Ac t i o n | 29 Jan 2026 12:25:37 ET │ 18 pages JL MAG (300748.SZ/6680.HK) Rerating on Rare Earth Upcycle and Improving Long-term Demand Visibility; Upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy CITI'S TAKE We upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy (from Neutral) and raise our target price to Rmb48/Hkd35 for A/H shares, applying 38.2x P/E for A-sh and 25.9x for H- sh, historical averages since listed. We believe the company is entering a more favorable earnings phase driven by the upcycle in rare-earth prices, stable export operations, and imp ...

2025年的稀土市场，犹如一场错综复杂的博弈。一方面，中国依法收紧出口管制，坚决维护国家利益；另一方面，境外势力依然不甘心，频频铤而走险，实 施窃密走私。在这个被誉为"工业黄金"的战略资源领域，稀土已成为军工与高科技产业的核心命脉。一架F-35战机需要消耗数百公斤稀土，一艘核潜艇甚至 需要四五吨稀土才能满足需求。因此，当中国加强管控后，无法自主提纯稀土的美国，立即面临了严重的库存危机。随之而来的是一场跨越国境的暗战，围 绕稀土展开的角逐，愈发激烈。 美国的稀土储量本不算少，但由于提炼技术的不足，始终未能突破瓶颈。尤其是在本土高纯重稀土氧化物的产能几乎为零的情况下，美国对稀土的进口依赖 度极高。2024年，美国对稀土的进口依赖度已经飙升至92%，而重稀土几乎完全依赖外部供应。而此时，中国掌控着全球近90%的稀土精炼产能。2025年4 月4日，商务部与海关总署联合发布的公告，将七种关键稀土元素——钐、钆、铽、镝、镥、钪、钇——纳入出口管制范围，这一举措让美国的军工和高端 制造业直接受到了冲击，关键稀土部件的供应缺口也在瞬间扩大。 面对日益加剧的需求缺口，境外势力急于填补这一空白，开始与国内一些不法分子勾结，通过非 ...

证券之星消息，1月29日小金属板块较上一交易日下跌1.04%，厦门钨业领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600392 | 盛和盗源 | 30.03 | 10.00% | 205.07万 | | 59.61亿 | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 56.11 | 6.09% | 389.63万 | | 216.25亿 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 58.61 | 3.64% | 113.94万 | | 66.62亿 | | 600259 | 中稀有色 | 84.52 | 2.51% | 23.57万 | | 19.87亿 | | 001280 | 中国舞山 | 97.00 | -1.02% | 41.79万 | | 41.98亿 | | 600459 | 贵研铂业 | 26.17 | -1.62% | 112.69万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing significant price increases and investment interest, particularly in lithium and rare earth elements, driven by supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic factors. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 29, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) rose by 1.16%, with notable gains from stocks such as Sanhua Wisdom (+15.43%) and Galaxy Magnetics (+13.74%) [1] - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) saw a half-day increase of 0.73%, with a weekly cumulative rise of 7.90% as of January 28, 2026, leading among products tracking the same index [1] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 280 million yuan, marking a three-month high, with shares totaling 228 million, also a one-month high [1] Group 2: Price Trends and Profitability - In Q4 2025, the average price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate reached 87,000 yuan per ton, a 19% increase quarter-on-quarter, with profits per ton rising to 8,000 yuan for companies with over 50% self-owned resources [2] - If lithium carbonate prices stabilize at 150,000 yuan per ton in 2026, leading companies in lithium salt business could contribute over 9 billion yuan in profits [2] - The price increase of rare metals is attributed to a combination of resource self-sufficiency, cost control efficiency, and technological advancements, indicating a value reassessment process rather than a mere cyclical fluctuation [2] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - In a tight supply-demand balance, macro variables such as monetary policy and supply disruptions are becoming key factors influencing metal prices [2] - Lithium carbonate inventory has begun a destocking process, and expectations of reduced export tax rates for batteries have led to a preemptive demand effect, exceeding seasonal expectations [2] - The recovery of prices in the rare earth sector is supported by policy backing and pre-holiday stocking demand, reinforcing its investment value as a strategic resource [2] Group 4: Investment Tools - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) tracks the CS Rare Metals Index, which primarily allocates to lithium carbonate, minor metals, and rare earth sectors, with lithium content between 30% and 40%, making it the highest lithium-containing index available for investors [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rebound in the rare earth permanent magnet sector, with the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index rising by 1.50% as of January 29, 2026, driven by strong performances from key stocks such as Shenghe Resources and San Chuan Wisdom [1] - The rare earth sector has shown outstanding performance within the non-ferrous metal sub-industry, with the SW Small Metals and Metal New Materials indices increasing by 8.68% and 3.61% respectively in the third week of January 2026, indicating a notable contribution from rare earth-related stocks [1] - The report from Galaxy Securities emphasizes that geopolitical tensions are heightening global supply chain security concerns, which is enhancing the strategic position of key metals, including rare earths, and reinforcing the logic of resource self-sufficiency [1] Group 2 - The recovery in rare earth prices, supported by policy backing and pre-Spring Festival inventory demand, is contributing to a restoration of market sentiment, as noted by Guotai Junan Securities [1] - The investment value of rare earths continues to be highlighted in a context of tight supply and demand, with a fundamental basis supporting the upward price trend [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index accounted for 60.4% of the index, with key players including Northern Rare Earth and Greeenmech [2] Group 3 - Investors can access rare earth investment opportunities through the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF (516150), which closely tracks the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index, providing a convenient tool for exposure to the domestic rare earth industry chain [2] - Additionally, the Jiashi Rare Earth ETF linked fund (011036) offers an alternative for off-market investors to capitalize on rare earth investment opportunities [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the fluctuation in the rare metals market, particularly focusing on lithium prices and the performance of key companies in the sector [1][2] - As of January 20, the spot price of lithium cobalt oxide remained stable at 396.5 yuan/kg, with a weekly increase of 10.5 yuan/kg (2.72%) and a monthly increase of 33 yuan/kg (9.08%) [1] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate has seen a significant weekly increase of 8.24%, indicating strong price resilience amid production disruptions in key mining areas in Jiangxi [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities predicts that the average price of lithium carbonate will reach 87,000 yuan/ton in Q4 2025, representing a 19% quarter-on-quarter increase, which will significantly contribute to earnings elasticity [1] - Ganfeng Lithium's profit per ton in Q4 is expected to rise to 8,000 yuan/ton, with self-owned resources contributing approximately 14,000 yuan/ton [1] - If lithium carbonate prices maintain at 150,000 yuan/ton in 2026, Ganfeng Lithium's lithium salt business is projected to contribute over 9 billion yuan in profits [1] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, Huayou Cobalt, and others, accounting for 59.54% of the index [2] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the rare metals sector [2] Group 4 - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector through the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) [3]

如何看待近期印尼镍政策的变化 20260128 的祥路物业和张园物业也值得关注。 对于镍市场有什么看法？有哪些投资建议？ 镍市场存在较大预期差，目前印尼镍配额收紧确定性高，这将推动镍价上涨。 在政策初期可能矫枉过正情况下，我们认为短期镍价脉冲水平会超过指引区间。 因此，无论是镍还是镍期货，都处于相对底部，是较好的投资选择。推荐公司 包括华友钴业、立勤股份及转型中的中伟新材。 摘要 全球宏观不确定性增加，美国情况变化加剧恐慌情绪，黄金作为对冲资 产具备上涨动能，建议关注中金黄金、中国黄金国际、紫金矿业及山东 黄金。 铝市场淡季不淡，需求端韧性较强，铝价上涨获公募基金和险资认可， 推荐天山铝业、宏创控股及中孚实业。 钨市场下游对高钨价接受度高，加工端利润扩张，产业链健康良性，推 荐中钨高新、厦门钨业及嘉鑫国际资源，关注祥路物业和张园物业。 印尼镍配额收紧确定性高，推动镍价上涨，短期镍价脉冲水平或超指引 区间，镍及镍期货是较好投资选择，推荐华友钴业、立勤股份及转型中 的中伟新材。 稀土市场涨幅相对落后但战略属性强，边际追赶动能较强，看好中国稀 土、中重稀土为主的中国稀土，以及磁材企业如金力永磁。 煤炭价格低于发改委 ...

据生意社监测，氧化镨01月28日最新价格735000.00万元/吨，最近5天上涨8.89%，15天上涨15.29%，20 天上涨18.07%，30天上涨24.05%，60天上涨27.83%。 相关生产商有：北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 据生意社监测，氧化镨01月28日最新价格735000.00万元/吨，最近5天上涨8.89%，15天上涨15.29%，20 天上涨18.07%，30天上涨24.05%，60天上涨27.83%。 相关生产商有：北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 ...

Group 1 - The small metal sector saw a rise on January 28, 2026, with the China Rare Metals Theme Index increasing by 0.23%, and notable stock performances included Dongfang Tantalum Industry up by 8.41%, Zhuhai Group up by 5.25%, and others [1] - Tungsten concentrate prices approached 550,000 RMB per ton, ammonium paratungstate prices exceeded 800,000 RMB, and tungsten powder prices surpassed 1,300,000 RMB [1] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate prices reached 168,000 RMB per ton with a weekly increase of 9.80%, while lithium iron phosphate prices rose by 4.43% compared to January 4 [1] Group 2 - Longcheng Securities estimated that the static cost share of lithium carbonate, rare earths, and antimony in downstream applications is nearing historical highs, with a demand growth rate of over 10% expected in sensitive sectors like wind power in 2026 [1] - The auction price for lithium spodumene concentrate from Wodgina reached 16,852 RMB per dry ton, indicating a significant premium for overseas lithium resources [1] - The Congolese government submitted a shortlist of state-owned mineral assets to the U.S., highlighting ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions that reinforce the scarcity of strategic metals [1] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index included Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, accounting for 59.54% of the total index [2] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector through the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Zhongxi Rare Earth has announced a positive earnings forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 100 million to 130 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses in the previous year [2] - The company attributes its profit turnaround to the overall rising trend in the rare earth market in 2025, enhanced market analysis, improved management, and innovative marketing strategies, which led to increased production and sales of rare earth smelting separation and permanent magnet materials [2] - Other rare earth companies, including Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth, have also reported positive earnings forecasts for 2025, with Northern Rare Earth's net profit increasing by over 100% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - In 2025, prices for major light rare earth products have risen, while some medium and heavy rare earth product prices have continued to decline, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide prices increasing by 52.45% compared to the beginning of the year, while dysprosium oxide prices fell by 16.7% in the second half of the year [3] - Zhongxi Rare Earth is focusing on its core business, increasing efforts to clean up inefficient assets and exit loss-making enterprises, which has impacted the company's current profits due to the costs associated with these reforms [5] - The company's equity investment in Guangdong Dabao Mountain Mining Co., Ltd. has seen increased profitability due to rising copper, sulfur, and tungsten prices, leading to higher investment income recognized under the equity method [6]