潮宏基(002345) 投资评级:买入(维持) 核心观点 | 基本数据 | 2025-08-29 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 14.76 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 8.67 | | 每股净资产(元) | 4.10 | | 总股本(亿股) | 8.89 | 最近 12 月市场表现 新品迭代+跨界合作双轮驱动，深化时尚非遗 -3% 58% 120% 182% 243% 305% 潮宏基 沪深300 分析师 杨澜 SAC 证书编号：S0160525080003 yanglan@ctsec.com 分析师 耿荣晨 SAC 证书编号：S0160525070002 gengrc@ctsec.com 相关报告 证券研究报告 饰品 / 公司跟踪研究报告 / 2025.09.01 盈利预测 | [币种Table_FinchinaSimple] (人民币) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 5,900 | 6,518 | 7,841 | 9,197 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's main business, cableway operations, has shown significant improvement in operational efficiency, and it is actively expanding into new business areas to seek additional growth [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 7.31 billion, 8.04 billion, and 8.80 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 5.5%, 10.0%, and 9.5% respectively [7] - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 1.80 billion, 2.10 billion, and 2.44 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.5%, 16.8%, and 16.1% respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 1H2025, the company reported revenue of 292 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.16%, and a net profit of 68 million yuan, down 11.49% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for 1H2025 was 59.48%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 23.11%, a decrease of 1.39 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company’s revenue from cableway operations was 229 million yuan, accounting for 78.21% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 71.28%, up 0.86 percentage points year-on-year [7] Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.01 yuan, 1.18 yuan, and 1.37 yuan respectively [6] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 15.5, 13.3, and 11.4 respectively [6] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 12.1%, 12.8%, and 13.5% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Accumulate" [2] Core Views - The company has achieved a revenue of 92.33 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.2% to 6.34 billion yuan [7] - The gross margin has slightly declined, and the expense ratio has increased, with a gross margin of 18.38%, down by 1.56 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company has established a comprehensive production layout both domestically and internationally, with a total sales volume of 568,852 vehicles in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.52%, including 160,435 new energy vehicles, which grew by 23.64% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 14.62 billion, 17.53 billion, and 21.47 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to PE ratios of 15.1, 12.6, and 10.3 respectively, maintaining the "Accumulate" rating [7] Financial Performance - Revenue forecast for 2023A to 2027E shows a growth from 173.21 billion yuan in 2023 to 331.06 billion yuan in 2027, with a revenue growth rate of 26.1% in 2023, gradually decreasing to 18.6% in 2027 [6] - The net profit forecast indicates a recovery from a decline of 15.1% in 2023 to a growth of 22.5% by 2027 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.82 yuan in 2023 to 2.51 yuan in 2027 [6] Production and Sales - The company has 10 fully integrated vehicle production bases in China and has established three fully integrated vehicle production bases in Thailand and Brazil, along with several KD factories in Ecuador, Malaysia, and Pakistan [7] - The company is focusing on the smart new energy vehicle segment, enhancing its market influence [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 19.16 billion, 26.80 billion, and 34.44 billion for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively, while the net profit is expected to reach 2.19 billion, 3.91 billion, and 5.94 billion in the same period [9] - The company has received government subsidies amounting to 1.25 million, and its revenue for the first half of the year was 702 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 51.39% [9] - The company has successfully delivered over 300 units of its main product, the non-patterned wafer defect detection equipment, and has seen an increase in market share [9] - The development of nano-patterned wafer defect detection equipment is progressing steadily, with prototypes already shipped to leading customers for validation [9] - The company is accelerating the promotion of its analysis and classification system products, enhancing its software ecosystem [9] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 891 million, with a growth rate of 74.9%, and is expected to grow to 1.38 billion in 2024 and 1.92 billion in 2025 [7][10] - The net profit for 2023 is 140 million, with a significant increase projected to 219 million in 2025 and 391 million in 2026 [7][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve from 0.49 in 2023 to 0.68 in 2025 and 1.22 in 2026 [7][10] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 151.9 in 2023 to 146.4 in 2025 and further to 81.9 in 2026 [7][10] Market Performance - The company's stock has shown a performance of -6% compared to the market index, while the market index (CSI 300) has shown a performance of 21% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has launched its first AI smart glasses, entering the "silver technology" sector, which aims to address the needs of the elderly population [7] - The AI glasses feature real-time voice navigation, translation, smart reading assistance, and emotional interaction, catering to the practical needs of older consumers while also appealing to younger demographics [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 51.2 billion, 54.6 billion, and 57.7 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.66 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.00 billion RMB [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 71.44 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 13.4%, followed by a decline of 20.5% in 2024 and a further decline of 9.8% in 2025 [6][8] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 2.21 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 30.2%, decreasing to 1.95 billion RMB in 2024 and 1.66 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a decline of 11.9% and 14.9% respectively [6][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease from 4.23 RMB in 2023 to 3.17 RMB in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 15.0 in 2025 [6][8] Market Performance - The company's stock performance over the last 12 months shows a decline of 5%, while the benchmark index, CSI 300, has seen an increase of 3% [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.869 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 12.56% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 308 million yuan, down 9.26% [7] - The decline in performance is attributed to falling raw material prices and the impact of centralized procurement on the revenue from generic drugs and existing products [7] - The company has a rich pipeline of new formulations, with four products approved for production and several others in the research phase, indicating potential growth in the future [7] - The forecast for revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 3.836 billion yuan, 4.368 billion yuan, and 5.058 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 572 million yuan, 660 million yuan, and 776 million yuan [7] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 4.123 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of -5.9% [6] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 563 million yuan, with a net profit growth rate of -24.9% [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.58 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.6 [6] - Return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 9.2% in 2025, improving to 11.5% by 2027 [6] Market Performance - The company's stock has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 23% over the past 12 months [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth driven by the automotive sector and AIoT, with a revenue increase of 15.42% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [8] - The semiconductor design revenue reached 115.72 billion yuan, accounting for 83.01% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 11.08% [8] - The automotive segment, particularly image sensors, has become a major growth driver, with revenue from automotive products increasing by 30.04% year-on-year [8] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 308.06 billion yuan, 376.89 billion yuan, and 441.79 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 42.85 billion yuan, 56.58 billion yuan, and 73.75 billion yuan [8] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 139.56 billion yuan and a net profit of 20.28 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.42% and 48.34% respectively [8] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 3.55 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 40.3 [7] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve to 15.5% by 2025, indicating enhanced profitability [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts a revenue growth rate of 19.7% for 2025, followed by 22.3% in 2026 and 17.2% in 2027 [7] - The net profit growth rate is projected at 28.9% for 2025, 32.1% for 2026, and 30.3% for 2027 [7] - The company anticipates a steady increase in operating income, with a gross margin expected to reach 30.9% by 2025 [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has experienced a year-on-year revenue increase of 11.85% in the first half of 2025, reaching 504 million yuan, with a net profit of 133 million yuan, also up by 11.84% [7] - The demand for precision welding equipment is driven by the AI wave in consumer electronics and the high demand in the AI server market, with the company’s equipment entering several core suppliers of Nvidia [7] - The semiconductor market continues to expand under the influence of AI, with significant progress in the company's TCB equipment development, which is crucial for advanced packaging [7] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.07 billion yuan, 1.30 billion yuan, and 1.50 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 265 million yuan, 321 million yuan, and 375 million yuan [7] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 793 million yuan in 2023 to 1.50 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.1% [6][8] - The net profit is expected to increase from 191 million yuan in 2023 to 375 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.77 yuan in 2023 to 1.48 yuan in 2027, indicating improving profitability [6][8] Market Performance - The company’s stock has shown a performance of -12% over the last 12 months, compared to the 2% increase in the CSI 300 index [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (first-time rating) [2] Core Insights - The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology is driving strong demand for AI servers, which is expected to reach 1.981 million units globally in 2024, accounting for 12.1% of the overall server market. This demand is projected to grow by 24.3% to 2.4611 million units in 2025 [2][14] - The demand for printed circuit boards (PCBs) is expected to increase significantly due to the rising AI server penetration, with global PCB output valued at $73.565 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.8% [2][14] - The market for third-generation electronic fabrics (Q fabric) is anticipated to grow from $720 million in 2024 to $3.127 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.3% from 2025 to 2031 [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Electronic Fabric Product Upgrades - Electronic fabrics are critical materials in the electronic information industry, with continuous technological upgrades driven by the demand for high-frequency and high-speed signal transmission in advanced applications such as 5G and AI [7][9] - The evolution of electronic fabrics is categorized into three generations: first-generation (alkali-free glass fiber), second-generation (modified glass fiber), and third-generation (Q fabric/quartz fiber), each targeting different market needs [9][12] 2. Steady Progress in Domestic Substitution - The domestic substitution process is advancing steadily, with key companies like China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, Honghe Technology, and International Composite Materials making significant strides in product development and capacity expansion [19][20] - China Jushi holds a 23% global market share in electronic fabrics, while Zhongcai Technology has established itself as a leader in low-DK fabric production, with plans to increase capacity significantly [19][20] - Honghe Technology and International Composite Materials are also expanding their production capabilities to meet the growing demand for high-performance electronic fabrics [20] 3. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The capital expenditure of major cloud service providers (CSPs) is on the rise, indicating a sustained demand for AI infrastructure, which is expected to further drive the need for high-end electronic fabrics [17][18] - The report highlights the importance of technological advancements in the electronic fabric sector, particularly in meeting the stringent requirements of high-frequency applications [4][19]

门店利润率提升，非一线城市开店提速 投资评级:增持(维持) | 基本数据 | 2025-08-29 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 88.80 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 1.31 | | 每股净资产(元) | 17.84 | | 总股本(亿股) | 1.31 | 最近 12 月市场表现 -11% 4% 19% 34% 49% 63% 达势股份 恒生指数 分析师 耿荣晨 SAC 证书编号：S0160525070002 gengrc@ctsec.com 分析师 周诗琪 SAC 证书编号：S0160525060006 zhousq@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《高成长的比萨外送专家，品牌势能向上 盈利改善》 2024-12-27 核心观点 达势股份(01405) 证券研究报告 酒店餐饮 / 公司点评 / 2025.09.01 盈利预测 | [币种Table_FinchinaSimple] (人民币) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万) | ...