2026年1月25日，国内金价出现回落迹象：上金所Au9999报1114元/克、沪金期货1121元/克、中国黄金基础价1107元/克均偏弱运行；银行金条约1132元/克跟 随下跌，金饰克价维持1271—1548元区间，周大福/六福/老凤祥1553元/克、周生生1551元/克。 一、品牌金价与铂金报价 从零售端看，多数品牌足金报价仍集中在1551—1553元/克：周大福、谢瑞麟、老凤祥、老庙、周大生、潮宏基等为1553元/克，周生生与六福分别在1551— 1553元/克附近；水贝报价相对低，黄金约1274元/克，菜百约1498元/克，中国黄金高位约1562元/克。 铂金方面品牌差异更明显：水贝约667元/克，菜百与中国黄金约800元/克，老凤祥与老庙约950元/克，部分品牌铂金报价可到1102—1148元/克。 零售端对下跌并不敏感，原因在于工费、渠道与品牌溢价具有黏性，当原料端走弱时，金饰往往先"挺价"，随后才通过活动、工费调整或调价来消化回落。 二、黄金基准价偏弱 交易端与基准端显示出"弱中有弹"的特征：Au9999报1114元/克，期货约1121元/克，基础金价约1107元/克，与前期高位相比回落更明显， ...

Core Insights - The performance of fixed-income funds in 2025 significantly declined compared to 2024, with an average return of 2.15% across 3,988 funds, down from 4% in 2024 [2][35] - The total profit from fixed-income funds in 2025 was 372.31 billion yuan, a decrease of 264.15 billion yuan from 636.47 billion yuan in 2024 [2][46] - Despite poor overall performance, the management scale of fixed-income funds increased to 26.12 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, up nearly 2 trillion yuan from the end of 2024 [2][57] Fund Performance - The top-performing fund was Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond A, achieving a return of 48.77%, while the worst performer was Huatai Fuheng Pure Bond A, with a return of -7.7%, resulting in a performance gap of 56.47% [2][39] - Among 3,648 bond funds, the average return was 2.23%, with 3,311 funds generating positive returns and 337 funds reporting losses [5][37] - Convertible bond funds performed exceptionally well, with an average return of 23.34%, while index bond funds lagged with an average return of 0.82% [5][37] Management Scale Changes - By the end of 2025, the management scale of fixed-income funds increased by 1.96 trillion yuan, representing an 8.11% growth [25][57] - 33 fund companies saw their bond fund management scale grow by over 10 billion yuan, while 51 companies experienced similar growth in money market funds [36][61] - However, some companies, such as Bosera Fund, saw significant reductions in their bond fund management scale, with a decrease of 457.91 billion yuan [31][62] Profit Distribution - In 2025, 32 fund companies reported net profits exceeding 3 billion yuan from fixed-income products, with 12 companies surpassing 10 billion yuan [2][51] - The top profit-generating fund was Tianhong Yuerbao, with a profit of 9.256 billion yuan [48][49] - Conversely, 442 fixed-income funds reported negative profits, with 21 funds losing over 1 billion yuan [50][51] Company-Specific Insights - E Fund led the profit rankings among fund companies with a total profit of 19.974 billion yuan from fixed-income products [52][51] - Six companies, including Xinghe Fund and Huachen Future Fund, reported negative profits, primarily from their bond funds [52][53] - The performance of fund managers also varied, with some experiencing significant underperformance compared to benchmarks [43][45]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the launch of the 2026 TOP50 fixed income fund manager ranking, highlighting the growth and stability of fixed income products, particularly in the "fixed income +" category, which is expected to see significant expansion in 2025 [1]. Summary by Sections Performance Metrics - The average performance of various fund categories for 2025 shows that the "Point Pick & Zero City" funds outperformed their respective benchmarks across different categories, with notable figures such as: - Money Market Average: 1.61% vs. 1.30% benchmark [2] - Short-Debt Average: 1.29% vs. 1.40% benchmark [2] - Conservative Income Average: 1.86% vs. 0.83% benchmark [2] - Steady "Fixed Income +" Average: 4.75% vs. 4.58% benchmark [2] - Active "Fixed Income +" Average: 7.78% vs. 6.53% benchmark [2] - Equity-Debt Balanced Average: 20.41% vs. 16.77% benchmark [2] Fund Manager Selection Criteria - The selection of fund managers for the ranking is based on multiple factors including: - Performance since inception, five-year performance, excess return stability, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, Calmar ratio, volatility, and qualitative analysis [3]. - Consideration of fund manager's management scale, holder structure, strategy capacity, management fees, number of funds managed, position, and influence [3]. Fund Classification Methodology - A unique classification method for fixed income funds is introduced, categorizing them into: 1. Cash Alternative 2. Conservative Income 3. Steady "Fixed Income +" 4. Active "Fixed Income +" 5. Equity-Debt Balanced [5]. Ranking Characteristics - The ranking focuses on experienced fund managers, excluding those with less than five years of tenure, emphasizing risk control over aggressive yield chasing [7]. - The average management tenure of selected fund managers is 10.43 years, with an average management scale of 32.38 billion [7]. - Only 50 fund managers are selected to avoid excessive homogeneity, with rankings not indicating preference [7]. Fund Manager Diversity - The ranking includes multi-manager configurations to leverage diverse asset classes, recognizing that single managers may not excel across all areas [7]. - The list excludes dollar-denominated bond funds and money market funds, while including mixed-asset FOFs due to the increasing importance of asset allocation [8]. Conclusion - The article acknowledges the dynamic nature of the fund management industry, inviting feedback and suggestions for potential fund managers to consider for future rankings [19].

Core Insights - The article discusses the launch of the 2026 TOP50 fixed income fund manager ranking, highlighting the significant growth of "fixed income +" products in 2025 and the positive reputation of the ranking list [1][2]. Performance Summary - The average performance of various fund categories for 2025 shows that: - The average return for cash equivalent funds is 1.61%, compared to 1.30% for the Wind Money Market Fund Index [2]. - The short-term bond fund average return is 1.29%, slightly lower than the Wind Short-term Pure Bond Fund Index at 1.40% [2]. - The stable "fixed income +" average return is 4.75%, outperforming the non-pure bond index at 4.58% [2]. - The active "fixed income +" average return is 7.78%, exceeding the Wind Mixed Bond Fund Index at 6.53% [2]. - The balanced equity and bond fund average return is 20.41%, significantly higher than the Wind Balanced Mixed Fund Index at 16.77% [2]. Ranking Methodology - The ranking considers factors such as historical performance, excess return stability, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, Calmar ratio, volatility, and qualitative analysis [3]. - The average management tenure of the selected fund managers is 10.43 years, with an average management scale of 32.38 billion [6]. - The list includes only 50 fund managers to avoid excessive homogeneity, with rankings not being prioritized [6]. Fund Classification - A unique classification method categorizes fixed income funds into five types based on risk exposure and return characteristics: 1. Cash alternative 2. Conservative income 3. Stable "fixed income +" 4. Active "fixed income +" 5. Balanced equity and bond [5]. Fund Manager Selection - The selection process excludes managers with less than five years of experience to ensure stability and risk control [6]. - Multi-manager configurations are considered due to the diverse asset classes involved in fixed income funds [6]. - The list excludes dollar-denominated bonds and money market funds, while including mixed bond fund of funds (FOF) due to the importance of asset allocation [7].

Group 1 - The public fund issuance remains strong at the beginning of the year, with 44 new funds starting fundraising this week, a 10% increase compared to the previous week, marking the fourth consecutive week above 35 funds [1] - The average subscription period for new funds this week is only 13.18 days, indicating a faster pace of capital entry and a steady increase in investor confidence [1] - The A-share market saw a decline in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.08% to 4132.9 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.85% to 14316.64 points, reflecting a weak performance in small and mid-cap stocks [1] Group 2 - A total of 56 new funds were launched on January 26, primarily consisting of equity and mixed funds, with notable fundraising targets such as the Fortune China Securities Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme ETF aiming for 8 billion yuan [2] - The surge in AI demand has led to a global increase in storage prices, with domestic policies supporting the semiconductor sector, resulting in a synchronized rise in A-share and US stock markets [2] - Despite high short-term valuations and potential adjustment pressures, the global tech wave driven by AI is expected to propel the industry into a new growth cycle, benefiting companies with core technologies and ecological barriers [2] Group 3 - The public fund of funds (FOF) market is expected to see significant activity in Q4 2025, with a substantial increase in the number and scale of new funds, and a growing number of managers entering the market [3] - Pure bond funds remain the largest type held within FOFs, providing a stable base, while some FOFs are moderately increasing their allocation to equity funds, particularly in technology themes [3] - FOFs are recognized as "professional fund buyers," leveraging diversified allocations to mitigate risks, which is expected to appeal to conservative investors in 2026 [3]

Market Review - The A-share market showed a mixed performance among major indices, with the CSI 500, CSI 1000, and Sci-Tech 50 indices leading with returns of 4.34%, 2.89%, and 2.62% respectively, while the CSI 300, ChiNext, and Shanghai Composite indices lagged with returns of -0.62%, -0.34%, and 0.84% respectively [5][11] - The construction materials, oil and petrochemicals, and steel sectors performed well, with returns of 9.18%, 7.76%, and 6.98% respectively, while the banking, telecommunications, and food and beverage sectors underperformed with returns of -2.69%, -1.68%, and -1.57% respectively [17][18] Fund Issuance - A total of 42 new funds were established last week, with a total issuance scale of 444.54 billion yuan, showing an increase compared to the previous week [3] - 58 funds were reported for issuance last week, including 5 FOFs and 17 ETFs, indicating an increase in the number of applications [4][5] Fund Performance - The median returns for active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds were 1.51%, 1.37%, and 1.37% respectively last week [29] - Alternative funds have shown the best performance this year, with a median return of 13.14%, while active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds had median returns of 7.52%, 6.27%, and 5.09% respectively [29][37] Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) issued guidelines for the performance comparison benchmarks of public funds, effective from March 1, 2026, to enhance investor protection and ensure the stability of performance benchmarks [7][8] New Market Entrants - Mizuho Securities (China) Co., Ltd. was officially established with a registered capital of 2.3 billion yuan, marking the third Japanese securities firm in China [9]

新年伊始，公募基金发行市场延续了火热的态势。据公募排排网最新统计数据，以认购起始日为口 径统计，本周(2026年1月26日至2月1日，下同)全市场共有44只新基金启动发行，数量较前一周(2026年1 月19日至1月25日)增长约10%，这也是新基金发行连续第四周稳定在35只以上。 与此同时，本周新基金的平均认购天数为13.18天，相比以往，募集周期明显缩短。这一变化不仅 体现了资金入市的积极节奏，也从侧面反映出投资者对市场的信心正在稳步增强。 从产品结构来看，权益类基金在本周新发行产品中占据多数，股票型基金与混合型基金合计35只， 占比接近八成。具体而言，股票型基金共发行21只，约占新发行产品总数的47.73%，成为主力。其 中，被动指数型基金有12只，主要采取跟踪市场基准的策略；普通股票型基金为5只，更侧重于主动管 理；此外还有4只指数增强型基金，在被动跟踪的基础上加入了主动优化手段。 混合型基金方面，本周共发行14只新产品。其中，偏股混合型基金达11只，偏债混合型与灵活配置 型基金分别有2只和1只。除此之外，本周还有5只FOF(基金中的基金)产品启动募集，且均为偏债混合型 FOF；QDII(合格境内机构投 ...

从产品结构来看，权益类基金在本周新发行产品中占据多数，股票型基金与混合型基金合计35只，占比 接近八成。具体而言，股票型基金共发行21只，约占新发行产品总数的47.73%，成为主力。其中，被 动指数型基金有12只，主要采取跟踪市场基准的策略；普通股票型基金为5只，更侧重于主动管理；此 外还有4只指数增强型基金，在被动跟踪的基础上加入了主动优化手段。 新年伊始，公募基金发行市场延续了火热的态势。据公募排排网最新统计数据，以认购起始日为口径统 计，本周(2026年1月26日至2月1日，下同)全市场共有44只新基金启动发行，数量较前一周(2026年1月19 日至1月25日)增长约10%，这也是新基金发行连续第四周稳定在35只以上。 与此同时，本周新基金的平均认购天数为13.18天，相比以往，募集周期明显缩短。这一变化不仅体现 了资金入市的积极节奏，也从侧面反映出投资者对市场的信心正在稳步增强。 "新基金连续数周保持较高发行量，体现了公募基金作为居民财富管理重要工具的地位。募集期的缩短 则印证了投资者配置需求旺盛，市场信心正在稳步提升。"深圳市前海排排网基金销售有限责任公司研 究总监刘有华在接受《证券日报》记者采访时 ...

金融工程 证 券 研 究 报 告 【金工周报】（20260119-20260123） 短期择时模型以看多为主，后市或震荡向上 ❖ 本周回顾 本周市场涨多跌少，上证指数单周上涨 0.84%，创业板指单周下跌 0.34%。 A 股模型： 短期：成交量模型部分宽基指数看多。特征龙虎榜机构模型中性。特征成交量 模型中性。智能算法沪深 300 模型看多，智能算法中证 500 模型看多。 中期：涨跌停模型中性。上下行收益差模型所有宽基指数看多。月历效应模型 中性。 长期：长期动量模型中性。 综合：A 股综合兵器 V3 模型看多。A 股综合国证 2000 模型中性。 港股模型： 中期：成交额倒波幅模型看多。恒生指数上下行收益差模型中性，上下行收益 差相似模型看多。 本周行业指数普遍上涨，涨幅前五的行业为：建材、石油石化、钢铁、有色金 属、基础化工，跌幅前五的行业为：银行、通信、食品饮料、非银行金融、计 算机。从资金流向角度来说，银行、非银行金融、有色金属、煤炭、建材主力 资金净流入居前，电子、通信、计算机、电力设备及新能源、国防军工主力资 金净流出居前。 本周股票型基金总仓位为 94.53%，相较于上周增加了 13 个 b ...

Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a fluctuating upward trend this week, with major broad-based indices showing mixed performance and significant market style differentiation [1] - International gold prices recently reached a new historical high, leading to strong performance in related ETFs, with gold stock ETFs rising by 13.17%, the highest among all [1][2] - Other sectors such as photovoltaic and building materials ETFs also saw substantial gains, while Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs experienced slight adjustments [1] Fund Flow Analysis - Overall, ETF funds experienced a net outflow of 696.39 billion, with broad-based ETFs facing a net outflow of 873.01 billion, while industry ETFs saw a net inflow of 143.04 billion and commodity ETFs a net inflow of 32.91 billion [3] - Funds have not exited the market but have shifted towards more elastic sectors, with significant net inflows into TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) and cyclical sectors like non-ferrous metals, indicating active funds' preference for technology growth themes [2][3] ETF Performance - The top-performing gold stock ETFs included: - 517400 Gold Stock ETF with a 13.17% increase and a latest scale of 826 million [2] - 159315 Gold Stock ETF from ICBC with a 13.03% increase and a scale of 222 million [2] - 517520 Gold Stock ETF from Yongying with a 12.95% increase and a scale of 177.52 billion [2] - Photovoltaic ETFs also performed well, with the top performer being 560980 Photovoltaic Leader ETF from GF with a 10.71% increase and a scale of 565 million [2] Upcoming ETF Listings - Next week, four new ETFs are set to be listed, including: - 589190 Sci-Tech Chip ETF from Huabao, with subscription starting on December 30, 2025 [5] - 159158 Power ETF from Invesco, with subscription starting on January 7, 2026 [5] - 589220 Sci-Tech 200 ETF from Guotai, with subscription starting on January 5, 2026 [5]