来源 | 《财经》杂志 作者 | 《财经》记者 凌馨 编辑 | 王小 超跌之后的估值回归，是造就"X倍股"的最大因素 中国医药股领涨全球的2025年，涨幅最高的个股有哪些？ 香港市场，涌现出一批"三倍股""四倍股"，甚至"十倍股"，其中，有因产品海外授权交易声名鹊起的和铂医药、荣昌生物，也有2025年踩中了港股医药热点 的"打新宠儿"，还有一批，是经历了上一轮寒冬后，终于等来投资市场春天的老牌未盈利药企。 北海康成曾是"中国罕见病第一股"。它的产品，都是治疗普通人几乎没听说过的病。已经上市的两款产品，分别用于治疗黏多糖贮积症Ⅱ型、阿拉杰里综合 征以及进行性家族性胆汁淤积症。 因为主要针对罕见病市场，北海康成的产品市场都很小。2021年就在中国市场推出的首款产品，是用于治疗黏多糖贮积症Ⅱ型，至2024年末，共识别出843 名患者。另一款已上市产品，识别患者数为839名。 理论上，罕见病用药单价高，还可以享受药审、医保的各种政策倾斜，实际上，北海康成多年来仍处于亏损状态。2024年，全年收入8510.3万元，亏损金额 4.43亿元。截至2024年末，公司流动性资产4535.2万元，流动性负债4.826亿元。 北海 ...

Core Viewpoint - The keyword for the stock market in 2025 is expected to be "innovative drugs," with significant stock price increases driven by the potential of in-development innovative drugs and BD (business development) transactions rather than traditional revenue from already marketed drugs [1] Group 1: BD Transactions - In 2025, China's innovative drug BD transaction total exceeded $100 billion, with notable orders reaching $10 billion, and upfront payments from multinational pharmaceutical companies reaching a new high of $1.25 billion [1] - Landmark transactions include a $13 billion collaboration between Qihuang Dejian and Biohaven/AimedBio in January, marking a milestone for China's ADC technology [2] - In May, 3SBio's deal with Pfizer exceeded $6 billion, setting a record for upfront payments in China at $1.25 billion, highlighting the value of both first-in-class and fast-follow drugs [2] - In July, a $12 billion strategic partnership between Hengrui Medicine and GlaxoSmithKline showcased the depth of early-stage pipelines in leading Chinese pharmaceutical companies [2] - In October, Innovent Biologics and Takeda's collaboration worth $11.4 billion included a cost-sharing model for global R&D, enhancing operational capabilities for future international ventures [2] Group 2: Milestone Payments and Emerging Fields - Several past BD transactions reached milestone payments in 2025, including a $300 million payment to China National Pharmaceutical's subsidiary from Merck and a $250 million payment to Bairui Tianheng from Bristol-Myers Squibb [3] - The focus of BD transactions is shifting from oncology to other therapeutic areas, with autoimmune diseases, metabolism, and central nervous system disorders emerging as new hot fields [3] - Notable deals include the global rights licensing of BTK inhibitor Orelabrutinib for multiple sclerosis by Nocera Biopharma, with a potential total transaction value exceeding $2 billion [3] - The metabolic field is gaining traction, driven by global weight loss trends, with several companies entering into licensing agreements for GLP-1 targeted drugs [3] Group 3: Independent Clinical Trials and Regulatory Approvals - Numerous innovative drug companies in China are advancing their own overseas clinical trials, achieving significant progress [4] - In early 2025, Dize Pharmaceutical's lung cancer targeted drug received priority review from the FDA and was approved in July, becoming the first globally innovative drug independently developed in China to gain approval in the U.S. [4] - Other advancements include breakthrough therapy designations for CS0159 by Kexi Kedi and a Phase III trial approval for a recombinant human albumin injection by Heyuan Biopharma [4] - These developments indicate that the Chinese innovative drug industry is becoming a significant force in global innovation, transitioning from fast-following to original innovation and integrating deeply into the global value chain [4]

阿斯利康 图源：时代财经张羽岐摄 在被带走配合调查逾一年后，阿斯利康（AZN.US）中国区前"一号人物"王磊涉骗保和走私案又有新进展。 2月12日，据媒体消息，阿斯利康前全球执行副总裁、国际业务主席及中国区总裁王磊（Leon Wang）被中国官方正式提起公诉。目前，阿斯利康方面已 向媒体证实了针对王磊的起诉书内容。 市场消息显示，指控具体案由为非法进口药物、非法收集个人信息和医疗保险欺诈。 2月12日，时代财经就上述消息的真实性及公司是否有进一步信息披露等问题采访阿斯利康方面，截至发稿暂无任何回复。 在最新披露的年报中，阿斯利康也对外表示，2025年11月，深圳市检察院完成审查，阿斯利康中国、阿斯利康一名前执行副总裁和一名前高级员工因涉嫌 非法收集个人信息、非法贸易、医保欺诈，正面临正式刑事指控。 阿斯利康并未在年报中披露涉案人员的具体姓名，但经多家媒体证实，年报中"前执行副总裁"所指的正是王磊。 阿斯利康表示，这两名前员工将在深圳市中级人民法院受审，开庭日期暂未确定。 从传奇人物到阶下囚 从2024年10月底因涉案被调查开始，王磊，这位与阿斯利康中国区紧密捆绑的高管话题不断，属于他的时代也在风波中骤然落幕。 ...

Core Insights - Major multinational pharmaceutical companies are showing robust revenue growth and increased sales of core products as they release their 2025 performance results [1][2] - Johnson & Johnson leads with nearly $94.2 billion in revenue, while Eli Lilly's weight loss drug, tirzepatide, shows a remarkable 45% year-over-year growth [1][2] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Johnson & Johnson reported total revenue of $94.193 billion for 2025, marking a 6% increase year-over-year [2] - Roche follows with revenue of $74.428 billion, while Eli Lilly, Merck, Pfizer, and AbbVie each exceeded $60 billion in revenue [2] - Eli Lilly's revenue reached $65.179 billion, a 44.7% increase, driven by strong sales of tirzepatide, which generated $36.5 billion [6] Group 2: Product Performance - Johnson & Johnson's innovative pharmaceuticals and medical technology segments both achieved revenue growth, with $60.401 billion and $33.792 billion respectively, both up by approximately 6% [2] - The CAR-T therapy, ciltacabtagene autoleucel, contributed significantly to Johnson & Johnson's growth, with revenue of $1.887 billion, a 95.9% increase [2] - Eli Lilly's tirzepatide sales reached $36.5 billion, with the weight loss version generating $13.542 billion, a 175% increase [6] Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - The pharmaceutical industry faces a looming "patent cliff," with an estimated $236 billion in revenue at risk from patent expirations between 2025 and 2030 [8] - Companies are increasingly engaging in business development transactions to replenish their R&D pipelines, with Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies gaining prominence [8][9] - In 2025, Chinese companies achieved record-breaking business development deals, totaling $135.655 billion, with significant collaborations involving major multinational firms [9]

Core Insights - AstraZeneca reported a total revenue of $58.739 billion for FY 2025, reflecting an 8% increase year-over-year, with China contributing $6.654 billion, a 4% increase, representing 11% of AstraZeneca's global market share [2][5]. Financial Performance - The five major business segments contributed as follows: Oncology ($25.619 billion, +14%), CVRM ($12.861 billion, +2%), Rare Diseases ($9.126 billion, +4%), Respiratory & Immunology ($8.866 billion, +12%), and Vaccines & Immune Therapies ($1.268 billion, -14%) [5][6]. - Notable products in the oncology segment included Tagrisso ($7.254 billion, +10%), Imfinzi ($6.063 billion, +28%), Calquence ($3.518 billion, +12%), and Lynparza ($3.279 billion, +6%) [6][7]. Strategic Developments in China - AstraZeneca announced plans to invest over 100 billion RMB in China by 2030, marking its largest investment in the country, aimed at enhancing drug R&D, manufacturing, and commercial innovation [12]. - The company has been actively expanding its investment in China, including a recent agreement to invest in respiratory drug production in Qingdao, bringing total investments in the area to $886 million [13]. - AstraZeneca's R&D pipeline in China has achieved a 100% synchronization rate with global efforts, with the Chinese team leading nearly 20 global clinical trials [13][14]. Collaborations and Partnerships - AstraZeneca has entered into significant collaborations, including a $12 billion strategic R&D partnership with CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, setting a record for upfront payments in China [13]. - Additional agreements include a global licensing deal for the KRAS inhibitor JAB-23E73 worth over $2 billion and a partnership with Hengrui Medicine to develop innovative therapies [14]. Market Positioning - AstraZeneca's strategic shift reflects a broader trend in the pharmaceutical industry, where China is increasingly viewed as a hub for innovation rather than just a market for sales and manufacturing [14].

Summary of the Conference Call for Heptares Therapeutics Company Overview - Heptares Therapeutics is a biotechnology company focused on innovative drug development, particularly in the fields of immunology and oncology. The company has established a strong position in the Chinese market for innovative drug business development (BD) transactions, contributing significantly to the industry. Key Points Industry Insights - The total value of BD transactions in China's innovative drug sector is projected to reach $135 billion in 2025, with Heptares contributing approximately $7 billion [2][10] - 2025 is noted as a year with a high concentration of BD events, leading to explosive growth in the industry, driven by major companies like Heptares and Heng Rui [3] Financial Performance - Heptares is expected to achieve a revenue of approximately $170 million in 2025, with a net profit close to $100 million [4][16] - For 2026, revenue is projected to grow to about $300 million, corresponding to a profit of approximately $160 million to $170 million, representing a year-on-year growth of over 60% [4][16] - As of mid-2025, Heptares held $320 million in cash, indicating a strong financial position supported by previous BD transactions and investments from major stakeholders like AstraZeneca [7] Core Technologies and Platforms - Heptares has developed several key technology platforms, including the Harbor Mice platform for fully human antibodies and the HBIAS platform for TCE bispecific antibodies [8][9] - The company’s platforms enhance molecular adaptability and research efficiency, allowing for the development of differentiated pipelines, including CTLA-4 antibody 4,003 and TSLP monoclonal and bispecific antibodies [2][5] Clinical Development Highlights - In the immunology field, the TSLP long-acting fully human antibody 9,378 has a half-life two to three times longer than currently marketed TSLP antibodies and can be administered subcutaneously [12] - In oncology, the CTLA-4 antibody 4,003 has shown promising Phase II clinical data in microsatellite instability tumors, positioning it as a potential best-in-class product [12][14] Strategic Partnerships - Heptares has formed significant partnerships, including a major collaboration with AstraZeneca involving a $175 million upfront payment and milestone payments totaling $4.4 billion [2][10] - The company has also established partnerships with other multinational corporations such as Pfizer and BMS, enhancing its market presence and collaborative potential [10] Future Outlook - The company anticipates stable performance growth in 2026, with a focus on clinical data development rather than solely event-driven factors [3][17] - Heptares aims to complete 1-2 new transactions annually, contributing to ongoing revenue growth and cash flow generation [16] - The overall industry trend is shifting towards performance growth and clinical advancement, with expectations for strong financial results in upcoming reports [17] Valuation and Market Position - Heptares is currently valued at approximately HKD 20 billion, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 15x for 2025, 8x for 2026, and 10x for 2027 [5][16] - The company is viewed as a quality investment opportunity due to its low valuation and strong growth potential in the innovative drug sector [17]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical industry, particularly highlighting the high-quality development plan for traditional Chinese medicine [2][11]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector's overall performance shows a slight increase, with the Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index rising by 0.14%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.27% [3][2]. - The report emphasizes the implementation of the "High-Quality Development Implementation Plan for Traditional Chinese Medicine Industry (2026-2030)", which aims to enhance the supply chain and technological advancements in the industry [11][12]. - Key performance indicators for major drugs include significant sales growth for Eli Lilly's Tirzepatide, projected to reach $36.5 billion in 2025, and a 54% year-on-year increase in sales for the Alzheimer's drug Lecanemab [14][16]. Market Performance Summary - The Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index ranked 15th among 31 sub-industries, with various segments showing mixed performance: - Raw materials (+0.6%) - Traditional Chinese medicine (+2.6%) - Chemical preparations (-0.8%) - Blood products (-0.5%) [2][4]. - The overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector stands at 29.6 times earnings, ranking 13th among 31 primary industries [4][2]. Recent Key Events - The report highlights several significant collaborations and licensing agreements, including: - A $1.5 billion deal between Saint Inbiotech and Genentech for RNAi therapy [17]. - A $1 billion commercialization agreement for a JAKi nasal spray by Jichuan Pharmaceutical [18]. - A $3.88 billion licensing agreement for PD-1 monoclonal antibody H drug by Fuhong Hanlin with Eisai [19] [20]. - The report also notes the IPO preparation of Brain Interface Company, which aims to innovate in neuro-scientific solutions [21]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the high-quality development of traditional Chinese medicine, such as Zhaoli Pharmaceutical, Lingrui Pharmaceutical, and Huaren Jiangzhong [2][11]. - It also recommends innovative drug companies and CXO firms, including Hengrui Medicine, BeiGene, and WuXi AppTec, as potential investment opportunities [2][11].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 和鉑醫藥控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02142 | 說明 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 868,681,522 | 25,437,000 | | 894,118,522 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 910,000 | 500,000 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 869,591,522 | 25,937,000 | | 895, ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has stabilized after two consecutive declines, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,847 points, up 12 points or 0.05% [3] - The market experienced fluctuations, initially opening down 37 points and later dropping as much as 241 points before recovering [3] - The total market turnover for the day was 28.54 billion HKD [3] Company News - Tencent's stock fell by 4% to a low of 558 HKD, contributing to the decline in tech stocks [4] - Other tech companies such as NetEase, Baidu, Xiaomi, JD.com, Meituan, and Alibaba also saw declines ranging from 0.9% to 4% [4] - Tianqi Lithium announced plans to sell a portion of its shares in SQM, with a maximum of 356,600 shares, representing no more than 1.25% of SQM's total shares [10] Macro & Industry Dynamics - The Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) reported an average gain of 11,085 HKD in January, with a total asset value expected to exceed 1.6 trillion HKD by the end of January [6][7] - The MPF's return for January was 3.42%, marking the fifth-best performance for January since the system's inception [7] - Goldman Sachs predicts the Chinese Yuan will strengthen to 6.7 by year-end, with expectations of continued appreciation due to export growth and foreign capital inflows [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Hualan Biological (002007.SZ) is collaborating with Heptagon Pharmaceuticals through its subsidiary Hualan Ankang, focusing on the fields of oncology and autoimmune diseases [1] Group 2 - The partnership aims to leverage expertise in the oncology and autoimmune sectors, indicating a strategic move to enhance the company's portfolio in high-growth areas [1]