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固收+系列报告之九:公募 REITs2026 年投资展望:攻守之道与价值掘金
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-30 05:26
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The operation performance of public REITs is the core premise for judging their investment value. The income of REITs essentially comes from the cash - flow creation ability of underlying assets. The differentiation of operation performance is the key to distinguish high - quality assets from weak ones [41]. - In the current stage of public REITs with valuation adjustment, narrowing price difference between primary and secondary markets, and accelerating policy expansion and commercial real - estate pilot, it is recommended to adopt a dumbbell allocation strategy to balance the needs of "defense for income" and "offense for elasticity" [74]. Summary by Directory Market Review: From Valuation Fluctuation to Value Return Market Characteristics and Driving Factors - China's public REITs have entered the stage of normalized development. In 2025, they continued the normalized issuance trend, but the scale declined. By December 20, 2025, 19 public REITs were issued with a scale of 38.7 billion yuan [13]. - From 2021 to 2025, the subscription multiples of China's public REITs fluctuated significantly, driven by product supply scarcity, market sentiment, and expected returns of asset types [19]. - The secondary - market performance of public REITs can be divided into six stages since the listing of the first batch in 2021. As of December 19, 2025, the annual increase of the CSI REITs total return index was +3.2%, significantly weaker than the CSI 300 and CSI Convertible Bonds, only better than the CSI Aggregate Bonds [21][22]. - The return of public REITs is between the CSI 300 and CSI Aggregate Bonds, complementary to the stock - bond hybrid nature of CSI Convertible Bonds. In the long - term, REITs have lower volatility than the CSI 300 and CSI Convertible Bonds, higher than the CSI Aggregate Bonds, and have a low correlation with other assets, suitable for balancing portfolio fluctuations [27]. Institutional Allocation Preference Differences - The holders of the current public REITs' floating shares are highly concentrated, dominated by institutional investors. Securities proprietary trading accounts for 51.3%, followed by insurance funds (19.9%) and industrial capital (13.6%), with the total proportion of these three types of institutional investors exceeding 84% [2][28]. - The structure of floating - share holders of different types of public REITs shows significant sector differentiation. Securities proprietary trading prefers assets with high liquidity and high valuation elasticity, while insurance funds focus on assets with stable long - term cash flows. The proportion of public funds and individual investors is low [2][30]. - The number of REIT products allocated by public fund FOFs has been continuously expanding, but the growth rate has slowed down. From the first to the second quarter of 2025, the allocation was diversified, and from the second to the third quarter, it shifted to concentrated addition of high - attention products [31][36]. Fundamental: Differentiated Performance of Asset Types - **Industrial Parks**: In 2025, the rental rate and rent level of industrial park REITs showed the characteristics of "intensified differentiation and supply - demand game". High - quality science and technology parks and core - location assets showed resistance to decline, while some traditional industrial parks faced rising vacancy rates and falling rents [42]. - **Warehousing and Logistics**: In 2025, the operating income of warehousing and logistics REITs mostly showed a fluctuating downward trend. The rental rate was differentiated, with some maintaining full occupancy and some fluctuating significantly. The rent level generally declined, and core - location assets had strong anti - risk abilities [46]. - **Consumption**: In 2025, consumption REITs showed significant differentiation. In the third quarter, some performed well, while others declined. The market presented the characteristics of "stable high - level rental rate and differentiated rent level" [51]. - **Affordable Housing**: The affordable housing REIT market showed strong operational resilience, with most REITs maintaining a rental rate of over 93% by the third quarter, and the rent level fluctuated minimally [54]. - **Transportation**: The core driving logic of the transportation sector is the recovery of travel demand and the improvement of asset operation efficiency. The traffic volume and toll revenue showed significant differentiation among different REITs [57]. - **Ecological and Environmental Protection**: The operating performance of ecological and environmental protection REITs improved. In the third quarter, the operating income of two listed REITs increased year - on - year, and the waste treatment volume and sewage treatment volume increased [61]. - **Energy**: In 2025, except for one REIT, the operating income of other energy REITs declined significantly. The photovoltaic field performed well, while the wind - power field was generally sluggish [63]. - **Municipal Facilities**: The heating area and charging area of a municipal heating REIT remained basically stable in 2025, but the heat - stop rate and charging rate decreased significantly in the third quarter [67]. - **Water Conservancy**: The operating income of a water - conservancy REIT increased significantly in the third quarter of 2025, mainly due to the 50.91% increase in the supply of raw water [69]. - **New Infrastructure**: Two new - infrastructure REITs disclosed their operating income for the first time in the third quarter of 2025. Their trusteeship service fee collection rates were both 100%, laying a good foundation for subsequent operations [71]. Investment Recommendations: Structural Opportunities under Policy Dividends and Asset Differentiation Primary Market: Select Projects in the Differentiated Market - Since this year, the enthusiasm for REITs new - issue subscriptions has declined, and there have been cases of breaking the issue price on the first - day of listing. The decline in primary - market new - issue returns is affected by the weak secondary - market performance and the narrowing price difference between the primary and secondary markets. Different asset types show differentiated performance. It is recommended to focus on high - quality projects in primary - market new - issue subscriptions and strategic placements, and be cautious about strategic placements with long lock - up periods [75]. Secondary Market: The Dumbbell Strategy Combines Defense and Offense - Public REITs are a supplementary asset class for asset allocation, matching the investment needs of "idle funds + long - term holding". Appropriate allocation of REITs can improve the Sharpe ratio of the investment portfolio, but the allocation ratio should be moderate [77][78]. - In the future, there will be short - term local unlocking disturbances, with a peak in the first half of 2026. It is recommended to follow the "policy dividends + high - quality assets" principle, adopt the dumbbell strategy, explore the stable dividend value of affordable housing and municipal environmental - protection assets, and invest in new - infrastructure sectors such as data centers and clean energy. Also, grasp the incremental opportunities brought by expansion and issuance [82].
嘉实基金:未来产业加速跑 布局新一轮浪潮
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 10:54
随着"十五五"规划建议出炉,"新兴产业和未来产业"再度成为焦点热词。从"十四五"时期的崭露头角, 到"十五五"规划肩负重任,未来产业为何迎来战略升级?如何投资布局?本期《新质产业·超级机遇》 系列专栏聚焦未来产业。 在上海华山医院的手术室,一名患者在完成国内首例脑机接口手术后实现了"意念操控";在安徽合肥的 物理研究所,可控核聚变技术的推进正汇编成"人造太阳"工程手册;在湖北武汉的国际车展,新一代氢 燃料电池商用车续航高达700km;在广东深圳的工厂流水线,人形机器人以更精确的柔性抓取变身高 能"分拣员"…… 未来产业正在中国创新沃土上多点开花,新一轮浪潮仍在积累蓄势。对于投资者来说,将长钱投资转换 为未来产业资本,其意义远不止于追求财务回报,更是参与时代变革、助力产业创新并塑造个人财富未 来的重要行动。 面对未来产业的广阔版图,围绕投资者的多元配置需求,嘉实基金以前瞻深度的基本面研究投研体系为 支撑,不断构建和优化产品供给和投资服务,希望帮助广大投资者穿越技术迷雾和市场波动,力争共同 抵达未来价值高地。 战略地位升级未来产业加速跑 作为新一轮科技革命和产业变革浪潮催生而来的全新"增长极",未来产业是由前沿技 ...
嘉实基金管理有限公司关于旗下部分基金新增东方证券股份有限公司为流动性服务商的公告
Group 1 - The announcement states that from December 30, 2025, Dongfang Securities Co., Ltd. will be added as a liquidity service provider for several ETFs managed by the company, including the ChiNext 50 ETF and ChiNext Enhanced ETF [1] Group 2 - The company will suspend subscription, redemption, conversion, and regular investment services for the Jiashan Tongzhou Bond Fund and Jiashan Xinrong Mixed Fund on December 31, 2025, with services resuming on January 5, 2026 [2][3] - The Jiashan Global Industry Upgrade Equity Fund will also suspend similar services on December 31, 2025, with a resumption date of January 5, 2026 [4] - The Jiashan Hengzhi Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF will suspend subscription and redemption services on December 31, 2025, but secondary market trading will still be available [7][12]
关于嘉实全球互联网股票型证券投资基金2025年12月31日暂停申购、赎回及定期定额投资业务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-28 20:29
Group 1 - The company will resume daily subscription, redemption, and regular investment for certain funds starting from January 5, 2026, without further announcements [1][2][3][4][5][20][21][22] - There will be restrictions on large subscriptions for these funds, with limits set at 100 RMB for individual accounts on open days, and 15 USD for specific currency accounts [1][2][3][20][22] - Investors can contact the company through their customer service hotline or website for further information [1][2][3][20][21][22] Group 2 - The company has announced the suspension of subscription, redemption, conversion, and regular investment for several funds effective December 31, 2025 [2][15][19][20] - During the suspension period, redemption and conversion out services will continue to operate as usual [2][15][19][20] - Specific funds will have their subscription limits set at 500,000 RMB or 1,000,000 RMB depending on the fund type, with the management retaining the right to refuse excess applications [4][6][18][19] Group 3 - The company has added Dongfang Securities as a liquidity service provider for several exchange-traded funds to enhance market liquidity and stability [8]
关于嘉实沪深300指数研究增强基金经理变更的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 19:59
嘉实基金管理有限公司 公告送出日期:2025年12月27日 1 公告基本信息 ■ 注:刘斌先生作为基金经理管理的其他基金不变,同时继续担任嘉实基金管理有限公司指数与量化投资 首席投资官、指数与量化投资决策委员会委员。 ■ 2离任基金经理的相关信息 2025年12月27日 MACD金叉信号形成,这些股涨势不错! ...
基金分红大盘点:年内公募基金分红超2396亿元,谁是“发红包”大户?|2025中国经济年报
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-12-25 08:56
Core Insights - The public fund market in 2025 has seen a significant increase in dividend distributions, with a total of 239.63 billion yuan, marking an 11.01% year-on-year increase in total dividends and a 15.99% increase in the number of distributions [2][3][11] Fund Performance - The top five funds in terms of dividend distribution are all index funds, with the highest being Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF at 8.39 billion yuan, followed by E Fund CSI 300 ETF at 7.15 billion yuan, and others exceeding 4.5 billion yuan [1][4][5] - The average dividend per public fund in 2025 was 0.67 billion yuan, with 16 funds distributing over 1 billion yuan [3][5] Dividend Frequency - There was a notable increase in the frequency of dividends, with 1,702 funds distributing more than twice, and 168 funds distributing more than five times [6][7] - The number of funds distributing over ten times increased significantly, with 48 funds achieving this, compared to only 25 in the previous year [6][7] Fund Types and Trends - Bond funds remain the primary contributors to dividends, accounting for approximately 70% of total distributions, although their share has decreased from previous years [8][9] - Stock funds have shown explosive growth, with total dividends rising from 26.22 billion yuan in 2024 to 49.53 billion yuan in 2025, an increase of 88.92% [9][10] Market Dynamics - The increase in dividends is attributed to a recovering A-share market, improved profitability of underlying assets, and regulatory encouragement for funds to enhance investor returns [3][10][11] - The shift from a "scale competition" to a "return competition" reflects a broader trend in the industry towards prioritizing investor returns over mere asset accumulation [11]
嘉实纳斯达克100交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(QDII)溢价风险提示公告
Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that the Jiashi Nasdaq 100 ETF is trading at a significant premium over its reference net asset value, prompting the fund manager to warn investors about the risks associated with this premium [1][2] - The fund manager has the right to apply for a temporary trading suspension if the premium does not effectively decrease by December 25, 2025, to alert the market about the risks [1] - The fund is operating normally and there are no undisclosed significant information as of now, with the fund manager committed to managing the fund assets diligently and transparently [2] Group 2 - The Jiashi Value Discovery Fund is entering a liquidation period starting November 27, 2025, with a full report to be disclosed on December 25, 2025 [5] - The announcement includes details about the fund's operations, including the rights of investors to redeem or subscribe to the fund during specified periods [10][11] - The fund manager emphasizes that the fund's operations are subject to legal regulations and the fund contract, ensuring compliance with disclosure obligations [2][52]
联芸科技股价连续3天上涨累计涨幅5.19%,嘉实基金旗下1只基金持156.58万股,浮盈赚取355.45万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 07:26
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Lianyun Technology has seen a stock price increase of 1.37% to 46.02 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 21.169 billion CNY and a cumulative increase of 5.19% over the last three days [1] - Lianyun Technology specializes in platform chip design, focusing on data storage main control chips (85.68% of revenue) and AIoT signal processing and transmission chips (11.77% of revenue) [1] - The company was established on November 7, 2014, and is located in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, with its listing date set for November 29, 2024 [1] Group 2 - Among the top circulating shareholders of Lianyun Technology, the Jiashi Fund's ETF (588200) has entered the top ten, holding 1.5658 million shares, which is 2.24% of the circulating shares [2] - The Jiashi ETF has achieved a year-to-date return of 57.93% and a one-year return of 55%, ranking 380 out of 4197 and 393 out of 4157 respectively [2] - The Jiashi ETF was established on September 30, 2022, and currently has a total asset size of 40.404 billion CNY [2]
固德威股价涨5.39%,嘉实基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有1.76万股浮盈赚取5.52万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 07:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited (固德威) has seen a stock price increase of 5.39%, reaching 61.17 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 428 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.96%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 14.864 billion CNY [1] - GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited, established on November 5, 2010, and listed on September 4, 2020, specializes in the research, production, and sales of photovoltaic inverters and related products [1] - The revenue composition of GCL-Poly includes 45.41% from household systems, 32.91% from grid-connected photovoltaic inverters, 7.05% from other products, 7.02% from energy storage batteries, 6.85% from photovoltaic energy storage inverters, and 0.76% from other sources [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, GCL-Poly is a significant investment for the Jiashi Low Carbon Select Mixed Fund A (嘉实低碳精选混合发起式A), which holds 17,600 shares, accounting for 3.62% of the fund's net value, ranking as the ninth largest holding [2] - The Jiashi Low Carbon Select Mixed Fund A (017036) was established on December 13, 2022, with a current scale of 13.426 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 41.46%, ranking 1743 out of 8088 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Song Yang, has been in charge for 2 years and 357 days, with the fund's total assets amounting to 285 million CNY, achieving a best return of 40.55% and a worst return of 4.69% during his tenure [3]
指数化投资周报:周期板块迎来回升,华泰柏瑞A500ETF净流入领先-20251223
1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the recent week, the cycle sector has rebounded, and Huatai-PineBridge A500ETF has led in net inflows. The new issuance of artificial intelligence-themed products is booming, with 5 ETF products listed and 13 products established. In the coming week, 25 index products will end their fundraising, and 8 will start. A total of 21 index products were declared in the recent week [1][5][7]. - In the recent week (2025/12/15 - 2025/12/19), most of the major broad-based ETFs in the A-share market declined, with significant pullbacks in the Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF and ChiNext 50 ETF. The Hong Kong and US stock broad-based ETFs also pulled back synchronously. Commodity ETFs such as energy and chemical and gold ETFs rose. The cycle sector had the highest increase among major industries, while many sectors in the technology category faced pullbacks [2][13]. - As of December 19, 2025, there were 1,385 ETFs in the entire market, with a total scale of 5,829.125 billion yuan, an increase of 52.135 billion yuan from the previous week. Among non-monetary ETFs, the ETFs targeting CSI A500 had the largest net inflow of funds, while those targeting CSI short-term financing bonds had the largest net outflow [2][25]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Index Product Establishment, Fundraising, and Declaration - **Product Establishment and Listing**: In the recent week, 5 ETF products such as Huatai-PineBridge CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETF were listed, and 13 products including Huatai-PineBridge CSI Science and Technology Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETF were established. The new issuance of artificial intelligence-themed products is booming [1][5]. - **Product Issuance Information**: In the coming week, 25 index products will end their fundraising, including Southern Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Component ETF Linked A, and 8 products will start fundraising, such as ICBC ChiNext New Energy ETF [7]. - **Product Declaration Information**: A total of 21 index products were declared in the recent week, including 9 theme funds and 5 cross-border - Hong Kong Stock Connect products [9]. 3.2 ETF Market Review - **Asset - Type Classification**: Classify ETFs into four categories: stocks, commodities, cash, and bonds according to the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock theory [11]. - **Broad - Based ETF Performance**: Most of the major broad-based ETFs in the A-share market declined, with significant pullbacks in the Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF and ChiNext 50 ETF. The Hong Kong and US stock broad-based ETFs also pulled back synchronously. Commodity ETFs such as energy and chemical and gold ETFs rose [2][13]. - **Industry - Based ETF Performance**: The major industry ETFs had mixed performance. The cycle sector had the highest increase, with the chemical ETF rising 3.54%. Many sectors in the technology category faced pullbacks, such as the chip ETF and electronic ETF [16]. - **Cross - Border ETF Performance**: The major broad-based cross-border ETFs had mixed performance, with the French CAC40 having the highest increase of 1.03%. The Hong Kong stock-related ETFs pulled back across the board [19]. - **Non - Monetary ETF Performance**: In the recent week, E Fund CSI Satellite Industry ETF led in terms of yield, while Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Comprehensive ETF lagged behind [22]. 3.3 ETF Fund Flow - **Overall Market Scale**: As of December 19, 2025, there were 1,385 ETFs in the entire market, with a total scale of 5,829.125 billion yuan, an increase of 52.135 billion yuan from the previous week. A-share and cross-border ETFs ranked among the top two in terms of scale [25]. - **Net Inflow and Outflow of Funds**: Among non-monetary ETFs, the ETFs targeting CSI A500 had the largest net inflow of funds, while those targeting CSI short-term financing bonds had the largest net outflow. Huatai-PineBridge CSI A500ETF and Harvest CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF had relatively high fund inflows [28][30]. - **Liquidity**: Haifutong CSI Short - Term Financing Bond ETF led in terms of liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of 23.702 billion yuan in the recent week. China Merchants CSI AAA Science and Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF also had relatively high liquidity [30].