证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略月报】 股息率年关盘点 ——多行业联合红利资产 12 月报 策略研究 策略月报 2026 年 01 月 04 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：姚佩 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522120004 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：欧阳予 邮箱：ouyangyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360520070001 证券分析师：韩星雨 邮箱：hanxingyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525050001 证券分析师：单戈 邮箱：shange@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522110001 证券分析师：马野 邮箱：maye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040003 相关研究报告 《【华创策略】杠杆&ETF 资金分化趋势逆转—— 流动性&交易拥挤度&投资者温度计周报》 2025-12-01 《【华 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth in the export value of China's railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing industries, indicating a robust market trend and potential investment opportunities in this sector [1]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In November 2025, the export value of the railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing industries reached 44.55 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 24.4% [1]. - From January to November 2025, the cumulative export value for these industries was 457 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 24.7% [1]. - The data indicates a consistent upward trend in the export value from 2019 to November 2025, showcasing the industry's resilience and growth potential [1]. Group 2: Related Companies - The article lists several companies involved in the transportation equipment sector, including Shanxi Road and Bridge (000755), Dongguan Holdings (000828), Modern Investment (000900), among others [1]. - These companies are positioned to benefit from the growing export market and may present investment opportunities as the industry expands [1].

Group 1: Infrastructure Industry Market Performance Review - The infrastructure sub-sectors underperformed relative to the Wind All A and Shenwan Transportation indices in 2025, with the Shenwan Highway Index down 9.2%, the Shenwan Railway Index down 13.3%, and the Shenwan Port Index down 1.4%, lagging behind the Wind All A by 17.9, 22, and 10 percentage points respectively [6][11] - The overall market style shift has led to a significant decline in the highway sector, which has seen a cumulative drop of 11.7% in 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 by 27.8 percentage points [17] Group 2: Highway Sector - The highway sector's fundamentals remain stable, with traffic revenue affected by road network changes and expansions, leading to varied performance among companies [20][24] - In 2025, the national highway passenger volume reached 8.57 billion people, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, while freight volume was 31.91 billion tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [20] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on individual stocks, particularly Anhui Expressway, which has shown significant revenue growth due to recent acquisitions and expansions [31] Group 3: Railway Sector - The railway sector has shown steady growth in passenger volume, with a total of 3.54 billion passengers transported in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% [35] - Freight volume in the railway sector has been under pressure, with a total of 3.91 billion tons transported in the same period, showing a year-on-year increase of 3% [36] - The outlook for the railway sector remains positive, with expectations of continued growth in passenger volume and potential improvements in freight volume as macroeconomic conditions stabilize [43] Group 4: Port Sector - The port sector has demonstrated stable performance, with total cargo throughput reaching 1.357 billion tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [48] - Container throughput has outperformed bulk cargo, with a total of 26 million TEUs handled, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.3% [56] - Investment recommendations highlight Qingdao Port and China Merchants Port as attractive options due to their low valuations and strong cash flow, with expectations for dividend growth [79]

Core Viewpoint - Shanxi Expressway Group Co., Ltd. plans to acquire a 15% stake in Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group Co., Ltd. for a cash consideration of 74.8 million yuan [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Shanxi Expressway and Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group are both subsidiaries of Shanxi Expressway Control Group, a key state-owned enterprise in Shanxi Province [2] - Shanxi Expressway Control Group reported a revenue of 382.42 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.01 billion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, with total assets amounting to 661.30 billion yuan as of September [2] - Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group is the only authorized operator of government-funded highway service areas under Shanxi Expressway Control Group, engaging in various businesses including gas stations, convenience stores, and advertising resources [2][3] Group 2: Financial Details - As of the assessment date of July 31, 2025, the book value of the total equity of Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group is 389.09 million yuan, with an assessed value of 503.14 million yuan [3] - The 15% equity stake held by Suqi Group in Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group is valued at 75.47 million yuan, leading to a negotiated transaction price of 74.8 million yuan [3] Group 3: Strategic Implications - Following the transaction, Shanxi Expressway will become a shareholder in Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group, creating a joint investment structure with its indirect controlling shareholder and other major shareholders [4] - The acquisition aligns with Shanxi Expressway's strategy to optimize its business layout and enhance the quality of development in the regional economy by leveraging the market advantages of Shanxi Transportation Industry Development Group [5]

根据符合《证券法》规定的评估机构北京国融兴华资产评估有限责任公司出具的《山西高速集团股份有 限公司拟收购股权所涉及山西交通实业发展集团有限公司股东全部权益价值资产评估报告》（国融兴华 评报字[2025]第500010号，简称"《资产评估报告》"），截至评估基准日2025年7月31日，在持续经营 条件下，标的公司的股东全部权益账面价值为38,908.91万元，评估价值为50,314.41万元，其中苏汽集团 持有的实业集团15%股东部分权益价值为7,547.16万元。以上述评估值为基础，交易双方协商确定标的 公司股权转让价款为7,480万元。 格隆汇12月29日丨山西高速(000755.SZ)公布，苏汽集团基于自身业务发展因素考虑，拟转让所持实业 集团15%股权，公司拟以现金收购苏汽集团持有的实业集团15%股权。本次交易完成后，实业集团将成 为公司的参股公司，不纳入公司合并报表范围，公司与山西交通控股集团有限公司（简称"山西交控集 团"）、招商局公路网络科技控股股份有限公司（简称"招商公路"）共同持有实业集团股权。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the shipping sector, expecting a strong start in 2026, particularly for companies like ST Song, China Shipbuilding, and China Power [5]. Core Insights - The shipping industry has seen improvements in new ship orders and pricing since October, with expectations for a strong performance in 2026. The report highlights the potential for a seasonal price increase in January, particularly in the oil and bulk cargo sectors [5]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the railway and highway freight volumes, with steady growth observed. Data from the Ministry of Transport shows a slight decrease in railway freight but an increase in highway truck traffic [5][6]. - The airline industry is at a turning point, with expectations for significant improvements in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger volumes [5]. - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for future profitability and market dynamics [5]. Summary by Sections Shipping Sector - New ship orders and pricing have improved since October, with expectations for a strong performance in 2026. Companies like ST Song, China Shipbuilding, and China Power are highlighted as key players [5]. - The report notes a significant drop in VLCC rates, with a 34.4% decrease observed on December 24, while crude oil tanker rates showed a 7.6% increase due to supply constraints [5]. Railway and Highway - Railway freight volume was reported at 78.37 million tons, a 1.96% decrease week-on-week, while highway truck traffic increased by 2.02% to 55.44 million vehicles [5][6]. Airline Industry - The report suggests that the airline industry is poised for a golden era, with supply constraints and increased international travel expected to enhance profitability [5]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is undergoing a transformation, with three scenarios proposed for future market dynamics, focusing on price recovery and potential mergers [5]. Overall Transportation Index - The transportation sector index rose by 1.37%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.95% [6].

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Highway (招商公路) is actively contributing to public welfare by donating 15 million yuan to the China Merchants Charity Foundation for various charitable activities, reflecting its commitment to social responsibility and corporate growth value [1] Group 1: Donation and Corporate Responsibility - The company plans to donate 15 million yuan to the China Merchants Charity Foundation for poverty alleviation, medical assistance, education support, and disaster relief [1] - The donation has been approved by the company's board and independent directors, emphasizing its alignment with corporate governance [1] - The company aims to fulfill its social responsibilities and give back to society in recognition of the support it has received [1] Group 2: Charity Foundation Overview - The China Merchants Charity Foundation, established on June 15, 2009, is a national non-public fundraising foundation initiated by China Merchants Group, focusing on public welfare and harmonious development [2] - From 2020 to 2024, the foundation received a total of 568 million yuan in donations, with 554 million yuan coming from China Merchants Group and its subsidiaries, and has conducted over 240 public welfare projects [2] Group 3: Educational Initiatives - In 2022, the company launched the "C Green Public Welfare Teaching Assistance Program" in collaboration with various teacher training colleges, focusing on environmental education and sustainable development [2] - The company plans to add three more supported schools in 2025 and continue its support for six existing institutions, promoting green initiatives among youth [3] Group 4: Community Support Activities - The company initiated the "Caring for Truck Drivers" campaign in 2022, which has evolved into a regular community support mechanism, and in 2023, it was upgraded to a broader industry public welfare initiative [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company conducted various community service activities, benefiting approximately 53,800 drivers and accumulating over 7,357 hours of volunteer service [3] Group 5: Poverty Alleviation and Rural Revitalization - In the first half of 2025, the company donated 13 million yuan through the charity foundation to support the development of characteristic industries in Xinjiang's Yecheng and Shache counties, aiming to create rural revitalization demonstration points [4]

Core Insights - Tianjin is leveraging technological innovation as a core engine for high-quality development, with the local securities regulatory authority actively guiding capital market resources to support the growth of tech enterprises [1][2][10] Group 1: Capital Market Support for Tech Innovation - The Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau has facilitated the listing of 14 new companies in the past five years, with nearly 80% being tech firms, showcasing the increasing "tech content" in Tianjin's capital market [2][10] - The successful listing of Danna Biotech on the Beijing Stock Exchange marks a significant milestone as it becomes the first company in the in vitro diagnostics sector to be listed there, highlighting the supportive role of the capital market in fostering tech innovation [2][10] - The Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau is enhancing its regulatory services to help tech companies adapt to market and regulatory requirements, ensuring steady progress in the capital market [3][10] Group 2: Financing Tools and Mechanisms - Various financing tools in the capital market are acting as accelerators for companies in Tianjin to optimize resource allocation and shift towards tech innovation [4][10] - Aima Technology successfully issued 2 billion yuan in convertible bonds, which not only provided long-term funding but also established a positive cycle of financing, R&D, and commercialization [4][5] - The issuance of "tech innovation" and "green" bonds by Chuangye Environmental and other companies illustrates the effectiveness of capital markets in meeting tech innovation needs [7][8] Group 3: Private Equity and Venture Capital - Private equity funds are playing a crucial role as "patient capital" for early-stage and growth-stage tech companies, helping them overcome R&D bottlenecks [9][10] - Huyuan Biotechnology, a leader in the CAR-T field, has benefited from private equity funding, which has supported its clinical applications and industrialization processes [9][10] Group 4: Collaborative Ecosystem Development - The Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau is working with multiple departments to optimize the regulatory environment and enhance the development ecosystem for tech companies [11][10] - A comprehensive policy framework has been established to support high-quality development in the capital market, including measures for venture capital and mergers and acquisitions [11][10] - The establishment of service platforms and databases aims to facilitate the growth of listed companies and improve the overall investment climate in Tianjin [11][10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the role of capital markets in supporting technological innovation in Tianjin, highlighting the collaborative efforts of the Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau and various stakeholders to facilitate the growth of tech enterprises through diverse financial pathways [1][2][9] - In the past five years, nearly 80% of the 14 new listed companies in Tianjin are technology-oriented, with high-tech and specialized new companies accounting for nearly 70% of the total number of listings and nearly 80% of the total market value [2][10] - The successful listing of Danna Biological on the Beijing Stock Exchange as the first company in the in vitro diagnostic industry illustrates the effective support of the capital market for technological innovation in Tianjin [2][11] Group 2 - The Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau has been actively optimizing regulatory services, conducting enterprise assessments, and enhancing local services to help companies adapt to market and regulatory requirements [3][10] - Various financing tools in the capital market are becoming accelerators for companies in Tianjin to optimize resource allocation and shift towards technological innovation, with nearly 20% of listed companies using refinancing to expand production or invest in weak links of the industrial chain [4][6] - Aima Technology's issuance of 2 billion yuan in convertible bonds exemplifies how capital market operations can support the establishment of a virtuous cycle of financing, research and development, and transformation [4][5] Group 3 - The introduction of the new policy for innovation bonds has activated corporate innovation potential, with companies like Chuangye Environmental and China Merchants Highway successfully issuing bonds to support their green technology projects [6][7] - Chuangye Environmental's issuance of a 500 million yuan bond with a record low interest rate demonstrates the effective alignment of capital market services with technological innovation needs [7] - China Merchants Highway has issued a total of 11.3 billion yuan in innovation bonds, setting a benchmark for financing in the transportation sector [7] Group 4 - Private equity funds are playing a crucial role as "patient capital" for early-stage and growth-stage tech companies, helping them overcome funding challenges during critical R&D phases [8][9] - Huyuan Biotechnology, a leader in the CAR-T field, has benefited from private equity support, enabling it to advance its clinical applications and industrialization processes [8][9] - The collaboration between private equity and tech companies in Tianjin is fostering the development of a robust industrial ecosystem [8][9] Group 5 - The Tianjin Securities Regulatory Bureau is continuously enhancing regulatory services and developing a supportive ecosystem for capital market reforms, focusing on key policies to facilitate high-quality development [10][11] - The establishment of various working groups and service platforms aims to streamline the implementation of capital market reform policies and improve the overall investment environment [10][11] - The ongoing efforts to combat financial fraud and market manipulation are intended to create a safer investment landscape for capital directed towards technological innovation [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The rapid development of autonomous driving technology in China is expected to drive the digital transformation of highways, which is crucial for high-quality development [1] Group 1: Market Projections - By 2029, the sales of L2 and above intelligent driving vehicles in China are projected to reach 31.7 million units, with a penetration rate of 84.99% [1] - In 2024, the sales of vehicles equipped with L2 and above intelligent driving solutions are expected to reach 15.2 million units, with a penetration rate of 68.47% for intelligent driving passenger cars [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Technology Development - The current total length of highways in China is 5.4909 million kilometers, connecting approximately 88% of county-level administrative regions and about 95% of the population [1] - The transition from manual inspections to systematic proactive monitoring is necessary to accommodate both human and machine recognition needs [2] - A virtual road operation platform is to be constructed on existing physical roads, promoting real-time interaction between various intelligent driving systems and traffic infrastructure [2] Group 3: Case Studies and Innovations - A smart highway case study by China Merchants Highway demonstrates the use of a traffic video event intelligent monitoring system, achieving over 95% accuracy in automatic identification of 12 types of events, with an average response time reduced from 5 minutes to under 15 seconds [3]