21世纪经济报道 记者 崔文静 实习生 张长荣 第五届21世纪金牌分析师评选榜单出炉。本届评选在设立33个行业分析师奖项的同时，特备设立8大特色奖项，旨在表彰在综合 影响力或关键战略研究方向上有突出贡献的机构与个人。 特色奖项包括"年度践行金融五篇大文章最佳研究机构""年度智库研究最佳机构""年度ESG研究最佳机构""年度海外研究最佳机 构""年度影响力券商研究所"五大机构奖项，以及面向个人的"年度影响力券商研究所所长""年度服务高质量发展最佳首席经济学 家""年度成长性分析师"三大个人奖项。 谁能在激烈角逐中脱颖而出？谁又将成为引领行业前行的标杆力量？ 今天，我们将要揭晓的是"年度服务高质量发展最佳首席经济学家"获奖榜单及上榜原因。 2025年度服务高质量发展最佳首席经济学家 2024年9月以来，多次参加中央部委、监管单位组织的形势分析座谈会，如国务院研究室、国家发改委、中国人民银行、财政 部、上交所、广东证监局等，就宏观经济、财政金融等提供决策建议，并受到全国人大财经委来函表彰。同时，积极在专业主 流媒体上就当前宏观经济形势及资本市场发展发表观点，发挥首席经济学家的示范引领作用。 （排名不分先后） 李迅雷 ...

Investment Ratings - Banking: Overweight (Maintain) [1] - Securities: Market Weight (Maintain) [1] - Insurance: Overweight (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - The financial indices for banks, securities, and insurance showed varied performance, with banks declining by 0.93%, securities increasing by 3.47%, and insurance rising by 15.61% as of December 18, 2025 [9] - The report highlights a trend of increasing social financing, with corporate bonds contributing significantly, while demand for loans from both residents and enterprises remains weak [43] - Regulatory changes in the insurance sector aim to encourage long-term investments and improve the competitive landscape for leading insurance companies [47] Summary by Sections Market Review - As of December 18, 2025, the banking index decreased by 0.93%, while the securities and insurance indices increased by 3.47% and 15.61%, respectively [9] - Xiamen Bank, Zhongyin Securities, and China Ping An were noted for their strong performance, with increases of 5.49%, 12.39%, and 16.99% [9] Valuation Situation - The banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 0.77, with state-owned banks at 0.83, joint-stock banks at 0.62, city commercial banks at 0.73, and rural commercial banks at 0.65 [20] - The securities sector's PB ratio is at 1.48, indicating potential for valuation recovery [22] Recent Market Indicators - The one-year Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) rate is 2.0%, with the one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) at 3.0% and 3.50%, respectively [27] - The average daily trading volume in A-shares was 17,440.20 billion, reflecting a decrease of 9.91% [33] Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the People's Bank of China issued a notice to support green finance for green factory construction [38] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized differentiated development paths for securities firms, encouraging mergers and resource integration for leading firms [45] Company Announcements - China Life reported total premiums exceeding 700 billion as of November 30, 2025 [41] - New China Life announced a 16% year-on-year increase in original premium income as of November 30, 2025 [41] Weekly Insights - The banking sector is advised to focus on regional banks with strong performance and stable earnings, such as Ningbo Bank and Chengdu Bank [44] - The securities sector should consider firms with restructuring potential and strong operational capabilities, including Zheshang Securities and CITIC Securities [46] - The insurance sector is encouraged to invest in companies with strong growth in new business value, such as China Pacific Insurance and Ping An [47]

Core Insights - The securities industry is experiencing a significant increase in monthly active users (MAU) for trading apps, reaching 172 million in November, a month-on-month growth of 2.06% [1] - Brokerages are leveraging AI tools to enhance service models and improve user experience amid increasing competition for customer acquisition [1][4] Group 1: User Growth and App Performance - In November, the total number of new accounts opened in the market was 2.5506 million, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.38% [2] - Eleven brokerage apps had monthly active users exceeding 6 million, with Huatai Securities and Guotai Junan leading at 11.8149 million and 10.1848 million respectively, both showing month-on-month growth of over 2% [2] - Smaller brokerages are also seeing significant growth in MAU, with Guojin Securities' app achieving the highest month-on-month growth rate of 9.58% [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape and Innovation - The competition among brokerages is intensifying, prompting rapid updates and innovations in mobile app functionalities [4] - AI has become a central focus for app updates, with features like AI dashboards and intelligent assistants being introduced to enhance user engagement and investment management [4][5] - The application of smart technology is expected to improve response efficiency and personalized service levels, aiding brokerages in transitioning to comprehensive wealth management service providers [5] Group 3: Future Trends and Strategic Directions - The integration of intelligent technology is becoming a standard in the securities industry, with a focus on enhancing professional service levels and creating value for investors [6] - Brokerages are encouraged to deepen the application of AI tools across core business functions to improve user retention and service quality [6] - Large institutions can leverage their resources to build comprehensive smart wealth management platforms, while smaller firms should focus on niche markets to establish competitive advantages [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" recommendations, focusing on comprehensive reforms to support technological innovation and meet diverse investor needs [1][4] - The development of direct financing methods such as equity and bonds is highlighted as a key measure to improve the capital market's functions and better serve high-tech enterprises and SMEs [1][2] - The implementation of reforms in the ChiNext and Sci-Tech Innovation Board is expected to enhance resource allocation efficiency towards strategic technology sectors, fostering economic innovation and providing investors with diverse investment opportunities [2][3] Group 2 - The cultivation of high-quality operating entities is crucial, with securities and fund management institutions playing an increasingly important role in the financial system and maintaining systemic risk prevention [2][3] - The capital market aims to accelerate the development of first-class investment banks and institutions, with a focus on differentiated regulation to support quality institutions while tightening oversight on problematic firms [3][4] - The ongoing expansion of institutional openness in the capital market includes removing foreign ownership limits and optimizing the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system to enhance global investor participation [4][5] Group 3 - The recent reforms are expected to lead to a threefold transformation in the capital market, improving market pricing efficiency, upgrading corporate governance, and establishing a virtuous cycle between domestic and international markets [5]

发布换股吸收合并预案后的第二天，中金公司、东兴证券、信达证券复牌后大涨并领涨行业个股，展现 出市场对于头部券商合并的向好预期。截至12月18日10时30分，3只个股仍维持涨超5%的态势。从股价 看，中金公司为36.76元/股，东兴证券和信达证券分别为14.44元/股和18.7元/股。在业内人士看来，券 商合并大幕拉开只是开始，凭借各方资源的有机结合，合并后公司的财务结构韧性有望增强。从行业角 度看，近年来头部券商并购潮兴起、行业洗牌加快，后续中大型券商进行战略重组可行性、必要性提 升。 从12月17日披露的预案来看，本次交易定价以各方董事会决议公告日前20个交易日均价作为基准价，吸 收合并方中金公司作为存续主体，换股价为36.91元/股，被吸收合并方东兴证券的换股价为16.14元/ 股，信达证券的换股价为19.15元/股。在业内人士看来，该交易方案充分体现了两家公司的资产价值， 并有利于平衡各方股东利益。 此外，为保护中小投资者权益，预案内容显示，中金公司A股及H股异议股东可行使收购请求权，东兴 证券与信达证券的异议股东享有现金选择权。此外，包括中央汇金、中国东方、中国信达在内的主要股 东已出具长期承诺，将其 ...

Core Insights - The securities industry is experiencing a significant increase in monthly active users (MAU) for trading apps, reaching 172 million in November, a month-on-month growth of 2.06% [1] - Brokerages are leveraging AI tools to enhance service models and improve user experience amid a competitive landscape for customer acquisition [4][5] Group 1: Monthly Active Users and Account Growth - In November, the total number of new accounts opened in the market was 2.5506 million, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.38% [2] - Eleven brokerage apps had monthly active users exceeding 6 million, with Huatai Securities and Guotai Junan leading at 11.8149 million and 10.1848 million respectively, both showing month-on-month growth of over 2% [2] - Smaller brokerages like Guojin Securities and Chengtong Securities achieved significant month-on-month growth rates of 9.58% and 4.61% respectively, despite having lower user volumes [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape and AI Integration - The competition among brokerages is intensifying, with a focus on mobile app functionality and service innovation, particularly through the integration of AI [4] - AI has become a central element in app updates, with features like "AI Dashboard" and AI-driven investment assistants being introduced to enhance user engagement and provide real-time market insights [4][5] - The application of intelligent technology is expected to improve response efficiency and personalized service levels, aiding brokerages in transitioning to comprehensive wealth management service providers [5][6] Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Directions - The ongoing evolution of financial technology positions intelligent solutions as a standard in the securities industry, with a focus on enhancing professional service levels and creating value for investors [6] - Large institutions are expected to leverage their resources to build comprehensive intelligent wealth management platforms, while smaller brokerages can focus on niche markets to establish competitive advantages [6]

Core Insights - The "2025 Annual Capital Market Outstanding Practitioners" ceremony was held on December 18 in Suzhou, revealing a comprehensive list of professionals across various fields in China's capital market [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The ceremony highlighted professionals in areas such as continuous support, innovative empowerment, merger integration, financing expansion, IPO guidance, and leadership [1] - The list of "Outstanding IPO Services" includes distinguished IPO lawyers, accountants, projects, and sponsoring representatives [1] Group 2: Notable Participants - Several law firms and professionals were recognized, including Shanghai Jintiancheng Law Firm and Beijing Deheng (Shenzhen) Law Firm [3][7] - Notable accounting firms mentioned include Lixin Certified Public Accountants and Zhonghui Certified Public Accountants [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Founder Securities indicates that AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group is expected to achieve 23 billion in related transactions over the next 26 years, with stable profitability maintained [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company has maintained steady growth in its performance for the first three quarters, with military aircraft tasks completed on schedule and civil aircraft products delivered as planned [1] - Projected net profits attributable to shareholders for the years 2025 to 2027 are estimated to be 1.131 billion, 1.321 billion, and 1.592 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.41, 0.47, and 0.57 [1] Group 2: Product Strength and Market Position - The company's military aircraft products are well-recognized, and its civil aircraft products have received high praise from customers, enhancing its brand image both domestically and internationally [1] - The company is actively involved in the development of new domestic large aircraft models, being selected as a supplier for key components of the C929 aircraft [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is expected to open up opportunities for military trade exports due to its strengthened market position and product recognition [1] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the years 2025 to 2027 are 59.14, 50.63, and 42.00 respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [1]

发布换股吸收合并预案后的第二天，中金公司、东兴证券、信达证券复牌后大涨，并领涨行业个股，展现出市场对于头部券商合并的向好预期。截至上午10 时30分，三只个股仍维持涨超5%的态势。股价来看，中金公司为36.76元/股，东兴证券和信达证券分别为14.44元/股和18.7元/股。在业内人士看来，券商合 并大幕正式拉开，这并不是结束，而是开始，凭借各方资源的有机结合，合并后公司的财务结构韧性有望增强。从行业角度看，近年来头部券商并购潮兴 起、行业洗牌加快，后续中大型券商进行战略重组可行性、必要性提升。 | ● 分时 日 周 月 季 年 1分 5分 30分 60分 30s ▼ 多周期 设置 | | H股 PK 简 九转 亮 笼 叠 加自选 ●▼ | | R | 中金 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 连续竞价① 中金公司 分时 均价: 37.29 最新: 36.72 张停价:38.38 38.38 | 重大事件 × | ● ● ● 足 另 用 用 ● | 10.00% | | | | ����������� | | | | | 36. 7 | | 37.83 | | ...

Group 1 - The successful launch of the Resource 3-04 satellite using the Long March 4B rocket marks a significant achievement in China's space industry, with plans for reusable rockets like the Tianlong 3 and Long March 12A to conduct their maiden flights between December 2025 and early 2026, potentially accelerating industry development [1] - Dongwu Securities highlights that recent breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology signify a shift towards "low-cost, high-reusability" in China's aerospace sector, which will benefit related industries such as aerospace manufacturing, new materials, and satellite applications in the short term, while positioning China as a strong player in the global aerospace landscape in the long term [1] - The commercial space industry in China is experiencing a dual boost from policy and technology, with the National Space Administration's action plan for 2025-2027 aiming for significant industry growth and efficient collaboration, alongside support for low-orbit satellites in the IoT sector [2] Group 2 - West Securities expresses optimism about the low-orbit satellite sector entering a growth phase, emphasizing that breakthroughs in rocket capacity are crucial for the commercial space industry's transformation, with new rockets like Zhuque 3 expected to facilitate large-scale industrialization [2] - The development of AI technology is enhancing spatial computing and satellite data processing capabilities, with advancements in large model capabilities showing promise in image recognition and remote sensing, potentially leading to real-time data analysis and decision-making in commercial space applications [3] - The satellite ETF from Guangfa has seen a strong performance, with a 4.76% increase in the China Satellite Industry Index and a cumulative rebound of over 24% since November 21, indicating positive market sentiment towards satellite-related stocks [3][4] Group 3 - The China Satellite Industry Index focuses on the upstream satellite industry, comprising 50 listed companies involved in satellite manufacturing, launching, communication, navigation, and remote sensing, reflecting the core competitiveness and overall development of China's satellite industry [4] - The index includes key players in various segments: upstream satellite manufacturing and launching (e.g., Aerospace Electronics, China Satellite), midstream ground equipment and operations (e.g., China Satellite, China Satcom), and downstream application services (e.g., China Satcom, Zhongke Xingtou) [4]