数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国硫酸(折100％)产量为932万吨，同比下降2.8%；2025年1-12 月中国硫酸(折100％)累计产量为11081.6万吨，累计增长4.5%。 2020-2025年中国硫酸(折100％)产量统计图 上市企业：紫金矿业（601899）,江西铜业（600362）,巨化股份（600160）,中金黄金（600489）,铜陵有 色（000630）,龙佰集团（002601）,云天化（600096）,浙江龙盛（600352）,川发龙蟒（002312） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国硫酸行业市场研究分析及投资前景评估报告》 ...

Core Insights - The chemical industry is at the beginning of a new prosperity cycle globally, with Chinese chemical companies showing stronger profit foundations and elasticity due to past expansions and capital expenditures [5][11][29] - Focus on cyclical chemical products, particularly those with resource attributes and potential in the real estate chain [4][5] - The demand from major economies like China and the US is expected to improve, with China's GDP projected to exceed 140 trillion yuan, growing at 5.0% year-on-year [5][22] Group 1: Global and Domestic Chemical Landscape - The global chemical landscape is improving, with China's chemical sector becoming more resilient [9][12] - China's share of the global chemical market has significantly increased from 13% in 2004 to 47% in 2024, indicating its growing importance in the global chemical industry [14][29] - The capital expenditure in the global chemical sector has paused, with many overseas chemical companies reducing production, which may benefit Chinese companies [14][16] Group 2: Resource Attributes in Chemical Products - Three main resource directions are emphasized: mineral resources (like phosphate and potash), indicator resources (such as pesticides and refrigerants), and channel resources (like compound fertilizers) [5][33] - China's phosphate reserves rank second globally, with a steady increase in demand driven by both traditional fertilizer needs and emerging sectors like lithium iron phosphate for batteries [33][36] - The supply of fertilizers is expected to contract in 2025, with production of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate projected to decrease by 6.73% and 6.86% respectively [39] Group 3: Real Estate Chain Chemical Products - The market currently has low expectations for the recovery of demand in the real estate chain, but there is potential for significant improvement due to government stimulus policies [5][22] - The supply concentration of chemical products related to the real estate chain is gradually increasing, which may lead to faster and easier supply-demand improvements [5] Group 4: New Materials and Domestic Substitution - The report highlights the importance of domestic substitution and the development of new materials in line with China's strategic plans for emerging industries [7][8] - Key areas of focus include lubricating oil additives, semiconductor materials, and bio-based materials [7] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies for investment include Hualu Chemical, Xin Fengming, Yuntianhua, and others, focusing on those with strong market positions and innovative capabilities [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [25]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry index increased by 0.1% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.8 percentage points, ranking 16th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 13.1%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 11.2 percentage points, ranking 6th [2][9]. - Among the sub-sectors, non-metallic materials rose by 6.9%, rubber by 1.7%, plastics by 1.5%, and chemical products by 1.3%. Conversely, agricultural chemicals fell by 2.5%, chemical fibers by 2.1%, and chemical raw materials by 0.8% [10][12]. - A total of 408 listed companies are included in the Shenwan basic chemical index, with 197 companies seeing stock price increases, led by Baichuan Co., Ltd. (61.7%), Wanlang Magnetic Plastic (42.8%), and Vinegar Chemical (35.9%). Conversely, 209 companies experienced declines, with Zhongnong United (20.8%), Qicai Chemical (15.6%), and Longgao Co., Ltd. (15.3%) showing the largest drops [12][10]. - Key industry news includes the launch of a new water-based adhesive by SABA, which is expected to significantly impact the mattress recycling sector. Additionally, Guangxi Huayi Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. has successfully transitioned its 300,000 tons/year epoxy propane facility into production [17][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of February 12, the Shenwan basic chemical index has shown a 0.1% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.8 percentage points, and has risen 13.1% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 by 11.2 percentage points [9][2]. Important Company Announcements - Various companies, including Fule New Materials and Foshan Plastics Technology, have made announcements regarding internal investment structure adjustments and property leasing [18]. Key Industry News - The report highlights significant developments such as the introduction of a new adhesive product by SABA and the successful transition of major chemical production facilities into operational phases [17][18]. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for January showed a year-on-year decrease of 5.0% in the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector, while it increased by 0.6% month-on-month. Additionally, BASF is restructuring its global business services to enhance efficiency [21][22].

Group 1 - The petrochemical industry is focusing on high-quality development, with companies making significant advancements in energy supply, agricultural support, and high-tech materials [1][2] - Energy companies are taking on the role of ensuring energy supply, with oil and gas exploration reaching new depths both on land and at sea [1] - Fertilizer and pesticide companies are working diligently to stabilize supply and prices, contributing to food security in China [1] Group 2 - The year 2026 is highlighted as a pivotal year for the industry, marking the beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan and a critical point for transformation and high-quality development [2] - Companies are encouraged to adopt a bottom-line thinking approach to ensure safety in production and to leverage technological innovation for core competitiveness [2] - The spirit of craftsmanship and teamwork among employees is emphasized as essential for achieving extraordinary results in their respective roles [2]

Group 1 - The chemical raw materials sector is experiencing a correction, with the CSI sub-industry index down by 0.82% as of 10:28 on February 13, 2026, despite some stocks like Enjie and Tianci Materials showing gains of 4.65% and 3.10% respectively [1] - Sub-sectors such as dyes, PVA, and vitamins are seeing an upward trend, with leading dye companies raising prices due to tight supply of core intermediates, and PVA prices increasing due to extreme weather affecting overseas facilities [1] - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from a dual opportunity of cyclical recovery and industrial upgrading in 2026, with traditional demand anticipated to recover moderately as domestic growth policies are expected to take effect [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical index account for 44.82% of the index, including companies like Wanhua Chemical and Yalv Co [2] - The chemical ETF managed by Harvest (159129) closely tracks the CSI sub-industry chemical index, focusing on the new round of prosperity cycle under the "anti-involution" backdrop [2] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked fund (013527) to explore investment opportunities in the chemical sector [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - **Electronic Fabric Market**: The electronic fabric market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance due to a shortage of weaving machines, leading to price increases for LCT and second-generation fabrics expected in 2025-2026. Ordinary electronic fabrics also face supply constraints, with a projected shortage lasting until 2027, potentially driving prices significantly higher. China National Glass's market value could reach 140 billion [2][4]. - **Consumer Building Materials**: The consumer building materials sector has seen a decline since 2021, but leading companies like Oriental Yuhong and Sankeshu have significantly increased their market share, indicating a potential turning point. With supportive real estate policies, it is recommended to increase allocations to quality leading companies such as Sankeshu, Henkel Group, Yuhong, and Tubao [2][4]. - **Electricity Market Reform**: The reform in the electricity market is promoting green electricity consumption, with the State Council emphasizing the green certificate system. High-energy-consuming industries may face mandatory assessments of green certificate ratios. Clean energy operators like Longyuan Power and New天绿色能源 are worth monitoring [2][6]. - **Global Metal Resource Pricing**: The pricing model for global metal resources has shifted from a just-in-time supply chain to a stockpiling approach, leading to a tighter supply of strategic metals and increased price volatility. Copper inventories are moving from Asia to North America, complicating price stability due to geopolitical tensions [2][7]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Supply Situation in 2026**: The supply situation in the building materials industry, particularly in electronic fabrics and consumer building materials, is expected to be tight. The electronic fabric sector, especially AI electronic fabrics, is facing significant shortages due to machine supply constraints. Even with new capacities from China National Glass and Jianfa, the existing gap is unlikely to be filled [3][4]. - **Chemical Industry Pricing Logic**: Future price increases in the chemical industry are expected to be driven by changes in competitive dynamics and carbon emission restrictions. Products in the textile chain, such as nylon and organic silicon, are likely to see price increases through self-regulation [3][17]. - **Coal Industry Trends**: After four years of decline, the coal industry is expected to see a supply contraction due to policy shifts towards price stabilization and external factors like the U.S. coal revival plan. Companies with stable earnings, such as Yancoal and Power Development, are recommended for investment [3][25]. Additional Important Insights - **Investment Strategies in Power Sources**: Different power sources exhibit significant differences in stability and cleanliness, which will influence future investment strategies. The emphasis on green energy and carbon reduction will be crucial [5][6]. - **Impact of U.S. Midterm Elections**: The U.S. midterm elections are expected to significantly impact economic data, which in turn will affect metal prices. Key economic indicators will be closely monitored during this period [12]. - **Challenges for China's Export and Domestic Demand**: In 2026, China's export and domestic demand chains may face challenges due to rising raw material prices and currency appreciation, potentially leading to a shift back to domestic demand chains [13]. - **Future of the Dye Industry**: The dye industry is seeing a shift towards self-regulation among leading companies to avoid destructive competition, with expectations of price increases continuing into peak seasons [18]. - **PVC Industry Changes**: Recent price increases in the PVC market are attributed to the cancellation of export tax rebates, with long-term supply constraints expected due to environmental regulations [20][21]. - **Outlook for Refrigerants and Potash Fertilizers**: The refrigerant market is expected to see price increases due to seasonal demand, while potash fertilizers are projected to remain stable with growth potential [22]. - **Opportunities in Petrochemical and Oil & Gas Sectors**: The petrochemical sector is poised for growth due to reduced competition and favorable market conditions, while the oil and gas sector is expected to benefit from rising oil prices [23][24]. - **Coal Supply and Price Expectations**: Domestic coal supply is expected to decrease in 2026, leading to potential price increases due to reduced imports from Indonesia and domestic production cuts [26][27]. - **Geopolitical Impact on Oil Transportation**: U.S. geopolitical actions may boost oil transportation demand, particularly in light of sanctions against countries like Venezuela and Iran [16]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Companies with stable earnings and growth potential in the coal sector are recommended for investment, particularly those with reasonable valuations at higher price levels [30].

Core Insights - The rapid iteration of AI technology is driving an increase in chip power consumption, leading to a surge in demand for cooling solutions, particularly liquid cooling technology [1] - Liquid cooling is becoming the preferred solution for AI data centers due to its superior heat exchange efficiency compared to traditional air cooling methods [2] Industry Trends - The demand for liquid cooling technology is expected to grow explosively, driven by the dual forces of AI computing power needs and the green transformation of intelligent computing centers [1][2] - Liquid cooling systems can reduce the Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of data centers to 1.05, approaching the theoretical limit [2] Market Dynamics - Major fluorochemical and organic silicon companies are entering the liquid cooling market, indicating a significant shift in the industry landscape [3] - Domestic companies are positioned to capture market share as foreign production capacity contracts, creating opportunities for local enterprises [2][3] Company Developments - New安股份 has launched a commercial immersion liquid cooling project in Hangzhou, demonstrating the reliability and economic viability of silicon-based cooling materials [5] - 永太科技 has established a foundation for its fluorinated cooling liquid business, with initial small-scale orders contributing to overall revenue [3] - 润禾材料 has achieved mass production of its silicon-based cooling liquid products, which are crucial for data centers and energy storage applications [4][5]

Core Insights - The report identifies liquid cooling as a strategic investment opportunity, potentially replicating the success of optical modules and PCBs, with strong growth prospects driven by AI computing needs and stringent energy efficiency standards [2][3] - Liquid cooling is characterized by three main features: strong growth, complete narrative, and favorable odds, indicating a favorable market environment for investment [2] - The industry is transitioning from speculative hype to a high-growth phase with confirmed orders, as evidenced by significant order increases from key suppliers like Vidi Technology [3] Industry Trends - The liquid cooling industry is entering a high-growth phase with a 252% year-over-year increase in organic orders reported by Vidi Technology, highlighting strong market demand [3] - Major tech companies like NVIDIA and Google are adopting liquid cooling as a mandatory standard for their next-generation platforms, indicating a shift from optional to essential technology in AI computing [3] - The industry is witnessing a wave of mergers and acquisitions, with companies like Liying Intelligent Manufacturing acquiring liquid cooling suppliers to secure positions in the AI server supply chain [3] Liquid Cooling Industry Chain - The liquid cooling industry chain consists of three main segments: upstream components, midstream system integration and manufacturing, and downstream applications [4] - Upstream includes key technologies and components such as cooling fluids and CDU, which have high technical barriers and value [4] - Midstream integrates upstream components to provide complete liquid cooling server solutions, with technical integration capabilities as a core barrier [4] - Downstream focuses on high-performance data center operators and industry users driving the large-scale adoption of liquid cooling [4]

| | | 实际为其提供的 | 是否在前 | 本次担保 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 被担保人名称 | 本次担保金额 | 担保余额（不含 | 期预计额 | 是否有反 | | | | 本次担保金额） | 度内 | 担保 | | 浙江晋巨化工有限公司（以下 简称"晋巨公司"） | 5251.72 万元 | 61782.53 万元 | 是 | 否 | | 宁波巨化化工科技有限公司 | 100 万美元，折合人 | 0 万元 | 是 | 否 | | （以下简称"宁化公司"） | 民币 696.78 万元 | | | | | 甘肃巨化新材料有限公司（以 下简称"甘肃巨化公司"） | 75088.91 万元 | 29750 万元 | 是 | 否 | 证券代码：600160 证券简称：巨化股份 公告编号：临 2026-08 浙江巨化股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 （美元汇率按中国人民银行官网 1 ...

Group 1 - The core project of Gansu Juhua New Materials Co., Ltd. focuses on high-performance silicon-fluorine materials and has a total investment of 41 billion yuan, setting a record for single industrial project investment in Gansu Province [2] - The project is strategically significant for the development of new energy batteries, semiconductors, and high-end equipment manufacturing, contributing to the transformation and upgrading of the chemical industry in Northwest China [2] - The project is located in the Yumen Economic Development Zone and aims to leverage regional resource advantages to enhance the industrial chain [2] Group 2 - To support the timely production of the project, the State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company has initiated a "one-to-one" exclusive service mechanism for major projects, customizing power supply plans [3] - The company has completed capacity upgrades for 30 circuit breakers at two 330 kV substations and has adjusted the operation mode of the main network multiple times to ensure the project's power supply [3] - The "efficient power management" service model has been introduced, providing comprehensive tracking and guidance for equipment debugging and pre-operation checks to ensure successful power delivery [3]