Core Viewpoint - The professional services sector experienced a decline of 0.84% on January 28, with notable losses from Su Shi Testing, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27% to close at 4151.24 [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27% [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1]. - The professional services sector saw a net outflow of 1.03 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 1.24 billion yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Xince Standard (300938) led the gains with a closing price of 36.20, up 8.38% and a trading volume of 261,100 shares, totaling 922 million yuan [1]. - Guangdong Jian Ke (301632) closed at 26.99, up 4.17%, with a trading volume of 118,200 shares, totaling 314 million yuan [1]. - Su Shi Testing (300416) faced the largest decline, closing at 19.31, down 4.22% with a trading volume of 306,500 shares, totaling 598 million yuan [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Major funds showed a net inflow of 74.08 million yuan into Xince Standard (300938), while retail investors had a net outflow of 25.35 million yuan [3]. - Zhonggang Tianyuan (002057) saw a net inflow of 29.79 million yuan from major funds, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 841.16 million yuan [3]. - The overall trend indicates that while major funds are withdrawing, retail investors are actively participating in the market [2][3].

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-01-27 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观量化经济指数周报 20260126：二手房销售景气度明显回暖 2026 年"经济开门红"的可能性仍在提升 海外周报 20260126：海外宏观与交易复盘：特朗普再度"TACO"，金银 续创新高 核心观点：本周海外市场由特朗普针对格陵兰岛的关税威胁及其后 "TACO"行为、以及日本财政风波所主导，贵金属和大宗商品领涨，全 球股票、债券和美元指数表现不佳，其中美国一度遭遇股债汇三杀，随后 在特朗普"TACO"、以及延续稳健的美国经济数据后回暖。下周关注可 能公布的美联储主席人选，以及美国政府关门风波。我们认为，在中期选 举临近的当下，两党大概率将致力于避免政府停摆，且即使政府停摆，其 影响相较去年 11 月也更小。 金融产品周报 20260125：持续看多，关注周期行业的长期机会 市场行情展望：（2026.1.26-2026.1.30） 观点：持续看多，关注周期行业 的长期机会 1 月整体走势判断：2026 年 1 月，宏观择时模型的月度评 分是 0 分，历史上该分数万得全 A 指数后 ...

证券之星消息，1月26日专业服务板块较上一交易日下跌2.65%，信测标准领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4132.61，下跌0.09%。深证成指报收于14316.64，下跌0.85%。专业服务板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日专业服务板块主力资金净流出2.93亿元，游资资金净流入1.1亿元，散户资金净 流入1.82亿元。专业服务板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300416 苏试试验 | | -2822.41万 | 2.44% | 2789.80万 | 2.41% | -5612.21万 | -4.85% | | 920160 北矿检测 | | 1971.52万 | 11.60% | -69.45万 | -0.41% | -159.49万 | -0.94% | | 301632 广东建科 | | 1509.36万 | 11.11% | 880.82万 | 6.48% | ...

Core Viewpoint - Su Shi Testing is expected to achieve a year-on-year net profit growth of 7% to 16% in 2025, with Q4 net profit growth projected at 6% to 30%, indicating an upward performance trend driven by demand recovery in specialized industries and increased capacity in the integrated circuit sector [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's Q4 performance is accelerating due to sustained demand recovery in specialized industries, capacity release in the integrated circuit sector, and increased utilization rates in laboratory capacity, leading to profit margin recovery [1] - The net profit margin is entering a recovery phase as the peak of capital expenditure has passed, with an upward trend expected in 2026 [1] Group 2: Industry Focus - The company is deeply engaged in the aerospace sector, providing reliability testing and supporting equipment for satellite and rocket development and mass production [1] - The outlook for the company as a leader in environmental and reliability testing is positive, particularly in high-end sectors such as aerospace and semiconductors [1] Group 3: Valuation - The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 42, 32, and 25 times for the respective years [1] - The company maintains an "overweight" rating based on its growth prospects and industry positioning [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 250 to 270 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7% to 16% [2] - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 90 to 110 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6% to 30% [2] - The growth in performance is attributed to the recovery of demand in special industries, capacity release in the integrated circuit sector, and increased demand in aerospace [2] - The company is well-positioned in high-barrier testing sectors, with significant growth potential in aerospace, semiconductors, and new energy [4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,117 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.26% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 314.27 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.44% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.62 yuan [1] - The company anticipates a total revenue of 2,220 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 9.61% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is forecasted at 251.42 million yuan, indicating a growth of 9.59% [1] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.49 yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 250-270 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%-16% [2] - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 90-110 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6%-30% [2] - The growth in Q4 is attributed to the recovery in demand from special industries, capacity release in the integrated circuit sector, and increased demand in aerospace [2] - The company is well-positioned in high-barrier testing sectors, with significant growth potential in aerospace, semiconductors, and new energy [4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,117 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.26% [1] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 314.27 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.44% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.62 yuan [1] - The company anticipates a net profit of 251.42 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 9.59% [1] - The projected P/E ratio for 2025 is 42.44 [1] Industry Insights - The global commercial aerospace industry has entered a rapid development phase since 2024, becoming a significant growth driver for the company [3] - The company plans to invest at least 300 million yuan to establish a subsidiary in the Hangzhou Yunqi Town, focusing on high-end space environment simulation testing equipment [3] - The testing and inspection industry in China is expected to achieve a revenue of approximately 487.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 4% [4]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300572 | 安车检测 | 28.68 | -2.78% | 6.89万 | 266"T | | 920122 | 中纺标 | 35.89 | -2.29% | 1.87万 | 6805.49万 | | 300797 | 钢研纳克 | 18.53 | -1.17% | 9.63万 | 1.78亿 | | 920039 | 国义招标 | 12.65 | -1.17% | 2.64万 | 3368.72万 | | 301289 | 国绩检测 | 62.27 | -0.86% | 1.44万 | 8925.03万 | | 603183 | 建研院 | 4.68 | -0.85% | 7.85万 | 3664.02万 | | 003008 | 开普检测 | 24.04 | -0.50% | 2.13万 | 5133.90万 | | 603373 | 安邦护卫 | 40.75 | -0.24% | 9639.0 | 3917.72万 | | 301169 ...

Performance Forecast - The company has released a performance forecast for the year 2025, covering the period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025 [2] - The forecast is based on preliminary calculations by the company's finance department and has not been audited by an external auditor [7] Communication with Auditors - The company has communicated with its auditing firm regarding the performance forecast, and there are no significant discrepancies between the two parties [3] Reasons for Performance Changes - The company is focusing on its core business and aims for a dual-driven strategy, integrating manufacturing and service development. This approach is expected to enhance the reliability of industrial product quality and promote high-quality development [4] - In the testing equipment sector, the company is advancing technological innovation, focusing on products such as thermal vacuum, low pressure, hydraulic, and comprehensive testing equipment, particularly in aerospace, new energy, and electronics industries [4] - In the environmental and reliability testing services sector, the company is enhancing its testing capabilities based on market and customer needs, leveraging a one-stop service advantage to meet specialized testing demands in aerospace and new energy [4] - In the integrated circuit verification and analysis services sector, the semiconductor testing field is showing positive growth, with the company enhancing capacity layout and resource integration to optimize production capacity [4] Non-Recurring Gains and Losses - The impact of non-recurring gains and losses on net profit is expected to be 12 million, compared to 21.79 million in the same period last year [5]

Core Conclusion - By 2026, China's commercial aerospace industry is expected to reach a turning point in cost reduction for launch capacity, driven by the concentrated deployment of low Earth orbit (LEO) constellations and the normalization of high-frequency launches, with reusable rockets nearing breakthroughs in reducing unit launch costs. The industry's business model will shift from state-driven tasks to market-driven profitability, with a valuation logic transitioning towards "space infrastructure" as application scenarios and business models are restructured [3]. Market Outlook - 2026 is anticipated to be a prosperous year for China's commercial aerospace sector, with an accelerated pace of multi-constellation launches transitioning to large-scale deployment, leading to a rapid increase in rocket launch frequency. The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, corresponding to a CAGR of approximately 35.8%, primarily driven by high-frequency launch demand from dense deployment of LEO constellations [4][11]. - The industry is expected to maintain medium to long-term growth, with over 237,000 satellites needing to be deployed in accordance with ITU regulations by 2039. Starlink currently has over 9,000 satellites in orbit, and the demand for subsequent launches remains robust due to tightening frequency resources [4][11]. Cost Reduction Pathways - The essence of commercial rockets is a "space logistics" business, where core variables include efficiency improvements and cost reductions in launch capacity. Key pathways for cost reduction include breakthroughs in full-flow engine technology, high-frequency reuse capabilities, and industrialization in manufacturing [5]. - The unit cost of launching rockets is expected to decrease significantly through various stages: 1. Initial launch cost is approximately 55,000 yuan/kg 2. By around 2026, after achieving first-stage reuse, costs may drop to about 25,000 yuan/kg 3. Upgrading from aluminum to stainless steel structures could further reduce costs to approximately 19,000 yuan/kg 4. With the maturation of recovery methods, costs may decline to around 13,000 yuan/kg 5. Long-term, achieving second-stage reuse could bring costs close to 5,000 yuan/kg [5]. Industry Structure and Investment Opportunities - The commercial rocket industry is still in its early growth and valuation evolution phase. Key catalysts for valuation uplift in China's commercial aerospace sector include the realization of reusable rockets for large-scale LEO satellite networking and the transition from customized to standardized launches through long-term batch tasks [7][8]. - The valuation logic for commercial aerospace companies is shifting from manufacturing-oriented to platform and infrastructure-oriented technology enterprises, covering diverse long-term space mission needs such as manned flights and deep space exploration [8]. Key Players and Market Segments - The core technical barriers in rocket engines are concentrated in critical components such as thrust chambers and turbine pumps. The value in satellite manufacturing is primarily found in communication payloads [9]. - Key companies involved in the aerospace supply chain include: - Power Systems: Yingliu Co., Srey New Materials, Guoji Precision Engineering - Satellite Communication Systems: Shanghai Hantong, Aerospace Electronics, Guobo Electronics - Materials and Structural Components: Western Materials, Parker New Materials, Guoji Heavy Industry, Huazhuo High-Tech - Testing and Verification: Xicai Testing, Su Testing [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [1] Core Insights - The report concludes that 2026 will mark a turning point for China's commercial aerospace industry, with a shift from state-driven missions to market-driven profitability, driven by the deployment of low-orbit satellite constellations and advancements in reusable rocket technology [1][6] - The commercial rocket launch service market in China is projected to grow from 10.26 billion yuan in 2025 to 47.39 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 35.8% [1][12] - The report emphasizes that the core components of rocket launch services are engines (54%) and structural components (24%), which together account for 78% of the value in the launch service segment [1][12] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace industry is defined as activities that provide aerospace products and services through social capital investment under national policy guidance, including the R&D, manufacturing, launch, and operation of spacecraft and rockets [6][7] - The global aerospace economy is expected to reach $612 billion by 2024, with commercial aerospace revenues accounting for approximately $480 billion, representing about 78% of the total [6][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge as China enters a concentrated deployment phase for low-orbit satellite constellations, with over 200,000 satellites planned for deployment [18][19] - The report highlights that the competition for low-orbit frequency resources is intensifying, necessitating faster deployment of satellite constellations [19][21] Cost Structure and Efficiency - The report breaks down the cost structure of rockets, indicating that engines and structural components dominate the value chain [1][12] - It outlines a pathway for reducing launch costs, projecting that the unit cost of launching payloads could decrease significantly as technology advances [1][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in key segments such as propulsion systems, satellite communication systems, materials and structural components, and testing and validation services [2][4] - Specific companies to watch include 应流股份 (603308), 斯瑞新材 (688102), and 上海瀚讯 (300762), among others [2][4]