Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, attributed to market demand pressure and intensified competition, while also focusing on risk management and business structure adjustments [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47 million yuan, down 49.98% [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.825 billion yuan, a decline of 8.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 6.45 million yuan, down 84.32% [1]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 showed waterproof membranes, coatings, and engineering construction generating 1.646 billion, 873 million, and 557 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.79%, -9.15%, and +2.36% [1]. Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin improved to 24.68%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points, due to ongoing optimization of revenue and product structure, as well as cost reduction efforts [2]. - The gross profit margins for waterproof membranes, coatings, and engineering construction were 22.89%, 38.15%, and 7.67%, with year-on-year changes of +1.87, +4.22, and -6.11 percentage points respectively [2]. - The company reported a credit impairment loss of 138 million yuan in H1 2025, compared to 127 million yuan in the same period last year, due to extended aging of receivables from real estate risk clients [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -561 million yuan, an improvement from -1.43 billion yuan in the previous year, attributed to better cash collection and optimized supplier payment methods [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share (including tax), with a payout ratio of 118% [2]. Future Outlook and Investment Rating - As a leading player in the waterproofing industry, the company is actively adjusting its channels and customer structure while focusing on cost reduction and risk management, which is expected to enhance operational quality and profitability [3]. - The company has initiated price increases for some channels and products, which may positively impact profitability in the second half of the year [3]. - The company is exploring a second growth curve by establishing an industrial merger and acquisition fund with professional investment institutions, focusing on new materials and technologies [3]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 168 million, 273 million, and 326 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34X, 21X, and 18X [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8] Core Views - The company is experiencing revenue pressure, but there is an improvement in gross margin and operational quality [8] - The company is actively adjusting its business structure and enhancing customer risk management in response to declining demand and increased competition [8] - The company has implemented price increases for certain channels and products, which is expected to positively impact profitability in the second half of the year [8] - The company is exploring a second growth curve by establishing an industrial merger and acquisition fund focused on new materials and technologies [8] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.23%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47 million yuan, down 49.98% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.68%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points year-on-year, driven by optimization of revenue and product structure [8] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of -561 million yuan in H1 2025, an improvement from -1.43 billion yuan in the same period last year [8] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.5 yuan per share (including tax), with a dividend payout ratio of 118% [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 168 million, 273 million, and 326 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34X, 21X, and 18X [8] - The company’s revenue is expected to decline by 14.04% in 2024, followed by a decrease of 4.99% in 2025, before recovering in subsequent years [9]

Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic data for August 2025 indicates a steady growth momentum, with CPI expected to be around 0.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year decline to -0.3% [9] - The PPI is anticipated to rebound to -2.5% year-on-year, while industrial added value is projected to slightly increase to 6.0% year-on-year [9] - The retail sales of consumer goods are expected to rise to 4.5% year-on-year, and fixed asset investment is likely to decrease to 1.3% year-on-year [9] Textile and Apparel Industry - The outdoor apparel market in China is expected to maintain double-digit growth, driven by increased penetration of outdoor sports and the rise of high-end brands [10][11] - The market share of the top ten outdoor brands is projected to reach approximately 29% by 2024, with e-commerce channels accounting for 40% of the market [10] - The competition among brands is intensifying, with high-end brands leveraging technology and materials to command premium pricing, while domestic brands focus on cost-effectiveness and fashion [11] Chemical Industry - In August 2025, Brent crude oil averaged $67.3 per barrel, down $2.1 from the previous month, while WTI averaged $64.0 per barrel, down $3.1 [14] - OPEC+ is expected to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, with a long-term plan to extend production cuts until 2026 [15] - Global oil demand is projected to grow by 680,000 to 1.29 million barrels per day in 2025, indicating a positive outlook for the oil market [16] Junsheng Electronics - In Q2 2025, Junsheng Electronics reported a net profit of 370 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, with revenue reaching 15.771 billion yuan, up 14.27% [18] - The company’s gross margin improved to 18.4%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.7 percentage points [18] - The order book remains strong, with new orders in the automotive sector accounting for over 66% of total new orders [19] Keshun Co., Ltd. - Keshun Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 3.22 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.2%, primarily due to reduced demand [20] - The gross margin improved to 24.7%, with a notable increase in the gross margin of waterproof coatings [21] - The company is focusing on optimizing its revenue structure and reducing costs to improve profitability [22] Binjiang Group - Binjiang Group achieved a net profit of 1.85 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59%, driven by increased delivery scale [23] - The company actively acquired land in Hangzhou, with 88% of new land reserves located in the city [24] - Financially, the company maintains a strong position with a cash balance of 29.5 billion yuan and a net debt ratio of 7% [24] Construction Bank - Construction Bank reported a revenue of 394.273 billion yuan and a net profit of 162.076 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2.15% and a decline of 1.37% respectively [26] - The bank's total assets grew by 10.27% year-on-year, reaching 44.43 trillion yuan [26] - The net interest margin was reported at 1.40%, reflecting a decrease due to pressure on asset yields [27] Anta Sports - Anta Sports is positioned as a leading multi-brand sports company, with a projected revenue of 70.8 billion yuan in 2024 and a gross margin of 62% [32] - The company is expanding its brand matrix through acquisitions and partnerships, enhancing its global presence [32] - The brand strategy focuses on meeting diverse consumer needs, with a strong emphasis on professional and outdoor segments [33]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][29]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 7.2% year-on-year in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 3.22 billion yuan. The segments of waterproof membranes, waterproof coatings, and waterproof engineering construction reported revenues of 1.65 billion, 870 million, and 560 million yuan, respectively, showing declines of 9.8%, 9.2%, and an increase of 2.4% [1][9]. - The gross margin improved to 24.7%, up by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by the optimization of product structure and growth in higher-margin overseas and retail businesses [2][12]. - The company has reduced its net cash outflow from operating activities to 560 million yuan, a decrease of 870 million yuan compared to the same period last year, indicating improved cash flow management [3][22]. - The company has initiated plans for overseas production, completing the construction of a manufacturing base in Malaysia, which is expected to contribute to revenue growth [3][26]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 47 million yuan, down 50% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.04 yuan. The non-recurring profit and loss amounted to 61 million yuan, an increase of 9 million yuan year-on-year [1][9]. - The comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.7%, with quarterly margins of 24.4% and 24.9% for Q1 and Q2, respectively [2][12]. - The company’s operating expenses ratio was 18.1%, an increase of 0.74 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by a decline in revenue [2][12]. Cash Flow and Receivables - The net cash outflow from operating activities was significantly reduced, with a cash collection ratio of 0.97 and a payment ratio of 1.25, indicating improved cash management [3][22]. - The total accounts receivable decreased to 5.06 billion yuan, down 430 million yuan year-on-year, reflecting the company's efforts to optimize its revenue structure and improve collection quality [3][22]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from price increases driven by industry consolidation and improved profitability, with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 adjusted to 0.13, 0.24, and 0.34 yuan per share, respectively [3][26]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025-2027 are 38.2, 21.5, and 15.2 times, indicating a potential recovery in profitability as growth stabilizes [3][26].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][26]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 7.2% year-on-year in H1 2025, with total revenue reaching 3.22 billion yuan. The segments of waterproof membranes, waterproof coatings, and waterproof engineering construction reported revenues of 1.65 billion, 870 million, and 560 million yuan, respectively, showing declines of 9.8%, 9.2%, and an increase of 2.4% [9]. - The gross margin improved to 24.7%, up by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by the optimization of product structure and growth in higher-margin overseas and retail businesses [2][12]. - The company has reduced its net cash outflow from operating activities to 560 million yuan, a decrease of 870 million yuan compared to the previous year, indicating improved cash flow management [3][22]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47 million yuan, down 50% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.04 yuan. The non-recurring net profit was -14 million yuan, a decline of 132.9% year-on-year [9]. - The comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.7%, with quarterly margins of 24.4% and 24.9% for Q1 and Q2, respectively [2][12]. - The company’s operating expenses ratio was 18.1%, an increase of 0.74 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by a decline in revenue [2]. Cash Flow and Receivables - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of -560 million yuan, significantly improved from the previous year's outflow [3][22]. - As of H1 2025, total receivables decreased to 5.06 billion yuan, down 430 million yuan year-on-year, reflecting efforts to optimize revenue structure and improve collection quality [3][22]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from price increases driven by industry trends and has initiated plans for overseas production, including the completion of a manufacturing base in Malaysia [26]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 0.13, 0.24, and 0.34 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 38.2, 21.5, and 15.2 times [26].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoints - The IPO market on the Beijing Stock Exchange is accelerating, with increased participation in new stock offerings, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are experiencing a contraction in new stock issuance [2] - The performance of various industries is diverging significantly, with improvements in profitability for the float glass sector, while coal and livestock industries are expected to maintain negative profit growth [3] - Market sentiment is optimistic, with a notable increase in the number of rising stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, indicating a sustained increase in risk appetite among investors [4] Company Research - **Changsha Bank**: The bank reported a revenue of 13.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit of 4.3 billion yuan, up 5.1% year-on-year. The annualized return on equity was 12.6%, slightly down by 0.6 percentage points [8] - **Suzhou Bank**: The bank achieved a revenue of 6.5 billion yuan, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.13 billion yuan, up 6.2% year-on-year. The annualized return on equity was 12.34%, down by 1 percentage point [9] - **China Energy Construction**: The company reported a revenue of 292.76 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a 2.7% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 13.8% to 5.43 billion yuan [22] - **China Chemical**: The company achieved a revenue of 90.72 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 9.3% to 3.1 billion yuan [23] Industry Research - **Magnesium Oxide**: The application potential of magnesium oxide in rare earth metallurgy is promising, with various grades affecting production efficiency and cost [7] - **Phosphate Fertilizers**: The company reported stable revenue growth in the phosphate fertilizer sector, driven by an improved product mix and favorable industry conditions [11] - **Carbon Fiber**: The company anticipates an increase in net profit due to rising sales volumes in the carbon fiber sector, with projections for 2025-2027 showing significant growth [12] - **Specialty Gases**: Despite a decline in profitability due to increased competition, the demand for specialty gases remains strong, supported by new capacity releases [13]

Industry Overview - Self-adhesive membranes are a new type of waterproof material characterized by low-temperature flexibility, self-healing properties, and strong adhesion, allowing for quick construction at room temperature and compliance with environmental standards [1][2] - The production of self-adhesive membranes in China is projected to grow from 402 million square meters in 2015 to 1.477 billion square meters by 2024, driven by advancements in technology and expanding applications [1][8] Industry Development History - The self-adhesive membrane industry in China began in the 1990s with the introduction of products from international brands, followed by local production efforts [4] - By 2000, advancements in technology led to mass production of self-adhesive waterproof membranes, and industry standards were established in 2002 to ensure product quality [4][5] Industry Supply Chain - The supply chain consists of upstream raw material suppliers (asphalt, polymer resins, polyethylene films), midstream manufacturers who produce various self-adhesive membrane products, and downstream applications in construction and infrastructure [6] - The production of petroleum asphalt, a key component, has seen fluctuations, with a projected output of 34.508 million tons in 2024, down from 62.88 million tons in 2020 [6][7] Market Demand and Trends - The self-adhesive membrane industry is closely linked to the real estate sector, which is currently experiencing a downturn, impacting demand [7] - However, infrastructure investment remains robust, with a 3.2% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, providing some demand for self-adhesive membranes [7][8] Competitive Landscape - Major players in the self-adhesive membrane industry include Beijing Oriental Yuhong Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd. and Keshun Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd., which leverage technology and brand strength to maintain market leadership [9][11] - Smaller companies focus on niche products and regional markets due to limited resources compared to larger firms [9] Future Industry Trends - The industry is expected to see increased concentration as stricter environmental regulations and rising production costs lead to the elimination of less competitive firms [14] - Companies are expanding internationally to seek new growth opportunities, with notable efforts from leading firms to establish overseas operations [15] - Government policies are increasingly supportive of high-performance waterproof materials, enhancing the growth prospects for self-adhesive membranes [16]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating challenges in the market and a need for operational adjustments [1][2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.22 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, down 50% year-on-year, with a net profit excluding non-recurring items turning negative [1]. - The operating cash flow for H1 2025 was -560 million yuan, an improvement of 890 million yuan year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 1.83 billion yuan, down 8.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 10 million yuan, a decline of 84.3% year-on-year, and a negative net profit excluding non-recurring items [1]. Group 2: Business Adjustments - In response to weak industry demand, the company is actively adjusting its business structure, stabilizing product pricing, tightening credit policies, and enhancing customer risk management to promote high-quality development [2]. - In H1 2025, revenue from waterproof membranes, waterproof coatings, and engineering construction was 1.65 billion yuan, 870 million yuan, and 560 million yuan, respectively, with declines of 9.8%, 9.2%, and an increase of 2.4% [2]. Group 3: Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 24.7%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to revenue structure optimization and growth in high-margin overseas and retail businesses [3]. - The expense ratio for the period was 18.1%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, with specific expense ratios for sales, management, finance, and R&D being 8.2%, 5.0%, 0.8%, and 4.0%, respectively [3]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 1.3%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 2025 saw a gross margin of 24.9% and a net profit margin of 0.2% [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Due to weak downstream demand and intense market competition, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 104 million yuan and 277 million yuan, respectively, representing decreases of 72% and 45% from previous estimates [4]. - The company anticipates benefiting from a recovery in the real estate sector and aims to enhance operational quality and optimize its business structure [4].

Industry Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the electronic fabric industry is experiencing accelerated expansion among key players, with notable capacity increases from major companies like China National Materials and China Jushi. The latter is expected to penetrate the supply chain and capture market share due to its cost control capabilities and strong partnerships with downstream manufacturers [5] - The cement industry is anticipated to see a gradual recovery as it enters the peak season, with a projected price increase in September following a slow recovery in demand. In July 2025, cement production was 146 million tons, down 5.6% year-on-year [9] - The glass industry continues to face demand challenges influenced by the real estate sector, with prices declining and inventory pressures persisting. The report suggests that while environmental regulations may not lead to a significant capacity reduction, they will increase operational costs and accelerate maintenance activities [15] - The fiberglass sector is expected to benefit from the AI industry, with demand for low-dielectric products projected to rise significantly, indicating a trend of increasing volume and price [6] Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is entering a peak season, with prices expected to rise in September. The overall market demand is recovering slowly due to weather conditions, and July's production was 146 million tons, a 5.6% year-on-year decline [9][10] Glass - Glass prices are experiencing a downward trend, with regional prices dropping by 1-4 per weight box. The report indicates that the supply-demand imbalance remains, and current market conditions suggest continued price fluctuations [15] Fiberglass - The fiberglass industry is seeing a positive outlook driven by AI-related demand, with a clear upgrade in product structure. The report emphasizes the potential for significant growth in demand and pricing for low-dielectric products [6] Company Announcements - China Jushi reported a revenue of 9.109 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.7%, with a net profit of 1.687 billion yuan, up 75.51% [18] - Qibin Group's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 7.39 billion yuan, with a net profit of 890 million yuan, reflecting a 6.6% decline in revenue but a 9.8% increase in net profit [18] - Mona Lisa reported a revenue of 1.92 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, down 18%, with a net loss [19]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the building materials sector, emphasizing the potential for recovery in consumer building materials and cement industries [1][4] - The performance of consumer building materials has shown significant differentiation, with companies like Sanke Tree demonstrating strong alpha, while the overall market remains under pressure due to real estate challenges [6][7] - The cement industry has experienced a notable decline in costs, leading to a counterintuitive increase in net profits despite lower production levels [6][8] Consumer Building Materials - In H1 2025, the performance of consumer building materials was mixed, with Sanke Tree outperforming its peers due to an optimized competitive landscape and strong brand effects [6][7] - The real estate sector remains under pressure, with a reported decline in construction and sales areas of 16.5% and 4.0% year-on-year respectively [6][7] - Sanke Tree's gross margin improved significantly, with increases of 2.7 and 4.3 percentage points in Q1 and Q2, attributed to high-margin products and enhanced service quality [6][7] - Other companies like Rabbit Baby also saw stable performance due to product structure optimization, while competition in waterproofing and piping remains intense [6][7] Cement Industry - The cement sector faced a "strong then weak" trend in H1 2025, with production down 4.3%, marking the lowest level since 2010 [6][8] - Despite revenue declines for major players like Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement, gross margins improved due to falling coal prices, resulting in profit growth for these companies [6][8] - The average price per ton for major cement companies increased year-on-year, with Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement seeing price rises of 5.6 and 25.7 respectively [6][8] - Starting in August, some regions began to raise prices, indicating potential improvements in supply-demand dynamics for the second half of the year [8]