Group 1 - The report highlights that the current market rally is characterized by a disconnect between index performance and underlying earnings recovery, suggesting that the rally is more driven by liquidity and thematic trading rather than fundamental improvements [1][34]. - The report introduces the securitization rate (the ratio of total market capitalization to GDP) as a useful tool for identifying valuation peaks in index bull markets, indicating that a higher securitization rate typically reflects liquidity-driven market conditions [2][23]. - Historical data shows that during significant index bull markets, the securitization rate has risen above 1, with current levels at 0.83 suggesting potential for further valuation upside [2][26]. Group 2 - The report anticipates that the total market capitalization of the two exchanges will continue to expand, driven by expected recovery in producer price index (PPI) and supportive liquidity and policy expectations [3][35]. - The analysis indicates that the current market environment aligns with characteristics of an index bull market, despite concerns about the inability to surpass previous valuation peaks [33][34]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the securitization rate as it approaches 1, which could signal a critical valuation threshold for the market [3][35]. Group 3 - The investment strategy proposed includes a "4+1" sector allocation approach, focusing on technology, cyclical sectors benefiting from PPI recovery, and structural opportunities in overseas markets [4][39]. - Specific sectors highlighted for investment include technology and military industries, cyclical commodities, and companies with potential for valuation recovery [4][39]. - The report suggests maintaining a stable core allocation in dividend-paying stocks and gold, indicating a balanced approach to investment amidst market fluctuations [4][39].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not explicitly mentioned in the report 2. Core Views of the Report - In July 2025, the national economy showed steady progress with new driving forces growing. Industrial production increased rapidly, consumption grew steadily, and investment maintained potential despite a slight slowdown [2][14] - The combined policies of anti - involution and expanding domestic demand continued to boost high - quality economic growth. Anti - involution policies aimed to optimize supply, and policies like consumer credit subsidies expanded domestic demand [4][15] - Humanoid robots moved towards scenario - based applications with improved autonomy. The first humanoid robot games and the World Robot Conference demonstrated their development [4][16] - In the context of increasing anti - involution efforts on the supply side, it's necessary to focus on whether the demand side can resonate with the supply side. Industries such as photovoltaics, lithium batteries, and new energy vehicles, as well as the AI industry, are recommended for attention [4][16] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Core Views - In July 2025, the national economy had positive performance. Industrial added value increased by 5.7% year - on - year, equipment and high - tech manufacturing grew significantly, and the output of 3D printing equipment, industrial robots, and new energy vehicles increased by 24.2%, 24.0%, and 17.1% respectively. Social consumer goods retail总额 was 387.8 billion yuan, with some categories showing strong growth. 1 - 7 months' fixed - asset investment increased by 1.6% year - on - year, and investment in some industries grew rapidly [2][14] - Anti - involution policies included industry associations' resistance to malicious competition and the central bank's focus on price stability. The consumer credit subsidy policy covered a wide range of consumption areas, promoting economic growth [4][15] - Humanoid robots achieved improvements in flexibility and scenario - based applications, and the high国产化率 at the World Robot Conference indicated enhanced autonomy [4][16] - Investment suggestions included focusing on emerging industries' anti - involution progress and the development of the AI industry, especially domestic AI's performance and application scenarios [4][16] 3.2 North Exchange Market Performance - The North Exchange 50 Index rose 2.40% from August 11th to 15th. Its annual increase was 42.25%, second only to the Wind Micro - cap Stock Index. The index had high volatility. Electronics and computers led the gains this week, while beauty care and national defense and military industries declined. GEBICA and Haineng Technology led the individual stock gains [17][21][28] 3.3 North Exchange 50 Activity Increase - The trading volume of the North Exchange 50 in the week of August 11th - 15th was 128 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week. However, due to a larger increase in the trading volume of the Wind All - A Index, its trading volume ratio decreased to 1.22% [33] 3.4 North Exchange 50 P/E Ratio Valuation at a Relatively High Level - On August 15th, the median P/E ratio (TTM) of the North Exchange 50 was 64 times, higher than the 29 - times median of the Wind All - A Index [34]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has reached a 10-year high, with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting 3745.94 points, driven by various factors including monetary policy and sector performance [2][5][6]. Market Performance - On August 18, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3728.03, up by 31.26 points or 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 200.90 points or 1.73% [3]. - The total market turnover was 2.8 trillion yuan, and the total market capitalization of A-shares surpassed 100 trillion yuan for the first time [2]. Factors Driving Market Growth - The continuation of a loose monetary policy has kept market liquidity abundant, encouraging capital inflow into the stock market [6]. - A shift in various types of funds towards the stock market has been observed, with a notable decrease in household and corporate deposits [6]. - The demand for AI-related technologies has surged, boosting orders for GPUs, ASIC chips, and other related components, making it a key investment theme [7]. - Easing trade tensions between China and the U.S. has alleviated market concerns regarding trade disputes [8]. Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain upward momentum, supported by favorable funding conditions and policy alignment [10]. - There is a focus on sectors such as cyclical industries, technology, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption trends for potential investment opportunities [12]. - The market may experience a rotation of trading logic, with a strong emphasis on sectors like brokerage and technology, particularly in AI and innovative pharmaceuticals [13]. Investment Opportunities - Companies in the technology sector, especially those involved in AI, innovative drugs, and high-market-share manufacturing, are seen as potential leaders in the market [13]. - The focus on cyclical stocks, technology manufacturing, and new consumption is expected to continue, with specific attention to sectors like rare earths, cobalt, and photovoltaic in the short term [13].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a nearly 10-year high on August 18, 2023, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment and investment opportunities in various sectors [2][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index hit 3745.94 points, marking the highest level since August 2015, with total market turnover reaching 2.8 trillion yuan and total A-share market capitalization surpassing 100 trillion yuan for the first time [2]. - Key sectors that performed well included food and beverage, home appliances, electronics, non-ferrous metals, and social services [2]. Factors Driving Market Growth - Multiple factors contributed to the surge in A-shares, including: - Continued accommodative monetary policy, with the central bank emphasizing a "moderately loose monetary policy" to maintain ample market liquidity [3]. - A shift in various types of funds towards the stock market, indicated by a decrease in household and corporate deposits and an increase in non-bank deposits [3]. - A surge in demand for AI-related technologies, driving orders for GPUs, ASIC chips, servers, and other core components [3]. - Easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, reducing market concerns over trade disputes [3]. Long-term Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain upward momentum, supported by favorable funding conditions and policy collaboration [4][5]. - The trend of reallocating household assets remains unchanged, with targeted support for consumption and technology sectors [4]. - The overall market is anticipated to experience a gradual upward shift in its index center, although short-term volatility may increase [4]. Sector Focus - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors such as cyclical industries, technology, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption [6]. - Specific attention is given to brokerage firms and the technology sector, particularly in AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and military industries, which are expected to see continuous development and investment opportunities [6]. - Macro factors are complex, but strong sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, resources, communications, military, and gaming are highlighted for potential growth [6].

每经AI快讯，开源证券研报称，市场突破"924"行情高点后，我们对于指数的长期突破仍维持乐观判断: (1)市场结构呈现【双轮驱动】，一是全球科技共舞下的成长品类提供强劲的弹性，二是"反内卷"牵头 下周期与顺周期交易PPI修复的扩散行情；(2)不应该在积极的市场中做"惊弓之鸟"，应"坚守自我，科技 为先"；(3)近期，在中枢抬升的过程中，A股市场呈现显著的"增量市"特征，成交额放大与资金活跃度 提升成为核心标志。(4)风格上，看好成长板块，在市场风险偏好高位，成长更易跑出超额。(5)热门赛 道中，更看好液冷，液冷是下一个光模块&PCB，具备"增长强劲、叙事完备、赔率占优"三大特征，液 冷基本面斜率变化或更陡峭，对比光模块、PCB，当前所处时期较早。 ...

Group 1 - The report suggests an industry allocation strategy termed "4+1," focusing on technology growth, self-control, and military sectors, including liquid cooling, robotics, gaming, AI applications, and military technologies such as missiles, drones, satellites, and deep-sea technology. Additionally, it highlights the fintech and brokerage sectors due to their high correlation with indices [1] - The cyclical sectors benefiting from the expectation of marginal improvement in PPI and some low-level rebound include steel, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and building materials, with potential valuation recovery opportunities in insurance, liquor, and real estate [1] - The report identifies sectors with anti-involution elasticity and broader potential, indicating that the current anti-involution trend extends beyond traditional cyclical industries, with mid-term potential in solar energy, lithium batteries, engineering machinery, healthcare, and certain manufacturing and growth directions in Hong Kong's Hang Seng Internet [1] - Structural opportunities for overseas expansion are noted, particularly due to the easing of China-Europe trade relations, benefiting high-export categories like automobiles and wind power, as well as niche exports such as snacks [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of stable dividend stocks, gold, and optimized high-dividend assets for foundational investment [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the structural characteristics of the A-share market, particularly focusing on the phenomenon of "doubling stocks" which have seen significant price increases due to policy support and capital flow [2][3]. Group 1: Doubling Stocks Overview - As of August 15, 2023, there are 313 stocks in the A-share market that have doubled in value since the beginning of the year, representing 5.77% of the total 5424 stocks [3][8]. - These doubling stocks are concentrated in sectors such as computing power, humanoid robots, innovative pharmaceuticals, and solid-state batteries, with nearly 70% having a market capitalization of less than 5 billion yuan at the start of the year [2][3][8]. Group 2: Sector Distribution - The doubling stocks are primarily found in the following sectors: biomedicine (57 stocks), machinery (54 stocks), basic chemicals (25 stocks), computers (24 stocks), electronics (19 stocks), and power equipment (19 stocks) [3][4]. - A total of 196 doubling stocks, accounting for 63% of the total, are concentrated in high-growth sectors driven by favorable policies [4][6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The article notes a positive feedback loop where rising stock prices attract more capital, further driving prices up, particularly in high-growth sectors like AI and robotics [4][9]. - The average price-to-earnings ratio of the doubling stocks exceeds 80, indicating high valuations, with many companies yet to validate their earnings [9][10]. Group 4: Small and Micro-Cap Stocks - The micro-cap stock index has outperformed major indices, rising 55.71% year-to-date, with 68.7% of doubling stocks having a market cap below 5 billion yuan [8][9]. - Among the top 20 doubling stocks, 15 had a market cap of less than 5 billion yuan at the beginning of the year, showcasing the potential for significant returns in smaller companies [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the structural characteristics of the A-share market, particularly focusing on the phenomenon of "doubling stocks," which are primarily concentrated in sectors driven by strong policy support and technological innovation [3][11]. Group 1: Doubling Stocks Overview - As of August 15, 2025, there are 313 stocks in the A-share market that have doubled in value since the beginning of the year, representing 5.77% of the total stocks [3][4]. - These doubling stocks are heavily concentrated in sectors such as computing power, humanoid robots, innovative pharmaceuticals, and solid-state batteries, with nearly 70% having a market capitalization of less than 5 billion yuan at the start of the year [3][4]. Group 2: Sector Distribution - The doubling stocks are primarily distributed across eight major industries: biomedicine (57 stocks), machinery (54), basic chemicals (25), computers (24), electronics (19), and power equipment (19), with communication and military industries having 11 and 12 stocks respectively [4]. - A total of 196 doubling stocks, accounting for 63%, are found in sectors with clear policy support, significant growth potential, and high market activity [4][11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The average increase for all stocks in the A-share market from January 1 to August 15 is 29.92%, with a median increase of 18.74% [3]. - The doubling stocks have created a positive feedback loop where rising prices attract more capital, further driving up prices and creating a cycle of increased investor interest [4][11]. Group 4: High-Growth Stocks - The top 20 stocks by percentage increase include five from biomedicine, three from electronics and defense, and two each from basic chemicals, light manufacturing, and communications [5]. - Notable performers include Shangwei New Materials, which has seen a staggering increase of 1,357.74%, and Shenghong Technology, which has increased by 450% this year [6][7]. Group 5: Small and Micro-Cap Stocks - The micro-cap stock index has outperformed major indices, rising 55.71% year-to-date, with nearly 70% of doubling stocks having a market cap of less than 5 billion yuan at the start of the year [10][11]. - The majority of the doubling stocks are small-cap, indicating that these stocks are more elastic and can provide higher returns for speculative investors [11]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The article suggests that the current market dynamics are driven by themes of policy support and high growth potential in emerging sectors, with small companies likely to exhibit breakthrough growth in the coming years [11]. - As the earnings reports for these doubling stocks are released, the average price-to-earnings ratio exceeds 80, indicating high expectations for future performance [11].

Group 1 - The report emphasizes a positive market outlook with a "dual-driven" strategy, highlighting the importance of technology and the recovery of PPI as key growth drivers [1][10][11] - The A-share market is characterized by significant "incremental market" features, with increased trading volume and active capital flow, indicating a robust market environment [1][14][16] - The report identifies liquid cooling as a promising sector, expected to exhibit strong growth and favorable risk-reward characteristics, positioning it as the next significant opportunity after optical modules and PCBs [1][10][12] Group 2 - The report analyzes the current enthusiasm in popular sectors, noting that financial technology and ground weaponry are relatively crowded, while AI computing chains remain less crowded [2][18][19] - From a valuation perspective, sectors such as AI applications, robotics, aerospace equipment, PCBs, and photolithography machines are identified as having relatively high valuations, while insurance, smart driving, non-ferrous metals, liquor, and photovoltaics are seen as undervalued [2][23][25][26] Group 3 - The report outlines the current industry outlook, indicating that electronics and basic chemicals are entering a favorable phase, while sectors like comprehensive and steel are exiting [3][30][31] - Specific secondary industries expected to perform well include apparel and home textiles, consumer electronics, chemical products, and non-liquor sectors [3][30][31] Group 4 - The report provides configuration recommendations focusing on technology, military, anti-involution, PPI recovery, and stable dividends, suggesting a diversified approach to investment [4][32][33] - Key sectors for investment include liquid cooling, robotics, gaming, AI applications, and military technologies, alongside cyclical sectors benefiting from PPI improvements [4][33]

2025 年 08 月 14 日 液冷：下一个光模块&PCB 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn 我们多篇报告一直明确：市场的结构是【双轮驱动】：其一为全球科技共舞下的 成长品类提供强劲的弹性，其二为"反内卷"牵头下周期与顺周期交易 PPI 修复 的扩散行情。我们于 7 月 29 日发布了《市场的双轮驱动系列一——交易 PPI》， 于 8 月 8 日发布了《市场的双轮驱动系列二——全球科技共舞》。 在双轮驱动行情下，"坚守自我，科技为先"尤为重要。我们于 8 月 3 日发布的 《坚守自我，科技为先》中提出：不应该在积极的市场中做"惊弓之鸟"，调整 后的布局更为关键。 科技当中的下一个光模块&PCB：液冷 AI 算力链条我们一直持续推荐，我们于 7 月 12 日、8 月 3 日、8 月 8 日、8 月 9 日多次提示 AI 硬件的投资机会。AI 算力链条景气度高、业绩确定性强，是当下 市场科技主线的核心。 光模块、PCB 是 AI 算力链的重要组成部分，二者深度绑定海内外 AI 算力基础 设施的建设浪潮，并跟随 AI 服务器不断迭代，无论是出 ...