Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase Cloud Music (9899.HK) [5] Core Insights - The company reported 2025 revenue of RMB 7.759 billion, slightly below Bloomberg consensus of RMB 7.913 billion, with a year-over-year decline of 2.4% [1] - Gross profit reached RMB 2.770 billion, a 3.3% increase year-over-year, with a gross margin of 35.7%, slightly below the expected 36.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 2.860 billion, a significant increase of 68.2% year-over-year, primarily due to the recognition of deferred tax assets [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its differentiated content ecosystem and enhancing product innovation through AI [3] Revenue and Profitability - Online music service revenue was RMB 5.994 billion, up 12.0% year-over-year, with subscription revenue increasing by 13.3% to RMB 5.053 billion [2] - Social entertainment services and other revenue decreased by 32.0% to RMB 1.765 billion, mainly due to the closure of the live streaming feature [2] - The company has seen growth in user scale and engagement, maintaining a DAU/MAU ratio above 30% [2] Content Strategy and Innovation - The company continues to strengthen its differentiated content ecosystem by deepening partnerships with domestic and international copyright holders, introducing K-POP labels, and enhancing its original content offerings [3] - The independent musician ecosystem has grown to over 1 million registered musicians, with more than 5.6 million tracks uploaded [3] - AI-driven product innovations, such as the Climber recommendation model and various interactive tools, have improved user experience [3] Cost Management - Sales expenses decreased by 33.2% to RMB 409 million, reflecting a more prudent approach to advertising and promotion [4] - Management and R&D expenses also saw slight reductions, contributing to overall cost control [4] Financial Forecasts - The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been revised down to RMB 2.210 billion and RMB 2.467 billion, respectively, reflecting a 15% and 13% decrease from previous estimates [4] - The report anticipates a long-term improvement in profitability due to scale effects [4]

2026年2月12日星期四 ➢ 美就业大增；中国促央企算力投资。A股 偏强震荡。上证指数收涨0.09%报4131.98 点，深证成指跌0.35%，创业板指跌1.08%。 有色板块多行业大涨。恒指冲高回落， 香港恒生指数收涨0.31%报27266.38点， 恒生科技指数涨0.9%，恒生中国企业指数 上涨0.28%。贵金属、锂金属强劲上涨。 大市成交额2172.175亿港元。外盘方面， 欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一，美国三大 股指小幅收跌，道指跌0.13%报50121.4点， 标普500指数持平报6941.47点，纳指跌 0.16%。美国非农就业创逾一年最大增长， 失业率意外下降，交易员料美联储7月才 会降息。中国国资委呼吁央企积极扩大 算力有效投资。 资料来源：彭博 | 27266.38 | 0.31 | 6.38 | | --- | --- | --- | | 9268.18 | 0.28 | 3.98 | | 5499.99 | 0.90 | -0.29 | | 118.11 | -0.12 | -4.33 | | 4131.99 | 0.09 | 4.11 | | 14160.93 | -0.35 | 4.7 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a downward trend in the morning session, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 0.89% and the Hang Seng Tech Index declining by 1.68% [1] Sector Performance - The AI application sector showed strong performance, with notable gains: Zhiyun surged nearly 25%, MINIMAX-WP increased over 14%, and Kingsoft Cloud rose more than 4% [1] - The electric equipment sector continued its upward momentum, highlighted by Dongfang Electric rising over 11%, Harbin Electric increasing more than 7%, and Flat Glass Group gaining over 2% [1] - The optical communication sector was active, with Yangtze Optical Fiber and Cable rising over 11%, Huiju Technology increasing more than 7%, and Cambridge Technology gaining over 2% [1] - The pharmaceutical sector exhibited mixed results, with Reborn Bio rising by 13.65%, WuXi Biologics increasing by 4.83%, and Baidu's biotech unit rising by 3.88%, while three other companies saw declines [1] Capital Flow - Southbound capital saw a net inflow of nearly 2.8 billion HKD in the morning session [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that NetEase Cloud Music's revenue for the second half of 2025 is expected to grow by 1.4% year-on-year to 3.932 billion yuan, which is lower than both the bank's and market expectations by 4% and 2.3% respectively [1] Financial Performance - Gross profit is projected to be 1.377 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 35%, both lower than the bank's and market expectations [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit is expected to be 828 million yuan, which is 1.9% higher than the bank's forecast due to strict cost control measures [1] Segment Analysis - Revenue from the online music business is anticipated to increase by 8% year-on-year to 3.027 billion yuan, which is lower than the bank's expectations by 6% and 4.7% [1] Market Outlook - The bank anticipates that the market's weakening outlook on NetEase Cloud Music's core music business will have negative repercussions, although recent stock price movements may have already reflected this [1] - Investor focus will be on strategies to drive music user base growth and average revenue per paying user, profit outlook, and the latest developments in the competitive landscape [1] Investment Rating - The bank sets a target price of 350 HKD for NetEase's stock and maintains a "Buy" rating [1]

今日早参 2026 年 2 月 12 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：核心通胀回升渐入佳境 2026 年 1 月中国 CPI 同比 0.2%（前值 0.8%，彭博一致预期 0.4%），环比 增速持平于 12 月的 0.2%；PPI 同比-1.4%（前值-1.9%），略高于彭博一致 预期的-1.5%，环比较 12 月的 0.2%上行至 0.4%。 风险提示：反内卷政策推进程度不及预期，内需超预期走弱。 研报发布日期：2026-02-11 研究员 吴宛忆 SAC:S0570524090005 SFC:BVN199 易峘 SAC:S0570520100005 SFC:AMH263 王洺硕 SAC:S0570525070003 SFC:BUP051 免责声明和披露以及分析师声明是报告的一部分，请务必一起阅读。 1 今日早参 | 2026 年 2 月 12 日 宏观：1 月新增非农反弹但持续性待观察 概览：2026 年 1 月美国新增非农就业 13 万，高于彭博一致预期的 6.5 万， 11-12 月累计下修 1 ...

证券研究报告 网易云音乐 (9899 HK) 港股通 积极布局会员扩容与价值提升 SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 华泰研究 年报点评 投资评级(维持): 买入 目标价(港币): 239.40 夏路路 研究员 xialulu@htsc.com +(852) 3658 6000 詹博 研究员 zhanbo@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 朱珺 研究员 SAC No. S0570520040004 SFC No. BPX711 zhujun016731@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 郑裕佳 研究员 SAC No. S0570524070002 SFC No. BTB676 zhengyujia@htsc.com +(86) 10 6321 1166 基本数据 | 收盘价 (港币 截至 2 月 11 日) | 183.00 | | --- | --- | | 市值 (港币百万) | 39,872 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (港币百万) | 191.98 | | 52 周价格范围 (港币) | 123.60-303.40 ...

Core Insights - NetEase Cloud Music reported an annual revenue of RMB 7.76 billion for the year ending December 31, 2025, with a slight increase of RMB 881 million compared to the previous year [1] - The gross profit for 2025 reached RMB 2.77 billion, with a gross margin improvement from 33.7% to 35.7% [1] - Operating profit for 2025 was RMB 1.622 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.5% from RMB 1.171 billion in 2024 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Online music service revenue for 2025 was RMB 5.99 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 12.0% [1] - Membership subscription revenue reached RMB 5.05 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [1] User Engagement - The ratio of daily active users to monthly active users remained above 30%, showing steady improvement compared to 2024 [1] - By the end of 2025, the number of original music creators on the platform exceeded 1 million, with over 5.6 million music tracks uploaded [1] Profitability - Net profit for 2025 was RMB 2.746 billion, up from RMB 1.565 billion in 2024 [1] - The company recognized a deferred income tax benefit of RMB 747 million in 2025 [1] - Adjusted net profit for 2025, excluding the impact of equity settlement, was RMB 2.86 billion, compared to RMB 1.7 billion in 2024 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 239.40 [2][9][12] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 7.759 billion for 2025, a slight decrease of 2.4% year-over-year, which was below Bloomberg's expectation of RMB 7.9 billion. However, the adjusted net profit was RMB 2.86 billion, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 68.2% [6][8] - The company plans to increase customer acquisition efforts in 2026, focusing on expanding its paid user base and improving gross margins through enhanced operational efficiency [6][7] - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2026 and 2027 has been revised down to RMB 22.39 billion and RMB 25.20 billion, respectively, reflecting a 16% reduction in expectations [9][12] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: RMB 8.619 billion in 2026, RMB 9.339 billion in 2027, and RMB 10.038 billion in 2028, with growth rates of 11.08%, 8.35%, and 7.48% respectively [5][12] - The adjusted net profit for 2026 is projected at RMB 2.239 billion, with an adjusted EPS of RMB 10.27, and a PE ratio of 20.71x [12][14] - The company’s gross margin improved by 2 percentage points to 35.7% in 2025, attributed to a decrease in revenue sharing costs and effective content licensing cost control [8][9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on the younger demographic passionate about music, aiming to expand its membership base through increased marketing and content production investments [7][9] - The report indicates that the company will continue to optimize promotional expenses, which decreased by 43% year-over-year, contributing to a 33.2% reduction in overall sales expenses [8][9]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened slightly lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.2% at 27,210.56 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.47% at 5,474.25 points, and the National Enterprises Index down 0.19% at 9,250.27 points [1] - Major tech stocks mostly opened lower, with Alibaba down 1.37%, Tencent down 2.01%, and Meituan down 2.48%, while AI application stocks showed strength, with Zhihui up 8.77% and MINIMAX-WP up 5.65% [1] Company Performance - NetEase reported strong performance, with a net revenue of approximately 112.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.96%, and a net profit of approximately 33.76 billion yuan, up 13.68% [2] - NetEase Cloud Music saw a significant profit increase of 75.4%, with a revenue of 7.76 billion yuan and a profit of 2.75 billion yuan, confirming a turning point in performance [2] Industry Trends - The hard technology and manufacturing sectors showed signs of recovery, with Qiu Tai Technology reporting a 22.8% year-on-year increase in camera module sales and an 18.4% increase in fingerprint recognition module sales, driven by demand in IoT and smart automotive sectors [3] - The renewable energy sector also saw growth, with China Resources Power reporting a 28.4% year-on-year increase in electricity sales, and solar power sales soaring by 72.3% [3] Biopharmaceutical Sector - The biopharmaceutical sector experienced significant positive developments, with Rebio Biotech announcing a global exclusive licensing agreement worth up to 4.4 billion USD, leading to a substantial increase in stock price [4] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical's product was included in a breakthrough therapy list, with projected global sales exceeding 6.5 billion USD in 2024 [4] Capital Market Activity - Industrial capital is actively engaging in buybacks to stabilize the market, with Geely Automobile repurchasing shares worth approximately 20.30 million HKD and other companies like Kingsoft and Bai Rong Cloud also participating in buybacks [5] - Huili Group is expected to see a profit increase of over 20 times in 2025, indicating a strong performance reversal [5] Institutional Insights - There is a divergence in institutional views regarding market fluctuations, with some suggesting that the recent pullback is a liquidity shock, while others believe that valuation recovery is nearly complete [6] - Specific sectors like AI computing and surgical robots are highlighted for potential growth, with expectations for high performance in 2025 and 2026 [6]

Core Viewpoint - NetEase's net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2025 increased by 13.68% year-on-year, indicating strong financial performance and growth potential in the gaming and online services sector [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - NetEase's adjusted net profit for 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 68.2%, reflecting robust operational efficiency and revenue growth [1]