证券研究报告 | 2025年07月11日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-10 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3509.68 | 10631.12 | 4010.02 | 12093.58 | 3053.44 | 979.98 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.28 | -0.01 | -0.31 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 6131.60 | 8809.87 | 3478.36 | 3072.32 | 4194.52 | 221.67 | 【常规内容】 行业与公司 电力设备新能源行业点评：多家企业上调硅片报价，国家新增重点行业 绿电消费比例 电力设备新能源行业点评：三部委推动国家级零碳园区申报，节能风电 拟投建 500MW 工业园区铁合金绿电消纳项目 豪鹏科技(001283.SZ) 财报点评:Q2 盈利能力持续提升，AI 端侧客户开 拓顺利 金融工程 金 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the gradual implementation of the 136 document details across provinces, with a focus on ensuring profitability for existing projects and clearer revenue expectations [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of mechanism electricity quantity and price, with specific guidelines from Shandong and Guangdong provinces, indicating a stronger support for existing projects compared to Inner Mongolia [3] - The national green electricity direct connection policy is seen as a significant step towards promoting green electricity consumption and reducing electricity costs for end-users, particularly export-oriented enterprises [4] Segment Summaries Thermal Power - Coal prices remain low, with the Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal price dropping to 610 RMB/ton as of June 3, 2025, and an average price of 688 RMB/ton year-to-date, a year-on-year decrease of 189 RMB/ton or 22%, which may mitigate the negative impact of long-term electricity price declines in 2025 [5] - Companies with a high market coal ratio and small electricity price reduction are recommended for attention [5] Hydropower and Nuclear Power - Current low interest rates enhance the investment value of hydropower and nuclear power [5] Renewable Energy - Continuous policy support for electricity price reform and green electricity consumption is expected to foster sustainable industry development, presenting a pivotal investment opportunity [5] - The report anticipates that provinces with stronger renewable energy consumption capabilities will set higher mechanism electricity quantity ratios, aligning with the 136 document's "new and old connection" approach [3] - The first bidding price in Shandong is capped at the previous year's settlement average price, with wind and solar prices at 0.357 and 0.346 RMB/kWh respectively, indicating a discount of 10% and 12% compared to coal benchmark prices [3] Electricity Consumption Trends - In April, total electricity consumption reached 772.1 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with notable growth in new business sectors such as information transmission and electric vehicle charging services [5] - The report notes a decline in hydropower generation growth, while wind and solar generation growth accelerated [5]

齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 李牧青 二是聚力实施火电调峰增强行动。提速存量机组灵活性改造，全年完成2000万千瓦机组改造及核定；强化煤电基础调节地位，年底前建成大型煤电机组268 万千瓦；深度挖掘自备电厂调节能力，支持自备电厂参与电力市场。 三是聚力实施新型储能提振行动。积极发展压缩空气储能，年内新增规模100万千瓦左右；科学布局电化学储能，年内新增规模200万千瓦以上；积极支持独 立储能发展，鼓励钠离子电池、飞轮储能等新技术应用，完善储能市场交易机制，持续增强灵活调节能力。 四是聚力实施电网支撑强化行动。夯实省域主网架，加快弥河新建、海口扩建工程建设；加强市域主网架，尽早投产东营富国至裕民线路等工程；持续完善 智慧化调度系统，超前组织并网验收等工作，保障煤电、储能等调节资源建成即并网。 5月15日上午，山东省政府新闻办举行新闻发布会，邀请省能源局主要负责同志等介绍山东深入实施"八大行动"，推动新能源高水平消纳情况。 发布会上，省发展改革委党组成员、副主任，省能源局党组书记、局长胡薄介绍，今年年初，省委领导在全省抓改革创新促高质量发展大会上强调，必须下 更大功夫，切实抓好新能源消纳利用；省政府工作报告指出，要完善能源 ...