Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has fully implemented the "Starlink Plan," achieving breakeven in its specialized vehicle assembly business. The sales volume of the Starlink Lighthouse Pioneer Group increased by 20.14% year-on-year, with revenue up by 21.18% [5] - The company reported a revenue of 15.823 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 19.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 843 million yuan, down 63.00% year-on-year [4] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 15.77%, a decrease of 3.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the company maintained good expense control [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 15.823 billion yuan, down 19.14% year-on-year, and a net profit of 843 million yuan, down 63.00% year-on-year [4] - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 5.124 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.98% year-on-year, and a net profit of 280 million yuan, down 26.50% year-on-year [4] - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 1.08 billion, 1.205 billion, and 1.359 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.52, 16.61, and 14.73 [6] Business Segment Performance - The specialized vehicle assembly business saw a significant year-on-year sales increase of 38.64% and revenue growth of 25.09%, achieving breakeven in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] - The North American business has resumed operations with container chassis deliveries, ranking 11th globally in the 2024 Global Trailer OEM rankings with nearly 23,500 units produced [5] - The company is actively exploring new markets and optimizing product delivery cycles in Europe and other regions, while maintaining growth in the Australian market [5]

拓普集团(601689) / 汽车零部件 / 公司点评 / 2024.11.07 因 投资评级:买入(维持) | --- | --- | |-------------------|------------| | 基本數据 | 2024-11-06 | | 收盘价(元) | 48.32 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 16.86 | | 每股净资产(元) | 11.07 | | 总股本(亿股) | 16 86 | | 最近 12月市场表现 | | 邢重阳 分析师 SAC 证书编号： S0160522110003 xingcy01@ctsec.com 李渤 分析师 SAC 证书编号: S0160521050001 libo(@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《2024Q2 业绩同比高增长，费用管 控成效显著》 2024-08-29 核心观点 ■ 证券研究报告 事件:2024年10月28日公司发布 2024 年三季度报告,3Q2024 公司实现营 业收入 71.30 亿元,同比+42.85%;实现归母净利润 7.78 亿元,同比+54.63%; 实现扣非归母净利润 7.27 亿元，同比+53.68%。 毛利率承压 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 7.048 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.65%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 153 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.77% [3] - The company's scenic spot business is under pressure, with Wuzhen receiving 5.9934 million visitors, a year-on-year decrease of 2.68%, and Gubei Water Town receiving 1.0025 million visitors, a year-on-year decrease of 10.55% [4] - The exhibition business saw significant profit growth, and the travel agency business benefited from the recovery of outbound tourism [5] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 10.375 billion yuan, 11.908 billion yuan, and 12.877 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 191 million yuan, 228 million yuan, and 263 million yuan [6] - The PE ratios for 2024-2026 are projected to be 39.4x, 32.9x, and 28.5x, respectively [6] - Revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 are forecasted at 7.68%, 14.77%, and 8.14%, respectively [7] - Net profit growth rates for 2024-2026 are expected to be -1.79%, 19.51%, and 15.52%, respectively [7] Business Segment Analysis - Wuzhen Scenic Area generated revenue of 1.325 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.36%, with a net profit of 265 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.32% [4] - Gubei Water Town generated revenue of 429 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 21.38% [4] - CYTS Boliand achieved revenue of 1.323 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 5.46%, but net profit increased significantly to 24.2938 million yuan due to improved management efficiency [5] - Strategic investment business remained stable, with Chuangge Technology achieving revenue of 2.574 billion yuan and net profit of 38.8879 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] Financial Ratios and Metrics - The company's ROE is expected to be 3.02%, 3.56%, and 4.06% in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - The PB ratios for 2024-2026 are projected to be 1.19x, 1.17x, and 1.16x, respectively [7] - The dividend payout ratio is expected to increase from 31% in 2023 to 52%, 61%, and 68% in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The outbound tourism business is steadily recovering, and offline stores are expected to accelerate growth [1] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 130.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 123 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 773.86% [4] - The booking situation for the National Day holiday shows a continued high growth trend, with a 50% increase in product richness compared to the same period last year and a 55% increase in the number of travelers [4] - The company plans to expand its store network to over 5,000 by the end of 2026, currently having over 2,000 stores [4] Financial Projections - Expected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 6.55 billion yuan, 11.25 billion yuan, and 13.195 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 150 million yuan, 254 million yuan, and 317 million yuan [5] - Corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 50.3, 29.7, and 23.8 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - In Q3 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 201.125 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.607 billion yuan, up 11.47% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 10.877 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.67% [3][4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 22.12%, an increase of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio was 4.77%, up 0.83 percentage points, primarily due to increased advertising and depreciation expenses. The management expense ratio was 2.34%, up 0.21 percentage points, while the R&D expense ratio was 6.81%, down 0.04 percentage points. The financial expense ratio was 0.48%, an increase of 0.58 percentage points, mainly due to exchange rate fluctuations affecting foreign exchange gains and losses [3][4] - The company is actively advancing its overseas localization production process, with plans for its Uzbekistan factory to produce two popular plug-in hybrid models, aiming for an annual production capacity of 50,000 units. Additionally, the company has completed its factory in Thailand, which has an annual production capacity of approximately 150,000 vehicles [4] - The company expects to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 38.510 billion yuan, 47.290 billion yuan, and 56.218 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 22.69, 18.48, and 15.54 times [4][5] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to have operating revenue of 765.146 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of 27.03%. The net profit is expected to be 38.510 billion yuan, reflecting a net profit growth rate of 28.19% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 13.24 yuan, with a projected P/E ratio of 22.69 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 23.30% in 2024, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.29 [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.054 billion yuan for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.85%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 201 million yuan, up 27.31% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 185 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 19.44% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 17.74%, a decrease of 4.25 percentage points year-on-year. The company managed to reduce its financial expense ratio to 0.33%, down 0.47 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased interest income from financial products [2] - The company has been focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, leading to a significant increase in orders and customer trust. The overseas business has also shown remarkable profitability improvements [2] - The company received a notification from a European automotive manufacturer for a new energy vehicle thermal management product, expected to start mass production in 2026, with an anticipated annual sales increase of approximately 56 million yuan [2] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 833 million yuan, 1.164 billion yuan, and 1.491 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.92, 14.26, and 11.13 times [3] - Revenue projections for the years 2024 to 2026 are 13.331 billion yuan, 16.726 billion yuan, and 19.701 billion yuan, with growth rates of 20.99%, 25.47%, and 17.79% respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][3] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 43.021 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 15.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.919 billion yuan, down 24.72% year-on-year [2] - The decline in performance is attributed to lower-than-expected tourism in Hainan affecting offshore duty-free sales, along with a decrease in gross margin due to increased discounts and a lower proportion of offshore duty-free sales [2] - The company has introduced 165 new product brands in the first three quarters, with over 40% being domestic brands, contributing to sales growth [2] - The company’s duty-free sales at entry and exit points have seen significant growth due to the expansion of visa-free countries and the optimization of transit visa policies, with sales at Beijing airports increasing by over 140% year-on-year and Shanghai airports by nearly 60% [2] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 55.949 billion yuan, 66.659 billion yuan, and 77.411 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 5.341 billion yuan, 6.410 billion yuan, and 7.737 billion yuan for the same years [3][4] - Corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 28.1, 23.5, and 19.4 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][4] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted gross margin of 35.1% in 2024, increasing to 36.5% in 2025 and 36.9% in 2026 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [3][5]. Core Views - In Q3 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 50.825 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.350 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.82% year-on-year [3]. - The company is focusing on dual drivers of smart technology and globalization, with significant investments in overseas markets and continuous innovation in smart vehicle technology [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 financial highlights include: - Operating revenue: 50.825 billion yuan, up 2.61% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 3.350 billion yuan, down 7.82% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit: 2.722 billion yuan, down 10.98% year-on-year - Gross margin: 20.81%, down 0.85 percentage points year-on-year - Sales expense ratio: 4.80%, up 1.06 percentage points year-on-year [3][4]. Future Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 11.719 billion yuan, 13.530 billion yuan, and 15.959 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.61, 16.98, and 14.40 [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - In 3Q2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 37.38 billion, a YoY increase of 27.14%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 2.62 billion, a YoY increase of 7.02%, and adjusted net profit of RMB 2.43 billion, a YoY increase of 21.60% [2] - Revenue growth was driven by strong performance in the yeast business, improvement in derivative products, and significant growth in overseas markets, particularly in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific regions [2] - Domestic and international revenues were RMB 22.69 billion and RMB 14.33 billion, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 20.70% and 30.20% [2] - Gross margin in 3Q2024 was 21.35%, down 3.63 percentage points YoY due to rising shipping costs, while adjusted net margin remained stable at 6.5% [3] - The company is expected to achieve full-year revenue growth close to its 15% target, with steady profit growth and potential cost improvements in the next fiscal year [3] Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be RMB 154.42 billion, RMB 173.31 billion, and RMB 194.56 billion, with YoY growth rates of 13.70%, 12.24%, and 12.26%, respectively [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 is expected to be RMB 13.97 billion, RMB 16.17 billion, and RMB 19.36 billion, with YoY growth rates of 9.96%, 15.80%, and 19.71%, respectively [4] - EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be RMB 1.61, RMB 1.86, and RMB 2.23, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22.85x, 19.73x, and 16.48x [4] Financial Metrics - Gross margin is expected to improve from 24.2% in 2023 to 26.0% in 2026, driven by cost reductions and operational efficiencies [5] - ROE is projected to increase from 12.61% in 2023 to 14.49% in 2026, reflecting improved profitability and capital efficiency [5] - The company's asset turnover is expected to improve, with total asset turnover days decreasing from 480 days in 2023 to 421 days in 2026 [5] Operational Highlights - The company's overseas business has shown strong growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue, with a focus on expanding market share in emerging markets [2] - Cost pressures from rising shipping expenses have impacted gross margins, but the company expects cost improvements in the next fiscal year due to lower raw material prices [3] - The company's R&D expenses are expected to increase steadily, reflecting continued investment in product innovation and market expansion [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has recently obtained a medical device registration certificate in Vietnam, marking a significant step in its international expansion strategy. The product, branded as Ayouth, is aimed at facial dermal tissue filling to correct dynamic wrinkles [3][4] - Vietnam's medical device market is highly promising, with a population of approximately 100 million and a market size of $1.68 billion in 2022, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.2% [3][4] - The company is a leader in the domestic collagen market and is expanding its product offerings internationally, which is expected to significantly boost long-term growth and performance [4] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.4 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.41 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 730 million, 981 million, and 1.27 billion yuan [4][5] - Revenue growth rates are expected to be 79.8%, 33.3%, and 28.6% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 8.28, 11.09, and 14.29 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [5]