1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The economy shows mixed trends with some indicators improving and others weakening. Gold prices reach new highs, while oil prices decline due to potential supply increases. The bond market has complex dynamics, and the stock market is segmented. [1][4][9] - The paper industry's prices are rising due to raw material cost increases, and the coal - coking - steel - mining market is expected to have a positive trend in September. [2][7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Data - GDP in Q2 2025 had a year - on - year growth of 5.2%, slightly lower than the previous quarter's 5.4% but higher than the same period last year's 4.7%. [1] - In August 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, up from 49.3% in the previous month and 49.1% last year. The non - manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, up from 50.1% in the previous month and the same as last year. [1] - In July 2025, social financing scale increment was 11320 billion yuan, down from 42251 billion yuan in the previous month but higher than 7707 billion yuan last year. [1] - In July 2025, M0, M1, and M2 year - on - year growth rates were 11.8%, 5.6%, and 8.8% respectively. M1 and M2 growth accelerated compared to the previous month and last year, while M0 growth slowed slightly. [1] - In July 2025, CPI year - on - year was 0.0%, down from 0.1% in the previous month and 0.5% last year. PPI year - on - year was - 3.6%, the same as the previous month but lower than - 0.8% last year. [1] - In July 2025, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) cumulative year - on - year growth was 1.6%, down from 2.8% in the previous month and 3.6% last year. Social consumer goods retail cumulative year - on - year growth was 4.8%, down from 5.0% in the previous month but higher than 3.5% last year. [1] - In July 2025, export and import year - on - year growth were 7.2% and 4.1% respectively, both showing an upward trend compared to the previous month. [1] Commodity Investment Comprehensive - From September 5, 2025, the Shanghai Gold Exchange will adjust the margin levels and price limit ranges for multiple gold and silver contracts. [2] - The London Metal Exchange postponed its Asian opening on a Wednesday by 90 minutes without stating a reason. [2] - Major paper mills announced price increases in early September due to rising raw material costs, and the industry's supply - demand situation is expected to improve in the second half of the year. [2] - China imposed anti - dumping duties on certain optical fibers imported from the US, with different tax rates for different companies. [3] - China's August S&P Global services PMI was 53, and the composite PMI was 51.9, both higher than the previous month. [3] Metals - Gold prices reached new highs on September 3, 2025, with London Gold Spot and COMEX Gold hitting record levels, and domestic gold prices also rising. [4] - The World Gold Council is seeking to introduce digital gold, which may transform the London gold market. [5] - Nickel and tin inventories increased on September 2, 2025, while lead and zinc inventories decreased. [6] - Citi adjusted its price forecasts for silver, aluminum, and copper, expressing optimism about copper prices. [6] Coal - Coking - Steel - Mining - Since July 2025, steel prices have recovered, and upstream coking coal and coke prices have risen significantly. The steel market in September may see an upward trend. [7] - Shaanxi has made achievements in mineral exploration during the "14th Five - Year Plan" period, exceeding the national targets. [8] - The EU is working on new steel and aluminum safeguard measures after 2026. [8] Energy and Chemicals - On September 3, 2025, international oil prices declined due to potential OPEC+ production increases, an unexpected increase in US API crude inventories, and reduced geopolitical concerns. [9] - OPEC's August oil production increased by 400,000 barrels per day. [10] - Russia's September oil exports from western ports are expected to decline by 6% compared to August. [10] - Colombia's July oil production decreased by 4.8% year - on - year. [10] - Citi slightly lowered its 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast. [10] Agricultural Products - India's August soybean oil imports decreased by 28% month - on - month, while palm oil imports increased by 16%. [11] - Argentina's August agricultural product export revenue decreased by 25% year - on - year. [11] - Malaysia's August palm oil exports increased by 10.22% month - on - month. [12] Financial News Open Market - On September 3, 2025, the central bank conducted 229.1 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net withdrawal of 150.8 billion yuan. [13] Key News - The joint working group of the Ministry of Finance and the central bank discussed issues related to the bond market and aims to promote its stable development. [14] - Since the implementation of the "science and technology board" policy in the bond market, the issuance of science and technology innovation bonds has accelerated, with a total issuance scale exceeding 1.02 trillion yuan since May. [14] - Tianjin's first private technology enterprise science and technology innovation bond was successfully issued. [14] - The China - SCO Digital Economy Cooperation Platform was inaugurated in Tianjin. [15] - 12 provinces have raised their minimum wage standards this year, and all 31 provinces' highest - grade monthly minimum wage standards exceed 2000 yuan. [16] - Shanghai's "Six Measures" for the property market have had a positive initial impact, and the market is expected to recover. [16] - In 2024, the total issuance of green and sustainable debt in Hong Kong reached 84.4 billion US dollars, and the HKMA is researching the application of tokenization technology in sustainable finance. [17] - The global long - term treasury bond sell - off intensifies, with yields rising in many countries. [17] - There were corporate events such as leadership changes, name changes, and bond redemptions in the corporate bond market. [18] - Some companies' credit ratings were confirmed or adjusted by international rating agencies. [18] Bond Market Review - The bond market was positive on September 3, 2025, with yields of major interest - rate bonds in the inter - bank market falling, and treasury bond futures rising. [19] - The currency market interest rates showed mixed trends, and some short - term Shibor rates reached new lows. [20] - The winning bid yields and multiples of some financial bonds and treasury bonds were announced. [21] - Repurchase fixed - rate and inter - bank repurchase fixed - rate showed different trends, and European and US bond yields generally declined. [22] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on September 3, 2025, while the RMB central parity rate was depreciated. The US dollar index declined, and most non - US currencies rose. [23] Research Report Highlights - Xingzheng Fixed Income believes that the yields and credit spreads of bank secondary and perpetual bonds are at relatively high levels since 2021, and the long - end US bond yields may rise. [24] - Huatai Fixed Income reports that "fixed income +" products have experienced large - scale redemptions, affecting the stock - bond relationship. [25] - Xingzheng Fixed Income also points out that the PMI in August shows some improvements, but the bond market may be affected by the equity market. [25] Stock Market - The A - share market was segmented on September 3, 2025, with the ChiNext Index rising, and the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index falling. The market turnover decreased. [27] - The Hong Kong stock market declined, with financial and consumer sectors falling and pharmaceutical stocks rising. Southbound funds had a large - scale net inflow, and Alibaba was significantly added. [28] - Southbound funds' net inflow to the Hong Kong stock market reached a record high this year, and most Hong Kong - Stock Connect stocks' shareholdings increased. [28] - 41 brokerages have completed their September golden stock recommendations, and they are generally optimistic about the A - share market. [28] - Since August, institutions have actively investigated North Exchange listed companies. [29]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - This year, credit bond ETFs have attracted significant market attention, with active institutional trading and a structural rush to buy related index constituent bonds. Thirteen fund companies have collectively submitted applications for the second batch of Sci - tech Bond ETFs, which are expected to be listed in September. It is worth paying attention to the risks and opportunities of the related index constituent bonds [1][10]. - The short - term risk of significant over - decline of the Sci - tech Bond ETF index constituent bonds is relatively small. The new batch of Sci - tech Bond ETFs will bring new allocation funds, and the supply growth momentum has slowed down. After the second - batch listing, the excess spread of constituent bonds is unlikely to return to the high level in the first half of the year. The excess spread of constituent bonds is expected to further compress, but the space is limited. Some individual bonds' structural opportunities can be focused on [5][44][45]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Sci - tech Bond ETF and Related Constituent Bonds' Recent Market Performance - **Discount status**: Since mid - to late July, Sci - tech Bond ETFs have been in a discount state, with the discount rate mainly between 0.05% - 0.4%. Although there was some repair in early August and late August when the bond market sentiment improved marginally, they have not turned into a premium state. Similar ETFs also experienced discounts during previous bond market adjustments and then recovered [2][11]. - **Differentiated performance of short - term and long - term constituent bonds**: The excess spreads of 3 - year - within and 3 - 5 - year constituent bonds fluctuate with the bond market, with a larger amplitude than the same - term and same - grade medium - term notes. Currently, they are about 2 - 3BP higher than the previous low on average. The excess spread of over - 5 - year constituent bonds continued to narrow in August, but there was a catch - up decline at the end of the month. There is a need to pay attention to the possibility of further catch - up decline [3][14][16]. - **Adjustment amplitude comparison**: The recent adjustment amplitude of the underlying constituent bonds of the benchmark - making credit bond ETF index is slightly larger than that of the Sci - tech Bond ETF index constituent bonds. This may be due to the better liquidity of benchmark - making credit bond varieties and the fact that the listing of Sci - tech Bond ETFs has squeezed the allocation demand for benchmark - making credit bond ETFs to some extent [3][30]. 3.2 Recent Supply - Demand Structure of Index Constituent Bonds - **Supply side**: Since the introduction of the new Sci - tech Bond policy in May, the issuance of Sci - tech Bonds has been booming, and the scale has increased significantly. Although the recent issuance scale has declined, it remains at a relatively high level. As of the end of August, the balance of the constituent bonds of the CSI AAA Sci - tech Bond index was close to 1.25 trillion yuan, an increase of nearly 277.8 billion yuan compared to the end of April [32]. - **Demand side**: After the listing of Sci - tech Bond ETFs, the scale expanded rapidly, but the recent growth rate has been relatively flat. This may be because the yield of index constituent bonds has declined rapidly, reducing their cost - effectiveness, and the secondary - market credit ETFs are in a discount state during the recent bond market adjustment, weakening the primary - market subscription sentiment [4][35]. 3.3 Opportunities and Risks of Related Index Constituent Bonds after the Application for the Second Batch of Sci - tech Bond ETFs - **Tracking index types**: The second - batch Sci - tech Bond ETFs mainly track the CSI AAA, Shanghai Stock Exchange AAA, and Shenzhen Stock Exchange AAA Sci - tech Bond indexes, with 9, 3, and 1 fund respectively [39]. - **Expected listing time**: If referring to the application - approval process of the first batch, the second batch of Sci - tech Bond ETFs is expected to be issued and listed in September [41][43]. - **Opportunities and risks**: The short - term risk of significant over - decline of the index constituent bonds is small. The excess spread of constituent bonds is expected to further compress, but the space is limited. Attention can be paid to individual bonds with relatively high excess spread levels and large recent declines to seek potential excess returns [5][44][45].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year decline of 3.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.7 billion yuan, down 17.0% year-on-year [2][4]. - The overall revenue for the first half of 2025 was 56.6 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.36% decrease compared to the previous year, with a net profit of 25.0 billion yuan, down 7.56% year-on-year [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In Q2 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline primarily due to the exclusion of the Bozhou-Fu expressway, leading to a total revenue of 28.6 billion yuan [4]. - The operating costs increased by 6.8% year-on-year to 19.6 billion yuan, which negatively impacted profitability, resulting in a gross profit of 9.0 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year [8]. Traffic Volume and Cost Impact - The traffic volume for freight showed signs of recovery, with a 2.7% increase in Q2 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 [8]. - The company’s various operational segments reported mixed results, with the investment operation segment and traffic technology segment seeing declines in gross margins [8]. Investment Income and Expense Management - Investment income for Q2 2025 was recorded at 11.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.7% year-on-year, influenced by traffic volume fluctuations and the integration of other expressway companies [8]. - The company successfully reduced its period expenses to 6.0 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 4.9% year-on-year, which provided some support to overall performance [8]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading highway operator with strong growth potential, supported by acquisitions and a robust operational background [8]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 55.0 billion yuan, 60.5 billion yuan, and 62.6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12.9, 11.7, and 11.3 [8].

Group 1: Highway Industry - The highway sector's toll revenue showed slight differentiation in H1 2025, with a total of 27.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7% [1] - The overall net profit growth rate for the highway industry in H1 2025 was 3.1%, with notable performers including Shenzhen Expressway (+24%) and Guangdong Expressway A (+23.6%) [1] - The current dividend yields for major highway companies are led by Sichuan Chengyu (5.1%) and Shandong Expressway (4.6%) [2] Group 2: Port Industry - The national port cargo throughput maintained steady growth in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, and container throughput grew by 6.9% [3] - The port industry achieved a net profit of 21.82 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.7% [3] - Major cargo types showed varied growth rates, with container throughput increasing by 7.7% and coal decreasing by 1.8% [3] Group 3: Railway Industry - The Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway reported a net profit of 6.316 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight decline of 0.64% year-on-year [4] - The Daqin Railway experienced a significant net profit drop of 29.82% in H1 2025, primarily due to decreased transport volume [4] - The current dividend yields for railway companies are led by Daqin Railway (4.3%) and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (2.2%) [4]

Performance Summary - In 1H2025, the company reported operating revenue of 5.66 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.504 billion, down 7.6% [1] - In 2Q2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.86 billion, a decline of 3.5%, and a net profit of 1.18 billion, down 17.0% [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to the exit of the Bo-Fu Expressway and the impact of road diversion and differentiated toll policies [1] Financial Metrics - The company's gross margin decreased to 34.0%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The expense ratio for 1H2025 was 20.65%, a decrease of 1.09 percentage points, with sales expenses increasing slightly by 0.05 percentage points [2] - Investment income rose to 2.35 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.27 [2] Business Development - The company continues to develop its core highway investment and operation business, completing the capital increase for the Zhejiang Zhijiang project, adding 135.3 kilometers of managed mileage [2] - The company is actively promoting the renovation and expansion of existing projects and enhancing its light asset platform operations [2] - The company plans to reduce its stake in Wantong Expressway by up to 51.258 million shares, which may enhance profits [3] Profit Forecast - The company maintains its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 at 5.73 billion, 6.25 billion, and 6.73 billion respectively [4]

Group 1 - Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited (00548.HK) was increased by China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited on September 1, 2025, acquiring 1,084,000 shares at an average price of HKD 7.194 per share, totaling approximately HKD 7.7983 million [1][2] - Following the acquisition, China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited's total shareholding increased to 128,108,000 shares, raising its ownership percentage from 16.99% to 17.14% [1][2]

Group 1 - Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited (00548.HK) received an increase in shareholding from China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited on September 1, 2025, with an average purchase price of HKD 7.194 per share for 1,084,000 shares, totaling approximately HKD 7.7983 million [1] - Following the acquisition, China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited's total shareholding increased to 128,108,000 shares, raising its ownership percentage from 16.99% to 17.14% [1]

Group 1 - The core announcement is that China Merchants Highway has repurchased a total of 23,521,768 shares through a dedicated repurchase account via centralized bidding, which represents 0.344877% of the company's total share capital as of August 31, 2025 [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited has increased its stake in Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited by acquiring 1.084 million shares at a price of HKD 7.194 per share, totaling approximately HKD 7.7983 million [1] - After the acquisition, the total number of shares held by China Merchants Highway Network is approximately 128 million, representing a holding percentage of 17.14% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported that China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited increased its stake in Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited by acquiring 1.084 million shares at a price of HKD 7.194 per share, totaling approximately HKD 7.7983 million, resulting in a new holding of about 128 million shares, representing 17.14% ownership [1] Company Summary - China Merchants Highway Network Technology Holdings Company Limited has increased its shareholding in Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited [1] - The acquisition involved purchasing 1.084 million shares at a price of HKD 7.194 each [1] - The total investment for this acquisition was approximately HKD 7.7983 million [1] - Following the acquisition, the total number of shares held by China Merchants Highway Network is approximately 128 million, equating to a 17.14% ownership stake in Shenzhen Expressway [1]