每经AI快讯，港股三一国际涨超6%，高见12.85港元创新高，本月股价累涨超40%。截至发稿，三一国 际涨6.25%，报12.75港元，成交额3.24亿港元。 ...

消息面上，近期，金属大宗价格持续走高。招商证券认为，美联储降息预期强化+矿类大宗价格走强的 背景下，全球矿山机械行业需求或迎拐点，该行看好的是β迎来中长期向上的景气周期。展望未来，在 美元持续降息预期下，2026年全球矿机景气度升温具备更高确定性，而中期维度随着资源品供给紧张加 剧、矿山品味下降，全球矿机有望迎来新一轮创新高式的上行周期。建议关注"露天矿机/出海进展领 先"及"商业模式存在边际变化"的双主线投资方向。 银河证券此前指，短期受益国内矿采回暖，公司掘进机和宽体车销售有望筑底回升;中长期公司掘进机 龙头优势稳固，非煤矿山设备占比有望持续提升，智能化、电动化、全球化优势显著，有望顺应国内长 周期大体量基建项目建设、煤机智能化和海外矿山设备更新趋势实现业绩放量。 三一国际(00631)涨超6%，高见12.85港元创新高，本月股价累涨超40%。截至发稿，涨6.25%，报12.75 港元，成交额3.24亿港元。 ...

银河证券此前指，短期受益国内矿采回暖，公司掘进机和宽体车销售有望筑底回升;中长期公司掘进机 龙头优势稳固，非煤矿山设备占比有望持续提升，智能化、电动化、全球化优势显著，有望顺应国内长 周期大体量基建项目建设、煤机智能化和海外矿山设备更新趋势实现业绩放量。 智通财经APP获悉，三一国际(00631)涨超6%，高见12.85港元创新高，本月股价累涨超40%。截至发 稿，涨6.25%，报12.75港元，成交额3.24亿港元。 消息面上，近期，金属大宗价格持续走高。招商证券认为，美联储降息预期强化+矿类大宗价格走强的 背景下，全球矿山机械行业需求或迎拐点，该行看好的是β迎来中长期向上的景气周期。展望未来，在 美元持续降息预期下，2026年全球矿机景气度升温具备更高确定性，而中期维度随着资源品供给紧张加 剧、矿山品味下降，全球矿机有望迎来新一轮创新高式的上行周期。建议关注"露天矿机/出海进展领 先"及"商业模式存在边际变化"的双主线投资方向。 ...

大型科技股走势分化，哔哩哔哩涨超5%，阿里巴巴涨近3%，腾讯、小米飘红，京东跌超2%，美团、百度小幅下跌。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 > | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 09626 | 昨晩時間-W | (0) | 271.200 | +15.000 | 5.85% | | 09988 | 阿里巴巴-W | | 169.900 | +4.700 | 2.85% | | 01347 | 华虹半导体 | | 114.200 | +3.000 | 2.70% | | 02382 | 舜宇光学科技 | | 63.150 | +1.150 | 1.85% | | 00992 | 联相生团 | | 8.880 | +0.160 | 1.83% | | 09866 | 商来-SW | | 36.680 | +0.660 | 1.83% | | 09961 | 携程集团-S | | 499,400 | +7.200 | 1.46% | | 00981 | 中芯国际 | | 76.600 | +1.050 | 1.39% | | 00700 ...

港股三大指数集体收涨，恒生科技指数一度冲高至1.6%，最终收涨1.35%重新站上27000点，国企指数 涨1.07%，恒生科技指数涨0.5%。具体盘面上，权重科技股走势继续分化，阿里巴巴涨近3%，腾讯、小 米、快手飘红，京东跌超2%，美团、百度小幅下跌；保险股、银行股拉升走强助力大市回暖，其中中 国人寿涨近9%，工商银行、农业银行、建设银行皆有涨幅，汇丰控股、中烟香港再创历史新高；黄金 股部分继续上涨，紫金矿业、紫金黄金国际均大涨再创历史新高；重型机械股继续活跃，中国重汽、三 一国际齐创新高；光伏股、苹果概念股、港口及海运股、AI应用概念股普遍上涨。另一方面，钢铁 股、铜业股、煤炭股全天疲弱，其中，中国罕王大跌近11%，汽车股、家电股、水务股多数下跌。(格 隆汇) ...

Core Viewpoint - The heavy machinery sector in Hong Kong is experiencing a significant rise, with SANY International hitting a new high and recording an 8-day consecutive increase, indicating strong market sentiment and expectations for a sales peak post-Spring Festival [1] Industry Summary - The engineering machinery industry is maintaining stable order levels ahead of the Spring Festival, with clear expectations for a sales surge after the holiday [1] - The demand for global mining machinery may be at a turning point due to strengthened expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and rising prices of mineral commodities, suggesting a long-term upward trend in the industry [1] Company Summary - SANY International has received a substantial number of mining equipment orders, with an expected growth in order scale from approximately 5 billion RMB last year to three times that by 2028, supported by growth in after-sales service revenue [1] - The order delivery ratio for SANY's port equipment business has reached a historical high, with order visibility extended to 2027 [1]

Key Points Summary Industry Overview - The mining machinery industry is expected to enter a new cycle of prosperity due to supply shortages and rising prices of metal commodities, influenced by anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve [1][2] Company Recommendations XCMG Machinery - Leading in complete open-pit mining machinery, comparable to Caterpillar and Komatsu - Projected mining machinery revenue for 2025 is 13 billion (including spare parts), a year-on-year increase of 50% - Target for 2030 mining machinery revenue is 40 billion, with a CAGR of 25-30% [1] SANY International - Mining machinery accounts for 40% of total revenue - Overseas mining trucks are expected to contribute significantly to growth in 2026, with overseas mining machinery expected to exceed 50% of mining machinery business (6 billion) - Channel model adjustments are anticipated to enhance profitability; target for overseas mining machinery business in 2028 is 13 billion, aiming for over 100% growth in three years [1] Shantui - Leading in mining bulldozers, aiming to create a complete open-pit excavation solution - Expected sales of mining equipment to account for over 10% in 2025 [2] NPE Mining Machinery - Leading in wear-resistant parts for mineral processing, comparable to Meiyit Electric Steel - Projected mining machinery revenue for 2025 is 1 billion, with over 50% from overseas - Anticipated new product launches and overseas capacity expansion could lead to a new performance upturn, with a mid-term revenue target of 2 billion and profit target of 400 million by 2028 [2] New Sharp Co., Ltd. - Main business in hard alloys and rock drilling tools, comparable to Sandvik - Projected mining machinery revenue for 2025 is 1.8 billion, with 40% from overseas; recognized as a leading comprehensive solution provider for mining consumables [2] Nanmin Group - Main business in crushing and screening machinery, comparable to Metso/Sandvik - Projected mining machinery revenue for 2025 is 800 million, with 20% from overseas - Strategic changes include signing a ten-year operation contract for a large iron ore project and investing in a Zimbabwean gold mine, transitioning to an "equipment + operation" overseas model [2] Zhejiang Mining Co. - Main business in crushing and screening machinery, comparable to Metso/Sandvik - Projected mining machinery revenue for 2025 is 700 million, with 20% from overseas - Strategic changes include acquiring a lead-silver mine in Kazakhstan, initiating a dual-driven development phase of "mining machinery overseas + mining operation" [2]

Group 1 - Heavy machinery stocks in Hong Kong continue to rise, with SANY International increasing over 6% to reach a new high and recording an 8-day consecutive increase [1] - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group rose by 2.2%, while First Tractor Company and Zoomlion both saw increases of nearly 2% [1] - The engineering machinery industry is expected to maintain stable orders until mid-January 2026, with clear expectations for a sales peak after the Spring Festival [1] Group 2 - According to China Merchants Securities, the expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut and the strengthening of commodity prices may signal a turning point for global mining machinery demand, suggesting a long-term upward trend in the industry [1] - SANY International is receiving a significant number of mining equipment orders, with an expected growth from approximately 5 billion RMB last year to three times that by 2028, supported by growth in after-sales service revenue [1] - The order delivery ratio for SANY's port equipment business has reached a historical high, with order visibility extended to 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "A" rating, indicating a leading position in the market [5] Core Insights - The coal mining industry is experiencing a dual transformation towards green and intelligent technologies, with significant growth potential for mining trucks in the new energy era [1] - The demand for unmanned mining trucks is expected to surge due to advancements in smart mining construction and supportive policies, with projections indicating a fleet exceeding 10,000 units by 2026-2027 [1][22] - The transition to new energy mining trucks is becoming mainstream, driven by mature technologies in pure electric and hybrid models, alongside favorable policies and cost advantages [2][37] Summary by Sections 1. Special Research - The continuous release of open-pit coal mine capacity is creating substantial growth opportunities for mining trucks, with open-pit coal mines accounting for approximately 25% of China's total coal production in 2023 [16] - The number of unmanned mining trucks is projected to increase from 88 units in 2020 to over 4,000 by 2025, with a forecast of surpassing 10,000 units by 2026-2027 [1][22] - The industry is accelerating its green transformation, with new energy mining trucks expected to see sales exceed 1,500 units in 2023 and forecasted to surpass 2,000 units by 2025 [2][37] 2. Market Information Tracking - The report tracks coal prices, with the average price of thermal coal reported at 685 RMB/ton as of January 21, 2026, remaining stable compared to January 7, 2026 [10] - Coking coal prices have seen an increase, with the main coking coal price at 1,770 RMB/ton as of January 20, 2026, up by 150 RMB/ton from January 6, 2026 [10] 3. Industry Dynamics - Recent policies from the National Energy Administration and other departments are promoting the construction of zero-carbon factories and the use of new energy vehicles in mining operations [9] - The report highlights the importance of smart mining and unmanned truck applications, supported by various national policies aimed at enhancing safety and efficiency in mining operations [35] 4. Investment Portfolio and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong positions in the coal sector, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and China Coal Energy, which are expected to benefit from stable profits and cyclical recovery [11] - It also recommends monitoring companies involved in the production of new energy mining trucks, including XCMG, SANY Heavy Industry, and others, as they are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing market [2][43]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the mining machinery industry, indicating a potential upward trend in demand due to expectations of a global mining machinery demand turning point in 2026 [1][23]. Core Insights - The global mining machinery market is projected to be valued between 100 to 150 billion USD, with a balanced structure across various segments including drilling, crushing, mineral processing, open-pit, and underground equipment [5][8]. - The report highlights a shift in the business model of equipment companies from "manufacturing" to "operational services and resource development," driven by increased competition in the domestic market [20][23]. - The anticipated decline in interest rates by the Federal Reserve is expected to boost capital expenditures in the mining sector, leading to increased sales of mining machinery [18][20]. Market Overview - The mining machinery industry consists of 477 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 552.5 billion CNY, representing 4.9% of the market [2]. - The report notes that the mining machinery sector is a significant high-end segment within the broader engineering machinery market, with a steady growth trajectory expected as the industry enters a new replacement cycle [8][20]. Demand Outlook - Global capital expenditures by leading mining companies are projected to stabilize, with a potential recovery in demand for mining machinery as commodity prices strengthen [5][20]. - The report cites that in the first half of 2025, global leading mining companies' capital expenditures are expected to be 13.8 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.48% [20]. Industry Trends - The report identifies a trend where mining machinery companies are increasingly extending their business models to include operational and investment services, as evidenced by recent partnerships and equity acquisitions in mining projects [20][23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-end, automated products in the competitive landscape of the mining machinery sector, as companies adapt to changing market demands [20]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies leading in open-pit mining machinery and those making significant progress in international markets, such as XCMG, SANY International, and others [23]. - It also suggests monitoring companies that are evolving their business models towards operational services and resource development, including Nape Mining Machinery and Zhejiang Mining [23].