截至2026年2月4日9:40，中证石化产业指数(H11057)下跌0.17%。成分股方面涨跌互现，中国海油、恒 力石化、荣盛石化（维权）等领涨；广东宏大、华峰化学、浙江龙盛等领跌。石化ETF(159731)下跌 0.20%，最新报价1元。流动性方面，截至2月3日，石化ETF近1周日均成交3.29亿元。从资金净流入方 面来看，石化ETF近20天获得连续资金净流入，合计"吸金"14.57亿元。石化ETF最新份额达17亿份，最 新规模达17.07亿元，创新高。 截至2月3日，石化ETF近2年净值上涨69.29%。从收益能力看，截至2026年2月3日，石化ETF自成立以 来，最高单月回报为15.86%，最长连涨月数为9个月，最长连涨涨幅为60.75%，上涨月份平均收益率为 5.59%。截至2026年2月3日，石化ETF近1年超越基准年化收益为2.31%。 华鑫证券分析称，从化工行业三季报业绩表现来看，行业整体仍处于弱势，各细分子行业业绩涨跌不 一。主要原因是受行业过去两年产能扩张进入新一轮产能周期以及需求偏弱影响，但也有部分子行业表 现超预期，例如润滑油行业等。此外，建议重视草甘膦、化肥、进口替代、纯内需、高股息资 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The market sentiment is currently high, with over 60% of stocks in the CSI 300 index showing an upward trend, indicating a bullish outlook for the near future [2] - The momentum sentiment indicators are trending upwards, suggesting a sustained positive market environment [2] Group 2: Industry Insights - In the coal, steel, float glass, cement, and fuel refining sectors, profit sentiment is expected to decline year-on-year [3] - The inventory of breeding sows is decreasing significantly, leading to a tighter supply forecast for Q2 2026, which may support a recovery in pig prices [3] - The PMI remains stable, indicating no significant changes in the cyclical industries monitored [3] Group 3: Automotive Sector - The performance of new energy vehicles in January was weak, prompting automakers to increase purchase incentives [4] - Recommended stocks include Geely Automobile for whole vehicles and Fuyao Glass for components, alongside Top Group and Shuanglin Co. for humanoid robots [4] Group 4: Real Estate Sector - Multiple cities have initiated old housing buyback programs, accelerating the "old for new" exchange, which is expected to stabilize the housing market [5] - Notable companies recommended include China Merchants Shekou and China Jinmao, which are positioned as leading brands in the real estate sector [5] Group 5: Chemical Industry - Qicai Chemical and Huanliang Technology have established an AI laboratory to enhance product development efficiency, marking a shift from experience-driven to model-driven approaches in the chemical industry [6] - Companies like Sinopec, Wanhua Chemical, and Qicai Chemical are highlighted for their potential in leveraging AI for cost reduction and efficiency improvements [6]

Group 1: Strategic Adjustments - The company has initiated the sale of its non-core emergency rescue business to focus on its two main business segments: cardiovascular and health protection [2][3] - The cardiovascular business has entered a new phase of profitability, contributing over 100 million yuan in profit in 2025 after overcoming industry policy adjustments [3][4] - The health protection business underwent significant restructuring, including a strategic investment of 200 million USD and the acquisition of a thermal power enterprise to address energy supply issues [3][4] Group 2: Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the health protection division is projected to be between -650 million yuan and -850 million yuan, primarily due to operational losses and one-time tax payments [4][5] - The cardiovascular division achieved a turnaround from a loss of approximately 140 million yuan in 2024 to a profit exceeding 100 million yuan in 2025, driven by continuous R&D investment and management optimization [7][8] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The glove industry has experienced significant price fluctuations, with a recovery in demand leading to a rise in production rates to 90%-100% by early 2024, resulting in profitability by May 2024 [12][13] - The company has implemented strategies to manage raw material price volatility, ensuring cost-effective procurement to maintain competitive advantages [14] Group 4: Product Development and Innovation - The company has focused on developing innovative products in the cardiovascular sector, including a new drug-coated balloon technology that has shown promising results in clinical trials [9][10] - The polyurethane gloves developed in collaboration with Wanhua Chemical have gained recognition for their superior breathability and cleanliness, positioning the company to capture significant market potential [14]

关键词| 生物基大会 生物基材料作为实现双碳目标的重要路径、助力我国产业链自主可控，并拥有万亿市场潜力，已成为全球战略重点，更是我国"十五五"重点规划产 业。 浙江省全省生物基高分子材料重点实验室 、 宁波德泰中研信息科技有限公司（DT新材料） 站在关键节点，以推动行业绿色低碳转型为目标，搭建全 球交流合作平台——生物基大会暨展览（Bio-based）。 作为生物基行业盛会风向标， # 第11届生物基大会暨展览（Bio-based 2026） 布局" 9大主题论坛 + 9大同期活动 + 1000 个新品展示 + 1 场创新评选 &颁奖 "，将邀请产业化专家、行业领袖与终端品牌分享 产业趋势、前沿科技创新、创新材料与下游应用、需求与趋势、项目路演、成果转化等 关键 话题，以助推产业绿色低碳转型。 展会正在火热报名中， 诚邀您 参会、新品发布、参展、参选DT新叶奖 ，共同跨越新周期，澎湃新生机！ Bio-based 2026 会务组 2026年 5 月 20-22 日（周三-周五） 中国 · 上海富悦大酒店 朱锦研究员 ：给研究者展示新技术的平台，给生产者找到应用客户，给下游客户找到产品新方向，为政府寻找新技术， ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company, Zhejiang Jinhua New Materials Co., Ltd., is a leading supplier of ketoxime products and has established a strong position in the fine chemical industry, particularly in silane crosslinking agents and hydroxylamine salts [9][14]. - The hydroxylamine salt market is expanding, driven by increased demand in downstream industries such as agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, which opens up long-term growth opportunities for the company [9][40]. - The company has a robust technical innovation capability and a rich customer base, including partnerships with major international and domestic chemical companies [9][57]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Zhejiang Jinhua New Materials specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of ketoxime series fine chemicals, including silane crosslinking agents and hydroxylamine salts [9][14]. - The company has received numerous accolades, including being recognized as a national "little giant" enterprise and a high-tech enterprise [14]. 2. Market Dynamics - The fine chemical industry is a strategic focus in China's chemical sector, with hydroxylamine salts being a key raw material for various applications, including low-toxicity pesticides and high-efficiency metal extractants [40][39]. - The global hydroxylamine salt market is projected to grow from 2.714 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.179 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 3.21% [40][41]. 3. Technical Innovation and Customer Base - The company has established a green circular industrial chain for ketoxime products, showcasing its commitment to sustainable practices and innovation [16][57]. - Jinhua New Materials has built a strong customer network, including partnerships with Bayer and domestic leaders like Wanhua Chemical, ensuring a stable demand for its products [60][57]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.064 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 198.77 million yuan, reflecting a growth trajectory despite a slight decline in 2025 [1][21]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.47 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 34.00, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [1][21].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company, Zhejiang Jinhua New Material Co., Ltd., is a leading supplier of ketoxime products, focusing on the research, production, and sales of fine chemical products, particularly silane crosslinkers and hydroxylamine salts [9][14]. - The hydroxylamine salt market is expanding, driven by increased demand in downstream industries such as agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and environmental applications [40][44]. - The company has established a green circular industrial chain, showcasing its commitment to sustainable practices and innovation in production processes [16][57]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Zhejiang Jinhua New Material Co., Ltd. specializes in ketoxime series fine chemicals and has received numerous accolades, including being recognized as a national "little giant" enterprise [14]. - The company has developed a unique green circular industrial chain for ketoxime products, enhancing its competitive edge [16]. 2. Market Dynamics - The fine chemical industry is a strategic focus in China's chemical sector, with hydroxylamine salts experiencing stable market growth due to their applications in various high-demand sectors [39][40]. - The global hydroxylamine salt market is projected to grow from 2.714 billion yuan in 2023 to 3.179 billion yuan by 2028, with a CAGR of 3.21% [40][41]. 3. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 1.064 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 198.77 million yuan, reflecting a slight decline from the previous year [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.47 yuan in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 34.00 [1]. 4. Competitive Position - The company has established itself as a market leader in silane crosslinkers and hydroxylamine salts, with significant market shares of 38.16% and 42.37% respectively by 2024 [57][58]. - It has built a robust customer base, including major international and domestic companies, ensuring stable demand for its products [60]. 5. Technological Innovation - The company has developed high-purity electronic-grade hydroxylamine water solution, breaking the monopoly of foreign firms and filling a gap in the domestic market [61]. - It has a strong focus on R&D, with several patents granted for its innovative production processes, ensuring product quality and environmental sustainability [63].

发布日期：2026年2月3日 【行情分析】 【冠通期货研究报告】 PVC日报：高开后震荡运行 上游西北地区电石价格稳定。目前供应端，PVC开工率环比增加0.19个百分点至78.93%，PVC开工 率小幅增加，处于近年同期中性水平。临近春节，PVC下游开工率环比下降0.11个百分点，下游主动 备货意愿偏低。出口方面，受取消出口退税影响，市场出现抢出口现象，加之美国面临寒潮冲击， PVC企业赶在春节假期前提前预售，国内出口签单继续环比走高，中国台湾台塑PVC 2月份出口船货报 价上涨40美元/吨。上周社会库存继续增加，目前仍偏高，库存压力仍然较大。2025年1-12月份，房 地产仍在调整阶段，投资、新开工、施工、竣工面积同比降幅仍较大，投资、销售、竣工等同比增 速进一步下降。30大中城市商品房周度成交面积环比回升，但仍处于近年同期偏低水平，房地产改 善仍需时间。氯碱综合毛利承压，部分生产企业开工预期下降，但目前产量下降有限，本周福建万 华、山东恒通仍在检修，PVC开工率变化不大，期货仓单仍处高位。2月是国内PVC传统需求淡季，临 近春节假期，下游采购积极性一般，社会库存继续增加。生态环境部表示将聚焦无汞催化剂研发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical sector is experiencing significant growth, as evidenced by the strong performance of the China Petrochemical Industry Index and related ETFs, indicating a positive market sentiment and investment opportunities in this industry [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of February 3, 2026, the China Petrochemical Industry Index (H11057) rose by 2.89%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Cangge Mining (+6.76%), Hualu Hengsheng (+6.17%), and Guangwei Composites (+5.94%) [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) increased by 2.87%, reaching a latest price of 1 yuan, and has accumulated a 6.21% rise over the past month [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - The Petrochemical ETF recorded a turnover rate of 12.19% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 200 million yuan, indicating active market participation [1]. - Over the past week, the average daily trading volume of the Petrochemical ETF was 329 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Share Performance - The latest share count of the Petrochemical ETF reached 1.656 billion, marking a one-year high [2]. - The ETF has seen continuous net inflows for 19 days, with a peak single-day net inflow of 348 million yuan, totaling 1.413 billion yuan in net inflows [2]. Group 4: Return Metrics - Since its inception, the Petrochemical ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 15.86%, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being 9 months and a total increase of 60.75% during that period [2]. - The average return during the months of increase is 5.59% [2]. Group 5: Index Composition - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Petrochemical Industry Index include Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and Yilong Co., among others, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical ETF experienced a significant increase of 4.1%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.81 percentage points, indicating a positive market sentiment in the chemical sector [1]. Industry Insights - The prices of metal futures, including gold, silver, and copper, have rebounded, with polysilicon prices increasing by 6.61%, lithium carbonate by 4.63%, and copper by 2.60% compared to the previous day [2]. - The commercial aerospace sector is advancing, with SpaceX submitting an application to the FCC for deploying a satellite constellation aimed at providing computational support for advanced AI models, potentially involving up to one million satellites [2]. - The price of core intermediates for disperse dyes surged over 50% from 25,000 yuan/ton to 38,000 yuan/ton due to supply concentration, impacting downstream disperse dye prices [2]. - The government is expected to implement measures to limit high-energy-consuming products as part of its carbon peak strategy, signaling a turning point for the chemical industry [2]. - The Ministry of Finance has canceled export tax rebates for certain chemical products to accelerate the exit of outdated capacities and promote high-quality development in the chemical sector [2]. Company Performance - The chemical ETF (159870) rose by 4.10%, closing at 0.89 yuan, with a net subscription of 765 million units on the day [3]. - The index tracking the chemical sector, the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index (000813), increased by 3.70%, with leading stocks such as Hongda Co. (+9.16%), Cangge Mining (+6.76%), and Hualu Hengsheng (+6.17%) showing strong performance [3]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index account for 44.82% of the index, including major companies like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Co. [3].

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry ETF managed by E Fund has shown strong performance, with significant increases in both stock prices and fund inflows, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the chemical sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - As of February 3, 2026, the China Petroleum Industry Index (H11057) rose by 2.92%, with notable gains from stocks such as Cangge Mining (+6.53%) and Hualu Hengsheng (+6.38%) [1]. - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF (516570) increased by 3.32%, reaching a latest price of 1.09 yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF has accumulated a total increase of 6.14% [1]. Group 2: Trading Volume and Liquidity - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF had a turnover rate of 2.72% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 42.92 million yuan [1]. - The average daily trading volume over the past week for the ETF was 162 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Size and Shares - The latest size of the E Fund Chemical Industry ETF reached 1.537 billion yuan, marking a one-year high [1]. - The total number of shares for the ETF is now 1.453 billion, also a one-year high [1]. Group 4: Fund Inflows - The E Fund Chemical Industry ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past 12 days, with a peak single-day inflow of 391 million yuan, totaling 1.357 billion yuan in net inflows [1]. - The average daily net inflow for the ETF is 113 million yuan [1]. Group 5: Top Holdings - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Petroleum Industry Index account for 55.71% of the index, including major companies like Wanhua Chemical and China Petroleum [2].