Group 1 - The Trump administration plans to use an AI model developed by the U.S. Department of Defense to establish reference prices for global critical mineral trade, starting with germanium, gallium, antimony, and tungsten [1] - The reference prices are expected to have a limited impact on tungsten, which is already profitable for all, but may boost the prices of germanium, gallium, and antimony, which are currently undervalued [1] - The policy is anticipated to lead to an expansion in equity market value, with improvements in earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios due to higher expected prices and increased survival rates of companies [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the National Securities Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has a strong performance, with a 4.15% increase, and notable gains in component stocks such as Chihong Zn & Ge and Huaxi Nonferrous, both up by 10.01% [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the nonferrous metals sector, comprising 50 securities with significant scale and liquidity, and the top ten weighted stocks account for 49.87% of the index [2]

2026年2月25日，A股三大股指小幅高开，磷化工、锂矿概念、小金属概念股、稀土永磁等涨幅居前。2月24日，百川盈孚数据显示，稀土产品价格加速上 涨。氧化镨钕等主要稀土产品价格近期持续走高，现货供应紧张，下游磁材企业存在备货采购需求，共同推动价格上涨。 海外消息，近日特朗普官员初步将OPEN的AI定价模型聚焦于锗、镓、锑和钨四种关键矿产，随后将逐步扩大覆盖范围，此举揭示了特朗普政府试图主动介 入关键矿产定价的路径，消息公布后，外盘有色金属出现明显涨幅。现货方面，当前市场仍处于节后恢复初期，锡锭库存季节性累增中，预计短期锡价仍以 高位震荡偏强为主。 锗方面，作为光纤的关键材料，海外锗价突破4000美元/kg。锗目前已被多个国家列为战略性保护矿产资源。展望未来，供给端，中国作为最大的锗生产 国，近年来持续加强对锗的出口管制，全球范围内的锗供应量或继续受限。需求端，随着军事红外、低轨卫星、通信、光伏等领域的景气提升，对锗的需求 量预计将持续增长。东莞证券认为，尽管目前高位的锗价使得下游企业的购买热情有所退却，但供弱需强的局面奠定了锗价上行的基础，预计未来锗价将再 度开启上升通道。 此外，全球能源转型正从政策驱动迈向 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-02-25 2026-02-24，沪铜主力合约开于 100000元/吨，收于 101510元/吨，较前一交易日收盘1.13%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合 约开于 101,650元/吨，收于 101,860 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘上涨0.34%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨日SMM 1#电解铜现货对2602合约报升水120-380元/吨，均价升水250元/吨，较前日上涨250元/吨； 价格区间100830-102080元/吨。沪期铜日内持续走高，2602与2603合约月差在Contango 360-500元/吨波动，当月进 口亏损约500元/吨。节后首日为最后交易日，市场成交清淡，持货商报价不积极，多以刚需采购为主。节假期间上 海地区大幅垒库超8万吨，进口货源持续补充，预计本周现货将维持贴水格局。 重要资讯汇总： 关税方面，美国正式开始征收10%全球关税，白宫正在准备把税率提高到15%的正式命令；有消息称，美国政府还 在考虑以"国家安全"为由，对六个行业加征新一轮关税，涉及大型电池、铸铁及铁制配件、塑料管道、工业化学 品以及电网和电信设备等领域，并将独立于15%全球关税；市场避险 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the non-ferrous metal sector, which opened down by 0.20% at 0.977 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 0.20%, and other companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum, showing varied performance with some stocks like Ganfeng Lithium and Xinyi Silver rising by 1.43% and 1.49% respectively [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.34% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

业内分析指出，锌铟等小金属价格上行、镍矿等品种海外供给收缩为有色金属行业提供直接支撑，全球 铝产业合作项目落地与美欧钢铝贸易关系缓和的预期，进一步利好工业金属领域的需求释放，叠加国内 有色金属产量稳步增长夯实行业发展根基，行业整体供需格局持续优化，各细分品种迎来轮动向好的发 展态势。 有色ETF银华（159871）紧密跟踪中证有色金属指数。该指数选取涉及有色金属采选、有色金属冶炼与 加工业务的上市公司，反映有色金属类相关上市公司的整体表现，前十大重仓股包含紫金矿业、洛阳钼 业、北方稀土等龙头企业，权重合计46.48%。 消息面上，2月25日，国内锌铟板块行情走高，24日上海钢联数据显示，国内粗铟中间价报4600元/公 斤、精铟中间价报4700元/公斤，均较节前上涨300元/公斤；印尼莫罗瓦利镍矿中心发生山体滑坡影响 当地镍矿产出，且该国2026年镍矿配额预计2.5-2.6亿吨，较2025年的3.79亿吨降幅超34%，全球镍供给 端收缩态势凸显。2月24日，阿联酋环球铝业与美国铝业、世纪铝业达成合作协议，推进俄克拉荷马州 铝中心建设，当地原铝项目预计于今年年底启动；欧盟官员预计美国将在未来几周降低对含钢铝加工产 ...

Summary of Conference Call Industry Overview - **Steel Industry**: The outlook for the steel industry has shifted from cautious to bullish, primarily driven by supply-side expectations. The current profitability of the industry is low, which is seen as a potential opportunity for investment. The focus is on the supply-side policies that are influenced by the industry's profitability levels. The investment opportunities are concentrated during periods of poor profitability or strong expectations for recovery [1][2]. - **Non-Ferrous Metals**: The overall sentiment towards non-ferrous metals is positive, with a particular emphasis on the strategic importance of reserves. The current market conditions are compared to the 1970s, indicating that traditional supply-demand dynamics may not fully capture the market's behavior. Central bank gold purchases are highlighted as a significant factor influencing prices [3][4]. Key Insights - **Steel Sector Performance**: The steel sector is expected to face challenges in 2024, with a significant downturn anticipated in Q3 and Q4. However, there is a belief that supply-side expectations will strengthen in 2025, particularly in early 2025, before tapering off as profitability improves later in the year. Recommended stocks include Hualing Steel and Baosteel [2]. - **Gold and Silver Market**: The gold and silver markets are expected to maintain their upward trajectory due to concerns over U.S. dollar credit and geopolitical tensions. The current environment is seen as favorable for gold prices, with expectations of continued strength in the short term. Silver is noted for its higher price elasticity compared to gold, with potential for strong performance in March due to seasonal demand [5][6][7]. - **Copper Market Dynamics**: The copper market is currently in a seasonal accumulation phase, with domestic inventories exceeding 500,000 tons. The price of copper has stabilized around 100,000 yuan per ton, with expectations for a gradual recovery as demand from downstream industries increases. The long-term outlook remains optimistic due to ongoing demand from AI and electric grid applications [8][9][10][11]. - **Cobalt and Nickel**: The cobalt and nickel markets are expected to experience upward price movements, driven by supply constraints and strategic demand. Recommended stocks include Huayou Cobalt and Li Hang Resources, which are seen as having strong price elasticity [12]. - **Tin Market Outlook**: The tin market is projected to see price increases due to limited supply growth and strong demand from the semiconductor industry. The recommendation is to focus on companies like Xinyi Silver Tin, which are expanding production capacity significantly [13][14][15]. - **Tungsten Market Trends**: The tungsten market is experiencing a price increase, with strong demand from various sectors. Companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Zhongtian High-tech are expanding their production capabilities, indicating confidence in the market's future [16][17][18][19][20]. - **Rare Earth Elements**: The rare earth market is expected to remain tight, with supply constraints and increasing demand from new energy applications. Companies like Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth are recommended for investment due to their strategic importance and growth potential [21][22][23][24]. Additional Considerations - The overall sentiment across various metal markets indicates a cautious optimism, with strategic reserves and geopolitical factors playing a significant role in price movements. The focus on supply-side dynamics and the potential for recovery in profitability are critical themes for investors to consider moving forward [25].

袁理 东吴证券分析师: 各位投资者大家晚上好，我是东吴证券原理。那今天晚上，我们节后第一天复工，给大家 讲一讲我们节前发布的这个矿业双碳系列的深度报告，关于来的这个部分。那我们这个报 告的标题，讲的是来自资源卡位和技术提取，其实已经充分地说明，就是来这种稀有金属 它这两个核心的看点，一方面是资源的瓶颈，一方面是提取技术的一个突破。那大家众所 周知，都知道我们一直推荐的这个赛恩斯，其实它的核心要点之一就来自于二股东紫金矿 业合作下，通过这个紫金矿业的铜钼矿的这个资源去提取这个伴生伴生来的。 然后比如说航，商业航天领域中间的发动机和卫星的轨控的这个设施，就基本上用到高温 合金的部分，来是一个必须的添加量。再比如说燃燃气轮机等等，就是我们是可以看到来 的应用中间，几个主要的下游，都处在一个非常快速的成长的一个阶段。所以我们有个结 论是，到 2030 年我们去估算的话，整个全球的来消费量将将会达到 191 吨，这个数据是 比前十年的这个来的消费量，截止 2019 年的 75 吨有一个翻倍以上的增长的，非常快速 的一个增长。那同时在这个全球需求中间，中国的需求增长有非常的亮点。 比如说 2020 年中国的需求可能是 8 ...

然后两轮方面的话到了2月8号的话市场就融资预额是2.64万亿元是叫上前期高铁石油所给我的融销预额是166亿元仍然是不是很高然后整个两轮交易额占到全益的这个比例是9.23 本期的话两轮表现是净流出519亿元较上期的净流出69亿元的话是增加了宽比扩大的450亿元当前的话两轮资金是连续三周出现的净流出迹象表明市场投资情绪正在从高点逐步降温两轮交易额占A股的生肖比重也是占了9%附近反映当前两轮资金的参与度是有所下滑的 然后这个是具体的行业方面可以看到流出比较多的重灾区的包括商业原料制造消费然后流出比较小的尤其是金融房产服务也就是前期流入上来的时候也是比较弱一点所以这边咱们也能看到五个方面的行业其实都在流出的这样一个情况的然后中度方面来看的话各股方面的话流入比较多的包括重庆国际 互联网黄金重庆许创中国国际银行网速科技那么流出比较多的包括新一称 贵州茅台 南极科技东东银行还有紫禁矿业 然后这个是一张准指的表格情况那么本期的话是这个本期就是春节前的那一周资金供给端的合计是负责150亿元然后资金的这个需求端是1020亿元所以其实整个市场的这个资金是净流出了大概是711亿元 然后分项上来看的话这个偏股型的公募的这个新华份额是回 ...

会议主持人: 好的，各位投资者新年好。 甚至是食品饮料，也都出现了这个明显的这个机会所以我觉得就是在今天大家都要看到在 中国市场，它的市场结构变得更加广泛，更加具有梯度。科技和非科技都在出现这个投资 机会。同时，权重和小市值也在出现投资机会。所以我觉得市场结构本身的变化也非常值 得大家去重新的审视今年中国市场的一个。这个眼镜，那说到我们的看法，大家也其实大 家也比较熟悉了。在 1 月中旬以来，国泰海通应该是唯一一个在市场当中讲，要开始重视 内需，要开始重视这个传统行业的这样的一个，这个证券公司和研究团队。 李鹏飞 国泰海通金属分析师: 现在就是我们联合还是策略跟十大周期行业的首席，给大家开年梳理一下这个周期整个板 块，这个投资逻辑，还有这个机会。那首先，我们还是有请策略首席方毅老师发言。 方奕 国泰海通策略首席: 好的，谢谢。各位朋友，大家晚上好，我是方毅。大家新年快乐，这是开年以来，这个第 一天，也是第一次和大家沟通我们对中国市场的看法。那应该来说，2026 年以来，实际 上大家可以看到今年所上涨的这个板块，其实和去年是有比较大的这个差异的。比如说去 年比较强劲的这个算力，今年普遍的表现是这个比较差的。那当 ...

沪深300ETF中金（510320）业绩比较基准为沪深300指数收益率，管理人为中金基金管理有限公司，基 金经理为刘重晋，成立（2025-04-16）以来回报为26.82%，近一个月回报为0.17%。 2月25日，截止午间收盘，沪深300ETF中金（510320）涨0.95%，报1.281元，成交额657.98万元。沪深 300ETF中金（510320）重仓股方面，宁德时代截止午盘涨0.99%，贵州茅台涨2.59%，中国平安涨 1.75%，中际旭创涨2.17%，紫金矿业涨2.19%，招商银行涨0.15%，新易盛涨3.38%，美的集团涨 0.87%，兴业银行涨0.71%，长江电力涨0.31%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...