Core Viewpoint - The large aircraft concept stocks are experiencing significant gains, with multiple companies reaching their daily price limits [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Aviation Power Control and AVIC Aircraft are hitting the daily limit up [1] - Previously, Beimo High-Tech and Aviation Power Technology also reached their daily limit up [1] - Hangya Technology has increased by over 10% [1] - Other companies such as Aviation Power Dynamics, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft are also seeing upward movement [1]

Core Insights - The aviation equipment sector experienced a significant increase of 4.65% on January 19, with Hangya Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Sector Performance - The aviation equipment sector saw mixed performances among individual stocks, with notable declines in stocks like Zongheng Co. (-1.19%) and Tongyi Aerospace (-0.79%) [1] - Conversely, stocks such as Xibu Superconductor (+0.59%) and Huohuo Electronics (+0.83%) showed positive movements [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aviation equipment sector had a net inflow of 2.82 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.84 billion yuan [3] - Major stocks like AVIC Aircraft and AVIC Power had significant net inflows of 5.91 billion yuan and 4.84 billion yuan, respectively, indicating strong institutional interest [3] - In contrast, stocks like Feilihua and AVIC Technology faced notable net outflows from retail investors, highlighting a divergence in investor sentiment [3]

Market Overview - Major stock indices in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points, while Hong Kong's main indices were in the red [1] - The South Korean Composite Index broke through 4900 points for the first time, with Hyundai and Kia Motors both rising over 12% [1] - A-shares experienced a contraction in trading volume, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1][2] Trading Volume and Stock Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.73 trillion yuan, a decrease of 324.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Over 3500 stocks in the market rose, with 103 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector showed strong performance throughout the day, with stocks like China West Electric, Dalian Electric Porcelain, and Guangdian Electric all hitting the daily limit [3] - The AVIC index opened high and saw all constituent stocks in the green, with AVIC Aircraft, AVIC Power, AVIC Control, and AVIC Technology all hitting the daily limit, while Hongdu Aviation rose nearly 9% [4][5] Hong Kong Market - The three major indices in Hong Kong collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both dropping over 1%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down over 0.8% [6] - Most tech stocks in Hong Kong fell, with Bilibili down over 7%, Alibaba and Alibaba Health down over 3%, and other companies like Kuaishou and JD Health down over 2% [6] Commodity Performance - Gold and silver prices reached new highs, with spot gold nearing $4700 and silver up over 3.6%, marking a year-to-date increase of over 30% [7] - The cryptocurrency market continued to decline, with Bitcoin dropping nearly 3% and over 250,000 individuals facing liquidation, totaling approximately $871 million [7]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on January 19, with the aerospace engine concept experiencing a strong rally, particularly the aerospace ETF (159227) which rose by 3.77% and achieved a trading volume of 609 million yuan, leading its category [1] - Key stocks within the aerospace sector, including AVIC Aircraft, Aero Engine Corporation of China, and others, reached their daily limit up, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the sector [1] - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation held a 2026 work conference, emphasizing breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and the acceleration of commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy developments during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Group 2 - The aerospace ETF (159227) closely tracks the National Securities Aerospace Index, covering leading companies across the entire aerospace industry chain, including fighter jets, aircraft engines, rockets, and satellites, aligning with the "integrated aerospace" strategic direction [2] - The ETF has a high commercial aerospace content of 70.19%, indicating a significant focus on emerging sectors such as large aircraft, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy [2]

Group 1 - Aerospace concept stocks have surged significantly, with AVIC Aircraft reaching the daily limit, Aero Engine Corporation rising over 9%, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft and AVIC Heavy Machinery both increasing over 6% [1] - Related aerospace ETFs have also seen gains of over 3% [1] Group 2 - Beijing Chuanxue Space Technology Co., Ltd. announced the successful completion of the comprehensive verification test for the landing buffer system of its self-developed manned spacecraft, Chuanxue No. 1 (CYZ1), on January 18 [2] - This marks the first full-size test cabin landing buffer key technology verification project in China's commercial aerospace sector, making Chuanxue the third commercial aerospace company globally to develop and validate landing buffer technology for manned spacecraft [2] - Analysts believe that with the increasing demand for space computing and the maturation of reusable rocket technology, China's commercial aerospace industry is expected to experience a rapid growth inflection point due to reduced costs and enhanced launch capabilities [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [12] Core Insights - The military industry is expected to have a long-term positive trend, supported by the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which emphasizes achieving the centenary goal of building a strong military and advancing the modernization of national defense and the military [7][8] - The military sector has recently experienced a decline, with the defense and military index dropping by 5.66%, underperforming the market by 5.21 percentage points [12][13] - Major aerospace state-owned enterprises have set goals for the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on advancing aerospace defense industries and internationalization [8][9] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The military sector index fell by 5.66% from January 12 to January 17, 2026, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.45% and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.0% [12][13] - The China Securities National Security Index performed the best among military indices, with a decline of 1.77% [15] Major News in the Military Industry - Internationally, Russia has conducted large-scale strikes on Ukrainian military and energy facilities using precision-guided weapons and drones [21][22] - Domestically, the aerospace industry is focusing on key tasks for the 14th Five-Year Plan, including advancements in manned lunar missions and deep space exploration [8][9] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, Aero Engine Corporation of China 2. Components: AVIC Optoelectronics, Zhimin Technology, Shaanxi Huada, Ruichuang Micro-Nano, Unisoc 3. Subsystems: Aerospace Electronics, Guorui Technology, Guobang Electronics, AVIC Avionics, Northern Navigation, Aerospace Nanhu 4. Materials and Processing: Jiachih Technology, AVIC High-Tech, Western Materials, Aviation Materials, Hangya Technology, Guangwei Composite, Filihua, Huayin Technology, Bolite [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights optimism regarding the domestic large aircraft and military trade sectors, particularly focusing on the acceleration of the C919 aircraft's certification and delivery processes, as well as the increasing demand for military exports due to global security dynamics [6][43]. Summary by Sections Section 1: C919 Aircraft Development - COMAC is accelerating the C919's airworthiness certification, with expectations for faster deliveries starting in 2026 [6]. - The C919 has received key recognition from the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), marking a significant step towards entering the global aviation market [10]. - By 2025, the C919 is projected to have safely transported over 4 million passengers, with a total of 15 aircraft delivered to airlines [17]. - The C919 has already developed both a basic and an extended range model, with plans for additional variants to cover more market segments [34]. Section 2: Military Trade Demand - Multiple countries are lining up to purchase the JF-17 "Thunder" fighter jet, boosting Pakistan's defense exports amid fluctuating global security conditions [46]. - The report notes that military trade demand is closely linked to global security situations, with a significant increase in military trade orders observed from 2020 to 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 12.95% [65]. - Aircraft constitute the largest share of military trade orders, with fighter jets being the most significant category within that segment [66]. Section 3: Industry Growth and Opportunities - The report emphasizes the potential for increased domestic production rates as local suppliers mature, which could enhance revenue for related industries [38]. - The military trade sector is expected to benefit from improved supply capabilities, with new equipment ready for export, including advanced fighter jets and radar systems [84]. - The report identifies key players in the military aircraft sector, such as AVIC Chengfei and AVIC Shenyang, as primary beneficiaries of the growing military trade market [70].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense sector [9]. Core Insights - The report indicates that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the production pace of domestic commercial aircraft and the self-sufficiency of commercial aviation engines are expected to accelerate, becoming significant growth drivers for the military aviation sector. This is anticipated to lead to a revaluation of related stocks in the aviation sector [3]. - Over the next 20 years, the global commercial aviation market is projected to reach approximately 48.5 trillion yuan, averaging about 2.4 trillion yuan annually. The Chinese market is expected to accumulate around 10 trillion yuan, averaging over 500 billion yuan per year [6]. - By 2029, China's civil aviation fleet is expected to require more than 400 new commercial aircraft annually, with a cumulative need for nearly 2,000 aircraft during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6][18]. Summary by Sections Domestic Commercial Aircraft - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to break the oligopoly of Airbus and Boeing, which currently hold over 90% of the global market share. The C919 aircraft has various models, including the basic, extended, and plateau versions, with plans for an extended version to enhance market coverage [6][25][33]. - The structure of the C919 aircraft is primarily produced by domestic manufacturers, achieving basic localization. The body structure accounts for approximately 30%-35% of the total value, while the engine and onboard systems account for 20%-25% and 25%-30%, respectively [38][39]. Domestic Commercial Aviation Engines - The domestic commercial aviation engine market is projected to exceed 2.9 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand for over 900 engines annually by 2029. Currently, the market is dominated by foreign manufacturers, with no domestic engines in operation as of 2024 [7][46][49]. - The report highlights that the domestic engine manufacturer, AVIC Engine, is making strides towards self-sufficiency, with products like the CJ1000 and CJ2000 engines showing technological maturity [7][46]. Commercial Aviation Industry Chain - The commercial aviation industry chain consists of three main segments: aircraft body, onboard systems, and engines. Key players include AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, AVIC Heavy Machinery, and others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth of the domestic aircraft market [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of achieving self-sufficiency in the aviation engine sector, as it is currently a critical bottleneck for domestic aircraft production [7][46].

Core Insights - The report highlights the promising outlook for the commercial aerospace sector and increased attention on large aircraft and military trade [2][3] - The construction of a space power is accelerating, with a focus on breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology and the development of new industries such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy [5][13] - Airbus has set a record for civil aircraft orders, with a total of 8,754 aircraft in backlog by the end of 2025, indicating strong market demand [5][13] - Military trade is expected to improve, with significant defense export growth reported in the UK, reaching over £20 billion in 2025 [5][14] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on companies that align with the "S-curve" evolution, emphasizing supply chain reform and automation trends, with specific recommendations for companies like Aero Engine Corporation and AVIC [5][15] - It also suggests targeting companies involved in military trade, large aircraft, and low-altitude economy, highlighting firms such as Guorui Technology and China Power [5][15] - New emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, AI, and quantum computing are also identified as key areas for investment, with recommendations for companies like Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Ziguang Guowei [5][15] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies in the defense and aerospace sector, including expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025 and 2026 [6] - For instance, Aero Engine Corporation is projected to have an EPS of 0.22 CNY in 2025, with a PE ratio of 184.41x, indicating strong growth potential [6] - Other companies like AVIC Heavy Machinery and Guorui Technology are also highlighted for their expected profitability and market positioning [6][25][27]

Group 1 - The company, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (000768), specializes in the manufacturing of large and medium-sized transport aircraft, bombers, and special-purpose aircraft [1] - The company highlighted that its product types and structures differ from those of other enterprises in the same industry, leading to variations in gross profit margins [1]