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Canalys:预计2026年折叠屏智能手机出货量将实现同比激增51% 并将持续带动2027年的市场动能
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 03:37
Core Insights - Despite recent positive responses to new foldable devices, global foldable smartphone shipments are expected to remain flat at approximately 15.2 million units for the year, with 2026 anticipated to be a turning point for growth [1][4] - The foldable smartphone market is projected to see a significant year-on-year increase of 51% in shipments by 2026, driven by intensified competition and more affordable clamshell models [1] - The foldable smartphone segment remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but it holds substantial strategic value and revenue potential for manufacturers [8][10] Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, global shipments of foldable smartphones are expected to remain stable at around 6.6 million units, with China showing a notable growth of 32.8%, primarily driven by Huawei's Mate and Pura X series [4] - The U.S. market, while growing at a more modest rate of 7%, is led by the Motorola Razr 2025 series [4] - The foldable smartphone market is characterized by a low single-digit percentage of the overall smartphone market, raising questions about its role in manufacturers' business strategies [4] Innovation and Strategy - Foldable smartphones serve as a testbed for hardware innovation and brand differentiation, allowing manufacturers to showcase their technological leadership and engineering capabilities [7] - The average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices is significantly higher than standard smartphones, with book-style foldables priced 289% higher and clamshell models 123% higher than traditional devices [13][16] - Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold7, priced at approximately $1,899, generates revenue equivalent to about 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high revenue potential of foldable devices [10] Consumer Perception and Adoption - A consumer study indicated that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, often due to budget constraints or unmet needs [11][13] - The adoption of foldable smartphones faces challenges related to user interaction and the need for behavioral changes, as consumers must rethink how they engage with their devices [13] - Manufacturers are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, emphasizing productivity advantages in professional settings, such as multitasking and document editing [14] Future Outlook - The foldable smartphone market is expected to evolve, with manufacturers needing to address barriers to adoption and enhance consumer experiences through innovative retail strategies [11][14] - The focus on high-end markets and brand differentiation will continue to drive the strategic importance of foldable devices, even as they remain a small segment of overall smartphone sales [15]
2026年,折叠屏智能手机迎来关键年
Canalys· 2025-09-12 03:03
Core Insights - The foldable smartphone market is experiencing a wave of new releases in 2025, with manufacturers addressing concerns about device thickness and weight through advanced engineering technologies [1][4] - Despite increased competition, global shipments of foldable smartphones remained stable at around 6.6 million units in the first half of 2025, with a notable 32.8% year-on-year growth in the Chinese market [4] - The foldable smartphone segment is expected to see significant growth in 2026, with a projected 51% year-on-year increase in shipments, driven by intensified competition and more affordable flip models [4][12] Market Dynamics - The foldable smartphone category remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but its revenue contribution and strategic value are disproportionately high [7][11] - Samsung's product strategy exemplifies this, as its Galaxy Z Fold7 generates revenue equivalent to approximately 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices [11] Consumer Perception and Adoption Challenges - A consumer study revealed that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, primarily due to budget constraints or unmet needs [12][14] - Key challenges for broader adoption include changing consumer behavior, high pricing, and the need for effective marketing strategies that emphasize user experience and trust [14][12] Strategic Implications for Manufacturers - Foldable smartphones are becoming a strategic lever for manufacturers to drive high-end branding, differentiation, and long-term profitability, despite their limited market scale [11][7] - Companies are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, positioning them as productivity tools rather than mere consumer novelties [14][12]
2026年买新能源车恢复征税!至少缴5%;曝哪吒汽车因流量服务欠费将断网,通信流量商回应;NASA禁止中国公民参与项目丨雷峰早报
雷峰网· 2025-09-12 00:29
Key Points - The article discusses the upcoming changes in the taxation policy for electric vehicles in China, indicating a shift from full tax exemption to a reduced tax rate starting in 2026, reflecting the maturity of the market [4] - It highlights the recent regulatory actions against Xiaohongshu for failing to manage harmful content, emphasizing the government's focus on maintaining a healthy online ecosystem [6] - The article mentions the delay in the launch of the iPhone Air in China due to regulatory requirements, with Apple working closely with authorities to expedite the process [11] - It reports on the stock buyback by the founder of ZhiMi Technology, indicating strong cash flow and operational health, which is a common practice among tech companies to consolidate control [12] - The article notes the establishment of vehicle research institutes by Geely for its brands, indicating a strategic move to enhance product development and brand differentiation [17] - It covers the significant investment by Alibaba in an AI video generation startup, highlighting the growing trend of integrating AI into various sectors, particularly in video content creation [20][21] - The article discusses the comments from Ant Group's CEO regarding the company's stance on virtual currencies, emphasizing compliance and risk management [22] - It mentions the legal actions taken by Li Auto against malicious online campaigns aimed at damaging its brand reputation, showcasing the challenges faced by companies in maintaining their public image [24]
手表的压力测试其实是骗你的,准确率约等于算命
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-11 23:54
Core Viewpoint - The accuracy of stress monitoring by smartwatches and apps is questioned, as many users report discrepancies between their perceived stress levels and the readings from these devices [4][12][55]. Group 1: User Experiences - Many users have shared experiences where their smartwatches inaccurately indicated high stress levels during relaxed situations or low stress during stressful times [6][11][14]. - The inconsistency in stress readings has led to skepticism about the reliability of these devices [4][12]. Group 2: Measurement Methodology - Smartwatches typically measure stress through heart rate variability (HRV), which reflects the variation in time between heartbeats rather than just heart rate [17][33]. - A healthy heart rate shows variability, while a low HRV indicates stress, but this can be influenced by both psychological and physiological factors [29][36]. Group 3: Physiological Influences - Factors such as caffeine intake, exercise, and alcohol consumption can also lower HRV, leading to misleading stress readings from smartwatches [37][40][44]. - Emotional states, such as excitement or anxiety, can similarly affect HRV, complicating the interpretation of stress levels [45][46]. Group 4: Research Findings - A study involving 781 students found that the stress levels reported by smartwatches did not align with the participants' self-reported stress, indicating a disconnect between device readings and actual psychological states [49][54]. - The study highlights that wearable devices measure a broad physiological load rather than specific psychological stress [57]. Group 5: Industry Insights - There is a lack of clarity in how manufacturers communicate the capabilities of their devices, often leading to misconceptions about their ability to measure psychological stress accurately [61][64]. - While some developers provide accurate explanations of HRV, others may mislead users into believing their devices can precisely monitor psychological stress [62][66]. Group 6: Practical Implications - Understanding the limitations of HRV measurements can help users appreciate the broader context of their physiological state rather than relying solely on these readings for psychological insights [70][71]. - Smartwatches and apps can still serve a purpose in providing general health insights, but they should not be solely relied upon for accurate psychological stress assessment [68][73].
OPPO与小红书成立实验室 Find X9首发4K超清实况照片
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 23:29
Core Points - OPPO and Xiaohongshu have established the "Image Innovation Joint Laboratory" to enhance imaging capabilities based on Xiaohongshu's "Original Picture Direct Output" technology [1][3] - The collaboration will focus on producing 4K ultra-clear live photos, static images, HDR effects, and Dolby Vision videos, with results expected to be integrated into OPPO's upcoming flagship Find X9 series [1][5] - The partnership marks a strategic upgrade from previous collaborations, including the launch of the "OPPO 2025 Imaging Competition" and a comprehensive support for OPPO's imaging technologies on Xiaohongshu's platform [3][5] Group 1 - The joint laboratory aims to create a seamless experience from shooting to viewing and sharing, specifically enabling 4K ultra-clear live photo functionality [5] - The collaboration has already shown positive market feedback and has fostered deep trust and understanding between the two companies [5] - The partnership builds on previous initiatives, such as the support for live photo features on the Reno12 series, enhancing user experience in capturing and sharing moments [3]
AI芯片业+半导体,最受资金追捧的产业链受益公司
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 16:42
Group 1 - The semiconductor sector in A-shares has become one of the best-performing segments, with a significant increase of 23.84% in August, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index's 10.33% rise [1][8] - The domestic semiconductor industry reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 13.87% and a net profit increase of 23.99% in the latest quarter, with integrated circuits and semiconductor equipment showing particularly strong performance [1][17] - Notable companies in the A-share market that saw significant gains in August include Cambricon (110%), Dongxin Technology (82%), and Shengke Communication (78%) [1][10] Group 2 - Globally, the semiconductor industry continues to see differentiated demand, with AI-related hardware investments remaining high. In July 2025, global semiconductor sales grew by 20.6% year-on-year, marking 21 consecutive months of growth [2][28] - Major cloud service providers in North America, including Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon, increased their capital expenditures by 69% year-on-year in Q2, while Chinese internet giants like Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu saw a combined capital expenditure increase of 168% [2][28] - The semiconductor equipment and materials sectors also showed strong performance, with equipment revenue growing by 42.87% year-on-year in Q2 2025 [2][20] Group 3 - The consumer electronics market is recovering, with increased shipments of smartphones and PCs, and a rise in the penetration rate of AI PCs and AI smartphones expected in the second half of the year [3][28] - Major smartphone manufacturers, including Samsung, Apple, and Xiaomi, continue to lead the global market, while domestic brands like Huawei and Vivo maintain stable performance [3][28] - The semiconductor industry is currently undergoing a new wave of technological innovation and accelerated domestic substitution, with companies like Cambricon and Haiguang Information positioned to benefit from increased funding inflows [3][26] Group 4 - In Q2 2025, the domestic AI computing chip manufacturers showed impressive performance, with Cambricon's revenue skyrocketing by 4425% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 325% [25][27] - The global GPU market is projected to grow from $43.6 billion in 2023 to $274.2 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 33.2% [25][26] - The demand for AI computing chips is expected to continue rising, driven by major cloud service providers and internet companies investing heavily in self-developed chips [25][26]
智能手机高端化成行业发展新引擎
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-11 16:14
Core Insights - The global smartphone market is undergoing a transformation, with the high-end smartphone segment becoming a new growth engine, projected to grow by 8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, surpassing the overall smartphone market growth of 4% [1][2] Group 1: High-End Market Growth - The high-end smartphone market saw Apple leading with over 62% market share and a 3% increase in sales, primarily driven by emerging markets, although its share in China is being challenged by Huawei and Xiaomi [2] - Consumer reliance on smartphones has reached unprecedented levels, making them central to digital life, which encourages investment in higher-performance and more durable devices [2] - The market is nearing saturation, with the high-end segment emerging as the primary growth area, shifting competition from market share to high-value users and profit margins [2] Group 2: AI Integration in Smartphones - AI capabilities are rapidly becoming standard in high-end smartphones, with devices featuring generative AI expected to account for over 80% of high-end smartphone sales by the first half of 2025 [4] - Major brands are focusing on AI as a key differentiator, with Apple integrating AI into its iOS ecosystem, Samsung promoting AI features through its GalaxyAI series, and Google leveraging its AI-native advantages [4] - Chinese brands like Huawei, Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo are competing in AI imaging, fast charging, and foldable screens, accelerating their presence in the global high-end market [4] Group 3: Strategic Shifts in Competition - The competition in the smartphone industry is shifting from hardware specifications to AI-driven user experiences, with companies collaborating with major AI model providers to enhance software capabilities [5] - The rapid adoption of AI signifies a shift in competitive focus, where the ability to deliver innovative and useful AI experiences will determine success in the high-end market [5] - Companies are encouraged to move beyond fierce competition in the low-end market and invest in technological innovation and experience upgrades to define their future brand value [5]
支付宝“AI付”来了
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-11 12:36
Core Insights - Alipay's "Tap to Pay" feature has surpassed 200 million users, doubling the speed of user acquisition to reach this milestone in just four months [1][3] - The launch of the first domestic "AI Payment" service was announced, with the initial implementation in the "Lucky AI" ordering assistant at Luckin Coffee [1][3] User Growth and Engagement - The "Tap to Pay" feature achieved over 100 million users within 321 days of its launch, setting a new growth record in the payment sector [3] - Nearly 100 million users have utilized at least two "Tap to Pay" services, indicating strong engagement [3] - The feature supports over 1,000 different scenarios, including food ordering, package collection, and interactive red envelopes, showcasing its versatility [3] Ecosystem Development - Smart devices such as smart glasses and smartwatches have been integrated into the "Tap to Pay" ecosystem [3] - A "Tap to Pay Application Ecosystem Alliance" was launched with ten major smart hardware manufacturers, including Huawei, OPPO, and Xiaomi, to enhance the ecosystem [3] Future Projections - The Chief Technology Officer of Ant Group's Digital Payment Division predicts that natural interaction payments could exceed 50% in the next five years, with a tenfold increase in diverse smart device payments [4] - The market for more intelligent AI payment solutions is expected to reach a trillion-level scale [4]
索尼Xperia被骂翻,只因当初让用户“吃得太好”
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-11 12:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the competitive landscape of smartphone imaging capabilities, highlighting Sony's Xperia series as a leading contender, while also addressing user dissatisfaction regarding the monetization of previously free features [1][2]. Group 1: Sony's Imaging Technology - Sony's Xperia series, particularly the Xperia 1, has integrated advanced imaging technologies such as Exmor T sensors and BionzX processors, appealing to photographers and video creators [2]. - The "External Monitor" feature allows users to utilize the Xperia's OLED screen as a high-resolution monitor for professional cameras, enhancing its value proposition [5][7]. Group 2: User Reactions and Monetization - Users expressed frustration over the transition from free access to a subscription model for the "External Monitor" feature, perceiving it as unreasonable and a reduction in value [2][3]. - The concept of "loss aversion" explains users' negative reactions, as they feel a stronger emotional impact from losing previously free features than from the potential benefits of the new subscription [3]. Group 3: Market Implications - The decision to charge for the "External Monitor" feature may hinder the competitiveness of the Xperia series if users perceive the overall product as lacking without this capability [10]. - Sony's strategy of transitioning from free to low-cost subscription services may be an attempt to recoup costs, but it risks alienating existing users who were accustomed to complimentary features [10].
高通钱堃:助力中国合作伙伴,通过开放创新成为国内外市场的引领者
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-09-11 10:23
Core Viewpoint - The 14th China Intellectual Property Annual Conference focused on "Intellectual Property in the Digital Age," highlighting the importance of IP in fostering innovation and collaboration in the context of AI and 5G/6G technologies [1][5]. Group 1: Qualcomm's Role and Contributions - Qualcomm's global senior vice president, Qian Kun, emphasized the company's commitment to technology innovation as a driving force for digital transformation, with a cumulative R&D investment exceeding $100 billion over 40 years [4][8]. - The company holds a leading patent portfolio with a total of 160,000 authorized patents and applications, covering various mobile technologies and creating significant value for consumers and industries [4][8]. - Qualcomm's business model focuses on "invention, sharing, and collaboration," which involves sharing innovation through technology licensing and chip products, and collaborating with industry partners to bring technologies to market [9]. Group 2: AI and 5G/6G Developments - The year 2022 marked the beginning of 5G Advanced development, laying the groundwork for 6G, which is seen as a "communication revolution" aimed at integrating AI deeply into communication systems [3][7]. - Qualcomm is actively participating in the global standardization of 6G and is conducting cutting-edge research to ensure AI's integration into future communication technologies [3][7]. Group 3: Collaboration with Chinese Partners - Qualcomm has maintained deep collaborations with numerous Chinese mobile manufacturers, helping them create competitive products, including the Snapdragon 8 flagship platform designed for AI applications, which supports over 180 terminal designs [10]. - In the automotive sector, Qualcomm's Snapdragon digital chassis supports over 210 models from Chinese automotive brands, enhancing smart mobility experiences [10]. - The company has initiated several collaborative projects, such as the "5G Leading Plan" and "5G IoT Innovation Plan," which have significantly contributed to China's leadership in the global 5G smartphone and IoT markets [9][10]. Group 4: Intellectual Property Landscape in China - China's ranking in the Global Innovation Index has improved to 11th place, leading among middle-income economies, with a significant number of top global tech clusters [5][11]. - Strengthening IP protection in China is viewed as crucial for encouraging domestic innovation and attracting foreign investment, particularly in the context of AI and 5G/6G technologies [5][11].