Group 1 - Anta Sports (02020) shares rose over 3%, currently up 3.18% at HKD 79.45, with a trading volume of HKD 958 million [1] - Anta Sports plans to acquire a 29.06% stake in the German sports brand PUMA for EUR 1.5 billion (approximately RMB 12.3 billion), which will make it the largest shareholder [1] - JPMorgan considers the acquisition price reasonable, taking into account PUMA's brand history and strengths in professional sports fields like football and running, as well as its international market presence in Europe and Latin America [1] Group 2 - The funding for the acquisition will come entirely from Anta's internal resources, with the company expected to have a net cash of RMB 31.5 billion by mid-2025, sufficient to cover the transaction and maintain its dividend policy [1] - The estimated impact of the acquisition on Anta's net profit for 2026 is projected to be a low single-digit percentage [1]

Core Viewpoint - Anta Sports (02020) announced the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in the German sports brand Puma for €1.5 billion, which was anticipated by the market, but the actual payment was better than expected [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The acquisition price of €1.5 billion is viewed positively compared to market expectations [1] - Investors may remain cautious regarding the transaction and its structure [1] Group 2: Financial Impact - The transaction is expected to have a limited impact on the adjusted profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [1] - The investment logic for maintaining a "buy" rating on Anta remains unchanged, with a target price set at HKD 95.4 [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The business turnaround path for Puma is expected to differ from that of Amer Sports or Fila, indicating that significant profit contributions from Puma may take longer [1] - Anta's global expansion plans are likely to continue beyond this transaction, suggesting potential for further acquisitions in the future [1]

智通财经APP获悉，安踏体育(02020)午后涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.18%，报79.45港元，成交额9.58亿港 元。 该行还强调，此次收购资金将全部来自安踏内部资源，截至2025年上半年公司净现金达315亿元人民 币，足以应付交易且有余力维持股息政策，消除了市场对融资压力的忧虑。估计交易对安踏2026年净利 润影响仅为低个位数百分比。 消息面上，安踏体育拟拟以15亿欧元(约123亿元人民币)收购德国运动品牌PUMA 29.06%股权，交易完 成后将成为其最大股东。小摩认为，考虑Puma的品牌历史、在足球及跑步等专业运动领域的优势，以 及其欧洲、拉美等国际市场布局，作价属合理水平。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，安踏体育(02020)宣布以15亿欧元收购德国运动品牌Puma 29.06%股份。虽然市场对这笔交易早有预期，但该行认为实际支付的对价好过市场预期。不过，投资 者可能仍对交易本身及其结构持谨慎态度。整体而言，该行预计此次交易对其已调整的2026年及27年盈 利预测影响有限，并不会改变该行对安踏"买入"评级的投资逻辑; 现予目标价95.4港元。 该行预计， Puma的业务扭转路径将不同于Amer Sports或Fila，意味着Puma为安踏带来显著利润贡献可 能需要更长时间。同时，该行认为安踏的全球扩张计划可能不会止步于此次交易，未来还会有更多并购 动作。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent surge in the stock prices of major liquor companies, particularly Moutai, which rose over 4% after a period of decline, indicating a potential recovery in the market [2] - Notable investor Duan Yongping expressed confidence in Moutai's long-term value, emphasizing the positive impact of the iMoutai platform on consumer access to genuine products [2] - The white liquor industry is expected to benefit from a new consumer acquisition and education strategy, with a focus on channel collaboration and consumer-centric approaches [5][8] Group 2 - The white liquor sector is entering a "five-bottom phase," suggesting a potential turning point in the industry cycle, with expectations of improved sales performance as consumer demand stabilizes [8][9] - Recent data indicates that Moutai's sales and pricing are performing better than market expectations, with a projected increase in sales volume leading up to the Spring Festival [7] - The overall sentiment in the capital market regarding the white liquor industry remains low, with public fund holdings at a historical low, indicating a potential opportunity for investment as valuations are attractive [9][11] Group 3 - The upcoming Spring Festival is anticipated to maintain stable sales for the white liquor industry, with no excessive pessimism expected regarding market performance [10] - Companies are actively working on inventory reduction and price stabilization strategies, with a focus on enhancing brand strength and market share during challenging economic conditions [6][8] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards embracing consumer preferences, particularly among younger generations, which is expected to support long-term demand for white liquor products [8][9]

环球市场动态 美 国 关 税 通 胀 见 顶 时 间 后 移 股 票 周三亚太股市个别发展，MSCI 不 排除将印度尼西亚降级至前沿市 场，拖累股市大跌 7.3%。港股高开 高走，A 股涨跌不一。奢侈品股受 压，欧股下跌。美联储一如预期维 持利率不变，美股个别发展，变动 不大。 外 汇 / 商 品 特朗普警告伊朗尽快达成核协议， 美伊局势紧张，周三纽约期油升至 四个月高位，国际金银价格续创新 高；贝森特关于美国绝没有入市干 预日元的表态也为美元带来支撑， 在美联储维持利率不变之后美元指 数触及日内高点。 固 定 收 益 美联储维持利率不变在 3.50%– 3.75%。美国国债持稳，收益率曲线 略微走平。声明称就业风险减弱， 并不急于进一步降息。日本 40 年 期国债拍卖结果较好推动市场企 稳。贝森特否认将干预日元汇率。 亚洲债市企稳，债券利差普遍收窄。 产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2026 年 1 月 29 日 ▪ 美联储 2026 年 1 月议息会议维持政策利率不变，符合市场预期。议息会议声明和鲍威尔发言均表示美国失业 率出 ...

Core Insights - During this year's Tmall New Year Festival, sports brands such as Hongxing Erke, Skechers, and China Jordan have integrated into Taobao Flash Sale [1][2] Company Developments - Hongxing Erke has completed the integration of over 1,000 offline stores and plans to expand to approximately 2,000 stores by the end of the year [1][2] - Skechers has integrated 282 self-operated stores across 54 cities including Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Hangzhou, with plans to continue expanding its presence in Taobao Flash Sale by 2026 [1][2] - China Jordan plans to gradually integrate over 1,000 offline stores nationwide [1][2] Product Offerings - Hongxing Erke has launched its 2026 new product "Elite" series casual shoes and "Park Run" series running shoes through Flash Sale [1][2] - Skechers has introduced the "Cheng Yi Celebrity Style" series and "Flash Walk" series hiking shoes, offering a limited-time free delivery within an 8-kilometer range [1][2] - China Jordan is providing discounts with an official 8.8% off and additional promotions, with over a thousand products starting at 50% off, also offering limited-time free delivery [1][2] Market Trends - By 2025, leading brands such as Anta, 361°, Decathlon, and Taobo have already integrated into the platform, indicating that Taobao Flash Sale is becoming a core area for sports brands to establish instant retail [1][2] - The integration of online and offline operations on Tmall is aimed at providing consumers with a new shopping experience [1][2]

该行提醒，短期投资者需关注两点：一是Puma本身盈利状况对安踏报表的影响;二是品牌重振所需时 间。交易尚待多国反垄断机构及中国发改委批准，预计需时6至10个月。 摩根大通发布研报称，安踏体育(02020)收购Puma的29%股权，是实现全球多品牌运动服饰集团愿景的 关键战略步骤。该行维持对安踏增持评级，目标价141港元。 安踏以15亿欧元(约123亿人民币)收购Puma股权，该行认为，考虑Puma的品牌历史、在足球及跑步等专 业运动领域的优势，以及其欧洲、拉美等国际市场布局，作价属合理水平。报告强调，此次收购资金将 全部来自安踏内部资源，截至2025年上半年公司净现金达315亿元人民币，足以应付交易且有余力维持 股息政策，消除了市场对融资压力的忧虑。小摩估计，交易对安踏2026年净利润影响仅为低个位数百分 比。 ...

安踏以15亿欧元(约123亿人民币)收购Puma股权，该行认为，考虑Puma的品牌历史、在足球及跑步等专 业运动领域的优势，以及其欧洲、拉美等国际市场布局，作价属合理水平。报告强调，此次收购资金将 全部来自安踏内部资源，截至2025年上半年公司净现金达315亿元人民币，足以应付交易且有余力维持 股息政策，消除了市场对融资压力的忧虑。小摩估计，交易对安踏2026年净利润影响仅为低个位数百分 比。 该行提醒，短期投资者需关注两点：一是Puma本身盈利状况对安踏报表的影响; 二是品牌重振所需时 间。交易尚待多国反垄断机构及中国发改委批准，预计需时6至10个月。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，安踏体育(02020)收购Puma的29%股权，是实现全球多品牌 运动服饰集团愿景的关键战略步骤。该行维持对安踏增持评级，目标价141港元。 ...

国泰海通晨报 2026 年 01 月 29 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【策略研究】：本轮全球宽松周期下，各类资产关联度上升，新任美联储主席的变动有望重塑 全球货币政策路径与市场空间。 2、【建筑工程研究】华电科工：2025 全年公告重大合同同比增 83.8%，其中 2025Q4 重大合同同 比增 87.1%。重大合同快速增长，并将在后续不断落地，预示公司基本面有望受益提升。 3、【美妆研究】若羽臣：公司公告预计 2025 年归母净利润 1.76-2 亿元，同比+67%-89%，主要受 益自有品牌及品牌管理业务加速成长，看好旗下绽家、斐萃等多品牌高增，打开成长天花板。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 方奕(分析师) 021-38031658 fangyi2@gtht.com S0880520120005 黄维驰(分析师) 021-38032684 huangweich ...