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150欧免税取消,中国电商如何应战?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 02:51
Core Viewpoint - The European cross-border e-commerce market is undergoing significant changes due to new tax policies and increasing scrutiny on Chinese e-commerce platforms like SHEIN and Temu, which face challenges in expanding their market presence in Europe [1][5][19]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The European Council has announced the implementation of a small package tax policy, which will take effect in early 2026, eliminating the previous exemption for goods under €150 [1]. - All incoming packages will now incur customs duties, VAT, and a customs inspection fee of approximately €2, which will complicate the logistics for e-commerce platforms [1][5]. - Experts suggest that these changes will shift consumer purchasing decisions from price-driven to value and trust-oriented, increasing the operational costs for sellers due to the need for more detailed customs data [5][21]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - In 2024, the EU is expected to receive 4.6 billion low-value e-commerce packages, with 91% originating from China, equating to approximately 4.186 billion packages [7][8]. - Despite regulatory challenges, Temu and SHEIN have seen substantial user growth in Europe, with Temu's monthly active users reaching 115.7 million in the first half of 2025, a 12.5% increase from the previous year [9]. - The economic downturn in Europe, exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, has led consumers to seek more affordable options, benefiting discount retailers and platforms like Temu and SHEIN [10][11][14]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - European consumers are increasingly turning to discount stores and e-commerce platforms for essential goods, reflecting a shift in spending habits due to inflation and economic uncertainty [10][14]. - The disparity between wealth and poverty in Europe is growing, with many middle-class consumers feeling the pinch and opting for cheaper alternatives like SHEIN [15][16]. - The demand for affordable products is evident, as consumers express a preference for low-cost options over locally produced goods, highlighting a significant market opportunity for Chinese e-commerce [15][16]. Group 4: Strategic Responses - Some sellers are considering shifting to local e-commerce platforms to navigate the new regulatory landscape, but experts argue that this strategy may be outdated due to declining marketing budgets on these platforms [19][21]. - Sellers are still required to pay customs duties regardless of whether they ship directly from China or use local warehouses, complicating the logistics further [21]. - Temu and SHEIN are viewed as the best options for sellers due to their traffic advantages and lower commission rates compared to other platforms [21][22]. Group 5: Brand Development - The long-term solution for sellers lies in building brands rather than relying solely on low-price strategies, which are unsustainable in the European market [28][31]. - Successful brand development requires a focus on product positioning, uniqueness, and alignment with market needs, as demonstrated by the success of brands like Avril Paris [31][33]. - The rise of the Print on Demand (POD) model has shown that Chinese sellers can effectively respond to market trends and consumer demands for personalized products [29][30].
AI不是随机鹦鹉,如何应对“有主见”的AI?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-12-05 02:12
2025年,堪称中国大语言模型的元年,这一年DeepSeek横空出世,很快在全球掀起风暴,甚至抢走了 OpenAI的风头。 面对一个文科背景的访问者,特伦斯用通俗的语言讲述了,为什么AI技术在经历了60年的研究后最近 几年才突飞猛进,变得如此强大并广泛应用。他用科学家的激情和热忱,逐一打消了我们对于AI大语 言模型"编造事实"、带有偏见、抢人类工作、甚至未来可能威胁人类的各种担忧。他还讲述了自己在 1980年代和其他科学家一起挑战语言学权威和数学权威,将语言之间的联系用方程写出来,从而奠定了 大语言模型基础的故事,并以此来鼓励年轻人,科学探索要不畏惧权威,"当专家告诉你某件事不可能 时,不要听他们的。" 此外,针对各国纷纷出台的AI监管法案,他一再强调AI大语言模型还处在初级阶段,监管过早过细会 影响科学发展。新技术只有被大规模使用,科学家们才能通过试错,发现解决问题的办法。以下是我们 的对话实录。 观察者网【思想者茶座】连线特伦斯·谢诺夫斯基 【对话/观察者网 高艳平】 OpenAI一夜成名背后,经历了60年的积累 观察者网:今年以来,随着DeepSeek等应用的普及,我们开始更频繁的使用AI工具。因此有关 ...
xbench榜单更新!DeepSeek V3.2追平GPT-5.1|xbench月报
红杉汇· 2025-12-05 00:06
Core Insights - The latest xbench-ScienceQA leaderboard has been released, showcasing new models from six companies, with Gemini 3 Pro achieving state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance and DeepSeek V3.2 matching GPT-5.1 in scores while offering high cost-effectiveness [1][2][6] - xbench will introduce two new benchmarks to evaluate agent instruction-following capabilities and multimodal understanding of models [1] Model Performance Summary - **Gemini 3 Pro**: Scored 71.6, up from 59.4 in Gemini 2.5 Pro, with a BoN of 85. Average response time is 48.62 seconds. Cost for answering 500 questions is approximately $3 [3][6] - **DeepSeek V3.2**: Achieved a score of 62.6, matching GPT-5.1, with a BoN of 81. The cost for 500 questions is only $2 for the Speciale version and $1.3 for the Thinking version [6] - **Claude Opus 4.5**: Scored 55.2 with a fast average response time of 13 seconds, showing improvement over its predecessor [6] - **Kimi K2 Thinking**: Scored 51.8 with a BoN of 76, indicating a slight improvement [6] New Model Developments - **DeepSeek V3.2**: Introduces a Sparse Attention mechanism to enhance long-context performance while reducing computational complexity. It also features a scalable reinforcement learning framework to improve reasoning and instruction-following capabilities [10][12] - **Gemini 3**: A new multimodal model from Google DeepMind, excelling in reasoning depth and multimodal understanding, achieving a top score of 1501 Elo in LMArena [13] - **Nano Banana Pro**: A new image generation model that integrates advanced reasoning capabilities with real-time knowledge, allowing for complex image synthesis [14] - **Claude Opus 4.5**: A flagship model from Anthropic that excels in code generation and human-computer interaction, achieving high performance in real-world software engineering tasks [15][16] - **GPT-5.1**: An important iteration from OpenAI that enhances conversational fluency and complex task reasoning, introducing adaptive reasoning mechanisms [17] - **Tongyi DeepResearch**: Designed for deep research tasks, this model combines mid-training and post-training frameworks to enhance agent capabilities, achieving competitive performance with a smaller model [19]
瑞银对话哈佛大学教授艾利森:从“修昔底德陷阱”到“AI竞技”,国际关系进入新阶段
第一财经· 2025-12-04 13:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complex relationship between China and the United States, highlighting both competition and cooperation, particularly in the context of economic trade and technology, with a focus on the recent meeting between the leaders of both nations [1][4]. Group 1: U.S.-China Relations - Both countries recognize the intertwined interests between their economies and the necessity to find a path for coexistence, especially with the upcoming U.S. midterm elections in 2026, where economic performance will be a key factor [2][4]. - The current phase of U.S.-China relations is characterized by a temporary easing of trade tensions, with both nations seeking sustainable coexistence amid their deep economic interdependencies [4][6]. Group 2: Investment Outlook - International investors have shown renewed interest in the Chinese market this year, with expectations that the attractiveness of Chinese assets will continue to grow through 2026 [2]. - Market volatility is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025, but investors are looking forward to sector rotations, particularly in high-dividend, traditional consumption, and financial sectors, which may enhance overall asset valuations [2][4]. Group 3: AI as a Competitive Arena - The rapid development of generative AI has positioned it as a new battleground between the U.S. and China, with significant implications for global power dynamics [10][12]. - There are differing perspectives on AI's role: while the U.S. sees it as a race for dominance, China views it as a tool for enhancing efficiency across various industries [12][13]. Group 4: Recommendations for Chinese Enterprises - Chinese companies looking to enter the U.S. market should adopt a patient approach, consider joint ventures for cultural understanding and political protection, and prepare for increased regulatory scrutiny [8].
瑞银对话哈佛大学教授艾利森:从“修昔底德陷阱”到“AI竞技”,国际关系进入新阶段
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 11:15
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the complex relationship between China and the United States, highlighting recent positive developments and the potential for cooperation, particularly in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) [1][2][3]. Group 1: US-China Relations - The meeting between the leaders of China and the US in Busan in November resulted in important agreements, signaling a positive direction for bilateral relations [1]. - Both countries recognize the intertwined nature of their economic interests and the necessity of finding a coexistence path, especially with the upcoming US midterm elections in 2026 [2][3]. - Graham Allison emphasizes that the "Thucydides Trap" is not inevitable, suggesting that both nations need to exercise strategic imagination to avoid conflict [3]. Group 2: Investment Outlook - International investors have shown renewed interest in the Chinese market this year, with expectations that the attractiveness of Chinese assets will continue to grow by 2026 [2]. - Market volatility is anticipated in Q4 2025, but investors are looking forward to sector rotations, particularly in high-dividend, traditional consumer, and financial sectors, which could enhance overall asset valuations [2]. Group 3: AI as a Cooperation Opportunity - AI presents both risks and opportunities for US-China relations, with the potential for collaboration in addressing cross-border challenges posed by AI technology [9][10]. - Allison notes that while AI could lead to competition, it also offers a rare chance for cooperation, as neither country can tackle the associated risks alone [10]. - The differing approaches to AI between the US and China highlight a potential area for collaboration, with China focusing on integrating AI across various industries rather than pursuing a singular goal of achieving general artificial intelligence [8][9].
中国AI第一股是智谱?谁赞成谁反对
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-12-04 11:03
Core Viewpoint - The claim of being "China's AI first stock" by Zhiyun CEO Zhang Peng has sparked debate within the industry, as the company faces significant competition from other players like DeepSeek in technology and lacks the backing of major platforms for application [2][3][5]. Group 1: Competitive Landscape - The competition among large models is fierce, with North American companies like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic frequently exchanging the title of "state-of-the-art" (SOTA) in various benchmarks [3][4]. - In China, the competition is characterized by a fragmented approach to claiming "firsts," leading to confusion among users regarding the actual capabilities of different models [4]. - DeepSeek is currently recognized as the leading large model provider in China, achieving performance levels comparable to GPT-5 and demonstrating significant advancements in architecture [5][6]. Group 2: Zhiyun's Position - Despite not being the top player in technology or public visibility, Zhiyun holds a strategic position in the industry due to its strong academic background and participation in national AI initiatives [7][9][10]. - Zhiyun generates over 100 million RMB in recurring revenue annually by selling access to AI service creation tools, which is competitive within the domestic market [8]. - The company has a robust academic foundation, having originated from Tsinghua University's Knowledge Engineering Lab, and has been involved in significant AI research since 2019 [9]. Group 3: Strategic Advantages - Zhiyun is a core participant in national AI strategies, contributing to major projects and setting industry standards, which enhances its credibility and market penetration [10]. - The company has demonstrated technological foresight, having developed applications like AutoGLM that anticipate market trends, although early performance may not match that of competitors [12]. - The ability to innovate and lead in theoretical advancements positions Zhiyun favorably, but its success in becoming "China's AI first stock" will depend on overcoming both technological and market challenges [13].
DeepSeek-V3.2巨「吃」Token,竟然是被GRPO背刺了
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-04 10:38
Core Insights - The release of DeepSeek-V3.2 has generated significant attention in the industry, highlighting both its capabilities and areas needing improvement, particularly in token efficiency and output verbosity [1][2][5]. Token Efficiency - DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale exhibits poor token consumption efficiency, requiring 77,000 tokens for complex tasks compared to Gemini's 20,000 tokens, indicating over three times the token usage for similar quality outputs [1][5]. - Users have noted that if the token generation speed of DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale could be improved from approximately 30 tokens per second to around 100 tokens per second, the overall usability and experience would significantly enhance [5]. Output Quality - The Speciale version has been criticized for producing lengthy and verbose outputs, often resulting in incorrect answers, which is attributed to inherent flaws in the GRPO algorithm [2][14]. - The technical report from DeepSeek acknowledges the increased token consumption during inference, with the Speciale version consuming 86 million tokens in benchmark tests, up from 62 million in the previous version [7][14]. Algorithmic Issues - The GRPO algorithm, which has been a standard in reinforcement learning, is identified as a source of bias leading to longer and incorrect responses. This includes length bias, where shorter correct responses receive greater updates, and longer incorrect responses face weaker penalties [18][21]. - While the difficulty bias has been optimized in DeepSeek-V3.2, the length bias remains, potentially contributing to the excessive token consumption observed in the Speciale version [18][21].
DeepSeek-V3.2巨「吃」Token,竟然是被GRPO背刺了
机器之心· 2025-12-04 08:18
Core Insights - The article discusses the release of the DeepSeek-V3.2 model, highlighting its performance issues, particularly in token consumption and output verbosity, which have raised concerns among users and researchers [1][2][6]. Token Consumption and Efficiency - DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale exhibits inefficient token usage, consuming 77,000 tokens for tasks where Gemini only requires 20,000, indicating over three times the token expenditure for similar quality results [1][6]. - Users have noted that the generation speed of DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale is approximately 30 tokens per second, and an increase to around 100 tokens per second could significantly enhance usability and experience [6]. Output Quality and Verbosity - The Speciale version tends to produce lengthy and verbose outputs, often resulting in incorrect responses, which is attributed to inherent flaws in the GRPO algorithm [2][15]. - The model's performance in benchmark tests shows that it has a median score of 76.38, with a median difference of 11.07% compared to other models, indicating a notable gap in efficiency [7]. Comparison with Other Models - In benchmark comparisons, DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale's token consumption during inference has been reported to be significantly higher than its predecessor, with a consumption of 86 million tokens compared to 62 million for the previous version [7][10]. - The model's performance metrics reveal that it lags behind competitors like Gemini-3.0 Pro in terms of output token delay and efficiency [10][12]. Algorithmic Limitations - The GRPO algorithm, which underpins DeepSeek, has been criticized for introducing biases that lead to longer and often incorrect responses, a problem that persists in the latest model [16][20]. - Length bias, a significant issue in the GRPO algorithm, causes the model to generate longer responses even when they are incorrect, which has been identified as a primary reason for the high token consumption in DeepSeek-V3.2 Speciale [20][23]. Future Directions - The developers acknowledge the need for improved token efficiency as a critical area for future research, aiming to balance performance and cost in subsequent model iterations [14][23].
大学讲堂| 未可知 x 路易斯大学: 杜雨博士《AI与未来叙事》跨文化传播课程
未可知人工智能研究院· 2025-12-04 03:02
Core Insights - The article discusses the future of AI and narrative, focusing on the transformative impact of AI on media, journalism, and strategic communication [1][4]. Group 1: Development of AI in China - The Chinese AI industry has experienced two major development waves, namely the "Four Little Dragons of Computer Vision" and the "Six Little Tigers of Large Language Models," with the latter significantly expanding the market size, which now holds a 20% share of the global market [5]. - Under the "AI+" national strategy, sectors such as internet, telecommunications, finance, and government are becoming core areas for AI penetration, accelerating the digital transformation process [8]. - Despite challenges such as insufficient financing (with AI funding in China projected at $5.2 billion in 2024, only 7% of that in the U.S.) and limitations on high-end computing power due to export controls on key chips, the AI company DeepSeek has emerged as a solution, demonstrating superior performance in benchmark tests with a training cost of only $6 million [9][12]. Group 2: Transformation of Business Communication - AI is fundamentally restructuring the communication logic between enterprises and users, becoming an irreversible competitive factor [13]. - Research indicates that nearly 80% of global executives believe generative AI will drive substantial industry changes within the next three years, with companies lacking AI strategies facing potential elimination risks [14]. - Various case studies illustrate AI's application in business communication, such as 3D Home using AI for home design, Watsons employing AI for customer service optimization, and AI tools assisting in report writing and interview processes [17][18]. Group 3: Applications in the Media Industry - AI has deeply integrated into various stages of media production, enabling real-time transcription and content generation, as seen with Xinhua's "Quick Pen" robot and Zhejiang TV's use of digital humans for news broadcasting [19]. - Digital human live streaming is identified as a promising commercial application of AI in media, although there are limitations regarding the depth and human touch in investigative reporting [21]. - To mitigate risks associated with AI in media, a dual solution is proposed: establishing data cleansing mechanisms for input and ensuring journalists maintain responsibility for output, as AI cannot assume legal accountability [21]. Group 4: Cross-Cultural Dialogue and Future Directions - The Q&A session highlighted cross-cultural perspectives on AI ethics, adaptation in communication, and pathways for SMEs to implement AI, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to innovation, compliance, and humanistic care [22]. - The event served as a platform for deep dialogue between Eastern and Western perspectives on AI communication practices, showcasing China's achievements and innovations in the AI sector [22][23]. - The organization aims to continue fostering international exchanges and collaborations in the AI field to support the healthy development and application of AI technologies globally [23].
多机构集体表态:人形机器人商业化落地可期
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-04 02:46
Group 1 - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing significant positive developments, with leading companies actively engaging in technology research and commercial implementation [1][2] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk shared a video of the "Optimus" humanoid robot running, indicating advancements in the robot's capabilities [1] - The launch of the ZHONGQING T800 humanoid robot by ZHONGQING Robotics marks the beginning of its sales process, highlighting the industry's shift towards mass production [1] Group 2 - Domestic and international companies are increasingly entering the humanoid robot market, with notable players like Tesla and Figure AI accelerating their commercialization efforts [2] - The emergence of AI companies such as DeepSeek is driving the development of general-purpose robot models, facilitating the realization of embodied intelligence in humanoid robots [2] - The humanoid robot industry is entering a phase of rapid commercialization, with a focus on identifying high-quality companies within the supply chain that demonstrate certainty in their operations [2]