Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on industry leaders with low valuations, particularly China Chemical [1][3]. Core Viewpoints - The construction and building materials industry is currently at the bottom of its economic cycle, with expectations for stabilization and recovery due to supportive government policies [1][2]. - Recent government meetings emphasized the need for high-quality investment and the activation of private investment, which could enhance the industry's outlook [1]. - The report highlights the recent approval of two coal-to-natural gas projects in Xinjiang, marking a significant step towards low-carbon and clean development in the coal chemical industry [1]. Market Overview - As of August 1, 2025, the newly issued local government special bonds amounted to 183.204 billion yuan, a week-on-week decrease of 10.82% [2]. - In July, the total new local government special bonds issued reached 616.936 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 17.04% and a year-on-year increase of 119.18% [2]. - The construction index fell by 2.51% and the building materials index fell by 3.32% during the week of July 28 to August 1, 2025 [10]. Cement Market Analysis - National cement prices continued to decline, with a week-on-week drop of 0.3% as of August 1, 2025 [41]. - The average national cement price was 339.7 yuan per ton, with significant regional variations [46]. - The report anticipates a stabilization in cement prices in the short term, despite current demand not showing significant improvement [41]. Company Performance and Valuation - The report strongly recommends focusing on major construction blue-chip stocks such as China Communications Construction, China Railway Construction, and China State Construction [3]. - The construction sector's overall valuation is at a historical low, with the current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the construction and building materials sectors at 8.72 and 19.67, respectively [18]. - Key companies in the construction sector are experiencing varying growth rates in new orders, with China Railway Construction showing a decline in order growth in recent quarters [63].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" trend is driving quality upgrades in the industry, emphasizing investment opportunities in specialized engineering companies. This trend is expected to improve corporate profitability and increase capital expenditures in green and low-carbon transformations, benefiting specialized engineering firms [1][19][32] - The government is focusing on innovation-driven and green transformation, which is broader than the supply-side structural reforms of 2015. This includes enhancing industry self-discipline and optimizing supply structures through technological upgrades [2][13] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The construction index fell by 2.5% in the week of July 28 to August 1, underperforming the broader market by 1.3 percentage points. Only the architectural design and services sub-sector maintained an upward trend, with notable individual stock gains [4][26] Investment Recommendations - Key investment opportunities include: 1. Cement Engineering: China National Materials (high dividend cement engineering leader, expected dividend yield over 5% in 2025) [19] 2. Metallurgical Engineering: China Steel International (low-carbon metallurgical engineering leader, expected dividend yield of 5.5% in 2025) [19] 3. Steel Structure Manufacturing: Honglu Steel Structure, Jinggong Steel Structure [19] 4. Chemical Engineering: China Chemical, Sanwei Chemical, Donghua Technology, benefiting from rising chemical product prices [19] Key Indicators - As of August 1, 2025, the cement shipment rate was 30%, down 13 percentage points from the previous week, while the asphalt plant operating rate was 33.1%, up 4.3 percentage points [3][20] Structural Changes and Opportunities - The report highlights the importance of focusing on infrastructure investments in regions with high demand, such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu, and recommends local state-owned enterprises and central enterprises involved in major infrastructure projects [32][35] Emerging Trends - The report suggests that the nuclear power sector remains highly attractive, with ongoing investments, and highlights the potential of AI and digital technologies in transforming traditional industries [34][36] Specialized Engineering Investment Targets - The report lists specific companies in specialized engineering fields, including: - China National Materials (Cement) - China Steel International (Metallurgy) - Honglu Steel Structure (Steel Structure) - China Chemical (Chemicals) [20] Conclusion - The overall sentiment is positive towards the construction and specialized engineering sectors, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing industry quality and profitability through technological and structural upgrades [1][19][32]

Core Viewpoint - China Communications Construction Company (601800.SH) has announced that as of July 31, 2025, it has not repurchased any shares [1] Summary by Category - Company Information - The company has not engaged in any share repurchase activities up to the specified date [1] - Financial Performance - No financial data or performance metrics related to share repurchase were provided in the announcement [1] - Market Implications - The lack of share repurchase may indicate the company's current strategy or financial position, but no specific market implications were discussed [1]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.37%, while the Shanghai Urban Infrastructure Index fell by 0.46%, closing at 1237.37 points with a trading volume of 20.049 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Urban Infrastructure Index has increased by 6.04% over the past month and 6.76% over the past three months, but has declined by 1.59% year-to-date [2] - The index series reflects the performance of listed companies influenced by changes in economic and consumption structures, focusing on themes such as intensive, intelligent, and green low-carbon development [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai Urban Infrastructure Index include China State Construction (9.44%), China Railway (6.99%), and Poly Development (6.86%) [2] - The index is composed entirely of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with the industrial sector accounting for 57.81%, real estate for 31.30%, and materials for 10.90% [3] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Communications Construction Company (CCCC) announced that as of July 31, 2025, it has not repurchased any shares [2] Summary by Category - **Company Announcement** - CCCC released a statement on August 1, indicating that there have been no share repurchases to date [2]

Core Insights - The construction industry is expected to outperform the market in the second half of 2025, driven by improvements in asset quality and a potential recovery in demand [1][4] - Downstream demand remains weak, leading to accelerated balance sheet contraction among construction companies [1][4] - Infrastructure investment is anticipated to become a key driver for expanding domestic demand and stabilizing growth [3][4] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the total contract amount for new projects in the construction industry reached 25 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, although still significantly lower than levels in 2022-2023 [1][30] - The industry is experiencing a decline in new orders and revenue, but signs of a profitability turning point are emerging as some local construction companies accelerate the collection of receivables and repay existing debts [1][4] Inventory Cycle Perspective - The construction industry is nearing the end of a "passive inventory replenishment" phase, characterized by a lagged response of inventory fluctuations to changes in downstream demand [2][77] - Since 2021, the industry has entered a phase of passive inventory accumulation due to prolonged project repayment cycles and a concentration of PPP projects transitioning to operational phases [2][82] Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment is seen as a critical measure to expand domestic demand and stabilize economic growth, especially in light of pressures on price indicators and the need for effective investment [3][4] - The government is expected to increase fiscal support for infrastructure projects, particularly in areas related to public welfare and energy security [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook for the construction sector in the second half of 2025, suggesting that asset quality improvements will align with demand recovery [4] - Recommended stocks include Yaxiang Integration, Zhongyan Dadi, China Railway Construction, and others, which are expected to benefit from the anticipated recovery in infrastructure investment [4][8]

证券代码：601800 证券简称：中国交建 公告编号：2025-046 中国交通建设股份有限公司 关于股份回购进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2025 年 5 月 | 31 | 日 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 回购方案实施期限 | 2025 年 6 月 | 17 | 日—2026 | 年 | 6 月 | 16 | 日 | | 预计回购金额 | 不低于人民币 | | | 5亿元，不超过人民币 | | | 10亿元 | | 回购用途 | √减少注册资本 □用于员工持股计划或股权激励 □用于转换公司可转债 | | | | | | | | | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 | | | | | | | | 累计已回购股数 | 0股 | | | | | | | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 | 0% | | | | | | | | 累计已回购金额 | 0元 | | | | | ...

本次大会主旨报告环节聚焦政策引领与技术实践。福建省交通运输厅二级巡视员胡玉库解读交通物流降 本政策，提出以数据要素赋能推动物流基础设施优化与多式联运协同发展，推进多项重点工作，形成大 宗货物及集装箱中长距离运输以铁路和水路为主的格局。 福建省大数据集团党委副书记、总经理张文洋分享了集团在"数据要素×交通物流"方面的探索成果。集 团常态化开展交通运输行业数据汇聚、治理和共享工作，已汇聚多个系统的大量数据。其建设运营 的"数运通"平台，支撑相关部门对网络货运企业进行业务真实性核验管理，推动解决行业痛点。同时， 集团正加快打造算力资源公共服务平台和全省算力一张网，已建设算力规模2125P。 交通运输部科学研究院副院长兼总工程师王先进立足网络货运新业态发展趋势，指出网络货运平台作为 交通物流新质生产力，对构建统一开放的交通运输市场、促进降本提质增效、助力绿色低碳转型和支撑 实体经济创新发展具有重要作用。其高质量发展需要相关方健全数据联通规则，加强数据供需对接，共 建供应链综合服务系统。 大咖分享：多维场景集中亮相 转自：新华财经 7月30日，福建省物流人工智能数据供需对接会在福州举行。此次大会以"数智融合 物通八方— ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) as a leading player in the packaged water and beverage sector, emphasizing its sustainable growth driven by long-term management and strong channel barriers [7][9] - Since its IPO, Nongfu Spring has maintained a valuation average of 40x, indicating a significant premium due to its market leadership and growth potential in the packaged water and sugar-free tea segments [7][9] - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure and efficient management, which contributes to its competitive advantage in the beverage market [7] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The packaged water market is projected to grow, with a scale of 247 billion in 2024, driven by large packaging and bulk sales, indicating a continued mid-single-digit growth rate [8] - The soft drink sector is evolving, with Nongfu Spring positioned well to capitalize on the shift towards healthier, low-sugar beverages, enhancing its profitability over time [8][9] - The report notes that the competitive landscape is characterized by strong channel foundations and product endorsements, which Nongfu Spring has effectively leveraged to lead industry upgrades [9] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Nongfu Spring are set at 50.1 billion, 56.8 billion, and 63.2 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 14.79 billion, 16.97 billion, and 18.99 billion, reflecting growth rates of 22.0%, 14.7%, and 11.9% [9] - The expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.32, 1.51, and 1.69 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 33, 29, and 26 [9] - The report assigns a target price range of 56.65 to 59.48 HKD for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 20% to 26% from the current stock price [9] Group 4: Industry Insights - The tungsten industry is highlighted as a strategic sector with supply constraints, where the first batch of mining quotas for 2025 is expected to decrease by 6.45% [15][16] - Demand for tungsten is anticipated to grow, particularly in the new energy vehicle and military sectors, supported by projects like the Yaxia project, which opens long-term market opportunities [17] - The report estimates a tungsten supply-demand gap of approximately 2,919 tons in 2025, suggesting that tungsten prices are likely to continue rising [18]

风险提示：投资有风险，入市需谨慎。 近日交通运输部约谈了中国交通建设集团有限公司及其子公司中交第二航务工程局有限公司。约谈指 出，今年以来中交集团在公路工程建设领域事故多发，要求企业深刻汲取事故教训，切实做好安全生产 工作。约谈强调要重点防范思想认识不到位、项目管理不到位等带来的安全风险，坚决遏制事故多发态 势。 2025年7月30日，中国交建主力资金净流出3232.96万元。 截至2025年7月30日收盘，中国交建股价报9.34元，较前一交易日下跌0.64%。当日成交量为46.33万 手，成交金额达4.35亿元。 中国交建是全球领先的特大型基础设施综合服务商，主要从事交通基础设施的投资建设运营、装备制 造、城市综合开发等业务。公司拥有60多家全资及控股子公司，在工程建设领域具有重要地位。 ...