Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and portfolio adjustments of the Jiashi Value Select Equity Fund managed by Tan Li, indicating a shift in top holdings and a focus on commodity prices and market dynamics in the context of investment strategies. Group 1: Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of the Jiashi Value Select Equity Fund include Zijin Mining, Hualu Hengsheng, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and others, with notable new entries being Ninebot and Binjiang Group, while Chengdu Bank exited the top ten [1][2]. - The fund's stock position was reported at 91.88% at the end of Q4 [2]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The net asset value per share for Jiashi Value Select Equity A was 2.2893 yuan, with a growth rate of -0.32%, while the C share had a net asset value of 2.2825 yuan and a growth rate of -0.48%, against a benchmark return of -2.06% [3]. Group 3: Market Analysis - In Q4, there was a significant increase in the prices of gold and industrial metals, influenced by factors such as resource nationalism and strategic metal reserves in developed countries, leading to a widening supply-demand gap [3]. - The A-share market saw a rebound in Q3 2024 and a substantial rise in Q3 2025, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and Growth Enterprise Market achieving around 50% gains year-to-date, driven by a strong technology narrative and high market risk appetite [4]. - The report indicates a structural adjustment in the portfolio, with increased allocation to non-ferrous metals and a realization of profits in precious metals, while maintaining overall allocation ratios [4].

Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The overall container shipping price has slightly decreased, with the SCFI composite index dropping by 4.4% to 1574 points [8] - In the express logistics sector, SF Express and J&T Express have entered a strategic mutual shareholding agreement worth HKD 8.3 billion, aiming for collaborative growth in both domestic and international markets [2] - Xiamen Xiangyu has released its strategic plan for 2026-2030, focusing on high-quality development and optimizing its business portfolio across various sectors [3] Group 2: Air Transport - China Southern Airlines has significantly increased its investment in Shantou Airlines, raising its registered capital from CNY 280 million to approximately CNY 1.504 billion, an increase of 437.25% [4] - Cambodia has announced a four-month visa exemption for Chinese tourists, effective from June 15 to October 15, 2026, which may boost travel demand [4] - The Philippines has implemented a 14-day visa exemption for Chinese citizens, valid for one year, which could enhance tourism and travel between the two countries [4] Group 3: Shipping and Port Operations - The BDTI index for crude oil shipping has increased by 15.61% to 1388 points, indicating a positive trend in oil transportation rates [8] - The BDI index for bulk shipping has decreased by 10.2% to 1591 points, reflecting a decline in bulk shipping rates [8] - China's port cargo throughput has increased by 3.06% week-on-week, with container throughput rising by 5.50% [8] Group 4: Road and Rail Transport - National logistics operations have been running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 10.26% and highway truck traffic rising by 17.3% during the week of January 5-11, 2026 [10] - Gansu Expressway reported a 3.18% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, driven by growth in smart transportation services [11] - The issuance of short-term financing bonds by China Merchants Expressway at a low interest rate of 1.58% indicates favorable financing conditions [11] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - The express delivery sector is expected to benefit from resilient demand and a reduction in competition, with companies like SF Express and JD Logistics poised for growth [12] - The oil transportation market is anticipated to improve due to OPEC+ production increases and favorable economic conditions, with companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping Energy being potential beneficiaries [13] - The shipping market is expected to recover, driven by environmental regulations and increasing demand for bulk commodities, with companies like China Merchants Energy and Hainan Airlines being highlighted for their growth potential [13]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened high but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.29% to 26,844.96 points and a total turnover of HKD 255.08 billion. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.5% to 9,220.81 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.11% to 5,822.18 points. For the week, the Hang Seng Index rose 2.34%, the China Enterprises Index increased by 1.9%, and the Tech Index gained 2.37% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Li Ning (02331) showed strong performance, rising 4.35% to HKD 20.4 with a turnover of HKD 54.6 million, contributing 3.16 points to the Hang Seng Index. Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Li Ning's revenue is expected to achieve moderate growth, with net profit margins stabilizing at high single digits, suggesting an upward revision in consensus net profit expectations [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included Techtronic Industries (00669) up 4.87%, Wharf Real Estate Investment (01997) up 2.78%, Alibaba Health (00241) down 5.16%, and Orient Overseas International (00316) down 4.98% [2] Sector Highlights Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor sector showed strong performance, with companies like Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) up 16.74%, Tianyu Advanced (02631) up 13.5%, and Fortior (01304) up 8.21% [3] Power Equipment Stocks - Power equipment stocks generally rose, with Harbin Electric (01133) up 5.78%, Dongfang Electric (01072) up 4.92%, and Times Electric (03898) up 2.58%. The State Grid's investment plan of HKD 4 trillion for the 14th Five-Year Plan represents a 40% increase from the previous plan, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector saw a revival, with companies like Goldwind Technology (02208) up 3.52% and Junda Co. (02865) up 2.8%. The sector is expected to benefit from increased activity in space exploration and technology advancements [5] Robotics Sector - The robotics sector was active, with companies like Geekplus (02590) up 6.97% and Cloudwalk (02670) up 4.84%. A report from Omdia predicts significant growth in humanoid robot installations, with a forecast of 1.6 million units by 2025 [6] Shipping Sector - The shipping sector faced pressure, with Orient Overseas International (00316) down 4.98% and Seaspan (01308) down 3.96%. Maersk announced the resumption of operations through the Red Sea, which may lead to a 7%-8% increase in shipping capacity, potentially putting downward pressure on freight rates [7] Notable Stock Movements - MINIMAX (00100) led the AI sector with a rise of 22.35% to HKD 438, driven by its strategic focus on AI model breakthroughs [8] - Conant Optical (02276) reached a new high, up 10.52% to HKD 60.4, as Meta Platforms plans to double AI smart glasses production [9] - Derin Holdings (01709) rose 6.76% to HKD 2.21 after receiving conditional approval for digital asset consulting services [10] - Lithium stocks faced declines, with Ganfeng Lithium (01772) down 4.94% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) down 2.98%, as lithium futures prices fell [11]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong shipping stocks are generally declining, with notable drops in share prices [1] - Orient Overseas International (00316.HK) decreased by 3.72%, trading at HKD 121.7 [1] - Seaspan Corporation (01308.HK) fell by 2.93%, with shares priced at HKD 26.5 [1] - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (01919.HK) saw a decline of 2.77%, with shares at HKD 13.34 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The shipping sector is experiencing a downturn, with major companies like Orient Overseas International, Seaspan Corporation, and China COSCO Shipping Corporation seeing declines in their stock prices due to the anticipated impact of increased shipping capacity and falling freight rates following the resumption of routes through the Red Sea and Suez Canal by Maersk [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Orient Overseas International (00316) shares fell by 3.72%, trading at 121.7 HKD [1] - Seaspan Corporation (01308) shares decreased by 2.93%, trading at 26.5 HKD [1] - China COSCO Shipping Corporation (601919) (01919) shares dropped by 2.77%, trading at 13.34 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - Maersk announced on January 15 that it will resume navigation through the Red Sea and Suez Canal as the security situation in the region stabilizes, marking a significant step towards normalcy in the shipping industry after two years of disruptions caused by Houthi attacks [1] - The return of vessels to the shorter Suez route is expected to increase shipping capacity by 7% to 8%, leading to downward pressure on freight rates [1] Group 3: Freight Rate Predictions - HSBC Global Research forecasts that freight rates could decline by 9% to 16% this year, assuming that disruptions in Red Sea shipping continue at least until mid-year [1] - The research indicates that there are downward risks to the current freight rate predictions [1]

Group 1 - The shipping sector is experiencing a general decline, with notable drops in stock prices for companies such as Orient Overseas International (00316) down 3.72% to HKD 121.7, Seaspan Corporation (01308) down 2.93% to HKD 26.5, and China COSCO Shipping Corporation (01919) down 2.77% to HKD 13.34 [1] - Danish shipping giant Maersk announced on January 15 that it will resume navigation through the Red Sea and Suez Canal as the security situation in the region stabilizes, marking a significant step towards normalcy in the shipping industry after two years of disruptions caused by Houthi attacks on vessels [1] - Market analysts predict that the return of vessels to the shorter Suez route may exert downward pressure on freight rates, with HSBC Global Research estimating a 7% to 8% increase in capacity, leading to a projected decline in freight rates by 9% to 16% this year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Invesco Great Wall CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159569) has shown stable performance with a slight increase in scale and consistent trading activity since its inception in August 2024 [1][2]. Fund Overview - The fund was established on August 14, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.08% [1]. - As of January 14, 2025, the fund's total shares stood at 349 million, with a total scale of 471 million yuan, reflecting a 1.10% increase in scale since the end of December 2024 [1]. Trading Activity - The ETF recorded a total trading volume of 553 million yuan over the last 20 trading days, averaging 27.67 million yuan per day [1]. - Year-to-date, the ETF has seen a total trading volume of 298 million yuan over 9 trading days, with an average daily trading volume of 33.17 million yuan [1]. Fund Management - The current fund managers are Gong Lili and Wang Yang, with Gong Lili managing the fund since August 29, 2024, achieving a return of 40.03%, while Wang Yang has managed it since August 13, 2025, with a return of -0.32% [2]. Top Holdings - The ETF's major holdings include: - Orient Overseas International: 9.08% of the portfolio - China COSCO Shipping: 6.30% - Yanzhou Coal Mining: 6.13% - Seaspan Corporation: 5.16% - Yancoal Australia: 4.92% - China Hongqiao: 4.51% - China Shenhua Energy: 3.47% - CNOOC: 3.25% - Anhui Conch Cement: 3.15% - Sinopec: 3.01% [2][3].

老铺黄金 （派息日） | 类别 | | 公司 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 龙旗科技 | | | 新股活动 | (招股中) | | | 业绩公布日 | 大众金融控股 | | | | 中播数据 | | | | 新晨动力 | | | | 中发展控股 | | | | 新琪安 | | | | 锦艺集团控股 | | | 股东大会召开日 | 亨鑫科技 | | | | 泰锦控股 | | | | 正通汽车 | | | | RAFFLESINTERIOR | | | | 城建设计 | | | | 元续科技 | | | 停复牌 | （复牌） | | | | 海丰国际 | | | | （派息日） | | | | HERALD HOLD | | | | （派息日） | | | | 中国光大银行 | | | 分红派息 | （除净日） | | | | 中国中免 | | | | （派息日） | | 智通财经APP获悉，2026年1月15日，港股上市公司投资日志如下： ...

最新定期报告显示，港股红利低波ETF（159569）重仓股包括东方海外国际、中远海控、兖矿能源、海 丰国际、兖煤澳大利亚、中国宏桥、中国神华、中国海洋石油、海螺水泥、中国石油化工股份，持仓占 比如下。 股票代码股票名称持仓占比持仓股数（股）持仓市值（元）00316东方海外国际9.08%26.05万3003.81万 01919中远海控6.30%188.50万2084.09万01171兖矿能源6.13%218.20万2027.98万01308海丰国际 5.16%62.40万1706.82万03668兖煤澳大利亚4.92%66.09万1629.15万01378中国宏桥4.51%61.95万1494.29 万01088中国神华3.47%33.80万1147.94万00883中国海洋石油3.25%61.80万1074.28万00914海螺水泥 3.15%48.60万1042.71万00386中国石油化工股份3.01%269.20万995.39万 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's performance relative to the overall market [12]. Core Insights - The shipping market is expected to see significant growth in Q4 2025, driven by strong VLCC freight rates and structural changes in trade dynamics, including new refinery capacities and geopolitical shifts [4]. - The aviation sector is projected to enter a golden era, with passenger transport expected to reach 770 million in 2025, marking a 5.5% increase from 2024 and a 16.7% increase from 2019 [4]. - The report highlights a shift in the shipping industry from supply-driven to demand-driven dynamics, particularly in shipbuilding, as older vessels are replaced [4]. - The logistics and freight forwarding sectors are facing challenges due to trade tensions, impacting profit margins and demand [4]. Summary by Sections Shipping - Q4 2025 VLCC freight rates are expected to average around $95,500 per day, with a projected demand increase of 1.7% from new refinery capacities and a 2.1% increase from compliance changes in Venezuelan oil [4]. - The dry bulk market is also showing strong performance, with Cape-sized vessel rates expected to rise by 20% to $27,600 per day [4]. - The report estimates that COSCO Shipping Energy's Q4 earnings will be approximately 1.9 billion RMB, while China Merchants Energy's will be around 2.9 billion RMB [4]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with second-hand ship prices rising for 11 consecutive months, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]. Freight Forwarding - The freight forwarding sector is facing profit margin compression due to trade frictions, with the CCFI index expected to decline by 26% in Q4 2025 [4]. Aviation - The Chinese aviation market is expected to achieve a profit of 6.5 billion RMB in 2025, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines anticipated to see significant performance improvements [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of international routes as passenger volumes are expected to grow, driven by a recovery in outbound travel [4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is projected to see a 5% year-on-year growth in Q4, driven by price increases and seasonal demand, despite challenges from trade policies [4]. Road and Rail - The report notes a slowdown in highway traffic growth, while rail passenger and freight volumes continue to increase, with recommendations for specific companies in the sector [4].