导语：行业周期上行与技术布局落地的双重轨迹。 风云君注意到，近期存储设计龙头兆易创新（603986.SH）也交出了一份亮眼的 业绩预告，预计全年营业收入 92.03 亿元，同比增长 25%；归母净利润 16.1 亿 元，同比增长 46%。 高速增长的背后，则是行业周期上行与技术布局落地的双重轨迹。 一、AI 风暴眼外，一片被巨头遗忘的市场 兆易创新以"感存算控连"为技术整合方向，其业务布局分为三大板块：存储、 控制、感知。 虽说各板块在客户与应用场景上相互交叉，但目前存储板块依旧是绝对核心。 2025 年上半年，兆易创新存储芯片实现收入 28.45 亿元，贡献出总营收的三分 之二。 作者：市值风云 App：萧瑟 避开 AI 风暴眼，兆易创新在"利基市场"默默赚翻 2 月 9 日，根据 TrendForce 最新数据显示，得益于 AI 浪潮的推升，存储器产 业受供给吃紧与价格飙升影响，预计 2026 年产值规模将大幅扩张至 5516 亿美 元，创下历史新高。 答案倒也未必。 长期以来，三星、SK 海力士、美光科技三大厂都在陆续退出利基 DRAM 市场； 兆易创新作为填补这部分空白的角色，2024 年利基 DRA ...

导语：是拐点，还是喘息？ 作者：市值风云 App：白猫 从亏 5000 万到赚 3 个亿，南网电源：告别亏损，难别 "大股东依赖" 年初，一份业绩预告让南网能源（003035.SZ）的投资者稍微松了一口气。 经历了 2024 年的亏损阴霾后，公司终于迎来了曙光。根据最新的公告，南网能 源预计 2025 年归母净利润将达到 3.0 亿元至 3.6 亿元。要知道，就在上一年， 这个数字还是亏损 5813 万元。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | | 上年同期 | S | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | 盈利：30,000 万元-36,000 万元 | 亏损：5,812.58 万元 | | | | 扣除非经常性损益后的净利润 | 盈利：30,700 万元-36,700 万元 | 亏损：10,521.64 万元 | | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利: 0.0792 元/股-0.0950 元/股 | 亏损：0.0153 元/股 | | | （业绩预告） 从亏损超五千万到盈利三个亿，这不仅是一个数字的跳跃。它背后折射出的是这 家"含着金汤匙出生"的企业，在重 ...

导语：从 ICF004 看长风药业的平台转化逻辑。 作者：市值风云 App：观韬 从研发定位来看，ICF004 属于"机制探索+剂型创新"结合的候选项目。在作 用机制方面，其围绕纤维化相关病理过程展开研究，重点关注炎症、氧化应激及 成纤维活化等关键环节，旨在探索不同于现有口服疗法的新型治疗路径。 全球首创（FIC）机制！长风药业一类新药获 IND 受理，探 索肺纤维化治疗新路径 2 月 24 日，长风药业（02652.HK）宣布，其自主研发的治疗肺纤维化的吸入粉 雾剂候选药物 ICF004（化学药 1 类）新药临床试验申请（IND）获得中国国家 药品监督管理局（NMPA）正式受理。 | 產品名稱 | ICF004(吸入粉霧劑) | | --- | --- | | 申請類型 | 新藥申請 | | 註冊分類 | 化學藥品1類 | | 受理號 | CXHL2600132/CXHL2600133 | | 申請人 | 長風蘇粤藥業(廣州)有限公司(本公司之附屬公司)、 | | | 本公司 | （来源：公司公告） 这一进展标志着，其在治疗进行性纤维化性间质性肺疾病（PF-ILD）领域新药 研发取得的阶段性成果，同时也展现 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for Focus Technology, with a projected revenue growth of 15.06% for 2025, marking the first double-digit growth in four years [2][18]. Core Insights - Focus Technology is positioned as a significant player in China's B2B e-commerce sector, having established its core platform, Made-in-China.com, in 1998, three years before Alibaba [6]. - The company has diversified its offerings over the years, introducing various products and services, including AI-driven solutions to enhance operational efficiency for foreign trade enterprises [7][19]. - The B2B segment remains the primary revenue driver, contributing over 80% of total revenue, with a notable 18.99% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2026 [11]. Revenue and Profitability - For 2025, total revenue is expected to reach 19.20 billion, with a net profit of 5.04 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.73% [2]. - The overall gross margin is approximately 80%, indicating strong profitability, with net profit growth projected at 24.10% when excluding stock incentive expenses [19]. Membership Growth - As of the end of 2025, the number of paid members for Made-in-China.com is expected to reach 29,793, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year [15]. - The introduction of AI services has contributed to membership growth, with 18,494 members having purchased the AI service [15][19]. AI Integration - The launch of AI-driven services, such as AI Mai Ke and Sourcing AI 1.0, has been pivotal in enhancing user engagement and operational efficiency, thereby driving revenue growth [10][8]. - AI services have shown a remarkable growth rate of 92.40% year-on-year, highlighting the increasing reliance on technology in the B2B sector [12].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong investment rating for Shanxi Fenjiu, positioning it as a leading player in the clear aroma liquor sector, with significant growth potential and resilience in a challenging market environment [1][2]. Core Insights - Shanxi Fenjiu has achieved remarkable revenue growth, ranking second in the liquor industry by revenue as of Q3 2025, only behind Kweichow Moutai, showcasing its strong operational resilience amidst industry-wide challenges [2][3]. - The company has maintained a high return on equity (ROE), leading the A-share liquor industry with a ROE of 39.7% in 2024 and 31.8% in Q3 2025, outperforming other major competitors [4][5]. - The liquor industry is experiencing a structural shift towards higher concentration, with leading companies like Shanxi Fenjiu capturing a significant share of the market, as evidenced by their combined revenue and profit contributions [8][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Strong Growth and Market Position - The liquor industry is witnessing a concentration of market share among top players, with Shanxi Fenjiu, Kweichow Moutai, and others accounting for 88% of total industry revenue and 95% of net profits in 2025 [8]. - Shanxi Fenjiu has developed a comprehensive product matrix that spans various price points, focusing on high-end products to drive profitability and market presence [9][10]. 2. Revenue and Profitability Trends - The company has seen a consistent increase in the proportion of mid-to-high-end liquor revenue, rising from 72.7% in 2022 to 75.2% in mid-2025, indicating a successful shift towards higher-margin products [10][11]. - The gross profit margin for mid-to-high-end liquor is significantly higher at 84.09% compared to 51.65% for other liquor categories, contributing to the overall profitability of the company [12][13]. 3. National and International Expansion - Shanxi Fenjiu has successfully expanded its market presence beyond its home province, with revenue from outside the province surpassing that from within, reaching 62.4% by the end of 2024 [16][17]. - The company is also pursuing international growth, with plans to penetrate markets in Russia and the Middle East, contributing to a new revenue stream [18]. 4. Management and Strategic Execution - The stability and expertise of the management team have been pivotal in executing long-term strategies, ensuring professional operations and resource synergy [19][20]. - The partnership with China Resources has enhanced management capabilities and market penetration, further solidifying Shanxi Fenjiu's competitive position [21]. 5. Innovation and Adaptation - Shanxi Fenjiu is embracing innovation through technology and digital transformation, enhancing operational efficiency and expanding its reach to younger consumers [22][23]. - The company is actively engaging with younger demographics through targeted marketing strategies and product offerings that align with contemporary consumer preferences [24][25]. 6. Future Outlook - The report concludes that Shanxi Fenjiu is well-positioned to maintain its leadership in the clear aroma liquor market, leveraging its brand heritage, innovative strategies, and market expansion efforts to drive future growth [26][27].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a negative outlook for the company, with significant declines in revenue and profitability projected for 2024 and 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The core business model of the company is fundamentally real estate, with cemetery services accounting for 80% of its revenue, primarily from grave sales [10][11]. - The company has experienced a drastic decline in market capitalization, dropping from a peak of 187 billion to 59 billion [5]. - The investment logic surrounding the company has shifted due to regulatory changes and a decline in consumer willingness to pay high prices for burial plots [27][29]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 26.28 billion, with a significant drop to 20.77 billion in 2024 and further to 6.11 billion in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 44.47% [4]. - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be a loss of 2.61 billion, marking a 187.49% decline compared to the previous year [4][30]. - The average sales price of burial plots has decreased significantly, from 12 million per plot in 2024 to 6.4 million in the first half of 2025 [32]. Business Model Analysis - The company’s revenue is heavily reliant on grave sales, which constituted 74% of total revenue in 2024 [14]. - The company has utilized various methods to acquire cemetery land, including government allocations, mergers, and partnerships, but faces increasing regulatory scrutiny [18][19]. - The company is attempting to transition from a traditional funeral service provider to a technology-driven service provider, focusing on data and service offerings [33]. Market Dynamics - The demand for burial services is influenced by factors such as increasing cremation rates, cultural attitudes towards funerals, and an aging population [23]. - Supply constraints are exacerbated by government regulations limiting cemetery land availability, leading to a reliance on acquisitions for growth [24]. - The company’s market share is significantly higher than its competitors, with a 0.83% market share compared to 0.05% and 0.02% for its closest rivals [26].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company, Tibet Summit Resources (600338.SH), is primarily recognized for its traditional mining operations in lead and zinc, which remain its cash cow, while its lithium salt business is still in the early stages of development [1][2][3] - The company has significant lithium resources in Argentina, with the potential for large-scale production, but commercial production is not expected until 2026 [4][5] - The financial performance is strong, with projected net profit growth of 92%-135% in 2025, driven by traditional business operations [6][7][9] Summary by Sections Traditional Business Performance - Lead and zinc operations accounted for over 79% of total revenue in 2023, with lithium contributing only 9.7% [2][3] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 4.4 billion to 5.4 billion in 2025, reflecting a significant increase from previous years [6] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 is projected to increase by 381%, reaching 5.1 billion [7] Lithium Projects in Argentina - The company owns two major salt lakes in Argentina: the Angeles and Alizaro salt lakes, with estimated lithium resources of 205 million tons and at least 10 million tons, respectively [4] - The Angeles project is expected to begin production in 2026, while the Alizaro project is still in the early assessment phase [5] - The success of the Angeles project in 2026 will be a critical milestone for the company's future growth and market confidence [5][15] Financial Health and Future Outlook - The company's financial structure is robust, with a debt ratio of only 33.9% and interest-bearing debt at 2% [9][11] - The traditional business provides a solid cash flow foundation to support the capital-intensive lithium projects [11] - The market perception is shifting towards viewing the company as a strong player in both traditional mining and potential future lithium production [13][15]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a significant decline in the investment outlook for Transsion Holdings, with a projected net profit drop of 54.11% to 2.546 billion yuan for 2025, raising concerns about its market position and future growth potential [2][35]. Core Insights - Transsion Holdings, known as the "King of Africa," has seen its profits halved due to soaring costs and increased competition, particularly from Chinese rivals entering the African market [2][35]. - The company's revenue for 2025 is expected to decline by 4.58% to 65.568 billion yuan, marking a departure from previous growth trends [34]. - Transsion's market share in Africa remains strong at over 40%, but its growth rate has slowed significantly, with competitors like Xiaomi and Honor rapidly increasing their market presence [11][28]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Transsion Holdings primarily focuses on mobile phone sales, with nearly 94% of its total revenue of 68.715 billion yuan in 2024 derived from this segment [6][34]. - The company has established a strong foothold in the African market, where it has a market share exceeding 40% in smartphones, and ranks third globally in mobile phone shipments with a 14% market share [11][34]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive dynamics in the African smartphone market have shifted, with major Chinese brands like Xiaomi and Honor aggressively targeting this previously overlooked region, leading to increased pressure on Transsion [24][28]. - Transsion's growth has been hindered by rising costs in the supply chain, particularly for storage components, which have significantly impacted its profit margins [15][18]. Future Prospects - Transsion is attempting to pivot towards AI technology as a new growth narrative, with plans to integrate AI features into its products and develop an AI ecosystem [40][42]. - Despite these ambitions, the company faces challenges in differentiating its AI offerings from those of established competitors, raising questions about the viability of its new strategy [46][48]. - The diversification into other product lines, such as tablets and smart home devices, has shown some growth but still represents a small portion of total revenue, indicating a need for further development to achieve scale [48][50].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong investment outlook for the company, with a projected net profit increase of approximately 93% for 2025, reaching around 1.1 billion yuan [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve annual revenue exceeding 6 billion yuan in 2025, a significant increase from just over 1 billion yuan a few years ago [3][4]. - The infrared thermal imaging business remains the company's core revenue driver, contributing 91% of total revenue in 2024, with a maintained gross margin of 53.6% [6][9]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings beyond infrared technology, emphasizing a "multi-dimensional perception" strategy that includes microwave and laser technologies [11][12]. - The company has made significant advancements in the automotive sector, securing contracts with major automotive manufacturers and developing advanced sensor technologies [16][18]. - The company has increased its R&D investment to 8.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing nearly 20% of its revenue, which has led to continuous technological breakthroughs [22][25]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of approximately 1.1 billion yuan for 2025, with a nearly 98% increase in non-recurring net profit [2][6]. - Revenue is projected to surpass 6 billion yuan, showcasing substantial growth from previous years [3][4]. Business Segments - The infrared thermal imaging segment is expected to maintain a gross margin above 50%, despite industry price competition [7][9]. - The microwave and radio frequency business generated 290 million yuan in revenue in 2024, indicating the company's strategic expansion into new markets [12][15]. R&D and Innovation - The company has committed to high R&D spending, with 8.1 billion yuan allocated in 2025, enhancing its technological capabilities [22][25]. - The company has successfully developed and certified advanced automotive sensors, positioning itself as a key player in the automotive technology market [18]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned in emerging markets such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, with ongoing developments in satellite communication technologies [19][20]. - The report suggests that the company's revenue growth in 2025 is just the beginning, with expectations for continued innovation and market expansion [41][42].

Performance Highlights - New Yi Sheng (300502.SZ) expects net profit between 9.4 billion and 9.9 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% due to rising demand for high-speed optical modules driven by global computing power investments[4] - Han's Chip (688256.SH) anticipates net profit between 1.85 billion and 2.15 billion CNY, turning from a loss of 450 million CNY last year, benefiting from the growing demand for AI computing power[5] - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) projects net profit between 9.8 billion and 11.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 89.50% to 128.17%, driven by strong customer investment in computing infrastructure[6] - Runze Technology (300442.SZ) expects net profit between 5 billion and 5.3 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, largely due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance[10] Underperformance Highlights - Great Wall Motors (601633.SH) forecasts net profit of 9.912 billion CNY, a year-on-year decline of 21.71% due to increased marketing expenses and competitive pressures[36] - GAC Group (601238.SH) expects a net loss between 8 billion and 9 billion CNY, turning from a profit of 824 million CNY last year, impacted by fierce competition and increased asset impairment provisions[39] - Xiexin Integrated (002506.SZ) anticipates a net loss between 890 million and 1.29 billion CNY, shifting from a profit of 68 million CNY last year due to structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry[41] - Baile Tianheng (688506.SH) projects a net loss of around 1.1 billion CNY, down from a profit of 3.708 billion CNY last year, primarily due to increased R&D expenses[42] Industry Trends - Technology-driven sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals are leading growth, with companies like New Yi Sheng and Han's Chip benefiting from strong demand and technological advancements[69] - Cost control is becoming a critical competitive advantage, particularly in the energy and manufacturing sectors, as seen with companies like Datang Power (601991.SH) benefiting from lower coal prices[70] - Traditional cyclical industries such as real estate and agriculture are facing significant downward pressure, with companies like Vanke (000002.SZ) and Tianbang Foods (002124.SZ) experiencing substantial losses due to market adjustments[72]