通化东宝的2025年业绩增幅，预计也将超过30倍。经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年归属净利润约 12.42亿元，将实现扭亏为盈。 2025年，A股医药股的业绩"冷暖交织"。Wind数据显示，截至2月1日，共有283只医药股"剧透"2025年 的业绩情况。按预告净利润上限看，共有160股的归属净利润同比增长，其中赛诺医疗成为A股药企的 净利"预增王"，最高预增超32倍。在过半数企业业绩预增的同时，也有超120家企业的业绩预减，其中 更有39股面临上市后的首次亏损，不乏智飞生物、珍宝岛、新诺威等知名企业。此外，通过业绩预告可 以发现，创新药领域正悄然迎来破晓时分。其中，荣昌生物、诺诚健华等企业实现扭亏为盈。君实生 物、盟科药业等创新药企虽未盈利，但减亏趋势明显。 赛诺医疗成"预增王" Wind数据显示，截至2月1日，按预告净利润上限看，283只披露2025年业绩预告的医药股中，共有160 股实现归属净利润同比增长。 业绩预增的个股中，药明康德、翰宇药业、康希诺、泰格医药、三生国健等65股的预告净利润同比增长 上限超100%，赛诺医疗、通化东宝、回盛生物3股的业绩增幅超10倍。 其中，赛诺医疗以最高超32倍的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of A-share pharmaceutical stocks in 2025 shows a mixed outlook, with 283 companies disclosing earnings forecasts, where 160 companies expect profit growth while over 120 companies anticipate profit declines, indicating a significant divergence in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Profit Growth - Among the 283 pharmaceutical stocks, 160 companies are expected to see a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Sino Medical (688108) leading the pack with a projected increase of over 32 times [1][3]. - Sino Medical forecasts a net profit of 43 million to 50 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2,767% to 3,233% [3]. - Other notable companies with significant profit growth include WuXi AppTec, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, and Kangxino, with 65 companies projecting a net profit increase of over 100% [3][4]. Group 2: Profit Decline - Over 120 companies are expected to report a decline in net profit for 2025, with 39 companies facing their first losses since listing, including well-known firms like Zhifei Biological and Zhenbao Island [1][5]. - Zhifei Biological anticipates a net loss of approximately 10.698 billion to 13.726 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year decline of 630% to 780% [6][7]. - The decline in the vaccine sector is attributed to decreased public willingness to vaccinate and increased vaccine hesitancy, leading to significant performance pressure across the industry [7][8]. Group 3: Innovative Drug Companies - Several innovative drug companies are reporting positive trends, with some achieving profitability or significantly reducing losses. For instance, Nocren Pharmaceutical is expected to turn a profit for the first time, projecting a net profit of around 633 million yuan [10]. - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical is also expected to turn a profit, with a projected net profit of approximately 716 million yuan, driven by strong sales of core products [10]. - Companies like Junshi Biosciences and Amgen have not yet achieved profitability but are showing a clear trend of reduced losses, indicating a gradual transition towards commercialization and revenue growth in the innovative drug sector [11].

中国创新药出海BD再获里程碑式突破！ 1月30日，石药集团宣布已与全球生物制药领导者阿斯利康签订战略研发合作与授权协议，以利用集团 专有的缓释给药技术平台及多肽药物AI发现平台，开发创新长效多肽药物。若后续所有研发及销售里 程碑均达成，石药集团方面有权获得总计高达185亿美元的款项。 据不完全统计，本次交易刷新了中国药企BD交易总金额最高纪录，超过了此前启德医药与 Biohaven&AimedBio达成的一笔130亿美元交易。其12亿美元的预付款，仅次于此前三生制药与辉瑞就 PD-1/VEGF达成的数额。 不过，二级市场反应不佳，石药集团股价高开低走，盘中一度狂泻近13%，收跌10.2%。什么原因？分 析人士指出，或系多方面因素叠加影响。 从石药集团股价近日表现来看，市场可能提前定价。在此次协议公告前，石药集团已连续多日强势上 涨，尤其在1月28日，股价单日大涨6.14%创年内新高。公告发布后，部分资金可能选择获利了结，形 成"利好兑现"式抛压。 从业绩贡献来看，尽管协议总金额高达185亿美元，但预付款为12亿美元，其余173亿美元为研发与销售 里程碑付款，需在未来数年、多个临床阶段成功推进后方可兑现，短期现 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" for both A-shares and H-shares, maintained from previous assessments [7]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2025, with projected revenue of 3.25 billion RMB, representing an increase of 89% year-over-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 716 million RMB, marking a turnaround from previous losses [2][12]. - The company is advancing its overseas business development (BD) efforts, with expected contributions from key products and partnerships, including a notable deal with AbbVie for RC148, which includes a $650 million upfront payment [3][5]. - The domestic market is showing strong performance, with core products expected to maintain rapid revenue growth due to manageable price reductions in insurance renewals and potential approvals for new indications [2][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 have been adjusted to 3.25 billion RMB, with a significant increase in net profit to 716 million RMB, reflecting a substantial recovery from previous losses [12][17]. - The company anticipates continued growth in 2026, with revenue expected to reach 7.83 billion RMB, driven by both domestic sales and international BD activities [11][12]. Pipeline Development - The clinical development of RC148 is progressing, with potential for global Phase III trials to start soon, which could enhance its market position significantly [3][4]. - The company is also advancing other key products, including the global Phase III clinical trials for its lead candidates, which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [4][5]. Valuation and Price Target - The target price for A-shares is set at 151.81 RMB, while the target price for H-shares is 143.58 HKD, reflecting a premium of 18.80% based on recent valuations [5][14]. - The valuation adjustments are based on changes in the fair value of warrants and a decrease in debt financing needs, leading to an updated forecast for net profits in the coming years [12][14].

最重要的是，烟台市企业凭借4项核心成果强势入围，一跃成为榜单上的"最大赢家"。 文 | 陈明一 2026年山东省政府工作报告，将"科技创新实力"列入"十五五"时期经济社会发展目标任务的"八个显著提升"。 事实上，提及"科技创新实力"，山东刚刚凭借硬实力"走红"。1月25日，2025年度山东省十大科技创新成果榜单正式发布，成为业界关注的焦点。 山东道恩高分子材料股份有限公司的高端轮胎阻隔材料，莱州明波水产有限公司的名贵海鱼规模化人工繁育技术，万华化学集团的高性能柠檬醛，烟台中集 来福士海洋科技集团有限公司的新能源汽车专用运输船…… 这一亮眼成绩并非偶然的灵光乍现，而是 "十四五" 以来烟台坚定"推动科技创新与产业创新深度融合"主线的必然结果。 据烟台市政府网站，1月27日下午，省十四届人大四次会议烟台代表团举行全体会议，集中审议省政府工作报告，审查省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年 规划纲要（草案）。 烟台市委书记江成在发言时着重提到，"十五五"时期，烟台市将"重点推动体量之变、创新之变、格局之变"，"实现从工业大市向先进制造业强市转变"。可 以说，唯有"科技创新"方可实现"蝶变"。 从政策体系到创新实践，从企业 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日。 2024年度每股亏损2.73元。 （二）业绩预告情况 （1）经荣昌生物制药（烟台）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度营 业收入约325,000万元，与上年同期相比，将增加收入约153,314万元，同比增加约89%。 （2）公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约71,600万元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏 为盈。 （3）公司预计2025年度归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润约7,850万元，与上年同期相 比，实现扭亏为盈。 （三）本期业绩预告相关的财务数据未经注册会计师预审计。 二、上年同期业绩情况 2024年度营业收入171,686.17万元。 2024年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净亏损146,836.08万元。 2024年度归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净亏损150,764.24万元。 三、本期业绩变化的主要原因 （一）主营业 ...

荣昌生物制药（烟台）股份有限公司2025年年度业绩预告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 证券代码：688331 证券简称：荣昌生物 公告编号：2026-006 港股代码：09995 港股简称：榮昌生物 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日。 （二）业绩预告情况 （1）经荣昌生物制药（烟台）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度营 业收入约325,000万元，与上年同期相比，将增加收入约153,314万元，同比增加约89%。 （2）公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约71,600万元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏 为盈。 （3）公司预计2025年度归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润约7,850万元，与上年同期相 比，实现扭亏为盈。 （三）本期业绩预告相关的财务数据未经注册会计师预审计。 二、上年同期业绩情况 2024年度营业收入171,686.17万元。 2024年度归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净亏损1 ...

荣昌生物(09995)发布公告，经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度营业收入约人民币32.5亿元，与上 年同期相比，将增加收入约人民币15.33亿元，同比增加约89%。公司预计2025年度实现归属于母公司 所有者的净利润约人民币7.16亿元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏为盈。公司预计2025年度归属于母公司 所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润约人民币7850万元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏为盈。 本期业绩变化的主要原因： (一)主营业务的影响。2025年度公司核心产品泰它西普、维迪西妥单抗国内销售收入实现快速增长，成 为业绩核心增长引擎;同时，公司成功达成重磅合作，授予Vor Biopharma Inc泰它西普除大中华区以外全 球范围内的独家开发与商业化权利，技术授权收入大幅增加，部分海外研发投入由授权方承担。此外， 公司通过优化管理、迭代生产工艺等举措，降低了产品单位生产成本，提升了产品毛利率，另外，销售 费用率明显下降。综合多方面积极因素，公司盈利效率大幅改善，预计2025年度净利润将实现扭亏为 盈。 (二)非经常性损益的影响。2025年度自上述授权交易取得的认股权证公允价值变动属于非经常性损益， 在扣除非经 ...

评级：中性(维持) 曹泽运(证券分析师) 李畅(证券分析师) S0350525110001 S0350524010004 caozy@ghzq.com.cn lic05@ghzq.com.cn 证券研究报告 2026年01月30日 医药生物 生物医药深度报告：国产ADC药物即将迎来高光时刻 ——ADC子行业专题研究 最近一年走势 相关报告 《医药生物行业动态研究：中国独立医学实验室行业的先行者（中性）*医药生 物*曹泽运，林羽茜》——2026-01-27 《医药生物行业动态研究：AI药研或引产业革命，JPM大会再推行业新峰（中 性）*医药生物*曹泽运，林羽茜》——2026-01-20 相对沪深300表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 医药生物 | 2.0% | -2.7% | 21.1% | | 沪深300 | 2.1% | 1.3% | 24.5% | 请务必阅读报告附注中的风险提示和免责声明 2 -9% 0% 9% 19% 28% 37% 2025/02/05 2025/05/06 2025/08/04 2025/11/02 医药生物 ...

Core Viewpoint - Rongchang Biologics (688331.SH) is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 716 million yuan in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from a net loss of 1.468 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a maturation from reliance on single-event drivers to a more diversified competitive strength [3][4] Financial Performance - The company anticipates a revenue of approximately 3.25 billion yuan for 2025, representing an increase of about 1.53314 billion yuan or 89% compared to the previous year [3] - The expected net profit of 716 million yuan for 2025 contrasts sharply with the previous year's net loss of 1.468 billion yuan, showcasing a healthy revenue structure [3][4] Growth Drivers - The growth in performance is primarily attributed to rapid sales growth of core products, Taitasip and Vidisicimab, which have become the main engines of revenue [4] - The company has successfully established a significant partnership with Vor Biopharma Inc., granting exclusive global development and commercialization rights for Taitasip outside Greater China, leading to a substantial increase in technology licensing revenue [4] Innovation and Development - Rongchang Biologics is focused on innovative products that are first-in-class (FIC) or best-in-class (BIC), with ongoing clinical trials for new indications of its core products [5] - The company showcased its four advanced technology platforms at the JPM 2026 conference, which include target discovery, antibody discovery, protein engineering, and ADC technology platforms, indicating a robust early-stage R&D pipeline [6] Strategic Collaborations - The company has formed deep collaborations with international partners such as Pfizer, Santen, and Vor Bio, enhancing its innovation value [6] - A recent deal with AbbVie for a PD1/VEGF dual antibody has been valued at 5.6 billion USD, marking a strong start to business development transactions in 2026 [6]