点击蓝字 关注我们 招商银行全资附属机构 公司点评 珀莱雅 (603605 CH，买入，目标价：135.57元人民币) - 618表现亮眼：主品牌卫冕天猫榜单，彩妆品牌 跃至榜首 公司在此次618活动中表现亮眼，全周期整体GMV分别位列天猫/抖音的美妆排行榜第1/2名，主要由于大单品 策略持续发力叠加公司折扣可能略有放宽。其中，护肤主品牌在天猫/抖音的GMV同比增长了70%/110%，增 速明显优于平台板块整体（传统电商平台-13%/抖音平台+47.6%）及一众国际品牌。考虑到美妆行业退货率 可能继续提升，GMV增速落实至收入层面可能会打一定折扣。其他子品牌方面，彩妆/护发品牌排名取得突 破，GMV排名分别攀升至天猫榜单第1/9名，新品牌销售提升顺利，为公司多品牌矩阵策略提供助力。我们将 公司2024年/2025年的盈利预期提高了约20%，以反映618表现及4Q23/1Q24的亮眼业绩。维持"买入"评 级，目标价调整至人民币135.57元，对应35x 2024E P/E。 618整体表现亮眼，主品牌GMV卫冕天猫，抖音荣获榜眼。根据三方统计数据，618购物节期间，珀莱雅整体 美妆GMV在天猫成功卫冕，在抖音平 ...

CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 Q - Tech ( 1478 香港 ) CMBI Corp Day 外卖 : Android 恢复和规范升级推动 ASP / GPM 上升 我们于 6 月 26 日在 CMBI 技术公司日主持了 Q - tech 。主要收获包括 : 1 ) 智能手机 CCM : 管理。 在 Adroid 恢复,更高的 UTR 和更好的产品组合的推动下,FY24E 的 GPM 恢复是积极的 ; 2 ) 非智能 手机 CCM : 由于华为和海外一级客户的订单获胜,汽车 CCM 的加速增长 ; 3 ) FPM : 由于超声波 FPM 的采用增加和 ASP 的增加,利润崩溃在轨道上。总体而言,我们预计高端 Adroid 恢复和规格升级将 在 FY24E 提高 ASP / 收益。FY24 / 25E 市盈率为 11.9 倍 / 8.7 倍,我们认为该股仍然具有吸引力 ( 而 8 年期市盈率为 18 倍。avg) 。在审查 TP 的情况下保持买入。 智能手机 CCM : 由于 Android 恢复 , 高端规格升级和不断上升的 UTR / ASP , GPM 恢 复步入正轨。管理。重申 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for BOE Varitronix with a target price of HK$10.94, indicating a potential upside of 129.3% from the current price of HK$4.77 [4][9]. Core Insights - Management expects larger and high-end displays to drive sales growth, with a guidance of over 8% year-on-year sales growth, outperforming the industry average of 4% [2][9]. - High-end products are projected to achieve over 200% year-on-year growth, contributing significantly to overall sales in FY24E [2]. - The Chengdu plant is operating at full capacity, producing over 15 million pieces per month, with expectations for a recovery in utilization rates in the second half of FY24E [2][9]. - The net profit margin (NPM) is anticipated to recover in the second half of FY24E due to improved operational efficiency and ASP increases [2][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from HK$10,760 million in FY23A to HK$11,699 million in FY24E, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year increase [3][11]. - Net profit is expected to recover from HK$475.3 million in FY23A to HK$573.5 million in FY24E, representing a 20.7% year-on-year growth [3][11]. - The company is trading at a P/E ratio of 6.5x for FY24E, which is below the historical average, suggesting an attractive valuation [9][13]. Operational Highlights - The management highlighted that overseas demand for high-end products is rapidly increasing, contributing to the positive outlook for large displays and high-end products [2]. - The system business is expected to grow over 100% year-on-year in FY24E, with sales contributions projected to exceed 5% in FY24 and 5-10% in FY25E [2]. - The report indicates that the automotive display segment is also showing resilience, with expected growth in both domestic and overseas markets [8].

CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Q-Tech (1478 HK) CMBI Corp Day takeaways: ASP/GPM upside driven by Android recovery and spec upgrade We hosted Q-tech at CMBI Technology Corporate Day on 26 Jun. Key takeaways include: 1) smartphone CCM: mgmt. is positive on GPM recovery in FY24E driven by Android recovery, higher UTR and better product mix and; 2) non-smartphone CCM: accelerated growth in auto CCM thanks to Huawei and overseas tier-1 customers' order wins; 3) FPM: profit b ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Proya Cosmetics with a target price revised to RMB135.57, reflecting a 35x 2024E P/E ratio [2][4]. Core Insights - Proya achieved impressive results during the 618 promotion event, ranking top on Tmall and second on Douyin in the cosmetic sector, with GMV growth of +70% on Tmall and +110% on Douyin year-over-year [2][3]. - The company's hero product strategy and increased discounts contributed significantly to its success, with the main skincare brand ranking first and second on Tmall and Douyin, respectively [2][3]. - The report raises 2024E and 2025E earnings estimates by approximately 20% due to the success in the 618 event and solid earnings in 4Q23 and 1Q24 [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB8,905 million in FY23A to RMB11,689 million in FY24E, representing a year-over-year growth of 31.3% [3][16]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB1,193.9 million in FY23A to RMB1,537.5 million in FY24E, reflecting a growth of 28.8% [3][16]. - The gross profit margin is anticipated to remain stable around 70.2% in FY24E, with a slight increase to 70.4% in FY25E [10][19]. Market Position - Proya's makeup brand made its debut in the top rankings on Tmall, achieving 80% YoY growth, while the hair care brand Off&Relax entered the top 10 with a 70% YoY increase in GMV [2][3]. - The company's market capitalization is reported at RMB31,853.5 million, with a current share price of RMB113.99, indicating an upside potential of 18.9% to the target price [4][5]. Earnings Estimates - The report revises the earnings estimates for FY24E and FY25E, with revenue estimates increased by approximately 20% to RMB11,689 million and RMB14,567 million, respectively [10][11]. - Net profit estimates for FY24E and FY25E are also raised to RMB1,537 million and RMB1,913 million, respectively, reflecting a growth of 28.8% and 24.4% [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 10.94, based on a FY24E P/E ratio of 15 times [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing upgrade trends in large and high-end displays, with management projecting an 8% year-over-year sales growth, outperforming the industry average of 4% [2][3]. - The management anticipates over 200% year-over-year growth in high-end products (oxide/LTPS/OLED) contributing significantly to FY24E sales [2][3]. - The company’s system business is expected to achieve over 100% year-over-year growth in FY24E, with sales contributions exceeding 5% in FY24 and 5-10% in FY25 [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from HKD 10,760 million in FY23A to HKD 11,699 million in FY24E, reflecting an 8.7% year-over-year increase [3][9]. - Net profit is expected to recover to HKD 573.5 million in FY24E, up from HKD 475.3 million in FY23A, indicating a 20.7% year-over-year growth [3][9]. - The company’s EBITDA is forecasted to increase from HKD 771 million in FY23A to HKD 865.7 million in FY24E, representing a 12.3% growth [3][9]. Operational Updates - The Chengdu factory is currently operating at full capacity, producing over 15 million units per month, with expectations for UTR to stabilize in the second half of FY24E [2][3]. - Management noted that the factory has not incurred new depreciation costs and is transitioning to smaller and urgent orders rather than experiencing a demand slowdown [2][3]. Market Position - The company is experiencing rapid growth in overseas demand for high-end products, which is expected to drive ASP increases and NPM recovery [2][3]. - The report highlights the company's leadership in automotive displays and its positive outlook on order wins and overseas expansion [7].

CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 Proya 化妆品 (603605 CH) 令人印象深刻的 618 , 彩妆品牌首次亮相 TOP 1 ; 保 持购买 Proya 在 618 促销活动中取得了令人印象深刻的成绩,GMV 在天猫 / 抖音化妆品行业排名 第一 / 第二,受到有效的英雄产品策略以及可能更多折扣的提振。天猫 / 抖音的 GMV 同比 增长达到 + 70% / + 110%,基本超过平台行业总量和国际同行。随着全行业回报率的提高 ,收入水平的增长可能会更低。Proya 化妆品 / 护发品牌在天猫的排名首次攀升至前 10 位 ,表明新品牌开发进展顺利。我们将 2024E / 25E 收益预期提高了约 20%,以反映 618 年 的成功和稳定的第四季度 / 第一季度收益。维持买入,TP 修正为 135.57 元,反映 2024E 市盈率的 35 倍。 令人印象深刻的 618 : 在天猫保留宝座 , 在抖音排名第二。根据第三方统计的数据, 在 618 购物节期间,Proya 的 GMV 在天猫保持冠军地位,在化妆品领域排名第二 ( 仅次于 Kas ),超过所有国际同行 ( 图 1 ) 。同比 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$137.8, implying an upside of 83.7% from the current price of HK$75.00 [2][4]. Core Insights - Prudential Plc. announced a US$2 billion share buyback plan to be completed by mid-2026, alongside a projected annual dividend growth of 7%-9% for FY24E [2]. - The first tranche of US$700 million buyback will occur from June 24, 2024, to December 27, 2024, with an estimated reduction of approximately 78 million ordinary shares in FY24E [2]. - The company’s free surplus ratio remains strong at over 200%, with a free surplus of US$8.5 billion in 2023, indicating robust capital management [2][4]. - The buyback is expected to enhance liquidity for the Hong Kong-listed shares, which currently have a low floating share percentage of 6.73% [2]. - The insurer aims for a double-digit CAGR of gross operating free surplus generation, targeting over US$4.4 billion by 2027 [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Net profit is projected to increase from US$1.712 billion in FY23A to US$2.149 billion in FY24E, with operating EPS expected to rise from US$0.85 in FY23A to US$0.95 in FY24E [4][12]. - The Group's embedded value per share is forecasted to grow from US$16.4 in FY23A to US$18.4 in FY24E [4][12]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 9.8% in FY23A to 11.5% in FY24E [4][12]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a P/EV of 0.52x for FY24E, with a target P/EV of 0.95x [2][4]. - The projected dividend yield for FY24E is 2.3%, increasing to 2.5% in FY25E [4][12]. - The company’s net business profit (NBP) is anticipated to reach US$4.9-5.0 billion by FY27E, reflecting an 18% CAGR [2][4].

招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 公司点评 美国互联网和软件公司在 1Q24 的营收增长表现喜忧参半：广告和云服务的 收入增长呈现出重新加速的趋势，而 SaaS 的收入增长则环比略有下降。然 而，在劳动力成本优化、规模经济提升及运营效率提升的推动下，软件互联 网公司的利润率稳步扩张趋势在 1Q 进一步显现，且我们认为趋势有望在 2Q24延续，尽管下半年或将面临更高的利润率基数。AI相关变现及利润率扩 张仍是互联网及软件公司的关键投资主题，且行业股票表现有望对未来的降 息反应积极，尽管降息预期或已部分反映在股价中。选股方面，我们推荐微 软（MSFT US; 买入；在生成式人工智能快速发展及其变现的浪潮中处于有 利位置），亚马逊（AMZN US; 买入；利润率稳步扩张或仍有望超出市场预 期），以及 ServiceNow（NOW US; 买入；cRPO 的稳健增长和盈利能力扩 张有望持续）。（链接） 舜宇光学科技（2382 HK，持有，目标价：47.31 港元）- 看好高端手机规格 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------|--------------|-- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Haidilao with a target price of HK$21.52, indicating a potential upside of 46.6% from the current price of HK$14.68 [5][7]. Core Views - The management change at Haidilao, with Yang Lijuan resigning as CEO and Gou Yiqun taking over, is viewed as neutral for the company's operations, which continue to improve [2][3]. - Haidilao's financial performance has exceeded expectations, with significant improvements in table turnover rates and successful completion of operational programs [3]. - The company is confident in achieving its FY24E target of single-digit percentage growth in new store openings, despite a slow expansion pace in the near term [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 41,453 million in FY23A to RMB 47,018 million in FY24E, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.4% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 4,495.4 million in FY23A to RMB 4,996.6 million in FY24E, with a diluted EPS of RMB 0.89 for FY24E [4][8]. - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 16.9x in FY23A to 15.3x in FY24E, indicating an attractive valuation for long-term investors [4][9]. Operational Insights - Haidilao has successfully reopened 50 to 100 previously closed stores, contributing to a remarkable table turnover rate of approximately 4.3 times in the first five months of 2024 [3]. - The introduction of new products and enhanced customer engagement strategies have positively impacted the brand's market presence and customer loyalty [3]. - The potential for new store openings is bolstered by the upcoming launch of franchising stores and the success of campus stores [3]. Market Position - Haidilao's market capitalization stands at HK$81,826.3 million, with significant shareholding by Mr. Zhang Yong (60.4%) and Mr. Shi Sean (9.4%) [4]. - The stock has shown a relative performance of -20.6% over the past month, indicating a potential buying opportunity for investors [4][5].