1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The economic growth rate of Shaanxi Province is above the national average, but its fiscal revenue is under pressure, and there is significant differentiation among cities. The debt burden is at a medium level in the country, and the debt structure is expected to gradually optimize in the future [1]. - The scale and cost of Shaanxi's existing urban investment bonds are at a medium - upper level in the country. The credit quality of the bonds is good, mainly short - to medium - term, and the financing cost is expected to decline [1]. - In the first half of 2025, the issuance of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds showed the characteristics of "stable total volume and negative net financing". The financing end will maintain a tight balance, and the incremental financing space may open up in the future [1]. - The overall debt repayment pressure of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds shows a downward trend in steps, but attention should be paid to the credit risk of some platforms in the third quarter of 2025 [2]. - The secondary market trading activity of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds has room for improvement. The yield has been declining, and the credit spread has been narrowing. It is recommended to be cautious when sinking the credit rating [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Shaanxi Province Overview 3.1.1 Economic and Fiscal Perspective - In 2024, Shaanxi's GDP was about 3.55 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of 5.30%, higher than the national average. Its per capita GDP was 89,915 yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.23% [9]. - The general public budget revenue in 2024 was 339.308 billion yuan, ranking 15th in the country, a year - on - year decrease of 1.30%. The budget expenditure increased slightly, and the fiscal self - sufficiency rate decreased by 1.41 pct to 46.50% [14]. - There is significant differentiation in the fiscal strength of cities in Shaanxi. Xi'an has a leading position in fiscal revenue and expenditure, while the fiscal self - sufficiency rates of some cities are less than 25% [20]. - Tax revenue accounts for a relatively high proportion of Shaanxi's general public budget revenue, reaching 93.75% in 2024, but showing a downward trend [26]. 3.1.2 Industrial Layout Perspective - The proportion of the tertiary industry in Shaanxi has gradually exceeded 45% in the past 7 years, while the proportion of the secondary industry has slightly decreased, and the proportion of the primary industry is less than 8%. The economic structure is accelerating its transformation towards a service - led model [32]. - Shaanxi has introduced a series of policies to promote the development of emerging industries, such as the development of the low - altitude manufacturing industry and the digital economy [33]. 3.2 Current Situation of Existing Urban Investment Bonds and Urban Investment Entities in Shaanxi Province 3.2.1 Review of the Changes and Development of Shaanxi's Urban Investment Bonds - The development of urban investment financing in Shaanxi can be traced back to 1992. After several stages of development, the number of urban investment platforms has increased, and debt management has been continuously strengthened [39]. - Since 2018, Shaanxi's debt ratio has shown an upward trend, and the local debt burden has increased. However, the "controlling increment and resolving stock" of urban investment bonds has been effective, and the urban investment debt ratio has decreased in recent years [45]. 3.2.2 Focus on the Current Structure of Existing Bonds - As of July 15, 2025, the balance of Shaanxi's existing urban investment bonds was about 232.748 billion yuan, ranking 12th in the country, and the weighted average coupon rate was about 4.14%, ranking 10th [54]. - In terms of credit rating, AAA and AA+ - rated bonds account for a relatively high proportion. The remaining maturity of bonds is mainly concentrated in the 1 - 3 - year interval, and the bond types are mainly corporate bonds [55]. 3.2.3 Focus on the Current Situation of Urban Investment Entities - As of July 15, 2025, there were 75 urban investment entities in Shaanxi, with 55 having existing bonds. The bond - issuing entities are mainly high - rated municipal and development zone urban investment platforms [63]. - There are 5 urban investment entities with a bond balance of over 10 billion yuan, all with AA+ or above ratings. Xi'an High - tech Holdings Co., Ltd. has the largest balance of existing urban investment bonds [67]. 3.3 Issuance Situation of Shaanxi's Urban Investment Bonds in the Primary Market in the First Half of 2025 - In the first half of 2025, Shaanxi issued urban investment bonds worth 55.725 billion yuan, ranking 12th in the country, and the cumulative net financing was - 109 million yuan. The issuance showed the characteristics of "stable total volume and negative net financing" [69]. - The average coupon rate of bond issuance in the first half of 2025 was 3.01%, significantly lower than the existing coupon rate. It is expected that the financing cost will continue to decline [70]. - In terms of issuance structure, the issuance scale of AAA - rated entities accounted for more than half. The issuance term was mainly 3 - 5 years, and the bond types were mainly corporate bonds and medium - term notes [74]. 3.4 Debt Repayment Situation of Shaanxi's Urban Investment Bonds in the Next 3 Years - The overall debt repayment pressure of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds shows a downward trend in steps, but attention should be paid to the credit risk of some platforms in the third quarter of 2025 [2]. - The overall debt repayment structure is consistent with the structure of existing bonds, mainly corporate bonds and AAA - rated bonds [2]. 3.5 Secondary Market Transaction and Yield Performance of Shaanxi's Urban Investment Bonds - In the first half of 2025, the secondary market trading volume was about 9.5107 billion yuan, and the turnover rate was 62.14%, lower than the national average. The trading activity has room for improvement [2]. - From July 2018 to July 2025, the yield of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds showed a fluctuating downward trend, and the credit spread has narrowed significantly [2]. - The market's expectation of the credit risk of Shaanxi's urban investment bonds has improved, but it is recommended to be cautious when sinking the credit rating [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yutong Bus (600066) [1] Core Views - July sales showed a month-on-month decline, which is expected during the traditional off-season, and the company is likely building inventory for future demand [8] - The company reported a total sales volume of 3,219 units in July, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 4% and a year-on-year decrease of 46% [8] - The company is adopting a "sales-driven production" model, indicating that the short-term inventory increase may be a preparation for future order fulfillment [8] - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 429 billion, 499 billion, and 567 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 15%, 16%, and 14% respectively [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 46.3 billion, 55.2 billion, and 66.8 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 19%, and 21% respectively [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 27,042 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 24.05% [1] - The diluted EPS for 2023 is expected to be 0.82 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 31.28 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 43,273 million yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.76% [9]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·商用车 宇通客车（600066） 7 月销量同环比下降，淡季加库或为后续放 量做库存准备 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 27,042 | 37,218 | 42,920 | 49,941 | 56,683 | | 同比（%） | 24.05 | 37.63 | 15.32 | 16.36 | 13.50 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,817 | 4,116 | 4,626 | 5,515 | 6,677 | | 同比（%） | 139.36 | 126.53 | 12.39 | 19.22 | 21.06 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.82 | 1.86 | 2.09 | 2.49 | 3.02 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 32.57 | 14.38 | 12.79 | 10.73 | 8.86 | [Table_Tag] [Table ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.24 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 183 million yuan, up 113.2% year-on-year [8] - The improvement in single-store revenue continues, with a net increase of 270 rural stores and a slight decrease in urban stores [8] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 22.1%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.7 percentage points, but an improvement from the previous half [8] - The company is expected to benefit from scale effects and an increase in self-produced products, which will help stabilize gross margins [8] - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 72.9 billion, 83.9 billion, and 95.5 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 4.2 billion, 5.0 billion, and 5.8 billion yuan [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.07% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 239.64 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.23% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.15 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.39 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 5.16 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 32.30% [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company for the first time [1] Core Views - The company is actively expanding its diversified business segments to reduce reliance on a single business, with significant growth in its photovoltaic products and end-of-pipe pollution control equipment [12][13] - The company is positioned as a leader in the process pollution control equipment sector, benefiting from strong technical barriers and a diverse customer base across multiple industries [28] - The company is enhancing its cost advantages through the establishment of advanced solar cell production capacity and innovative carbon capture technologies [30][29] - The financial forecast indicates a recovery in net profit from a loss in 2024 to positive figures in 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 0.22 billion, 1.53 billion, and 2.55 billion respectively [31][32] Summary by Sections Business Diversification - The company is reducing its dependence on process pollution control equipment, which accounted for 54.31% of revenue in 2024, down from 94.42% the previous year. The end-of-pipe pollution control equipment revenue grew by 47.49% year-on-year [12][13] - Revenue from photovoltaic products reached 6.44 billion in 2024, making up 31.35% of total revenue, indicating rapid growth in this segment [12][13] Technical Leadership and Market Position - The company holds 262 patents, including 60 invention patents, and has established itself as a leader in the process pollution control equipment market, particularly in the photovoltaic sector [28] - The diverse customer base across industries such as semiconductor, fine chemicals, automotive, metallurgy, and construction helps mitigate risks associated with industry concentration [28] Cost Management and Production Capacity - The company is building a high-efficiency solar cell production base with advanced automation, achieving a cell conversion efficiency of ≥26.5% and a bifacial rate of ≥80% [29] - The adoption of the TOPCon technology is expected to enhance efficiency and reduce production costs significantly [29] Financial Forecast - The company anticipates a recovery in profitability, with net profit projections of 0.22 billion in 2025, 1.53 billion in 2026, and 2.55 billion in 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround from a loss of 0.77 billion in 2024 [31][32]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company, Tieda Technology, is positioned as a premium supplier in the rail transit signal monitoring industry, with a strong focus on innovation and technology development. It has established a comprehensive range of products and services in the rail transit sector, including monitoring systems and intelligent operation management systems [9][14]. - The rail transit industry is experiencing robust growth, supported by national policies aimed at enhancing transportation infrastructure. Additionally, the unmanned logistics vehicle sector is anticipated to witness explosive growth, with market forecasts suggesting a significant increase in scale by 2030 [9][40]. - Tieda Technology has made strategic investments in the robotics and unmanned logistics sectors, positioning itself to capitalize on emerging opportunities in these high-potential markets [9][56]. Summary by Sections 1. Tieda Technology: A Premium Supplier in Rail Transit Signal Monitoring - The company has over 30 years of experience in the rail transit signal field, providing a range of products and services, including monitoring systems and intelligent operation management systems [14]. - Tieda Technology has achieved steady revenue growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.5% from 2021 to 2024, and a net profit CAGR of 23.9% during the same period [21]. 2. The Rail Transit Industry and Unmanned Logistics - The rail transit equipment industry is expected to grow significantly, with the market size projected to reach 1,121.2 billion yuan by 2025, driven by ongoing infrastructure development [47]. - The unmanned logistics vehicle market is forecasted to grow from 6.3 billion yuan in 2024 to 933.4 billion yuan by 2030, indicating a substantial increase in demand and market penetration [51]. 3. Strategic Investments in Robotics and Unmanned Logistics - Tieda Technology has established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Huto Intelligent, to invest in cutting-edge fields such as autonomous driving and intelligent logistics [9][56]. - The company has invested in Bear Robot, a leading provider of low-speed autonomous driving solutions, further enhancing its capabilities in the unmanned logistics sector [9][56]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts Tieda Technology's revenue to reach 3.36 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.93%. The net profit is expected to be 740 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.54 yuan [1][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the green electricity sector, benefiting from the appreciation of green certificate values and high installation growth [1]. Core Insights - The report continues to recommend investment opportunities in green electricity operators against the backdrop of increasing green certificate values. In June 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 278 million green certificates, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%, involving 198,700 renewable energy projects, with 196 million being tradable certificates, accounting for 70.64% [4][6]. - Key industry data shows that in the first half of 2025, total electricity consumption reached 4.84 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. The cumulative power generation was 4.54 trillion kWh, up 0.8% year-on-year, with significant growth in wind and solar power generation [4][13][22]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW public utility index fell by 1.84% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, with declines across various sectors including thermal power and solar energy [9]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 was 4.84 trillion kWh, with growth rates of 8.7% in the primary industry, 2.4% in the secondary industry, 7.1% in the tertiary industry, and 4.1% in urban and rural residential use [13]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in H1 2025 was 4.54 trillion kWh, with thermal and hydro power generation declining by 2.4% and 2.9% respectively, while wind and solar power generation increased by 11.1% and 18.3% [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average grid purchase price in July 2025 was 382 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month [36]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of August 1, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 663 RMB/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 21.91% but a week-on-week increase of 10 RMB/ton [46]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.66 meters as of August 1, 2025, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year declines of 49.02% and 44.94% respectively [57]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a continued trend of safe and orderly development in the nuclear sector [71]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in solar energy and charging stations, highlighting companies such as Longyuan Power, Zhongmin Energy, and China Nuclear Power as key recommendations [4].

Market Performance - Developed and emerging markets both declined by 2.5% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025[1] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 3.5%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 4.9%[1] - The S&P 500 decreased by 2.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average led the decline with a 2.9% drop[4] Economic Indicators - U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 73,000 jobs in July, significantly below the expected 104,000 and previous month's 147,000[4] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI fell to 48 in July, below the expected 49.5, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector[4] - The U.S. Q2 GDP growth rate was 3.0%, surpassing expectations of 2.4%[4] Market Sentiment and Trends - There is a consensus to focus on dividend-paying stocks and identify sectors with growth potential, particularly in healthcare[1] - Concerns remain regarding internet technology stocks due to consumer spending factors, although some funds are increasing their allocations[1] - The market is experiencing increased volatility due to rising overseas risks and expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S.[1] Tariff Impacts - The U.S. is set to implement reciprocal tariffs starting August 7, affecting various countries with rates as high as 39% for some[5] - The market's sensitivity to tariff issues appears to be diminishing, but ongoing monitoring is necessary[1] Fund Flows - Global equity ETFs saw a net inflow of $29.579 billion, with the U.S. leading at $19.55 billion[11] - Chinese equity ETFs experienced the largest outflow, totaling $5 billion[11] - Institutional investors are slightly reducing gold holdings, while retail investors are marginally increasing their positions[10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental-S (09901.HK) [1][3] Core Insights - The company's core business profitability is improving, and a new shareholder return plan demonstrates confidence in future performance [1][3] - The report adjusts the Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for FY2026 and FY2027 down to $580 million and $630 million respectively, with an expectation of $690 million for FY2028 [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio (Non-GAAP) of 12, 11, and 10 times for FY2026 to FY2028 [3] Financial Performance Summary - FY2025Q4 total net revenue reached $1.24 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, while excluding self-operated products and live e-commerce, total revenue was $1.09 billion, up 18.7% year-on-year [8] - The operating cash inflow for FY2025Q4 was $399 million, with capital expenditures of $65.9 million [8] - The company expects a 2% to 5% year-on-year growth in net revenue for FY26Q1 and a 5% to 10% growth for FY2026 [8] - The core business showed robust performance, with revenue from overseas exam preparation and consulting growing by 14.6% and 8.2% respectively, and domestic exam preparation for adults and college students increasing by approximately 17.0% [8] - Non-GAAP net profit for FY2025Q4 was $98.08 million, a year-on-year increase of 59.4%, indicating significant improvement in core education business profitability [8] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for FY2024A to FY2028E are $4.314 billion, $4.900 billion, $5.372 billion, $5.854 billion, and $6.277 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 43.89%, 13.60%, 9.63%, 8.96%, and 7.24% [1][9] - The forecasted Non-GAAP net profits for FY2024A to FY2028E are $464 million, $517 million, $577 million, $632 million, and $685 million, with growth rates of 79.15%, 11.44%, 11.57%, 9.60%, and 8.38% respectively [1][9] - The report highlights a significant increase in operating profit for Non-GAAP, which is projected to reach $688.83 million by FY2028 [9]

Investment Rating - The report indicates an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting a positive outlook for the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The report highlights a total of 79 merger and acquisition (M&A) events during the period from July 28 to August 3, with 14 classified as significant M&A transactions. Out of these, 15 M&A events were completed, while no significant M&A transactions were finalized [10]. - Recent policy updates emphasize that government investment funds should not engage in public trading of stocks, except for M&A, directed placements, and strategic allocations. This aims to prevent the increase of local government hidden debts [7][8]. - The report notes that the restructuring index outperformed the Wind All A index by 1.07% during the specified period, indicating a strong performance in the restructuring sector [25]. Summary by Sections M&A Activity Overview - During the week of July 28 to August 3, there were 79 M&A events involving listed companies, with 2 failures. The significant M&A events included 14 transactions, with 15 completed [10][16]. Major M&A Updates - The report lists several major M&A transactions involving state-owned enterprises and private companies, with notable transactions including China Shipbuilding's acquisition of China Heavy Industry for approximately 11.52 billion CNY [14]. Control Changes - Four listed companies reported changes in actual control, with notable transitions including Renfu Pharmaceutical being taken over by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [19]. Market Performance - The restructuring index showed a positive trend, outperforming the broader market index, which reflects a favorable environment for M&A activities [25].