从欧美及台湾散热厂商财报看海外液冷变化及趋势 20260226 摘要 2025 年在 AI 需求带动下整体收入再创新高。按照公开表述口径估算，2025 年全年液冷相关收入约 15 亿元出头，对应 15—16 亿元人民币规模，体现液 冷进入规模化出货阶段。2026 年 1 月单月数据再创历史新高，主要受益于 GB300 出货及企业客户拉货回温。产品侧，当前液冷强势产品为 Manifold， 战略上更强调提升系统整合能力以扩大份额，并计划自 2026 年起推动 CDU 达 到量产，形成更完整的液冷解决方案供给能力。 台湾及欧美散热厂商营收创新高，液冷收入占比提升，行业进入规模化 出货阶段。受假期影响，部分订单延后确认，预计 2026 年一季度淡季 不淡，景气度延续。 奇宏 2025 年液冷出货集中于冷板模组，四季度收入同比增近 129%， 主要来自 GB300 交换板液冷组件。全年收入创新高，2026 年 1 月营收 同比增 150%，订单可见度已达 2028 年。 双鸿 2025 年液冷收入约 15-16 亿元人民币，进入规模化出货阶段。 2026 年 1 月营收创新高，受益于 GB300 出货。液冷产品重点为 ...

【Hy】液冷+发电大涨，在AI的趋势中"随波逐流"-0226 【Hy】液冷+发电大涨，在AI的趋势中"随波逐流"-0226 我们年后第一个交易日yy了零部件可选的核心方向（AI发电、液冷、半导体等），选出来的标的们今天基本都 很争气。 牛市下半场的轮动一定会演绎更频繁， AI液冷+发电都是AI题材里分歧相对少的，还有订单/业绩/行业催化可以演绎，尤其 ①NV： 财报亮眼，3月中GTC 大会Rubin液冷方案进一步明确，技术节奏可能超预期，核心变化包括产品端冷板（微通道相关）、CDU（泵、阀 等部件）等，供应格局上关注国内供应商（ywk、sq等）份额。 ②国产：ds V4将发布利好国产算力华为昇腾（950采用液冷方案），26年大厂AI资本开支乐观，中长期液冷渗透 率提升空间大。 我们年后第一个交易日yy了零部件可选的核心方向（AI发电、液冷、半导体等），选出来的标的们今天基本都 很争气。 牛市下半场的轮动一定会演绎更频繁， AI液冷+发电都是AI题材里分歧相对少的，还有订单/业绩/行业催化可以演绎，尤其 ①NV： 财报亮眼，3月中GTC 大会Rubin液冷方案进一步明确，技术节奏可能超预期，核心变化包括产 飞龙 ...

春节过完了，红包收好了，该想想马年投资怎么布局了。节后流动性回暖、风险偏好提升，成长或仍是主线。今天，这只"不一样"的成长宽基——富国核 心动力（A类026710/C类026711）重磅首发。 富国核心动力拟由爱调研、会选股的"景气捕手"吴栋栋执掌。他不仅拥有"产业+金融"复合背景，更凭借一套"自上而下抓景气、自下而上挖个股"的方 法。据了解，富国核心动力这只基金不押注单一赛道，而关注AI、机器人、商业航天这些"鱼多的地方"，争取提前下网，力求在变化的市场中持续捕捉超 额收益。 选择在这个时点推出富国核心动力，背后正是对市场节奏与产业周期的双重考量。这并非一只主题狭窄的行业基金，而是一只定位清晰的成长风格宽基 ——股票仓位60%-95%，横跨A股与港股，拟由基金经理吴栋栋管理。 在产业升级与科技创新的浪潮中，寻找并投资那些能驱动增长的"核心动力源"。对于希望布局多元成长、又不愿被单一赛道束缚的投资者而言，这样的产 品设计，或许正契合了"一年之计在于春"的布局思路。 二、吴栋栋：从机械工程师到"景气捕手"的进化之路 一只基金能否行稳致远，基金经理是灵魂。执掌这只新品的吴栋栋，拥有一个不太典型的履历：他并非金融科 ...

深度【天风电新】AI&电力（4）-节流：电源、液冷、PCB上游的投资机会 AIDC产业链迎来量价齐升的通胀红利，电源技术迭代、HVDC架构升级、液冷成为刚需、CCL上游高端材料国产 化突破，国产厂商迎来成长期突围与出海机遇。 AI服务器电源 AI服务器功率密度提升驱动电源技术迭代，带动产品需求量与价值量同步提升，业绩即将进入加速释放阶段。 深度【天风电新】AI&电力（4）-节流：电源、液冷、PCB上游的投资机会 AIDC产业链迎来量价齐升的通胀红利，电源技术迭代、HVDC架构升级、液冷成为刚需、CCL上游高端材料国产 化突破，国产厂商迎来成长期突围与出海机遇。 重点推荐【优优绿能】、【通合科技】。 【科士达】：预计26年主业净利润10亿元，26H2 HVDC代工有望放量，增厚利润2-4亿元。 【江海股份】：27年需求预计为26年6倍，6年AIDC电容收入约10亿，26年AIDC贡献3亿净利润。 【铂科新材】：存储涨价带来稀缺通胀机会，DDR芯片电感市场空间约50亿元，预计26、27年归母净利6、8.4亿 元，对应PE 37、27X。 AI服务器电源 AI服务器功率密度提升驱动电源技术迭代，带动产品需求量与价值 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Cloud Service Providers (CSPs)**: Major cloud service providers including Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon are significantly increasing capital expenditures (CapEx) to support AI development, with Amazon leading at a projected CapEx of $200 billion for 2026, reflecting substantial investment in AI infrastructure [2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Capital Expenditure Growth**: - Google’s Q4 CapEx reached $27.8 billion, totaling $91.4 billion for the year, with a 2026 guidance of $175 to $185 billion, nearly doubling year-over-year [3]. - Microsoft’s Q4 CapEx was $37.5 billion, totaling $118 billion for the year, with significant spending planned for GPU and CPU servers [3]. - Meta’s Q4 CapEx was $22.1 billion, totaling $72.2 billion for the year, with a rapidly growing demand in the liquid cooling market [3]. - Amazon’s Q4 CapEx was $39.5 billion, totaling $131.8 billion for the year, with a 2026 guidance of $200 billion, the highest among the four [4]. - **Revenue and Profit Trends**: - From 2023 to 2025, the revenue of the five major CSPs is expected to steadily increase, with Amazon projected to exceed $213.4 billion in revenue by Q4 2025, indicating a solid financial foundation for AI-related business [5]. - Net profits are expected to remain stable despite increased CapEx, with Google’s Q4 2025 net profit reaching $34.5 billion [5]. - **Strong Demand Indicators**: - Microsoft’s cloud revenue grew by 39% year-over-year, while Amazon AWS and Google Cloud revenues grew by 24% and 48%, respectively [6]. - Backlog orders for Microsoft, Amazon, and Google increased significantly, with Microsoft’s RPO at $625 billion (up 110%), Amazon’s backlog at $244 billion (up 40%), and Google’s backlog at $240 billion (up 55%) [6]. Additional Important Insights - **Taiwan Stock Supply Chain Performance**: - In January, Taiwan's supply chain data remained strong, with companies like Hon Hai expressing optimistic outlooks for Q1, and AI server cabinet shipments continuing to grow [7]. - Companies are aiming for a production capacity exceeding 2,000 units per week by the end of 2026, with a focus on vertical integration to enhance profit margins [7]. - **Liquid Cooling Market Growth**: - The liquid cooling market is experiencing robust growth, with companies like Chi Mei and Shuang Hong achieving month-over-month growth despite seasonal trends, driven by increased downstream demand and rising penetration rates [8]. - Vidi's Q4 orders showed a year-over-year growth of 252%, indicating strong future growth potential in the liquid cooling segment [8]. - **CoWoS Capacity Expansion**: - TSMC is expanding its CoWoS capacity, with expectations to increase monthly capacity to 120,000 to 130,000 units, validating the ongoing demand for AI computing power [9]. - Recommendations for companies in the computing industry include Industrial Fulian, Zhongke Shuguang, Inspur Information, and others involved in server and cooling technologies [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the optimistic outlook for the liquid cooling industry, driven by strong performance and order growth from key players like维谛, AWS, and Google Cloud [4][5][6][7] - The report emphasizes the significant growth in organic orders and backlog for维谛, indicating a robust demand for liquid cooling solutions [4] - Major cloud service providers, including AWS and Google Cloud, have reported revenue growth exceeding expectations, with substantial increases in capital expenditures, suggesting a positive trend for the AI computing power supply chain [5][6] Summary by Sections 维谛 Performance - In Q4 2025, 维谛's sales reached $2.88 billion, a 23% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 23.2%, exceeding expectations [4] - The company experienced a 252% year-over-year growth in organic orders and a backlog increase to $15 billion, up 109% [4] - For 2026, 维谛 projects sales between $13.25 billion and $13.75 billion, with an organic growth rate of 28% and an EPS range of $5.97 to $6.07, reflecting a 43% year-over-year increase [4] AWS and Google Cloud Insights - AWS reported Q4 2025 net sales of $35.58 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with capital expenditures of $38.5 billion, up 48% [5] - Google Cloud's Q4 2025 revenue reached $17.7 billion, a 48% increase, with capital expenditures of $27.9 billion, up 95% [5] - Both companies are expected to continue significant capital investments in 2026, indicating strong growth prospects in the cloud computing sector [5] Meta and Microsoft Performance - Meta's Q4 2025 revenue was $59.893 billion, a 24% increase, with capital expenditures of $22.14 billion [6] - Microsoft's FY2026 Q2 revenue was $81.273 billion, a 17% increase, with the intelligent cloud segment growing by 26% [6] - Both companies are also increasing their capital expenditures significantly, reflecting confidence in future growth [6]

Core Insights - The report identifies liquid cooling as a strategic investment opportunity, potentially replicating the success of optical modules and PCBs, with strong growth prospects driven by AI computing needs and stringent energy efficiency standards [2][3] - Liquid cooling is characterized by three main features: strong growth, complete narrative, and favorable odds, indicating a favorable market environment for investment [2] - The industry is transitioning from speculative hype to a high-growth phase with confirmed orders, as evidenced by significant order increases from key suppliers like Vidi Technology [3] Industry Trends - The liquid cooling industry is entering a high-growth phase with a 252% year-over-year increase in organic orders reported by Vidi Technology, highlighting strong market demand [3] - Major tech companies like NVIDIA and Google are adopting liquid cooling as a mandatory standard for their next-generation platforms, indicating a shift from optional to essential technology in AI computing [3] - The industry is witnessing a wave of mergers and acquisitions, with companies like Liying Intelligent Manufacturing acquiring liquid cooling suppliers to secure positions in the AI server supply chain [3] Liquid Cooling Industry Chain - The liquid cooling industry chain consists of three main segments: upstream components, midstream system integration and manufacturing, and downstream applications [4] - Upstream includes key technologies and components such as cooling fluids and CDU, which have high technical barriers and value [4] - Midstream integrates upstream components to provide complete liquid cooling server solutions, with technical integration capabilities as a core barrier [4] - Downstream focuses on high-performance data center operators and industry users driving the large-scale adoption of liquid cooling [4]

Group 1 - The long-term trend of A-shares remains stable and positive, with a focus on "quality" over "quantity" in 2026, emphasizing new productive forces and the "anti-involution" theme as the main line for the year [1][4] - The A-share market experienced significant volatility at the end of January, with rapid sector rotation, and the volatility focused on two main lines: AI-driven technology narratives and resource allocation related to geopolitical issues [1] - The combination of AI and precious metals has seen simultaneous price increases since the second half of 2025, leading to strong closing intentions among holders of this hedging combination [2] Group 2 - The new Federal Reserve Chairman nominee, Waller, advocates for a "balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts" policy, aiming to restore the market's interest rate discovery mechanism and optimize resource allocation [3] - Market expectations suggest two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each after June 2026, in line with the Trump administration's efforts to alleviate fiscal deficit pressures [3] - The AI sector, particularly investments in upstream hardware related to data centers and grid facilities, is expected to drive economic growth, with supply constraints in storage, chips, and liquid cooling [4]

公司作为热管理解决方案提供商，在AI终端、算力基础设施等领域的液冷、均温板等产品布局深化， 受益于AI算力需求增长。近20日内，电子板块整体上涨9.38%，半导体板块涨幅达16.23%，板块热度助 推个股波动。 资金面情况 主力资金进出频繁：近5日主力资金累计净流入9396.36万元，但单日流向波动较大。例如2月3日主力净 流出1716.58万元，而2月12日主力净流入6690.77万元。高换手率反映筹码交换：近20日区间换手率峰值 达10.11%(2月12日)，显示多空资金分歧加剧。 股价情况 经济观察网中石科技（300684）近20日股价出现显著波动，区间振幅达15.30%，区间涨幅为3.91%。这 一波动主要与以下因素相关： 股价在1月下旬突破前期整理平台，最高触及60.00元(1月28日)，但随后回落至51.40元(2月6日)低点，部 分获利盘了结导致回调。2月12日股价再度放量上涨6.45%，技术面呈现震荡上行特征。 业绩经营情况 公司发布业绩预增公告，预计全年归母净利润为3.30亿—3.70亿元，同比增长63.86%—83.73%。该预告 显著超出部分市场预期，成为短期股价催化因素。公告后首个交易 ...

经济观察网维谛技术(VRT.N)在2026年2月11日股价大幅上涨并突破60日新高，主要受其2025财年第四季 度财报超预期以及强劲的业绩指引驱动。 股票近期走势 财报发布后，市场情绪积极。2月11日股价开盘即跳涨至233.25美元，收盘报244.64美元，单日涨幅 22.55%，盘中最高触及249.95美元，创历史新高。成交额达36.8亿美元，换手率4.02%，显示资金大幅 流入。此前一周(2月5日–10日)股价已累计上涨9.34%，财报后涨幅进一步扩大。 业绩经营情况 根据2026年2月11日发布的2025财年Q4(截至2025年12月31日)财报，维谛技术多项核心指标显著优于市 场预期：订单爆发式增长：Q4有机订单同比增幅达252%，订单出货比升至2.9倍，积压订单规模增至 150亿美元(同比+109%)，为未来收入提供高确定性。盈利与现金流改善：调整后营业利润同比增33%至 6.68亿美元，调整后自由现金流同比增151%至9.10亿美元，净杠杆率仅0.5倍，财务结构健康。2026财 年高增长指引：公司预计全年净销售额132.5亿–137.5亿美元(同比+28%)，调整后每股收益5.97–6.07美 元 ...