclusion in the medical insurance list [45][54]. 5. Revenue Contributions - The finished drug segment is expected to contribute approximately 61% of total revenue in 2024, with a projected revenue of 25.22 billion yuan. The company is also focusing on expanding its overseas market presence and enhancing its product offerings through innovative drug development [29][35].

Macro Strategy - The recent cooling of US employment data makes a rate cut in September almost certain, with expectations of a 25bps cut and potential for 1-2 additional cuts throughout the year [1][12][16] - Gold prices surged, breaking the $3600 per ounce mark, driven by concerns over Eurozone fiscal stability and US rate cut expectations [1][12] - Upcoming US non-farm payroll data and inflation metrics (PPI, CPI) will significantly influence the tone of the September FOMC meeting [1][12][16] Employment Data Analysis - In August, the US added only 22,000 non-farm jobs, significantly below the expected 75,000, with previous months' data also revised downwards [2][16] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.324%, slightly above expectations, indicating a weakening labor demand [2][16] - The labor market is characterized by a "bizarre balance" of weak supply and demand, leading to a more pronounced decline in job additions compared to the rise in unemployment [2][16] Fixed Income Market Insights - The issuance of green bonds increased to approximately 8.767 billion yuan, reflecting a growing interest in sustainable finance [3] - The secondary market for green bonds saw a decrease in trading volume, totaling 48.2 billion yuan, indicating a potential cooling in investor interest [3] - The bond market is experiencing a "stock-bond seesaw" effect, with limited downward movement in bond yields despite significant stock market corrections [4][5] Industry Analysis: Semiconductor Sector - The domestic computing power sector is showing signs of recovery, with increased activity in GPU orders from major internet companies [10] - Companies like Cambrian and Haiguang are actively pursuing capital operations and acquisitions, indicating a bullish sentiment in the semiconductor space [10] - The release of new high-performance chips is expected to drive further growth in the domestic computing power market, with significant implications for internet and ODM companies [10] Company-Specific Insights: NIO Inc. - NIO's new vehicle performance is strong, but the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards due to increased industry competition [11] - Despite the downward revision, NIO maintains a "buy" rating based on its comprehensive technology layout and marketing strategies [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The acquisition of Chipwise Technology is expected to create synergies in business, customers, and costs, enhancing the company's competitive advantage in AI ASIC design services [3] - The company has reported a record high in orders, with a total order amount of 3.025 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025, marking an 85.88% increase in new orders compared to the same period last year [8] - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with expected revenues of 3.022 billion yuan in 2025, 3.822 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.724 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 30.17%, 26.44%, and 23.60% respectively [9] Financial Projections - The company is expected to report a net profit of -98.21 million yuan in 2025, turning positive with a profit of 204.33 million yuan in 2026 and 419.35 million yuan in 2027 [1][9] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be -0.19 yuan in 2025, with expectations of 0.39 yuan in 2026 and 0.80 yuan in 2027 [1][9] - The company’s P/E ratio is forecasted to be -819.01 in 2025, improving to 393.64 in 2026 and 191.81 in 2027 [1][9]